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Nate Hagens

@NJHagens • 14,490 subscribers

Human, analyst, catalyst for a future better than the default. Author of Reality Blind, Host of podcast "The Great Simplification".

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Techno-optimists dream of a future where we mine, travel to, and colonize other planets – all in the hopes of bypassing the problems we now face on Earth. But from the perspective of physics and ecology, how feasible is space colonization?

Techno-optimists dream of a future where we mine, travel to, and colonize other planets – all in the hopes of bypassing the problems we now face on Earth. But from the perspective of physics and ecology, how feasible is space colonization?

45,401 views • 3 months ago

The acceleration of global heating is just one of many critical "shifting baselines" that go mostly unnoticed in our everyday lives.

The acceleration of global heating is just one of many critical "shifting baselines" that go mostly unnoticed in our everyday lives.

15,580 views • 1 month ago

If our cultural values and ways of life are what got us here, rooted in narrow-boundary, cold, and logical thinking – then perhaps moments of turbulence like these actually call on us to change our way of thinking entirely.

If our cultural values and ways of life are what got us here, rooted in narrow-boundary, cold, and logical thinking – then perhaps moments of turbulence like these actually call on us to change our way of thinking entirely.

25,663 views • 3 months ago

Today, I'm joined by financial analysts, 🇦🇺Craig Tindale and Michael Every, to discuss the growing geopolitical tensions over scarce resources and the rapidly changing foreign policy and economic statecraft that countries are implementing in response.

Today, I'm joined by financial analysts, 🇦🇺Craig Tindale and Michael Every, to discuss the growing geopolitical tensions over scarce resources and the rapidly changing foreign policy and economic statecraft that countries are implementing in response.

31,257 views • 5 months ago

In this episode, I’m joined by oil market analyst Rory Johnston to discuss how the Strait of Hormuz closure has led to the largest oil supply shock in history, and what the exact numbers and cascading effects are.

In this episode, I’m joined by oil market analyst Rory Johnston to discuss how the Strait of Hormuz closure has led to the largest oil supply shock in history, and what the exact numbers and cascading effects are.

22,019 views • 3 months ago

Over three-quarters of the global population has never lived through a major global energy crisis, such as those of the 1970s. In early 2026, that is about to change as the world faces the largest energy disruption in history.

Over three-quarters of the global population has never lived through a major global energy crisis, such as those of the 1970s. In early 2026, that is about to change as the world faces the largest energy disruption in history.

19,087 views • 3 months ago

Even if this war were to end today, what sort of system-wide effects are locked in given the current loss in production, and what will be required of us to cope with the fallout?

Even if this war were to end today, what sort of system-wide effects are locked in given the current loss in production, and what will be required of us to cope with the fallout?

16,820 views • 2 months ago

In this episode, I'm joined by Michael Every, Global Strategist at Rabobank, for an unflinching analysis of the Hormuz crisis and the fundamental principles pointing toward the Strait’s closure for several more months. Michael walks through multiple scenarios – a TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out), NATO military action, Chinese intervention behind the scenes – and explains why none of them offer an easy exit. The conversation expands to explore what this crisis means for the future of global energy trade, the emergence of rival production blocs, the collapse of demand-side macroeconomics, and the surprising potential for a more equitable world to emerge from the chaos. Watch/listen: Disclaimer: This episode was recorded Tuesday, June 9th, before the current 'deal' was floated. Given world events, we decided to post this episode immediately as a special release, and deal or not, this conversation is an excellent overview of the issues and stakes of this evolving situation.

In this episode, I'm joined by Michael Every, Global Strategist at Rabobank, for an unflinching analysis of the Hormuz crisis and the fundamental principles pointing toward the Strait’s closure for several more months. Michael walks through multiple scenarios – a TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out), NATO military action, Chinese intervention behind the scenes – and explains why none of them offer an easy exit. The conversation expands to explore what this crisis means for the future of global energy trade, the emergence of rival production blocs, the collapse of demand-side macroeconomics, and the surprising potential for a more equitable world to emerge from the chaos. Watch/listen: Disclaimer: This episode was recorded Tuesday, June 9th, before the current 'deal' was floated. Given world events, we decided to post this episode immediately as a special release, and deal or not, this conversation is an excellent overview of the issues and stakes of this evolving situation.

12,238 views • 2 months ago

It's been over a year since we made the animated film The Great Simplification. In that time, the world has continued to track the systems synthesis presented in the movie: humans -combining energy and materials into technology and services, representing it all by money, in order to generate *feelings* that match ancestral drives. In aggregate, this global 'metabolism' -riding the upslope of the carbon pulse- generates growth, plus waste. It has no braking system. It reacts but has no plan. The film offers a framework for the questions of our time ==>A species level conversation. 32 minutes

It's been over a year since we made the animated film The Great Simplification. In that time, the world has continued to track the systems synthesis presented in the movie: humans -combining energy and materials into technology and services, representing it all by money, in order to generate feelings that match ancestral drives. In aggregate, this global 'metabolism' -riding the upslope of the carbon pulse- generates growth, plus waste. It has no braking system. It reacts but has no plan. The film offers a framework for the questions of our time ==>A species level conversation. 32 minutes

68,321 views • 2 years ago

Sunday 'Best of The Great Simplification Clips' -Ecologist Bill Rees describing why ecological overshoot is THE fundamental issue that underpins all other issues:

Sunday 'Best of The Great Simplification Clips' -Ecologist Bill Rees describing why ecological overshoot is THE fundamental issue that underpins all other issues:

72,721 views • 3 years ago

In this episode, Daniel Schmachtenberger demonstrates that the current trajectory of AI is headed towards ecological destruction, rather than restoration… an important narrative currently missing from the discourse surrounding AI at large. Watch:

In this episode, Daniel Schmachtenberger demonstrates that the current trajectory of AI is headed towards ecological destruction, rather than restoration… an important narrative currently missing from the discourse surrounding AI at large. Watch:

51,744 views • 2 years ago

As the war in Iran creates chaos in every domain of life, the already-fragile energy systems of many countries find themselves on the brink of crisis after spending decades investing in natural gas infrastructure, largely supplied by Middle Eastern countries.

As the war in Iran creates chaos in every domain of life, the already-fragile energy systems of many countries find themselves on the brink of crisis after spending decades investing in natural gas infrastructure, largely supplied by Middle Eastern countries.

13,438 views • 4 months ago

Looking at the world with an 'ecology' lens gives different conclusions (and prescriptions) than a technology or money lens. This Wed on TGS we'll hear from ecologist William Rees on why 'ecological overshoot' is THE fundamental issue facing human/planetary systems. A 2 min clip:

Looking at the world with an 'ecology' lens gives different conclusions (and prescriptions) than a technology or money lens. This Wed on TGS we'll hear from ecologist William Rees on why 'ecological overshoot' is THE fundamental issue facing human/planetary systems. A 2 min clip:

60,854 views • 3 years ago

The conversation about the health and livability of our world should feature more than just climate. In this episode, I speak with environmental scientist Johan Rockström to unpack his work on Planetary Boundaries and the pressure we're putting on them.

The conversation about the health and livability of our world should feature more than just climate. In this episode, I speak with environmental scientist Johan Rockström to unpack his work on Planetary Boundaries and the pressure we're putting on them.

25,168 views • 2 years ago

This Wed, Doughnut-Economist Kate Raworth joins me for a lively discussion on alternative economic models, her experience advocating for them, and the adoption of them in cities and businesses internationally. A fantastic primer on the need for different economic measurements!

This Wed, Doughnut-Economist Kate Raworth joins me for a lively discussion on alternative economic models, her experience advocating for them, and the adoption of them in cities and businesses internationally. A fantastic primer on the need for different economic measurements!

26,871 views • 3 years ago

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