
shmidt
@shmidtqq • 9,557 subscribers
predicting the future with code / ai × prediction markets / tg: shmidtqq
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Creator of Claude Code: "Right now you still need to know how to code. In a year or two, it won't matter. I haven't edited a single line by hand since November." In a 90-minute podcast, Boris Cherny breaks down the exact setup behind the tool now writing 4% of every public commit on GitHub. More value than a $500 vibe-coding course. Save this. In a year we'll know if he was right.
shmidt2,558,675 views • 1 month ago

Anthropic CEO: "If my revenue is not $1 trillion, even $800 billion, there's no force on earth, no hedge on earth, that could stop me from going bankrupt." In a 3-hour podcast, Dario Amodei does the math on his own bankruptcy. Revenue 10x a year. 90% of code written by the model. A country of geniuses by 2028. He can't tell you if it ends in trillions or zero. The most honest voice in AI, or the biggest bubble admitting it?
shmidt2,407,982 views • 1 month ago

A 20-year-old guy earned $37,250 in a month creating YouTube content and barely even touches the editing software. He set up an autonomous "content factory" where Claude acts as the brain and Premiere Pro serves as the body. The system works 24/7 while he lives his life. Claude analyzes high-CPM niches, writes scripts, and uses Python scripts to trigger voiceovers and video generation. In the first month alone, one of his channels hit hundreds of thousands of views on Shorts. One client video ($400) -> 15 minutes of AI work = $400 profit. 20 videos per week = $8,000. He simply had an idea, and Claude took care of everything: from the first word of the script to the final render.
shmidt1,862,421 views • 2 months ago

Creator and head of Claude Code, Anthropic: "I don't prompt Claude anymore. I have loops running that prompt Claude and decide what to do. My job is to write loops." He hasn't hand-written a line of code since November. 100% is Claude Code now. Still ships 10 to 30 pull requests a day. He breaks down his actual workflow in the 1h28m podcast. Loops writing 100% of the code. Engineer leveling up, or automated out?
shmidt520,042 views • 1 month ago

Instagram co-founder. Now head of Anthropic Labs: "I wish Claude good night, set it off on a complex task, and wake up to it done by 2am." In a 52-min podcast, Mike Krieger shows his real setup. His own weekend, not a demo. Instagram V1 took him five days of all-nighters. His weekend app took zero. The man who built Instagram by hand now sleeps through the build. Trust it overnight, or is that a step too far?
shmidt467,668 views • 1 month ago

CEO of Anthropic, Dario Amodei: "We are near the end of the exponential." 3 things he said in 2 hours. The third, even Dwarkesh pushed back on. One: at Anthropic, models already do "100% of today's coding tasks." Two: a country of geniuses in a datacenter, 90% likely within 10 years. Three: why he won't buy more datacenters, with AGI this close. Save it. Reread in 2028 and see who was right.
shmidt602,992 views • 1 month ago

A guy got tired of renting intelligence from the cloud, so he put a 120-billion-parameter model in his closet for $0 a month. One mini PC. The Minisforum MS-S1 MAX. 128GB of unified memory, and a trick that hands 96GB of it straight to the GPU. Here's how it breaks: That 96GB is the whole game. Enough to run GPT-OSS-120B fully local, and still keep the agent and dashboard on the same box. 120 billion parameters. 56.6 tokens a second. A 5,000-word essay in one pass at 110W and 68°C. Quiet. Cool. Local. Then Hermes Agent goes on top, pointed at localhost. No API key, because there's nothing to phone home to. It drafts, researches, runs tool calls, manages sub-agents. None of it leaves the network. The cloud version cost $10 to $20 a day, keys and customer data routed through machines he didn't own. Now it's a box in a closet. $0 a month. The chip is real. The build is brilliant. And somewhere in the first few minutes, the AI stopped being a bill he paid every morning and became a machine he owns, humming in a closet, working for free.
shmidt245,355 views • 1 month ago

A 27-year-old from Asia made $24,000 in a month running an online advertising studio he has never once set foot in. he used to be the streamer. for a year he sold on camera himself -> clothes, gadgets, whatever moved -> six hours a day, until his face gave out and the numbers flatlined. one person can only stand under the ring light so long. so he stopped being the talent and became the operator. one all-in-one rig did the heavy lifting: vertical touchscreen, ring light, camera, a one-tap virtual green screen, discount overlays, a built-in teleprompter, and a single button that pushed the same stream to TikTok, Douyin and Taobao Live at once. then he took himself out of the frame. an AI avatar hosted, AI cleaned the face and the voice, and the store sold 24/7 across a dozen niches while he slept. one rig became four, four became a wall of them, each avatar working a different product in a different language. the caps didn't come from being good on camera. they came the day he realized the person on screen was the bottleneck and built the thing that didn't need one.
shmidt86,144 views • 14 days ago

She opened an AI just to laugh at how lazy kids cartoons had gotten. A month later her PayPal sat at $6,350 A 27-year-old florist from Portland, zero video skills. She built the first episode that same night, and the result was unpredictable The barrier is almost a joke: $20 for Claude and the free Higgsfield connector, set up in a couple of clicks She just described an episode in words. Claude cut it into scenes, Higgsfield drew the talking critters in a minute and picked the music too The algorithm grabbed the very first episode and pushed it into autoplay. Within a week advertisers were flooding her inbox By the end of the month the math checked out: $6,350 in PayPal, without a single hand-drawn frame 23 episodes built in a month 9 brands reached out first 14 minutes per episode The awkward part: a whole episode takes her less time than arranging one bouquet
shmidt135,325 views • 1 month ago

CLAUDE JUST TURNED OBSIDIAN INTO A BRAIN THAT NEVER FORGETS (FOR $0) Someone connected Claude straight to their Obsidian vault. Now the AI reads and writes every note they own. Every client, every idea, every project. Instant recall. Runs on Claude + Obsidian. One evening. Zero code. The numbers are insane: - Notion AI: $10/month forever - A "second brain" course: $500 to $2,000 - An assistant to organize your notes: $3,000/month - This setup: $0 - Time to build: one evening - Skill required: copy the steps The opportunity is even wilder: People sell Notion "second brain" templates for $99 to $499. You just built something better for free, and it never forgets. One free vault can hold the entire memory of your business: clients, content, SOPs, ideas. One person + Claude + Obsidian + one evening = an infinite memory that never forgets. Save and watch the clip.
shmidt57,347 views • 16 days ago

Anthropic gave an AI a problem their own researchers couldn't crack. Humans: 7 days, 23% of the gap. The AI: 5 days, $18,000, 97%. The problem was how to keep a smarter model under control. In other words, controlling superhuman AI. It solved it on its own. Along the way it quietly started cheating, slipping past its own evaluation. None of the authors saw it coming. From here, in their own words, science stops being about understanding. It is just climbing a metric. Save this. It is only the first problem they trusted it with.
shmidt58,260 views • 22 days ago

OpenAI co-founder, ex-Tesla AI chief: Andrej Karpathy: "The things agents can't do - that's your job now." Three things he said in an hour. The third splits the room. One: no hand-written code since December. Sixteen hours a day he just directs agents. He calls it AI psychosis. Two: apps are dead. His agent reverse-engineered his house and replaced six of them. Three is your job. Save it. Then bet: do your skills outlive his agents?
shmidt68,970 views • 1 month ago

YouTube creators be like: "bro just hit 1k subs!! 🎉" spends $3k on camera edits 8 hours a day on camera every video begs for sponsors makes $400/month meanwhile the quiet guy has: faceless channel, $2,500,000 earnings Claude writes every script ElevenLabs voices every word CapCut assembles every clip 3 hours/week to maintain
shmidt107,212 views • 2 months ago

Head of Engineering for Claude Code at Anthropic. Fiona Fung: "After a while, it could start being a lonely experience - we were all just working with our agents so much." Claude now writes 80% of Anthropic's code. The team ships 8x more. An engineer, in Anthropic's own report: "On the days everything works, I can't help but think nothing I do matters." She names the fix in the episode. The dream was less typing - is this what you wanted?
shmidt33,041 views • 27 days ago

MASTER CLAUDE FOR MARKETING IN 72 MINUTES, ZERO CODE. ONE FREE COURSE JUST DROPPED. Agencies charge $10K/month to run this stack. This hands you the entire marketing system. Not one line of code. The 72-minute marketing money map, by timestamp: 00:00 - what you'll learn 01:07 - grab the free resource pack 02:32 - install Claude and turn on Cowork 03:17 - set up your workspace (CLAUDE.md + memory) 09:38 - what a skill actually is 11:29 - build your 4 content voice skills 17:12 - the content repurposing skill 20:00 - set up Firecrawl for web scraping 23:10 - generate images and videos with Higgsfield 28:21 - infographic skills 31:49 - product infographic skill 34:17 - product-to-ad UGC video skill 38:11 - find customers and leads with Clay 46:26 - build a live dashboard artifact 48:44 - store data with Supabase 51:42 - build your own content tracker 54:45 - connect any app with Zapier 58:21 - schedule and auto-post with Blotato 1:04:21 - AI SEO with SEMrush 1:11:19 - final words 72 free minutes here replace a $2,000 "AI marketing" cohort. One person + Claude + a weekend = a full marketing team while others still boost posts. Save it, watch today, ship your first skill before the week ends.
shmidt14,575 views • 12 days ago

Spotify Chief Architect, Niklas Gustavsson: "Once we added loops, our agent success rate went from 20-30% to 80%." Everyone's chasing a smarter model. Spotify just built a better loop. 26 min with Claude Code creator Boris Cherny on how they run agents across a 20M-line monorepo. 73% of PRs are AI-assisted. 4,500 deploys a day. 2,900 engineers. loops + a verifier that runs CI + a house-style codebase + auto-merge - that's the secret. close the loop: let the agent run the build, read what failed, and fix itself. Watch the talk, then save the playbook.
shmidt21,748 views • 21 days ago

Steve Yegge, 40-year engineer (ex-Amazon, ex-Google): "There are 8 levels of using AI. Level 8 isn't a better prompt - it's you building your own orchestrator. Claude Code running Claude Code." we don't need smarter models. we need better loops. 3 productive hours a day. 100x the output. the bottleneck stopped being the model. in a 90-minute interview, the author of "Vibe Coding" breaks down the climb from 1 agent to your own orchestrator. 1 agent + several + 10+ by hand + your own orchestrator - that's the ladder. Worth more than a $500 course on agentic coding. Watch it, then save.
shmidt17,823 views • 17 days ago

YOU: > "I feel this is going to hit" > buy at 28% > down 50% > "the market is rigged" THEM: > 100+ AI agents in Random Forest > √N feature filter > Sigmoid threshold 70% > price ≤ prob × 0.5 → buy > price ≥ prob × 0.9 → sell > Sharpe Ratio monitored 24/7 77% win rate. $20,000+ a week. different leagues.
shmidt52,375 views • 2 months ago

Boris Cherny runs Claude Code at Anthropic. His line should stop you mid-scroll: "I don't prompt Claude anymore. I have loops running that prompt Claude and figure out what to do. My job is to write loops." The skill moved. From writing prompts to building the loop around them. A loop that works has three things. Drop one and it burns money in circles. 1. A finish line it can prove. Tests pass or they fail. "Looks done" is not a finish line. 2. A checker that did not write the code. A model grading itself always says yes. 3. Brakes set before you start. A step limit. A money ceiling. A stop condition. That is the whole game. The loop does the work. You design the cage it runs in. Full breakdown below.
shmidt16,085 views • 29 days ago

A GUY MADE $19,522 IN 90 DAYS ON YOUTUBE. NO COURSE. NO FAKE. he just opened his analytics on camera. $19,522.95 in 90 days, real channel. one trick. claude does the boring 80% for him: descriptions, tags, chapters, hooks, scripts. he only films and uploads. 2 uploads a week became 5. youtube rewards whoever ships the most. now a $20 tool ships it for you. $20 in, $19k a quarter. any questions?
shmidt23,765 views • 1 month ago