Ted

@TedPillows • 319,963 subscribers

Survived 2 crypto cycles. Turning Bitcoin and Ethereum, on-chain data and macro signals into actionable trades. Research: ↓

Shorts

Someone opened a $149,400,000 $BTC long with 40x leverage. Liquidation Price: $80,644

Someone opened a $149,400,000 $BTC long with 40x leverage. Liquidation Price: $80,644

61,667 Aufrufe

Majority of insiders' stock trades are still "Sell". Not a good sign.

Majority of insiders' stock trades are still "Sell". Not a good sign.

36,861 Aufrufe

$BTC buy side is currently weak in the short term. On the upside, there aren't major sell orders until $83,700-$84,000. But to the downside, there aren't major buy orders until $80,300. This means if Bitcoin loses the $82,000 level here, the downtrend could accelerate.

$BTC buy side is currently weak in the short term. On the upside, there aren't major sell orders until $83,700-$84,000. But to the downside, there aren't major buy orders until $80,300. This means if Bitcoin loses the $82,000 level here, the downtrend could accelerate.

54,712 Aufrufe

$This could be a possible scenario for Bitcoin. The fractal looks very similar to early 2023, when BTC had a sharp correction after confirming the cycle bottom. This time, we could see a drop into the high $70,000s before the next leg up.$

This could be a possible scenario for Bitcoin. The fractal looks very similar to early 2023, when BTC had a sharp correction after confirming the cycle bottom. This time, we could see a drop into the high $70,000s before the next leg up.

245,375 Aufrufe

$BTC has reached its major sell orders zone. On the downside, there are large buy orders around $80,000-$81,000. It seems like we are due for another correction followed by another V-shape recovery.

$BTC has reached its major sell orders zone. On the downside, there are large buy orders around $80,000-$81,000. It seems like we are due for another correction followed by another V-shape recovery.

72,122 Aufrufe

$200,000+ BTC is programmed this cycle. It's all in the charts.

$200,000+ BTC is programmed this cycle. It's all in the charts.

49,096 Aufrufe

$ETH went through 5 years of sideways accumulation. Now it's time for a few years of vertical uptrend.

$ETH went through 5 years of sideways accumulation. Now it's time for a few years of vertical uptrend.

109,228 Aufrufe

$BTC is going above $200,000 by 2029. Do you guys agree?

$BTC is going above $200,000 by 2029. Do you guys agree?

492,475 Aufrufe

$875,000,000 in short liquidations $10,640,000,000 in long liquidations $BTC now has 12x more liquidity to the downside than upside.

$875,000,000 in short liquidations $10,640,000,000 in long liquidations $BTC now has 12x more liquidity to the downside than upside.

222,365 Aufrufe

$BTC volatility is only going to go up. If Bitcoin reclaims $83K, there are no major sell orders until $85K. If BTC loses $82.5K, there are no major buy orders until $80,500. The recent upward move was primarily because of short positions being closed and little because of spot demand. If this continues, the downside will start looking interesting.

$BTC volatility is only going to go up. If Bitcoin reclaims $83K, there are no major sell orders until $85K. If BTC loses $82.5K, there are no major buy orders until $80,500. The recent upward move was primarily because of short positions being closed and little because of spot demand. If this continues, the downside will start looking interesting.

58,061 Aufrufe

$95,000 BTC is the most popular bet for October 2026. $75,000 BTC is the most popular bet for November 2026. It seems like big money is betting on a bullish October followed by a correction in November.

$95,000 BTC is the most popular bet for October 2026. $75,000 BTC is the most popular bet for November 2026. It seems like big money is betting on a bullish October followed by a correction in November.

115,598 Aufrufe

$BTC has large sell orders in the $87,500-$90,000 zone. If spot demand picks up, Bitcoin could quickly rally above $87,500.

$BTC has large sell orders in the $87,500-$90,000 zone. If spot demand picks up, Bitcoin could quickly rally above $87,500.

68,180 Aufrufe

$ETH is a $10,000 asset trading at $1,900 today. Few understand this.

$ETH is a $10,000 asset trading at $1,900 today. Few understand this.

283,100 Aufrufe

$ETH has been in this accumulation zone for 5+ years now. Imagine the pump once it breaks out. $12,000-$15,000 ETH is realistic by 2029.

$ETH has been in this accumulation zone for 5+ years now. Imagine the pump once it breaks out. $12,000-$15,000 ETH is realistic by 2029.

92,258 Aufrufe

Every time a new Fed chair was selected, $BTC dropped 70%+. Is this time different?

Every time a new Fed chair was selected, $BTC dropped 70%+. Is this time different?

684,531 Aufrufe

Most of the $ETH downside liquidity has been taken out for now. Now there are $5 Billion in shorts vs. $1.53 Billion in longs. The only concern is weakening spot demand for Ethereum, which is still making a strong case for more correction.

Most of the $ETH downside liquidity has been taken out for now. Now there are $5 Billion in shorts vs. $1.53 Billion in longs. The only concern is weakening spot demand for Ethereum, which is still making a strong case for more correction.

37,866 Aufrufe

What'll happen next for $BTC? $78,000 or $88,000

What'll happen next for $BTC? $78,000 or $88,000

93,518 Aufrufe

This is how the S&P 500 could play out in 2026.

This is how the S&P 500 could play out in 2026.

683,633 Aufrufe

What'll happen next for $HYPE? $75 or $100

What'll happen next for $HYPE? $75 or $100

32,372 Aufrufe

$BTC dropped 70% in 2022 and then pumped 700%. $ETH has dropped 70% in 2026. Imagine if ETH pumps 700% next.

$BTC dropped 70% in 2022 and then pumped 700%. $ETH has dropped 70% in 2026. Imagine if ETH pumps 700% next.

226,170 Aufrufe

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$18,140,000,000 in $BTC and $ETH options will expire this Friday. Max pain for Bitcoin: $75,000 Max pain for Ethereum: $2,250

$18,140,000,000 in $BTC and $ETH options will expire this Friday. Max pain for Bitcoin: $75,000 Max pain for Ethereum: $2,250

122,654 Aufrufe • vor 26 Tagen

$BTC is still in the Wyckoff distribution phase. The bottom isn't in yet.

$BTC is still in the Wyckoff distribution phase. The bottom isn't in yet.

462,764 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Only 9 coins out of the top 100 are in red over the last 3 months. After months of suffering, crypto holders are finally getting the pump they deserve.

Only 9 coins out of the top 100 are in red over the last 3 months. After months of suffering, crypto holders are finally getting the pump they deserve.

65,112 Aufrufe • vor 21 Tagen

$BTC is back at its bear market trend. The local top is getting closer.

$BTC is back at its bear market trend. The local top is getting closer.

447,162 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

This is how $BTC bottom will most likely form this cycle.

This is how $BTC bottom will most likely form this cycle.

335,591 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

$BTC bear flag and fakeout.... A tale as old as time.

$BTC bear flag and fakeout.... A tale as old as time.

418,795 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

There's no V-shape recovery at the cycle bottom. You'll get enough time to buy $BTC when it actually bottoms.

There's no V-shape recovery at the cycle bottom. You'll get enough time to buy $BTC when it actually bottoms.

236,670 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

$ETH is about to do the opposite of what it did in the last 12 months. Earlier, every pump was for selling. Now, every dump will be for buying.

$ETH is about to do the opposite of what it did in the last 12 months. Earlier, every pump was for selling. Now, every dump will be for buying.

95,652 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This is how I expect $BTC to play out in the coming months. The structure looks very similar to the 2022 cycle, and there maybe one final dump before the bottom.

This is how I expect $BTC to play out in the coming months. The structure looks very similar to the 2022 cycle, and there maybe one final dump before the bottom.

356,469 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

I was bearish on $ETH at $4,900. I'm not bearish at the current price.

I was bearish on $ETH at $4,900. I'm not bearish at the current price.

108,991 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

152,038 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

$ETH has always lagged Russell 2000. Russell 2000 is at a new ATH now. You know what happens next.

$ETH has always lagged Russell 2000. Russell 2000 is at a new ATH now. You know what happens next.

102,531 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Do you guys think this could happen with the S&P 500?

Do you guys think this could happen with the S&P 500?

214,048 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Trump says the US stock market will only go up with Kevin Warsh.

Trump says the US stock market will only go up with Kevin Warsh.

205,144 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Too many people got extremely bullish at $78K BTC. The same happened in Jan 2026, which resulted in a 37% crash.

Too many people got extremely bullish at $78K BTC. The same happened in Jan 2026, which resulted in a 37% crash.

225,161 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

I wouldn't be surprised if Bitcoin goes for another lower high. This'll make permabulls go loud exactly like last month. Then, Bitcoin will nuke to new lows in Q3, which will coincide with the 4-year bottom.

I wouldn't be surprised if Bitcoin goes for another lower high. This'll make permabulls go loud exactly like last month. Then, Bitcoin will nuke to new lows in Q3, which will coincide with the 4-year bottom.

163,377 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

$BTC local bottom is most likely in. The cycle bottom will still take a few months.

$BTC local bottom is most likely in. The cycle bottom will still take a few months.

129,807 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

$BTC current move will end soon. After that, a dump will happen, and then the real accumulation will start.

$BTC current move will end soon. After that, a dump will happen, and then the real accumulation will start.

218,574 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

$70,000 first. $50,000 next. What do you guys think?

$70,000 first. $50,000 next. What do you guys think?

116,530 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Feb 2022 ▫️ Russia-Ukraine war started. ▫️ $BTC pumped almost 40%. ▫️ After that, it dumped 67%. Feb 2026 ▫️ US-Iran was started. ▫️ Bitcoin could pump towards $78,000-$80,000. ▫️ After that, the next downtrend will start.

Feb 2022 ▫️ Russia-Ukraine war started. ▫️ $BTC pumped almost 40%. ▫️ After that, it dumped 67%. Feb 2026 ▫️ US-Iran was started. ▫️ Bitcoin could pump towards $78,000-$80,000. ▫️ After that, the next downtrend will start.

235,884 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten