🚨 FLASHBACK: Al Jazeera accidentally captured TRIANGULAR CRAFT intercepting... Iran missiles over Israel?! 😱 TR-3B 🛸 Lets hope they deploy advanced tech to make this war swift with minimal casualtiesshow more

Israel’s Beersheba steel complex is on fire after the... latest Iranian missile arrivals Over a month into the war, Iran is still able to announce what it will be targeting, launch missiles, evade air defences, and strike targets in Israel. All the goals of the war have failed: IRGC command and control is still effective Iran’s missile capabilities have not been degraded, in fact, they have more than what the US and Israel estimated Iran’s government did not collapse under the pressure of this enormous US-Israeli bombing campaign Iran had better intelligence than either the US or Israel expected While the US and Israel suffer the consequences of their own arrogance, the Gulf States, which did not want this war, also suffer the consequences, as Iran exercises its own Samson Option of creating a regional war and economic chaos. What was meant to be a quick Venezuela-style regime change war has turned into a quagmire. If the US is foolish enough to escalate this with boots on the ground, it will end the same way as Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq did: Total failure, and American lives lost.show more

🚨🌏 The Ayatollah with top Iranian officials - Iran... have now formally announced that everyone in this clip is dead. Playing devils advocate….. If you were the most wanted man in the World (Iran Supreme Leader)…. You saw American military aircraft carriers heading towards Iran… Israel and its partners preparing for war…. President Trump making daily insightful threats America is going to attack… Would you really sit around in your main compound, in the capital city of Iran, in a room that could see you killed so easily by just a few missiles? You probably wouldn’t would you. It doesn’t make any sense.show more

Here's what you missed over the weekend in the... ongoing conflict in Iran. Get caught up below👇 🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: 3/27 - 3/30 *⃣ Israel sustained a wide strike campaign inside Tehran, targeting missile production, air defense systems, and core regime infrastructure in the capital. *⃣ The IAEA confirmed Iran’s Khondab heavy water facility at Arak is no longer operational after Israeli strikes, marking one of the clearest verified hits to nuclear-linked infrastructure. *⃣ Iran continued missile attacks into Israel, including impacts near the Neot Hovav industrial zone that caused fires and industrial disruption without mass casualties. *⃣ The Houthis in Yemen officially entered the war, launching ballistic missiles and drones toward Israel and signaling continued attacks. *⃣ The Gulf front intensified, with damage to infrastructure in Kuwait and sustained pressure tied to the Strait of Hormuz and regional energy systems. *⃣ The United States is now weighing escalation options tied to Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile while maintaining a public posture of diplomacy. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✈️ STRATEGIC AIR CAMPAIGN OVER IRAN Israel’s campaign seems to have shifted from targeting regime objectives and symbols, like Basij headquarters, to industrial and military complex infrastructure. This is likely due to a prioritization to degrade the long term capabilities of the regime should the conflict end before regime change objectives can be achieved. Sustained strikes across Tehran, combined with the confirmed disabling of the Arak heavy water facility, show a shift toward dismantling Iran’s military and nuclear backbone. This is now a campaign against production, command, and regeneration capacity. Power disruptions and secondary infrastructure damage across Tehran reinforce that this is expanding beyond military sites into the broader ecosystem that sustains the regime’s ability to fight. This is not a temporary degradation effort. It is structural. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 IRANIAN ATTACKS ON ISRAEL Iran is still firing. But the pattern has changed. Missile attacks continue across Israel, including impacts in the south and repeated alerts across multiple regions. The strike near Neot Hovav fits the current model: disruption, not mass casualties. Launch tempo is down significantly from earlier phases, but the capability remains intact. What matters now is not volume. It’s persistence. Iran can still impose pressure. It just can’t dominate the battlefield in any meaningful way. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟥 YEMEN FRONT: HOUTHIS ENTER THE WAR The Houthis officially joined the war on March 28, launching ballistic missiles toward Israel for the first time in this conflict and signaling continued operations going forward. Since then additional drone launches toward Israel have been reported and intercepted. The group has framed its attacks as part of a unified “resistance front” alongside Iran, Hezbollah, and Iraqi militias. This matters for three reasons: 1. Range and geography - Yemen is over 2,000 km away. These are long-range strikes that stretch Israel’s defensive envelope. 2. Multi-front pressure - Israel is now dealing with Iran (direct), Hezbollah (north), Houthis (south / long-range). That is a true multi-front war. 3. Escalation pathway - The Houthis are not limited to Israel. They sit on the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, one of the most critical shipping chokepoints in the world. If they escalate there, it links directly with Hormuz. This could even further choke critical shipping lanes in the global economy. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GULF / HORMUZ / ENERGY WAR Iran is now fully leaning into economic warfare. Confirmed damage to infrastructure in Kuwait, combined with continued disruption around Hormuz, shows a deliberate strategy: expand the cost of the war beyond Israel. This is not incidental escalation. It is strategic leverage. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇺🇸 POLITICAL / STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENTS The United States is now the pivot. The public posture is diplomacy and de-escalation messaging. The operational reality is that troop deployments are increasing, escalation planning is underway, and uranium-targeting scenarios are under consideration. At the same time, Iran is not signaling compromise. It is mobilizing, expanding proxy activity, and behaving like a regime preparing for a longer war and signaling it can outwait it's adversaries. That gap is now one of the most important dynamics in the conflict. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW ➡️ Israel is systematically dismantling Iran’s military and nuclear-supporting infrastructure, with Tehran now a primary focus. ➡️ Iran still has strike capability, but its attacks are increasingly intermittent but now beginning to be supplemented by proxy fronts in Lebanon and Yemen. ➡️ The Gulf and global energy system are a growing target for the IRGC's war trajectory. ➡️ The United States is positioned between diplomacy and escalation, with the ability to decisively shift the war if it acts. Bottom line, this is no longer just Israel vs Iran. It is now: Iran, Hezbollah, Houthis VS the US, Israel, Gulf States, and the global economy.show more

🇮🇱🇮🇷 IRAN WAR STRATEGY EXPLAINED! It is important to... understand that Iran is not fighting a symmetric war against the USA/Israel. They can’t and they don’t. 📋 Iran is doing two things at the same time: 1) WAR ON OIL AND GAS Iran is trying to choke off oil and gas trade from the Middle East through strikes on oil and gas platforms/refineries and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which handles about 25% of seaborne oil and gas trade. (Video 3) This hits US and Arab interests hard. The sheikhs are already calling Trump and urging quick action. They need peace to continue business. → This is achieved with minimal effort by Iran and is working. No ships pass the strait, oil/gas production is halted to some extent, prices skyrocket. This affects everyone worldwide. Trump is under heavy pressure as long as this continues. 2) MISSILE WAR The missile campaign is not aimed at quickly destroying USA or Israel. That’s pure internet hype. Iran fires enough drones and missiles to keep defenses busy and deplete interceptor stocks. They strike multiple locations simultaneously (Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, even Cyprus), forcing the US to spread air defenses thin. Concentrating heavy defenses in one place becomes impossible. As Rubio noted yesterday, only 6–7 interceptors are produced per month (Video 2), while Iran produces over 100 missiles per month. If Iran sustains the campaign, it will win the attrition war against air defenses. Time is on Iran’s side. The more air-defense missiles are expended per Iranian projectile, (just look how much they fire to intercept one missile - Video 4), the worse the situation becomes for the defenders—especially after Ukraine depleted much of the Western stockpile over the past four years. Key takeaway: As long as Iran maintains the missile campaign, time works in their favour. The longer the conflict lasts, the stronger Iran’s position becomes. If air defenses run out, Iran can strike freely anything and will win. 📋 Status quo: A) Iran fired fewer missiles on Monday, so they are losing? No! Analysis of the US CENTCOM video (Video 1): The US Air Force struck abandoned, already-used launchers and a broken-down truck. They clearly couldn’t locate active Iranian missile forces, so they hit whatever they found. The launchers were already expended; the crews had left after firing. When the US releases such footage, it suggests this is the best they have. They are not destroying Iran’s missile forces at a high rate. They destroy abandoned trucks. Iran doesn’t need to act quickly. Firing drones and missiles a few times a day is enough to keep oil/gas trade stopped and air defenses occupied. As long as they sustain this, time remains on their side. B) Is Iran winning? Also No. Iran struggles to keep its airspace clear. US surveillance drones continue to penetrate, preventing free movement of launchers. As long as those drones remain active, Iran cannot fire at will without risk. Failure to neutralise them would break their strategy. While American and Israeli drones fly in Irans sky, Irans missiles stay under ground and can’t surface, or they risk being struck quickly. Hence US/Israeli Surveillance drones, that direct strikes are the biggest problem Iran has now. They want to roll out missile infrastructure from below ground to the surface, and they can’t … at least not at scale. Watch this closely as a key indicator. How many drones are flying above Iran and how many are shot down. C) What is the US/Israeli strategy? They planned to remove Khamenei, trigger mass protests by Shah supporters, and install a new regime. This has clearly failed. Now they destroy military buildings (police headquarters, etc.), mostly for posture and intimidation. Essential personnel do not work in above-ground offices—doing so would be foolish. The remaining option is to make life unbearable and force surrender by bombing power plants and similar infrastructure. This will come soon at scale. More bombs!show more

For the Israelis and Zionists using the 5 Palestinian... martyrs for their sick propaganda. This video shows Israelis cheering the missile that landed on the Arab neighborhood in the city of Tamra, north of Haifa. They are singing “May your village burn”. Israelis are so racist that they are celebrating a missile from Iran just because the location hit was a Palestinian village. Also according to @sasa_ghada: “I just spoke with a 🇵🇸 elder about how 5 Palestinians were martyred today in "Israel" as a result of Iranian airstrikes & she asked me to keep 3 points in mind: 1. Israel deliberately does not provide equal protection to 🇵🇸 citizens, from bomb shelters to sirens to the Iron Dome. 2. Israel attempts to intercept missiles using methods that increase the likelihood that they fall on Palestinian-majority towns. 3. Israel is more likely to declare and spotlight the murder of Palestinians in its psychological war to turn Palestinians against Iran.” The names of the martyrs: Manar Al-Fakhri Khatib / Khatib Manar Al-Qassem Abu Al-Heija / Khatib Shatha Khatib Razan Khatib Hala Khatib They’re also muslims, unlike what some zionists progandista claim saying they’re christian.show more

Trump is initiating the ground offensive (boots on the... ground) and orders have been given to the 82nd Airborne for deployment in Iran, despite saying the “war is over, and won”. 🚨🚨🚨⚠️⚠️⚠️ It’s now OFFICIALLY another endless “boots on the ground” war just like Iraq and Afghanistan before it, which ultimately benefits Israel. Our soldiers are being sent over to Iran to be slaughtered in spectacular fashion by Iranian drones and missiles, which will be waiting for them. For those who say “it’s not long term” or “it’s only 3,000 troops” this is ALWAYS how it starts. Iran will take this incursion VERY seriously, and the opposition will be FIERCE. Boots on the ground TOTALLY changes the dynamic of this conflict, as has been warned about many times by multiple military strategists. Even Trump’s own generals have STRONGLY warned against doing this. Sending our troops into a mountainous and extremely challenging landscape is a suicide mission. Iran has been training and planning for this moment for over 20 years. They have even run war games simulating exactly this scenario, and studying how the U.S. fights. Make NO mistake, this will turn into exactly what they want it to be…A very long, very bloody war of attrition which is meant to be SUSTAINED until full “regime change” happens for Israel, and in which we are at a grave disadvantage. Similar to Vietnam, Iran will fight as long as it takes, and sustain as many casualties as they can because it’s seen as honorable “martyrdom”. Trump said multiple times he would NEVER do this, campaigned AGAINST IT and he BALD FACED LIED. He has even said multiple times that the “war is over, and we won”. This will cause the gas prices to go through the roof like we have never seen before, as it’s very likely that Iran will completely shut down the Strait of Hormuz. Get ready for $10/gal gas or even higher, as well as energy lockdowns. It’s NO WONDER why Trump’s latest approval is an ABYSMAL 36%. Netanyahu, Pete Hegseth, Rupert Murdoch, and Lindsey Graham must be happier than a pig in shit right now also John McCain is smiling from beyond the grave. Blame them all when you start seeing American flag draped coffins coming home by the dozen, just like we blamed George W. Bush, Dick Cheney, and Karl Rove. Welcome to Vietnam 2.0, courtesy of the BETRAYER IN CHIEF Donald J. Trump.show more

🚨12 HOUR NEWS RECAP 1.⁠ Trump has not yet... decided whether the U.S will participate in attacks on Iran's nuclear and military programs. The option was discussed during a national security team meeting, though he reportedly hopes the threat alone will force Iran to accept U.S demands in nuclear negotiations. 2.⁠ ⁠Iran’s Supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, is due to address the nation as it enters the 6th day of its war with Israel. His last public address was during Friday prayers last week shortly after Israel attacked. 3.⁠ The UN nuclear watchdog confirmed Israeli airstrikes hit 2 key sites: the Tehran Research Center and TESA Karaj workshop. One building producing advanced centrifuge rotors was hit in Tehran; 2 buildings making other components were destroyed in Karaj. 4.⁠ Iran launched multiple missile volleys overnight, targeting central and northern Israel. 94 people were treated for injuries, and fires broke out from impacts and interceptor debris, according to Israel’s Health Ministry. 5.⁠ The IDF confirmed that Iran downed one of their Hermes 900 drones. It marks the first time Iran has successfully downed one of the high-value drones - each worth up to $20 million. 6.⁠ Netanyahu’s office revealed that Iran has launched over 400 missiles and hundreds of drones since the war began last Friday. Around 40 impacts have hit across Israel, killing 24 people, wounding 800+, and forcing over 3,800 to evacuate. 7.⁠ Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said Tehran is confident Arab neighbors won’t allow U.S forces on their soil to strike Iran. 8.⁠ Israel’s supply of "Arrow" missile interceptors is reportedly dwindling. The advanced, high-altitude defense systems are critical to countering long-range ballistic missile threats, like those launched from Iran. 9.⁠ A key radar system in Hamedan province, in western Iran, near the borders with Iraq and Turkey, has been replaced after being taken out. The Soubashi radar provided vital air defense coverage for western, northwestern, and southwestern Iran. 10.⁠ El Al resumed operations into Israel with a flight from Larnaca, Cyprus, landing at Ben Gurion Airport for the first time since the war with Iran erupted last Friday. The mission is part of Operation Safe Return, launched by Israel’s Transport Ministry to bring back the estimated 100,000 citizens currently stranded overseas.show more

🚨🇮🇷 Iran just hit 9 countries in a single... night, including 7 of the wealthiest nations on earth This was Tehran's answer to Israel striking the South Pars gas field, the world's largest, earlier today. The most intense retaliatory barrage of the entire war, and Iran is now the only country on the planet simultaneously attacking seven of the richest nations by GDP per capita: 🇮🇱 Israel: Ballistic missiles and cluster munitions over central Israel. Two killed in Ramat Gan. Four Palestinian women killed in the West Bank by an Iranian missile. 🇶🇦 Qatar ($110K GDP per capita): 14 ballistic missiles fired. Ras Laffan LNG hub suffered "extensive damage" confirmed by QatarEnergy. 🇦🇪 UAE ($100K): 13 ballistic missiles and 27 attack drones intercepted. Iran threatening imminent strikes on energy facilities. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia ($35K): Evacuation orders issued for Samref Refinery and Jubail Petrochemical Complex. Waves of missiles intercepted over Riyadh. 🇰🇼 Kuwait ($75K): Ballistic missiles intercepted. U.S. facilities targeted again. 🇧🇭 Bahrain ($65K): U.S. 5th Fleet headquarters under continued assault throughout the war. 🇴🇲 Oman ($32K): Drone strikes on industrial zones. Workers killed. The last neutral Gulf state is now taking fire. 🇯🇴 Jordan: U.S. bases struck as part of the widening multi-front campaign. 🇮🇶 Iraq: U.S. Embassy in Baghdad under nightly drone siege. Combined GDP per capita of the Gulf states under attack: over $417,000. These are some of the most prosperous, developed nations on earth, and Iran is hitting all of them simultaneously while its own economy collapses. This is Operation Madman at full throttle: torch the region's wealth until the world demands the war stops. Source: 🇦🇪 Rami Al-Hashimi رامي الهاشمي / Reuters / World updatesshow more

So in 24 hours, Ansar Allah aka The Houthis... have seized 2 cities, an Island, killed or captured thousands of soldiers, taken possession of 1000’s of US tanks and weapons, freed all former Houthis prisoners, and were greeted as liberators. THANK YOU, MR TRUMP FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER. WITHOUT YOU STARTING THE IRAN WAR THIS WOULD NOT HAVE HAPPENED. Now, Iran and Yemeni Ansar Allah are the two most powerful countries in the region. Furthermore, Iran has become a global Superpower. Together they control the shipping lanes of 30% of Global Energy Supply, forever. Saudi can no longer export any oil unless they get permission from The Houthis. And if they don’t make a deal soon they won’t have the ability to produce any oil because the Houthis can destroy their pipelines, ports, tanker ships, oil wells, refineries, and oil stabilization facilities in only a couple of days. And nobody can stop them. Then we are talking about a global catastrophe with widespread famine, civil wars, and a global depression. This footage from Al Jazeera shows some of the equipment that was left behind for the Yemeni to capture in Mokha. If they wanted, they can use all this new equipment to invade Saudi Arabia. 🤯show more

Iran war, day 192 | Iran lit up Jordan’s... skies for the supreme leader’s 57th birthday | Were candles missing? The US targeted 5 Iranian oil tankers •confirmed by Copecom •this is bessent’s new approach to undermining Iran’s economy •devaluing the currency failed •sanctions failed •the trade embargo failed. •so they seek to destroy Iran’s tankers Iran responded disproportionately as promised! Per IRGC announcement No. 15: -2 American vessels, 8 oil tankers, and 10 trespassing ships intending to cross the prohibited and unsafe zone of the SOH were targeted. The IRGC Navy has released footage showing the launch of anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBMs) targeting the USS Delbert D. Black (DDG-119) and USS John Paul Jones (DDG-53) in the Arabian Sea. -Iran wiped multiple Jordanian bases -over 40 ballistic missiles were used -Jordan was forced to use over 100 pac-3,2 interceptors. $200m plus -Zelensky went from incessant tears to a late night of hookers & blow to cope! ;) -They’ll claim everything was intercepted -no injuries or dead to report. -of course zero evidence presented However, -Iran presented evidence of direct hits -Iran hit Al-Azraq airbase in Jordan •also know as Salti Muwaffaq air base -Al-Mafraq base also hit -other military infrastructure destroyed -Iranian missile included Kheibar Shekan missiles Emad and Qadr missiles (with cluster warheads). There’s no AD for those -these were solid, liquid fueled missiles -there were in fact numerous casualties -the maintenance hangers for the F-35, F-16, F-15 jets were all destroyed. -yet $200 million worth of interceptors went up in smoke. Is there evidence of casualties? -A Jordanian source told NYT that a large number of American soldiers were transferred to the military base in Ramstein, Germany, and that some of them are in very critical condition. -This transfer took place following the targeting of the Al-Azraq and Al-Mafraq bases with Iranian missiles. There’s videos of Israeli soldiers making fun of its ally jordan after getting wiped. -he’s doing push ups and laughing -they’ll be dancing later -6 ships carrying goods did transit SOH More humiliation for Trump! Iran announced it monitored, ambushed, and captured the most advanced and classified American Unmanned Underwater Vessel in the Strait of Hormuz It has been captured in a complete state, and was showcased on state TV -US media said it malfunction. Sure Jan! More lies exposed: Per CNN report published, the CIA headquarters in Riyadh, Saudi, was severely damaged and virtually destroyed during the Iranian attacks in March. -Several other US military bases are also said to have sustained extensive damage; so much so that US Central Command has even considered the possibility of completely abandoning some of these bases and relocating US forces from the region. -Senior US Navy officials have also stated that US forces are unlikely to return to Bahrain "anytime soon." Not to be outshined on the Supreme leader’s birthday, Ansar’Allah launched dozens of hypersonic missiles towards Saudi -the brave warriors of God Ansar Allah are now 18km from al-Mukha they seek to liberate from Sunni supremacist terrorists -still waiting on this mysterious Mecca pact! -Pakistan’s DM made some threats against Yemen. Very scary. -more than what he’s ever said to Israel anyway Brent crude oil was just hit the century mark as markets closed! Trump did that! While Trump loses to Iran, has no solution for the Ukraine conflict, and continues to destroy the American economy, he doubled down on stupid! Idiot Trump declared war on Canada seeking to ban the import of certain cars, dairy products, and alcohol. If you can’t get along with Canada, your biggest trading partner, you’re not fit to serve.show more

Iran just fired missiles at five countries simultaneously. Here... is what actually happened to each of them. Bahrain. Confirmed hit on the US Navy Fifth Fleet headquarters. Bahrain’s own state news agency reported the strike. No casualty figures released yet. This is the command center for every American naval operation in the Persian Gulf. It was struck. UAE. Multiple missiles intercepted by Emirati air defenses. One civilian killed in Abu Dhabi from falling debris. The UAE defense ministry confirmed the intercepts. The Emirates just absorbed an act of war on its sovereign territory from a country it shares a maritime border with. Qatar. Missile intercepted. Zero damage. The Qatari Interior Ministry confirmed. The same country Iran just attacked is the country that hosted Al Udeid for twenty years as a gesture of regional balance. That balance ended this morning. Kuwait. KUNA state news agency confirmed missiles were “dealt with” in Kuwaiti airspace. No reported damage. Kuwait, which stayed neutral through every Gulf crisis since 1991, just had Iranian ballistic missiles flying over its cities. Jordan. Two Iranian ballistic missiles shot down by Jordanian military. Confirmed by the Jordanian armed forces directly. Jordan intercepted Iranian missiles in June 2025 as well. That was in defense of Israel. This time Iran targeted Jordan itself. Saudi Arabia. Fars News claims strikes. No confirmation from any Saudi source. No Tier 1 or Tier 2 verification. Either it did not happen or Riyadh is not yet ready to say it did. Both possibilities carry enormous implications. Now understand what Iran just accomplished strategically. In attempting to retaliate against Israel and America, the IRGC fired missiles at six sovereign nations in a single morning. Not one of those nations attacked Iran. Bahrain did not bomb Tehran. The UAE did not launch strikes on Isfahan. Qatar hosted diplomatic back channels. Kuwait maintained neutrality for three decades. Jordan was mediating. Iran just converted every neutral and semi-neutral state in the Gulf into a potential co-belligerent. Every nation whose airspace was violated, whose civilians were killed, whose sovereignty was breached now has legal and political justification to join whatever coalition forms next. And the damage tells the real story. One civilian dead from debris. Intercepts across four countries. No confirmed destruction of any US military asset. No reported American casualties among 40,000 troops in theater. Iran fired at the entire Gulf and the Gulf caught almost everything. Compare this to what Israel did to Tehran this morning. Precision strikes on the IRGC Intelligence Directorate. Explosions near the Supreme Leader’s office. Three detonations in central Tehran confirmed by Iranian state media itself. One side hit what it aimed at. The other side hit one civilian with debris. This is the asymmetry that will define the next 72 hours. Iran demonstrated intent to strike everywhere and capability to hit almost nothing. The Gulf states demonstrated they can defend themselves. And now those states must decide whether the country that just fired ballistic missiles across their borders gets to do it again. They will not let it happen again. Watch for the joint statement. Watch for airspace coordination between Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Manama, and Kuwait City. Watch for the coalition that Iran just built against itself with a single salvo. Iran did not retaliate against Israel this morning. Iran gave every country in the Middle East a reason to retaliate against Iran.show more

Day 2: Israel decimales Iranian Installations - Iran Retaliates... Unprecedentedly Overnight Israel and the US have been relentlessly bombing Iranian territory on the second day of the war, launching strikes primarily from Iraqi and Saudi airspace. Approximately 1,000 targets have been hit in Iran, including air bases and bunkers. The Iranian navy was also targeted, with 3 to 4 warships sunk. However, it's worth noting that only one of these vessels was modern; the others date back to the 1960s. The hunt for Iranian missile launchers continues, with Israel striking several mobile launchers and anti-aircraft units daily. This is an extremely arduous task, as estimates from The Military Balance suggest Iran may possess up to 500 mobile launchers and hundreds of SHORAD systems. On this second day, Iran decided to strike five bases/airports being used by US-Israel forces all at once. The Saudi Prince Sultan Air Base was hit by multiple ballistic missiles, with several reports of smoke rising. Similarly, Iraq's Ain Al-Asad base was targeted. But nothing compared to the intensity of the attacks on Erbil Air Base in northern Iraq and Ben Gurion Airport, which came under several ballistic missiles overnight. And do you know what the biggest problem is? Iranian missiles are slipping through Israeli and American air defenses like a hot knife through butter. Yesterday and today, I've shown videos where launchers fire up to 9 (or more) interceptors in attempts to down a single Iranian missile, often with little success. Iran's retaliation against US bases in Qatar, Bahrain, and the UAE continued on the second day, mainly using drones. As I mentioned yesterday, Iran has proven that the war is only just beginning. It targeted Israeli cities with modern missiles that disperse submunitions during reentry, significantly expanding the affected areas. These missiles had never been used before in combat, showing that Iran is now deploying its most advanced systems, which are also far more resilient to interceptors. At the current rate, interceptors will run out soon, and panic will grip both Israeli and American leadership. Both sides are failing in their primary objective: significantly reducing Iran's launch capacity, which remains high, with roughly 450 missiles and 850 drones ready in just two days. If this pace holds, defensive munitions won't last more than 4-5 days. Based on what we've observed, Iran launches 200-220 missiles per day, while the coalition expends no fewer than 700-1,000 interceptors (or even more), with very limited success. In the best-case scenario, this gives about 5 days of defensive ammo left; in the realistic (worst-case) scenario I've estimated from the interceptions I've seen, it's only 4 days. This puts enormous pressure on the leaders of both countries to seek a ceasefire. I believe that if Iran refuses a ceasefire, both Israel and the US will push for Gulf countries to enter the war, aiming to bolster defenses and deter further Iranian actions. The entry of these countries would be paramount for the US and Israel due to their air support and, especially, their naval power. These Gulf nations possess approximately 400 vessels, including frigates, corvettes, and patrol boats. But until that happens, the war boils down to the same question: What runs out first, Iran's missile launch capability or the coalition's interceptors?show more

The Israeli Air Force has dropped over 12,000 bombs... in Iran since the start of the war, in over 8,500 separate strikes on Iranian regime targets, the military says. A senior IAF official says that "in 18 days, we flew as much as we would in a year." Of the 12,000 munitions, 3,600 alone were used in strikes in Tehran, according to the IDF. IAF fighter jets have carried out 5,700 separate sorties, including over 540 to central and western Iran and 50 deeper east in the country. Military officials say that the IAF is carrying out constant air operations over Iran to thwart ballistic missile fire on Israel, using new techniques that allow for longer operations without the need for refueling. In this formation, dubbed "metro sorties" by the IAF, drones and fighter jets loiter before carrying out strikes on ballistic missile launchers, Iranian soldiers, and other targets, based on "real-time information." When a new target is identified, IAF aircraft can be quickly dispatched to strike it. This was the case for the killing of Iran's intelligence minister, Esmaeil Khatib, in Tehran yesterday, according to the IDF. Officials say this effort relies on maintaining air superiority over Iran. The military assesses that its strikes have destroyed around 85% of Iran's air defense and detection systems. More than 300 targets relating to Iran's air defenses, including missile launchers and radars, have been struck, the IDF says. In terms of Iran's advanced air defense systems, the IAF assesses that it has destroyed 92% of them, with only a handful of such systems remaining, including some that are hidden and not in use. The IDF says it has destroyed around 80% of Iran's older air defense systems, along with 80% of its radars. Iran also has what the military describes as "decentralized" air defense systems, where missile launchers are connected to various optical systems, such as rudimentary cameras with artificial intelligence tracking software, to target Israeli aircraft. Some 75% of these systems have been destroyed, and military officials acknowledge they are much harder to locate than the advanced systems. Additionally, the IDF says it has destroyed or disabled around 60% of Iran's estimated 470 ballistic missile launchers. Some previous military estimates put this number at 70%. Around 200 of the launchers were destroyed in strikes, while another 80 are not considered to be operational after the IAF struck tunnel entrances to subterranean facilities where they are stored, according to the military. The IAF says it continues to hunt down the remaining roughly 200 launchers to reduce the missile fire on Israel. The military also assesses that Iran still has hundreds of ballistic missiles that can reach Israel. It has so far launched over 350 at Israel, with the rate of fire slowing to 10-20 missiles a day in the past week, with just one or two missiles at a time.show more

The situation in northern Israel is getting surprisingly little... attention in the West. Here’s some background and an explanation of just how dire it is. World War Three gets closer by the day, and I’m not exaggerating. UNSC resolution 1701 (2006) is that Hezbollah agree to stay north of the river Litani in Lebanon. This puts Israeli settlements out of anti-tank rocket range. However, Hezbollah have broken this and since 7th October have fired thousands of rockets into Israel, displacing some 60,000 Israelis from their homes. To be clear, Hezbollah is a direct Iranian proxy, who live like a virus inside the almost-dead body of the Lebanese state. Their fighters are far superior to Hamas, having gained serious experience in the Syrian civil war. They have no real ground manoeuvre or air power, but their tunnels in the chalk rock of southern Lebanon are better than Hamas’ and they have an estimated 150,000 rockets. There are UN Peacekeepers in Lebanon, but (shockingly for the UN, I know) they’re as much use as a bacon sandwich at a Bar Mitzvah. One very senior Israeli source described them to me as “an umbrella that folds when it rains”. So Israel has a real, very serious problem. They do not have the manpower to assault into Lebanon for any kind of sustained campaign, especially whilst Gaza is ongoing. So, in polite terms, they are kicking the shit out of it from the air (over which they have total superiority) and relying on missile defences. Thousands of targets have been struck in the last 9 months but Hezbollah retain very significant missile capability. This is why Israel are beholden to the USA to offer obscenely generous ceasefire terms to Hamas (that Hamas appear to be declining). They cannot afford to lose American military aid with this threat on their northern border. In the videos below, in the first vid you see the war zone northern Israel has become. The second one is the settlement of Katzrin in the Golan Heights. Surrounded on all sides by fires. In a statement to Qatari-funded Muslim Brotherhood mouthpiece Al Jazeera, yesterday Hezbollah said, “We simultaneously attacked 15 bases in the Golan and the Galilee using 150 rockets and 30 drones. This is the most extensive attack carried out by the organization since October 8, this attack came in response to the assassination in Joya and in order to deter Israel from carrying out further assassinations of this type.” On top of that, Iranian proxies in Iraq took responsibility last night for the joint operation they carried out together with the Houthis (Iranian proxies in Yemen), which launched these ballistic missiles and UAVs towards the Israeli cities of Ashdod and Haifa (third video). Iran is besieging Israel on all sides, and Israel is bending, not breaking. This situation is genuinely dire. It explains why Hamas will not sign a ceasefire deal, and why other non-Iran aligned Gulf states are meeting with IDF commanders. The entire region is teetering on the edge of a much more widespread conflict with Iran, and Israel is taking the brunt of it. If this situation deteriorates, our allies in the Gulf may call for aid. As a second front in the war against the Iran-Russia-China-Qatar axis of malign global actors, this could not be more serious or worrying. And all the while we see subversive Iranian proxy organisations organising protests about Gaza on Western streets. Hopefully the West is not defeated domestically before the war even starts in earnest.show more

🇮🇷🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russia's knockoff of Iran's own drone is apparently... so good that Tehran came shopping. The Geran started as a copy of Iran's Shahed, and Western security officials say Tehran asked Moscow this year for the advanced versions to use in its war with Israel and the U.S. Ukraine is finding out why the hard way. Kyiv is intercepting only about 60% of the new jet-powered Geran-4 and Geran-5, compared with the 90 to 95% it routinely manages against older models. The Geran-5 flies at up to 600 km/h with a 90 kg warhead and a 1,000 km range, which puts it closer to a cruise missile than a drone. Newer versions also carry thermal cameras and AI-powered targeting. Russia mass-produces them and fixes problems on the fly instead of going through years of testing, and they still cost a fraction of the cruise missiles Moscow used to rely on. Zelensky says 67 Ukrainian companies are working on ways to shoot them down. For most of this war, Ukraine was the one setting the pace on drones, and now it's the one playing catch-up. Source: FT / Writer: Julieshow more

Arms sales: China Needs More Responsibility Instead of Glorifying... the Market It's been a while since Beijing stopped picking sides in wars, they just want to win at all costs. They sell weapons, components, or drones to both contenders, rake in huge profits, and still claim to be "neutral and peaceful." Pragmatism without hypocrisy, and it's nothing new. In Ukraine, at the start of the war, components and drones served both sides. Later, they cut off direct supplies to both, but everyone kept buying through third parties, and the Chinese obviously know about it. Profit guaranteed. In the recent Thailand-Cambodia war, they sold VT-4 tanks and S26T submarines to Thailand, and guided missiles - to destroy the tanks sold to Thailand?-, rockets, and artillery to Cambodia. Chinese weapons exchanging fire from both sides, but the Chinese say it's just "normal defense cooperation." Israel and Iran is another perfect example: a Chinese state-owned company has been operating the port of Haifa in Israel since 2021 and is now involved in rebuilding the destruction caused by Iranian missiles, while selling ballistic missile components to Iran to repeat the feat and financing Iran's reconstruction until Israel repeats it too. In Africa, the effect is the same: in Sudan, they sold to the government, and weapons ended up with the RSF paramilitaries because they were also bought by the Emirates and passed on to Sudanese rebels; in the DRC, they sell to the government, but Chinese weapons also end up with militias like M23 through resale by Uganda and Rwanda; in Libya, they sold to Gaddafi, but right after his fall, they kept doing business with both main factions, and still do today. None of this started now. A classic from the 80s: in the Iran-Iraq war, China was the biggest supplier to BOTH sides at the same time, billions in tanks, missiles, and artillery for each. Obviously, this kind of policy was done by the West a long time ago, but it always faced criticism from the media. Anyone in the arms market knows that the Chinese maintain strict control over their sales. Even simple price quotes are centralized and selective. There's no way the government doesn't know exactly where the weapons are going. They're making the same mistakes the West made in the past.show more

🚨🇮🇱 🇮🇷 ISRAEL TIMED THE STRIKE ON KHAMENEI FOR... THE ONE MOMENT HE WAS VULNERABLE The Wall Street Journal reconstructed Operation Genesis. For over 20 years, Unit 8200 tracked Khamenei's daily routine, hacked Tehran traffic cameras, and used AI to sift intercepted calls. They knew he went underground at night when he expected attacks. So they struck at 9:40 a.m. on a Saturday morning while he was above ground with his family. Blue Sparrow missiles launched from F-15s exited the atmosphere before crashing down, bypassing air defenses entirely. Khamenei and six top officials were dead before Iran even knew the war had started. By nightfall, thousands of Iranians were celebrating in the streets of Isfahan. Source: WSJshow more