
Talha Ahmad
@talhaahmad967 • 59,380 subscribers
| Student of Knowledge | Freelance Journalist | Bylines on FP & IR for @dailytimespak | | CT and Security | | GeoPolitical Analyst |
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Trump: "I said to President Xi, we have the greatest military in the world. He actually didn't agree." It seems that the US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth agrees with President Xi “The Pentagon runs perfect war game simulations, we lose every time to China.....”
Talha Ahmad1,141,559 просмотров • 15 дней назад

Indian Prime Minister Modi, during the 2019 India-Pakistan standoff, said that "If IAF had Rafale fighter jets, things would have been different". Last night, Pakistan Air Force shot down the very Rafale [Serial No.BS-001] received by the Indian Air Force from France.
Talha Ahmad1,180,361 просмотров • 1 год назад

HEAD OF NEGOTIATION TEAM 🔻Deports 🔻Supply lines 🔻HQ 🔻Critical infrastructure 🔻Reinforcement convoys
Talha Ahmad96,589 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Israel Strikes Near Bushehr The reported Israeli bombing in the vicinity of the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant raises questions about Israel's objectives. The pattern of targeting critical infrastructure, from water desalination plants to areas close to sensitive nuclear sites, should serve as a strategic shock to the regional actors, especially GGC. These attacks have the potential to create a large scale existential threat to the Gulf region. A scenario comparable to the Chornobyl disaster is no longer unthinkable if strikes occur near nuclear facilities. Before any escalation, Qatar’s foreign minister warned explicitly about the consequences of targeting Bushehr. “Water supply for the whole region will be contaminated, and Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE will run out of water within three days.” Given the scale of the potential humanitarian and environmental fallout, the absence of clearly defined rules of engagement around such sensitive infrastructure is deeply alarming. Sites adjacent to Nuclear plants are not conventional military sites. Their destruction or damage carries consequences that are indiscriminate and transnational. Israel, through these attacks, is threatening the Gulf to participate in a devastating war with Iran or is targeting Iran in a way that would lead to direct regional confrontation with the Gulf. The lack of serious public discourse around the radioactive risks is also concerning. In a worst case scenario, depending on wind direction, the radioactive contamination due to any attack on Busherh could extend as far as Pakistan, affecting coastal regions such as Karachi. Clips from Interview with Tucker Carlson
Talha Ahmad67,571 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

"We thank the Americans, who are very good people, who treat us kindly and respectfully. They give us a loaf of bread and a sandwich, and they give Israel missiles, tanks, and warplanes" says a Palestinian civilian. From a documentary by Dan Cohen & Max Blumenthal from 2014.
Talha Ahmad467,357 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Hezbollah releases footage of the targeting of two Israeli tanks in Wadi al-Uyun, southern Lebanon.
Talha Ahmad41,234 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Shadows gather as the next Great Game looms India does not separate the sub-conventional element from the conventional element, both in the defensive and offensive domains. This is dictated by a long-term strategy vis-à-vis Pakistan, which is based on national and regional ambitions. Meanwhile, Islamabad has largely separated the conventional and sub-conventional files in both domains due to the strategic shift driven by changing regional dynamics in the last 2 decades. This is the Indian COAS's speech from last month, in which he talked about the very equation. "We do not know what's happening on the Pak-Western front. This information, when we have the exchange of intelligence with our neighbour on the other side (Afghanistan), we will get to know which troops are moving to what places. Interconnections are equally important" (I don't need to tell who Delhi's partner is for GEOINT) In grand schemes of things, Delhi doesn't solely rely on information sharing but doesn't hesitate to covertly alter the reality on the Western/internal front, which directly helps the main front. Just a week before the Indian strike in May, a major Tashkeel of over +40 was pushed into Pakistan from Afghanistan (Western front). It was intercepted eventually Delhi opted for overt strikes. In the last few months, the number of attacks by TTP and BLA has increased. The adoption of Quadcopters has also largely enhanced TTP capabilities. Nevertheless, no major troop movement on the Western Front would influence the operations on the Eastern Front unless a major high-intensity cover war is imposed. If Pakistan doesn't retaliate and establish deterrence, its eroding internal security architecture, particularly in KPK, would be close to collapse in the future. If it retaliates, a new covert war would be imposed, followed by an overt war if the conditions are suitable. Things don't unfold in isolation. Kabul's stubborn behaviour and Islamabad's lack of a workable strategy would be checkmated by Washigton's adventurism and Delhi's anarchism. Let's see how it unfolds in the next few weeks or months.
Talha Ahmad91,007 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад
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Iran-Israel Before the First Salvo Dual-launcher Khaybar Shekan would likely represent one of Iran’s most consequential assets in the initial phase of any high intensity conflict, primarily because of its mobility, payload efficiency, and psychological deterrent value. In an opening exchange, such systems are best suited to shaping the battlespace by stressing an adversary’s air defence architecture and signalling escalation dominance. For the second phase, the entire battlefield would revolve around the survivability and employment of heavier systems, such as Khorramshahr, which could add deterrence value due to its range and payload capacity. Recent Israeli operational patterns indicate a strong emphasis on early neutralization of launch platforms, storage sites, and command and control nodes, reflecting a doctrine that prioritizes degrading Iran's ability to coordinate and sustain follow-on strikes. In these circumstances, the effectiveness of Iran’s offensive firepower would likely be determined by its approach to the opening window of the conflict. A reactive posture would risk rapid attrition of key assets before they could be fully leveraged. Israel’s initial offensive would be multi domain, synchronised, and more comprehensive than in previous standoffs and would likely strip much of the intensity and coherence from Iran’s offensive capabilities. This is where a Pre-emptive and comprehensive SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defences) framework would become strategically decisive. A pre-emptive strike would be less about achieving immediate tactical damage and more about shaping the battlespace itself. Disruption of the adversary’s kill chain, specifically by degrading ISR coverage, disrupting communications architecture, and interfering with the targeting timelines. This would reduce the exposure and create the operational space necessary for missile forces and other strike elements to function more freely during the critical opening phase.
Talha Ahmad53,415 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Abu Ubaida was the long-serving spokesperson of the Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades. His real name was Huthayfa Samir Abdallah al-Kahlout. Abu Ubaida was considered both the voice and public face of Al-Qassam’s military messaging for nearly two decades, making him one of the group’s most recognisable figures in communications, even though he maintained operational secrecy by concealing his face. While formally a military spokesperson, his communications often served broader strategic purposes and were closely linked to Hamas’s political objectives, such as reinforcing negotiation positions, signalling capabilities to adversaries, and rallying support among allied groups and the public across the Arab and Muslim world. Abu Ubaida’s role evolved over the years, from a masked spokesperson to a strategic communication node, shaping the public perceptions about the Islamic Resistance movement and Palestine. His widely recognised signature red keffiyeh and masked appearance, along with his name, helped turn him into a symbolic figure representing the resistance in media statements. This is the reason why the Al-Qassam has adopted the title of 'Abu Ubaida' for the new spokesperson as well. The longest chapter in the history of Al-Qassam media and information operations has been closed.
Talha Ahmad36,220 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

2. Chinese satellite image of the Al Dhafra US base in the UAE 📍UAE's Al Dhafra Air Base Analysis/Context Al Dhafra Air Base was frequently used by the US military for patrolling missions along the Iranian airspace in the buildup to the war. What's interesting is that just days before the war, the Ground Forces of the IRGC conducted a simulated missile attack on the Al Dhafra base using tactical ballistic missiles. Al Dhafra functions as a critical logistics and operational hub. It was also one of the airbases used to supply weapons to the RSF in Sudan. It could impact UAE logistical operations towards the region and Sudan. Iranian ballistic missile strikes targeted runways, fuel storage, command centres, and aircraft shelters, which are critical vulnerabilities for sustained air operations. Al Dhafra is protected by layered air defence systems, including MIM-104 Patriot. The extent of damage suggests several direct hits.
Talha Ahmad21,754 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад
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Scenes from the Udhampur air base reportedly hit by missiles launched by Pakistan.
Talha Ahmad61,041 просмотров • 1 год назад

Hezbollah released footage showing the targeting of an Israeli tank several days ago on the front lines in towns along the border with occupied Palestine. Fierce fighting is reportedly ongoing in the area, though there is very limited information available about the situation on the ground. The video appears to show a guided missile striking the tank’s top. Unlike the previous videos, this shows top attack, which suggests that the footages are of separate attacks and several armoured vehicles have been targeted in the last several days. The footage has been released when Israeli media is reporting preparations for a massive mobilization for the ground invasion of Lebanon.
Talha Ahmad10,701 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Detailed Analysis of Al-Qassam “David's Stones” [Thread] This combat footage from last month (July) was released by Al-Qassam yesterday. There is a lot to decipher. It's been a while since I last posted a tactical/strategic analysis of Gaza, so this will be a detailed one. 1/n
Talha Ahmad26,294 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

Nouri Al-Maliki's nomination by the Shia political bloc Back in the days, Nouri Al-Maliki received a standing ovation in the US Congress, similar to Netanyahu's reception, after the deep state handpicked him as the central political figure in the Post-Saddam order in Iraq. Unlike the popular opinion that it signals confrontation, I think it's a message of moving towards developing a post-Saddam-like US-Iran understanding over the Iraq file, especially regarding the future of the Pro-Iranian armed factions. The approach is mostly driven by the new realities following the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria. The goal is pragmatic coordination through a fragmented authority, though it might not work this time since the realities and balance of power have shifted. Maliki has been reaching out to the regional and global actors, including the US and KSA, over the past few months. There would be a complete shifting of loyalties and alliances in the next phase. Iran signals its openness to a broader dialogue on regional files with the United States, despite the military buildup, and Iraq would be the first file.
Talha Ahmad11,850 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад