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OSINT Intuit™

@UKikaski71,661 subscribers

Clinical, unsparing, quietly damning OSINT analysis of geopolitical events. USAF Veteran. Member Sons of the American Revolution. NAFO OG 2022. 🇺🇸🇨🇦🇬🇧🇮🇱

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One fiber optic FPV drone = $1,250. Seven moscovians hiding in a dugout = priceless. #OSINT

One fiber optic FPV drone = $1,250. Seven moscovians hiding in a dugout = priceless. #OSINT

771,599 просмотров

I wonder who the new Commander of the Caspian Flotilla will be. If the video of the strike on the Kaspiysk naval base is confirmed, the air defense response was impotent at best. #OSINT #Ukraine

I wonder who the new Commander of the Caspian Flotilla will be. If the video of the strike on the Kaspiysk naval base is confirmed, the air defense response was impotent at best. #OSINT #Ukraine

138,342 просмотров

‼️𝗪𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗪𝗮𝗿 𝗜𝗜𝗜 Kyrylo Budanov: "The third world war has been going on for a long time and it started in Ukraine." I will add that the kinetic war, which was started by Russia in Ukraine, has now migrated to Iran. The Pentagon knows this, briefs on it, but can't get beyond a President who calls Zelensky a dictator while holding the door open for Putin. We can't send our troops into battle against the same Russian-designed drones being used to kill Ukrainians. This makes no sense anymore and we all need to start calling it out. #OSINT #Bromance

‼️𝗪𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱 𝗪𝗮𝗿 𝗜𝗜𝗜 Kyrylo Budanov: "The third world war has been going on for a long time and it started in Ukraine." I will add that the kinetic war, which was started by Russia in Ukraine, has now migrated to Iran. The Pentagon knows this, briefs on it, but can't get beyond a President who calls Zelensky a dictator while holding the door open for Putin. We can't send our troops into battle against the same Russian-designed drones being used to kill Ukrainians. This makes no sense anymore and we all need to start calling it out. #OSINT #Bromance

123,823 просмотров

🇷🇴 𝗕𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚! | 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗮 𝗨𝗦𝗩 | 𝗖𝗹𝗼𝘀𝗲𝗿 𝗟𝗼𝗼𝗸 Closer footage of the USV that self-detonated at berth 78 this morning. The USV was spotted at 05:50. It detonated at 10:30. Nearly five hours trapped against anti-pollution barriers while Romanian authorities were on scene. That is not a malfunction. A drifting, disabled hull does not self-detonate after five hours of inactivity. That is a denial-of-exploitation system, either triggered remotely on command or activated by a pre-set protocol when the vessel lost contact or detected handling. Denial-of-exploitation requires deliberate engineering. It is not a feature of cheap kamikaze platforms, which are designed to be expended. It is a feature of recoverable ISR and EW assets whose operator cannot afford forensic examination of the payload. The imagery supports this conclusion. Open aluminum frame mast with one gimbaled camera housing, corrugated deck panels, six sensor or antenna housings on the deck, and external cabling. This appears to be an ISR or EW payload configuration; i.e., a spy drone. This hull and superstructure do not match any published variant of Magura, Sea Baby, or Sargan in open sources or any other known Ukrainian platform. Origin remains unconfirmed pending Romanian forensic examination. #OSINT #Ukraine

🇷🇴 𝗕𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚! | 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗮 𝗨𝗦𝗩 | 𝗖𝗹𝗼𝘀𝗲𝗿 𝗟𝗼𝗼𝗸 Closer footage of the USV that self-detonated at berth 78 this morning. The USV was spotted at 05:50. It detonated at 10:30. Nearly five hours trapped against anti-pollution barriers while Romanian authorities were on scene. That is not a malfunction. A drifting, disabled hull does not self-detonate after five hours of inactivity. That is a denial-of-exploitation system, either triggered remotely on command or activated by a pre-set protocol when the vessel lost contact or detected handling. Denial-of-exploitation requires deliberate engineering. It is not a feature of cheap kamikaze platforms, which are designed to be expended. It is a feature of recoverable ISR and EW assets whose operator cannot afford forensic examination of the payload. The imagery supports this conclusion. Open aluminum frame mast with one gimbaled camera housing, corrugated deck panels, six sensor or antenna housings on the deck, and external cabling. This appears to be an ISR or EW payload configuration; i.e., a spy drone. This hull and superstructure do not match any published variant of Magura, Sea Baby, or Sargan in open sources or any other known Ukrainian platform. Origin remains unconfirmed pending Romanian forensic examination. #OSINT #Ukraine

65,873 просмотров

I am pretty sure there is a live warhead in this Magura V5 USV that Turkish fisherman found, loaded on his boat, and delivered to authorities on the shore. #OSINT

I am pretty sure there is a live warhead in this Magura V5 USV that Turkish fisherman found, loaded on his boat, and delivered to authorities on the shore. #OSINT

149,565 просмотров

AI audio analysis of two separate missile recordings from the Ternopil strike shows the same terminal aeroacoustic structure. Spectrograms of both clips reveal identical broadband energy bands and the same descending Doppler slope as the missile approaches impact. #OSINT 1/4

AI audio analysis of two separate missile recordings from the Ternopil strike shows the same terminal aeroacoustic structure. Spectrograms of both clips reveal identical broadband energy bands and the same descending Doppler slope as the missile approaches impact. #OSINT 1/4

94,512 просмотров

Cubans Kontraktniki (contract soldiers), who chose to die for Putin in exchange for about $10,000, practice self-application of a torniquet before heading to the front in Ukraine. #OSINT

Cubans Kontraktniki (contract soldiers), who chose to die for Putin in exchange for about $10,000, practice self-application of a torniquet before heading to the front in Ukraine. #OSINT

79,714 просмотров

"One simply cannot go on assault in a chopped Lada! Tea anyone?" #OSINT #Russia #UkraineWar Please repost to help defeat Ex's anti-Ukraine algorithms.

"One simply cannot go on assault in a chopped Lada! Tea anyone?" #OSINT #Russia #UkraineWar Please repost to help defeat Ex's anti-Ukraine algorithms.

106,638 просмотров

Ukrainian Storm Shadow cruise missiles struck the Novoshakhtinsk Oil Refinery (Rostov Oblast, RU) this morning. Local residents reported approximately six explosions, with multiple confirmed impacts resulting in large fires at the facility. Geolocated video footage confirms an ongoing blaze at the refinery, a key regional fuel supplier located near the border with Luhansk Oblast. Based on available indicators, the missiles were likely launched by four AFU Su-24M bombers, with two aircraft operating near Kryvyi Rih and two near Slovyansk during overnight or early-morning hours. No official Ukrainian statement has been issued at the time of writing. Sources: AMK Mapping 🇳🇿, NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦, Euromaidan Press, local video via Exilenova+ #OSINT

Ukrainian Storm Shadow cruise missiles struck the Novoshakhtinsk Oil Refinery (Rostov Oblast, RU) this morning. Local residents reported approximately six explosions, with multiple confirmed impacts resulting in large fires at the facility. Geolocated video footage confirms an ongoing blaze at the refinery, a key regional fuel supplier located near the border with Luhansk Oblast. Based on available indicators, the missiles were likely launched by four AFU Su-24M bombers, with two aircraft operating near Kryvyi Rih and two near Slovyansk during overnight or early-morning hours. No official Ukrainian statement has been issued at the time of writing. Sources: AMK Mapping 🇳🇿, NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦, Euromaidan Press, local video via Exilenova+ #OSINT

47,074 просмотров

𝗖𝗿𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗮'𝘀 𝗥𝗼𝗮𝗱 𝗟𝗶𝗻𝗸𝘀 (𝗚𝗟𝗢𝗖𝘀) 𝗦𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗔𝗴𝗮𝗶𝗻 Russia's installed governor of occupied Kherson, Vladimir Saldo, confirmed overnight strikes on the Chonhar and Arabat Spit bridges, closing both ground lines of communication (GLOCs) in and out of Crimea. #OSINT #Ukraine

𝗖𝗿𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗮'𝘀 𝗥𝗼𝗮𝗱 𝗟𝗶𝗻𝗸𝘀 (𝗚𝗟𝗢𝗖𝘀) 𝗦𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗔𝗴𝗮𝗶𝗻 Russia's installed governor of occupied Kherson, Vladimir Saldo, confirmed overnight strikes on the Chonhar and Arabat Spit bridges, closing both ground lines of communication (GLOCs) in and out of Crimea. #OSINT #Ukraine

17,505 просмотров

From what I can ascertain, the RS-26 "Rubizh" missile contained a "MIRV" which carried multiple metallic "cones" used to simulate the weight and shape of a an individual nuclear warhead for testing purposes. This means it was definitely an act of intimidation. The below video shows the "weights" arriving in #Dnipro last night. The missile was fired from 800-km away which means it probably never entered orbital altitudes which would have set off a global DEFCON alert. They put some thought into it. #OSINT #Ukraine #Russia

From what I can ascertain, the RS-26 "Rubizh" missile contained a "MIRV" which carried multiple metallic "cones" used to simulate the weight and shape of a an individual nuclear warhead for testing purposes. This means it was definitely an act of intimidation. The below video shows the "weights" arriving in #Dnipro last night. The missile was fired from 800-km away which means it probably never entered orbital altitudes which would have set off a global DEFCON alert. They put some thought into it. #OSINT #Ukraine #Russia

88,266 просмотров

⚠️‼️ 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝗿𝗼𝗯𝗶𝗹𝘀𝗸: 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝘃𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮 𝗜𝘀 𝗥𝘂𝗻𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗼𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 BLUF: Russia claims Ukraine killed “children” during a 21-22 May 2026 overnight strike on what the AFU identified as a Rubicon unmanned systems training and operations center in Starobilsk, occupied Luhansk. Russian sources report approximately 16 FP-1/FP-2 type loitering munitions were used in the strike. The evidence tells a more nuanced and damning story. On 24 May, Russia's own Ministry of Foreign Affairs published the names of 21 dead with dates of birth ranging from 2003 to 2007. That makes the youngest victims 18 or 19 years old and the oldest, 22 or 23. This is the recruitment and training age for Rubicon personnel and not students at a vocational college. Yet Russia immediately declared these were "children aged 14 to 18." Those two claims cannot both be true, and Russia produced both of them. The narrative was constructed from the first hour. Russian-installed governor Pasechnik, Children's Rights Commissioner Lvova-Belova, TASS, and Russian MFA statements all repeated the 14-to-18 framing within hours of the strike. It circulated globally before any casualty list appeared. However, there is a strong possibility Rubicon personnel were co-located with vocational students in the same complex. Some genuine students were likely among the wounded. The evidence instead points to a strike on a legitimate military target operating within a dual-use civilian complex. Moscow has a systematic pattern of militarizing civilian infrastructure across occupied territory. Placing military assets among civilians is a deliberate choice, not an accident. The timeline further exposes the pretext. Russia had already intensified strikes on Kyiv from 12-13 May, over 12 days before Starobilsk. The massive 23-24 May barrage of approximately 90 missiles and more than 600 drones just 24-48 hours after Starobilsk, one of the largest combined strike packages of the war, was also immediately branded retaliation. Institute for the Study of War (ISW) assessed that assembling a package of that scale requires weeks of preparation, not 24-48 hours. Russia used Starobilsk as a pretext to justify attacks it had already planned. Russia then called an emergency UN Security Council session to internationalize a narrative its own casualty list contradicts. The Rubicon Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies is a documented Russian Defense Ministry unit established in 2024 and involved in drone strikes on Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure. Ukraine struck a legitimate military target operating from a dual-use site Russia deliberately embedded within civilian infrastructure. Moscow then reframed the casualties as murdered children to manufacture justification for escalation already in motion. It is the same pattern Russia has repeatedly used to legitimize attacks on civilians after the fact. #OSINT #Ukraine

⚠️‼️ 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝗿𝗼𝗯𝗶𝗹𝘀𝗸: 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝘃𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮 𝗜𝘀 𝗥𝘂𝗻𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗼𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 BLUF: Russia claims Ukraine killed “children” during a 21-22 May 2026 overnight strike on what the AFU identified as a Rubicon unmanned systems training and operations center in Starobilsk, occupied Luhansk. Russian sources report approximately 16 FP-1/FP-2 type loitering munitions were used in the strike. The evidence tells a more nuanced and damning story. On 24 May, Russia's own Ministry of Foreign Affairs published the names of 21 dead with dates of birth ranging from 2003 to 2007. That makes the youngest victims 18 or 19 years old and the oldest, 22 or 23. This is the recruitment and training age for Rubicon personnel and not students at a vocational college. Yet Russia immediately declared these were "children aged 14 to 18." Those two claims cannot both be true, and Russia produced both of them. The narrative was constructed from the first hour. Russian-installed governor Pasechnik, Children's Rights Commissioner Lvova-Belova, TASS, and Russian MFA statements all repeated the 14-to-18 framing within hours of the strike. It circulated globally before any casualty list appeared. However, there is a strong possibility Rubicon personnel were co-located with vocational students in the same complex. Some genuine students were likely among the wounded. The evidence instead points to a strike on a legitimate military target operating within a dual-use civilian complex. Moscow has a systematic pattern of militarizing civilian infrastructure across occupied territory. Placing military assets among civilians is a deliberate choice, not an accident. The timeline further exposes the pretext. Russia had already intensified strikes on Kyiv from 12-13 May, over 12 days before Starobilsk. The massive 23-24 May barrage of approximately 90 missiles and more than 600 drones just 24-48 hours after Starobilsk, one of the largest combined strike packages of the war, was also immediately branded retaliation. Institute for the Study of War (ISW) assessed that assembling a package of that scale requires weeks of preparation, not 24-48 hours. Russia used Starobilsk as a pretext to justify attacks it had already planned. Russia then called an emergency UN Security Council session to internationalize a narrative its own casualty list contradicts. The Rubicon Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies is a documented Russian Defense Ministry unit established in 2024 and involved in drone strikes on Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure. Ukraine struck a legitimate military target operating from a dual-use site Russia deliberately embedded within civilian infrastructure. Moscow then reframed the casualties as murdered children to manufacture justification for escalation already in motion. It is the same pattern Russia has repeatedly used to legitimize attacks on civilians after the fact. #OSINT #Ukraine

17,862 просмотров

Sochi, playground to Russia's rich and power elite, is choking on the smoke from the oil refinery fires in Tuapse, now in their second week. Good. Reap what you sow, I always say. Maybe one of them will remind Putin of what a master strategist he is. #OSINT

Sochi, playground to Russia's rich and power elite, is choking on the smoke from the oil refinery fires in Tuapse, now in their second week. Good. Reap what you sow, I always say. Maybe one of them will remind Putin of what a master strategist he is. #OSINT

20,211 просмотров

Videos

A Katsap BMP-2 with an assault group riding on it gets hit by an AFU FPV with an 80 mm mortar cumulative (shaped charge) warhead. #OSINT
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