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You can't make this stuff up

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Bill Cosby thought the interview was over when he asked an AP reporter to make sure his answer about the rape allegations never aired. His microphone was still on, and the AP released the tape. It was November 2014, and he was there to talk about his art collection. A few weeks earlier a comedian had called him a rapist on stage, the clip went viral, and accusations that had been around for years were news again. So the reporter asked. Cosby smiled and shook his head. "No, no, we don't answer that." His wife Camille sat next to him. Then the interview ended. Both of them were still wearing microphones, and the camera was still running. In the video below Cosby appeals to the reporter's "integrity" and says he would appreciate it if the footage was "scuttled." "I think if you want to consider yourself to be serious, that it will not appear anywhere." Two weeks later the tape was everywhere. More than 60 women came forward. In a 2005 deposition he had admitted getting Quaaludes to give to women he wanted to have sex with. He had paid one accuser about $3.4 million. In 2018 a jury convicted him of drugging and assaulting her. He got 3 to 10 years. In 2021 Pennsylvania's Supreme Court threw out the conviction, because a prosecutor had promised back in 2005 not to charge him. He walked out that day. He was never declared innocent. He just went home. Was the court right to free him over a promise made 16 years earlier?
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Matthew Perry made $1 million an episode on Friends and spent about $9 million trying to get sober. In his last month, a doctor charged him $57,000 for 20 vials of ketamine that sold for about $15 each. In the video below, a year before he died, he describes the night doctors gave him a 2% chance to live. "Five people had an ECMO machine that night, and the other four died, and I survived." On September 30, 2023, the doctor met Perry for the first time. That day he texted a colleague: "I wonder how much this moron will pay." Then: "Let's find out." Same day, he bought $795 worth of ketamine and supplies from another doctor. Perry's assistant paid him $4,500. Over the next 12 days: 20 vials, $57,000. One shot was given in the back seat of Perry's car in a parking lot. That's about $2,850 a vial. Roughly 190 times the going price. Then the assistant found a cheaper source. He was paid $150,000 a year to manage Perry's medical care. In 11 days he bought 51 vials from a dealer prosecutors called the "Ketamine Queen." On October 27, the doctor texted that he'd been "stocking up." The next day, the assistant gave Perry at least three shots. Perry was found dead. He was 54. Then came the sentences. The dealer: 15 years. The assistant: 41 months. The doctor who called him a moron: 30 months and a $5,600 fine. The doctor who supplied him: 8 months of home detention. Netflix releases a documentary about Perry's life on Tuesday. Wednesday marks three years since he died. The doctor made $57,000 and was fined $5,600. Was 30 months enough?

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1,009,394 views • 6 days ago

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Six days after JonBenet Ramsey was found dead in her own basement, her mother went on CNN and warned every parent in America to keep their babies close. The next day the mayor of Boulder went on camera and suggested the killer knew the house. On December 26, 1996, Patsy called 911 at 5:52 a.m. Her 6-year-old daughter was gone, and a ransom note was lying on the kitchen stairs. It asked for $118,000, almost exactly the bonus John had been paid the year before. It was written on a notepad from inside the house. Police waited all morning for a call that never came. At 1 p.m. a detective asked John to search the house. He found his daughter in the basement under a white blanket and carried her upstairs. Then, before they sat down for a formal police interview, they went on CNN. In the video below Patsy is crying so hard she can barely finish the sentence. The next day the mayor answers her: no sign of forced entry, and no crazed killer “wandering the streets of Boulder.” “If I were a resident of Boulder, I would tell my friends to keep your babies close to you.” The Ramseys didn’t give formal police interviews for four months. In 1999 a grand jury voted to indict both parents, and the DA refused to sign it. In 2008 DNA from an unknown man led a new DA to clear the family. Patsy died in 2006. John is 82 and still pushing for new DNA tests. Netflix’s series with Melissa McCarthy as Patsy comes out December 10. So which one was she: a mother warning America about a killer still out there, or a mother who knew there was nobody out there?

Verax

511,507 views • 4 days ago

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Michael Jackson’s will has one line for the mother of two of his children: “I have intentionally omitted to provide for my former wife, Deborah Jean Rowe Jackson.” Everything else went into a trust, run by two men he named. One of them, John Branca, was a lawyer Michael had fired more than once. In the video below, his daughter Paris talks about meeting her mother for the first time. She was 15. “I came in and I was just like, ‘Hey, Mom.’” When Michael died in 2009, he owed more than $500 million. His trust splits what’s left: 40% to his mother, 40% to his three children, 20% to charity. The estate says it has since earned billions for his kids. Paris says the two executors were paid $148 million from her father’s estate through 2021. In 2021 alone, more than double what any of his children received, her filing says. And $464 million of the estate is sitting in cash, earning less than 0.1%. In May a judge ordered $625,000 in bonuses, which the executors paid out to other law firms, returned to the estate. Her lawyers say Branca told the court he’d rather the family “just said ‘thank you’ and went on your way.” This year he helped produce the Michael biopic. Miles Teller plays him. Paris called the film “sugar-coated.” The executors’ answer: Paris herself has received about $65 million from the estate, money they say would never have existed without them. Did John Branca save Michael Jackson’s fortune, or is he getting rich off his children?

Verax

946,597 views • 15 days ago

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O.J. Simpson owed $33.5 million to the families. Ron Goldman's father offered to drop every dollar of it if O.J. would just sign a confession. O.J. said no. Nine years later he told the story on camera anyway. For a book deal. In the video below, he tells it. "I'm gonna tell you a story you've never heard before." He was acquitted of the murders in 1995. In 1997 a civil jury found him liable for the deaths of Nicole Brown Simpson and Ron Goldman and ordered him to pay $33.5 million. Days later, Fred Goldman made his offer: a signed confession, broadcast across the country, and the judgment disappears. O.J.'s answer through his lawyer: "I would never confess to a crime which I did not commit." In 2006 he sat down for a book called "If I Did It." He walked through the night, "hypothetically." The publisher paid $630,000, routed through a company in his children's names. Asked if it was blood money, he said: "Every book that was written about this case was blood money." A bankruptcy judge called the company a sham and handed the book to the Goldmans. They published it as "If I Did It: Confessions of the Killer." O.J. said he lived on his NFL pension, which the families couldn't touch. He played golf in Las Vegas almost every day. He died in 2024. His executor said: "It's my hope that the Goldmans get zero, nothing." With interest, the debt had grown to $117 million. His estate says it's worth $500,000 to $1 million. Less than a penny on the dollar. Should Fred Goldman have taken the confession, or was the money the only way to make him pay?

Verax

645,074 views • 16 days ago

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Ten years into a 30-year mortgage you have paid off about 15 percent of what you borrowed. Not a third. Fifteen percent. The schedule that does this was designed on purpose, by the US government, in 1933. And there's one line of arithmetic behind it that means no loan can ever surprise you again. Here it is. Interest each month is only ever your remaining balance times your annual rate divided by 12. That's the entire rule. Whatever is left of your payment goes to principal. Take a 300,000 dollar loan at 6.5 percent over 30 years. The payment is 1,896 dollars. In month one the balance is still the full 300,000, so the interest is 300,000 times 0.065 divided by 12. That's 1,625 dollars. Principal that month: 271 dollars. You aren't being robbed. You're paying rent on money you still owe, and at the start you still owe all of it. Run it forward and it gets heavy. After ten years you've paid about 182,000 dollars in interest and taken 45,672 off the balance. Half the balance isn't gone until month 257, more than twenty-one years in. Across the full term the interest comes to 382,633 dollars on a 300,000 dollar loan. The same rule hands you the lever. Interest is charged on the balance, so anything that cuts the balance early removes interest from every month after it. On that same loan, an extra 200 dollars a month against principal ends it in 23 years instead of 30 and takes 103,449 dollars of interest off the total. Do it on your own loan tonight. Balance times rate divided by 12 is this month's interest. What's left is what you actually bought. Now the part almost nobody knows. In 1932 this loan did not exist. You put down half the price in cash, you paid interest only for about five years, and then the whole principal came due in one payment. Loans got rolled over again and again, and when the rollovers stopped in the early thirties people lost the houses. What Washington built to replace that is the reason your first ten years look like this.

Verax

1,360,814 views • 2 months ago

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You have 100 dollars and you want 200. Betting red one dollar at a time, your chance is one in 33,171. Betting the whole 100 on a single spin, it is 47.4 percent. The careful version is fifteen thousand times worse. This is also the arithmetic of your trading account, and it means almost everything you have been taught about managing risk is, in the strict mathematical sense, a method for losing more reliably. An MIT professor works this out on a blackboard in a lecture on random walks. The result is called gambler's ruin. Two and a half points of disadvantage is nothing on one spin. But a dollar at a time you are not making one spin, you are making hundreds, and the edge gets a fresh attempt at you on every one of them. It was never the size of the disadvantage. It is the number of times you agree to face it. One hundred on red, once: 47.4 percent. Twenty dollar bets: 37.3 percent. Five dollar bets: 11.1 percent. One dollar bets: 0.003 percent. Mathematicians call the right answer bold play. It was proved optimal for unfavourable games in 1965. It is not a strategy for winning. It is the least ruinous way to play a game you should not be in. If your edge after spread and fees is negative, and for most active retail accounts it is, then your position sizing rule is not protecting you. Risking one percent per trade is the one dollar bet. It arrives at zero with near certainty, just politely, over a longer period, with a spreadsheet. Discipline does not beat a negative edge. It schedules it. All of this reverses if you have a real edge. Then small and frequent is correct and bold play is madness. So the only question that has ever mattered is whether you have one, and the number of people certain they do has never resembled the number who do. Your broker does not need you to be wrong. It needs you to be frequent.

Verax

85,472 views • 1 month ago

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