🚨 MONSOON MAY ROAR BACK BEFORE WITHDRAWAL A fresh... Low Pressure Area is likely to form over the Northwest Bay of Bengal around Sept 10. Models indicate it could move inland by Sept 12 and remain active for ~5 days, tracking across eastern & central India. 🌧️ Core focus: Madhya Pradesh Rain may spread into: MP • Maharashtra • Telangana • East Rajasthan • Gujarat • Delhi • UP This could be a crucial final monsoon system before withdrawal begins from western Rajasthan. ⚠️ For Kharif crops, September rainfall is now CRITICAL. If the system tracks as expected, parts of central India could get one more significant spell. But if it shifts or weakens, the rainfall distribution could change sharply. The next 5–7 days may decide how September finishes. 🌧️🌾show more

🌧️ ⛈️ Heavy rainfall will affect South, Southeast and... parts of East Asia in the coming days The rainfall will be associated mainly with the southwest monsoon, several low-pressure systems, and, in part, with the tropical system Saudel, which could intensify into a typhoon. Intense downpours may cause dangerous flooding and landslides. Significant rainfall totals may occur in the coming days, particularly in the following areas: • India – central, northern and northeastern parts of the country and the Himalayan foothills, especially Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Bihar and Assam • Nepal • Bangladesh – especially the north and northeast • Myanmar – especially the Bay of Bengal coast and mountainous areas in the north • Thailand – especially mountainous areas in the north, west and northeast • Cambodia – especially the Gulf of Thailand coast and the northeast • Laos • Vietnam – especially the north • China – the South China Sea coast • Taiwan • Philippines – especially the northwest ⚠️ Please follow local weather forecasts and official warnings.show more

🌧️ India is on the verge of a major... monsoon turnaround. The latest GFS-based SCORPION MJO analysis shows the strong #MonsoonBreak phase is rapidly fading, while conditions are aligning for the start of an Active Monsoon phase across large parts of the country. What's happening? 🔹 The atmosphere is finally breaking free from the lingering impacts of MJO activity that dominated February–May. 🔹 Monsoon circulation is reorganizing and strengthening. 🔹 Rainfall activity is expected to become more widespread as tropical convection shifts back into favorable zones. After weeks of stalled progress and suppressed rainfall, the Indian monsoon may be entering a much more productive phase heading into late June and early July. The atmosphere is waking up. 🌧️🇮🇳 #Monsoon2026 #IndiaWeather #MJO #WeatherUpdate #Rainfall #Climateshow more

☀️12th April 2026: India Under the Dome: 6-Day Intense... Dry Spell to Grip Subcontinent. The loan oasis, Northeast India Defies National Trend with Rain and Thunderstorms until 15th April. ​Mercury Surge: Central and South India Brace for 40°C+ as High Pressure Caps the Skies ​ Detailed Forecast & Analysis ​1. The Dominant "Heat Dome" Effect ​The orange and red anomalies in the loop represent positive geopotential height anomalies. This indicates a high-pressure system (anticyclone) at the 500mb level (approx. 5.5 km altitude). ​The Cause: This system acts like a "lid" or dome, trapping sinking air which warms up as it is compressed. This suppresses cloud formation and prevents moisture from the oceans from penetrating inland. ​Impact: Expect a rapid rise in maximum temperatures by 3–6°C across Northwest, Central, and East India. Example, cities like Delhi, Nagpur, and Ahmedabad are likely to approach or exceed the 40°C mark by April 15. ​2. Regional Breakdown Region Weather Outlook (Next 6 Days): Primary Driver Northwest & Central Severe dry heat; clear skies; rising heatwave risks. Strong anticyclonic subsidence. South Peninsular Hot and humid; minimal rainfall. High-pressure stability. East India Significant temperature spike (3–5°C rise). Expansion of the heat ridge eastward. Northeast India Scattered thunderstorms & light-to-moderate rain. Persistent 3. The Northeast Exception until 15th April. ​The red arrow in the loop image points to a specific area (Northeast India/Bangladesh border) where the high-pressure dome is weaker or interrupted. ​The Cause: A "trough" (an elongated area of low pressure) is expected to persist over this region. This allows moisture from the Bay of Bengal to interact with the hilly terrain, triggering Orographically induced thunderstorms. ​Expected Conditions: While the rest of India stays dry, states like Assam, Meghalaya, and Arunachal Pradesh will likely see fairly widespread rainfall and gusty winds 30–40 kmph through April 16. ​Preparation Advice ​Agriculture: Farmers in Central and West India should ensure adequate irrigation for summer crops as soil moisture will deplete rapidly. ​Health: High UV indices 9–10 are expected; avoid outdoor activity between 11 AM and 4 PM in heat-affected zones. ​Northeast Residents: Prepare for sudden squalls and lightning; ensure drainage systems are clear for localized heavy spells.show more

As anticipated, a mesoscale #vortex developed along the East–West... monsoon #ShearZone near the #Palghar–#Manor region, significantly enhancing the local monsoon dynamics. 🌧️ The strengthening of this vortex resulted in a sharp pressure fall over the #Mumbai region, with mean sea-level pressure dropping to around 997 hPa. Simultaneously, strong convective winds accompanied the system, with wind gusts of up to 80 km/h reported at #CSMIA, according to #METAR observations around **10:30 AM. From a #rainfall perspective, precipitation associated with such vortices is always challenging to forecast because the heaviest rainfall often becomes highly localized and depends on the exact position and movement of the circulation. Nevertheless, as indicated in the earlier outlook, there was potential for 300 mm-plus rainfall where the vortex became anchored, and that scenario has now materialized. The most intense rainfall overnight was concentrated over the southern quadrant of Mumbai, parts of North #Raigad district, particularly #Panvel, #Khalapur, #Matheran, #Karjat, and the adjoining #Sahyadri Ghat sections, including #Khandala to #Tamhini, where extremely heavy rainfall was recorded. Following the passage of the most intense phase, rainfall has reduced to intermittent drizzle across many areas, accompanied by breezy conditions as the vortex gradually weakens. Looking ahead, #atmospheric conditions remain favourable for heavy rainfall until 7 July, with Raigad district and Mumbai currently appearing best placed for further significant rainfall. Thereafter, rainfall prospects over #Thane and Palghar districts will depend largely on the future movement and positioning of the monsoon shear zone. If the primary vortex-induced event has already peaked, these regions are likely to continue receiving generally heavy rainfall upto 250 mm may be if any, although the probability of another widespread 300 mm-plus event may reduce unless a fresh mesoscale circulation develops. #WeatherAnalysis #WeatherUpdate #KonkanWeather #Maharashtra #July #SWM2026 #Monsoon2026 #MumbaiRainsshow more

🚨A relentless TRAIN OF STORMS is lining up for... the Pacific Northwest, with another Atmospheric River expected to slam the region. 🌧️Up to 20 inches or more of rain could fall, with the hardest hit areas once again east of Seattle, including Whatcom, Skagit, Snohomish, and Lewis Counties. ⚠️ If you live in flood prone areas, start preparing now. If evacuation orders are issued, take them seriously and leave immediately. Waiting can be deadly. To put this into perspective, storm chasers are already heading into the region to document what could unfold. Soils are already saturated, and if rainfall totals even come close to what models suggest, significant flooding is likely. 🙏 Praying for the people of Washington and Oregon.show more

☀️🌡️ Another heatwave is expected in Europe. Temperatures may... exceed 40 °C as the summer solstice approaches Across many parts of western, southwestern, central, and northern Europe, temperatures are expected to rise well above the long-term average in the coming days. Unusually warm weather is already affecting the southwest of the continent. In Galicia, Spain, the Coruña Airport weather station recorded a high of 37.7 °C over the weekend, marking the station's highest temperature ever. In the second half of the week, exceptional heat will spread across much of Europe, as very warm air from the south gradually moves farther north along the western side of a high-pressure system. The heatwave is likely to be most pronounced in Spain and France, where temperatures could climb above 40 °C over the weekend, with local anomalies exceeding the long-term average by up to 15 °C. It is still unclear how long the hot weather will last, but some models suggest it could continue into next week. The upcoming heatwave could bring higher peak temperatures than the late-May event, partly because it comes around the summer solstice, when days are longest. ⚠️ Keep an eye on the latest forecasts and official warnings.show more

🚨 California is about to get PUMMELED by Flooding... Rain as a powerful Atmospheric River targets the state. ⚠️The highest rainfall totals will be in Southern California, where the National Weather Services has issued a RARE HIGH RISK of flooding for Los Angeles and surrounding areas. 🌧️Rain Totals could reach 10 inches or more, which would normally be beneficial, but falling in such a short time could lead to dangerous and potentially catastrophic flooding. Our California brethren, especially across Southern California, should begin preparing now for days of flooding rain. Pay close attention to local weather warnings, and if evacuation orders are issued, do not wait. The West Coast is once again bracing for another major storm. 🌧️❄️show more

GROK 4.7 COULD BE FOUR DAYS AWAY, AND THIS... ONE SOUNDS LIKE A MONSTER. LFG! Elon Musk says the next Grok is coming in roughly 10 days from his Sept. 2 announcement, putting the target around Sept. 12. The rumored specs are wild: 2.1 TRILLION parameters, roughly 40% larger than Grok 4.6, with better token efficiency and additional training using massive amounts of SpaceX engineering data. Musk has even predicted it will “exceed all current models.” If Grok 4.7 delivers anywhere close to the hype, the AI leaderboard may be about to get flipped upside down. Saturday could be a very big day.show more

UPDATE: A LOT of tropical moisture on the way... across Florida the next 5-10 days. For example, those moisture levels will be 50%-75% above average, which will aid in developing numerous rounds of storms across the state. Values shown are PWATS or precipitable water levels. Around 1.6" is typical this time of the year for Florida, which you'll notice we'll be above the next 7-10 days. Some online chatter about tropical development. Not impossible, but current odds are low. Physics-based models show the potential, AI models largely don't. Rainmaker regardless if it tries to form into a weak tropical/subtropical system or not. We need the rain!show more

⚠️ A string of wildfires began earlier this afternoon,... stretching from the Minnesota border up to the north of Lake Nipigon in Ontario, Canada. This sudden area of wildfires may result in hazier and smokier skies over the next 3-5 days as the high pressure system spins clockwise off to our southwest, allowing for continuous flow to bring smoke southward into Michigan. This is brand new development, and we continue to monitor potential impacts around the region. This could make going outside over the next several days extremely hazardous due to the combination of poor air quality, and excessive heat with temperatures around 100°F. Upper Peninsula and Isle Royale residents will be the most at-risk. Post as of 8:20 pm EDT 7/13/26.show more

A senior friend of mine has this passion of... sharing a blog with many of us each year, especially tracking the monsoon in the coastal regions of Karnataka. This year, the below was his post. It was heartbreaking 💔💔💔 "Hello my friend: Just back from the coast. I have never experienced such a bleak monsoon. We have not even received a fifth of the rainfall expected during the first 40-day monsoon period. The El Nino effect is triggering extreme weather events worldwide. We have had 50km winds for many days(bringing down trees of all shapes and sizes), but the rainfall is severely suppressed. Very choppy ocean. A huge Jamun tree fell onto our home clipping the rear roof. Luckily a coconut tree standing tall broke the fall and averted a major disaster. We hardly see the sun during this part of the monsoon but every single day in July, we had sunshine 🌞 followed gloomy skies. At the same, it is paradoxical that Mumbai is getting hammered by record breaking rainfall and flooding. Scientists say moisture laden winds from the Arabian see is converging with the low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal. City's coastal geography forces weather systems to hit the Western Ghats and dump huge amounts rain in concertrated bursts. This phenomenon that defies El Nino is perplexing. This will adversely affect agriculture and crop productivity in coastal Karnataka. We will face drought conditions well before the summer sets in. I can already imagine we are going to have some really challenging times." Karnataka has been massively affected by the bad monsoon.show more

The upcoming storm system is eerily reminiscent of March... of 1995. A snow-moving occluded front strengthened by a 130-knot plus westerly jet stream flowing across the Pacific will be centered over the Central Coast tonight into Friday. This condition will create an Atmospheric River (AR) that will produce moderate gale-force to fresh gale-force (32 to 46 mph with gusts to 55 mph) southerly winds and continuous moderate to heavy rain over a 24-hour period. NOAA’s HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh) model indicates between 3 and 5 inches of rain for most of the coastal and inland valleys; however, orographic enhancement due to the southerly gales will produce between 5 and 10 increase of rain along many of the southerly facing slopes, such as portions of the Cuesta Grade. The Santa Lucia Mountains above Morro Bay, Cayucas, Cambria, San Simeon, and Big Sur could see over 15 inches of rainfall. Scattered rain showers will develop on Saturday, ending on Sunday into Monday. Another storm system is forecast to produce additional rain on Tuesday into Wednesday. At this time, between 2 and 4 inches.show more

🚨 DON'T BUY $BTC RIGHT NOW First, $BTC will... fill the $70K FVG Then it'll create a massive Bull Trap and convince everyone uptrend is back Only after that will the final flush begin Here's my plan: 1. Local correction into $64K area (DONE) ✅ 2. Then a rally to $70K 3. 10-14 days of distribution 4. Then a breakdown below $58K 5. Flush to $48K 6. Final bottom test in $39K-$45K zone As $BTC pushes higher, high-cap alts could rally another 10-30% That's exactly when you don't want to fall into trap... I believe final phase of Bear Market hasn't started yet The biggest sell-off is likely over next 30-90 days IMPORTANT: I was one of first to call $BTC drop from $83K My next call could be the biggest one in months TURN NOTIFICATIONS ON BEFORE IT'S TOO LATE...show more

🔴INDIA WTC RACE IS GETTING SERIOUSLY TOUGH 🤯 -... India get 12 crucial points from this win. - A 2-0 series win vs Sri Lanka would take India to 57.58% PCT. - If Australia beat Bangladesh, Bangladesh could drop to 55.56% PCT. - India would then move to 4th, with Bangladesh falling to 5th. - Next challenge: 2 Tests vs New Zealand. - Then comes a massive 5-Test series vs Australia at home. - India have only 9 Tests left in this WTC cycle. - They likely need 7+ wins to remain seriously in the top-two race. - 7 wins + 2 losses = 62.96% PCT. - 8 wins + 1 loss = 68.52% PCT. - Last cycle’s finalists finished on 69.44% and 67.54%. - Realistically, India may need 8 wins from their final 9 Tests. In short: India have almost zero room for error. One bad series could seriously hurt their WTC qualification hopes. 🇮🇳show more

🚨 An absolutely LUDICROUS amount of Snow is about... to fall out West as a TRAIN of Storms pushes onshore. ❌This comes as our West Coast brotheren have been dealing with RECORD low Snowpack, with many ski resorts forced to close parts of their mountains due to a lack of Snow. That is ALL about to change next week as an Atmospheric River delivers a near constant FEED of moisture into the West. ❄️ The heaviest Snow remains on track to fall in the Sierra Nevada, where 4 to 8 FEET or more could pile up early this week. 🏔️ Heavy Snow will also dump into the Rockies, including Colorado and Utah. Here, 1 Foot or more could fall over several days. 🌲 The Cascades will see PLENTY of Snow as well, with 1 to 2 FEET likely in the higher elevations. 🌧️ Lower elevations along the West Coast, including Seattle, could see a few Snow Flakes mix in, but little to no accumulation is expected. ✅This is FANTASTIC news for our mountain loving brotheren out West who have been DYING for Snow. It will also do wonders for the California and Rocky Mountain Snowpack, which desperately needs the boost. 👊 Enjoy the Snow, my mountain loving brotheren.show more

🚨 SOMETHING MUCH BIGGER MAY BE BUILDING BEHIND THE... SCENES. Warnings about food, energy, debt, AI, and financial instability are suddenly coming from some of the most powerful people in global finance. JPMorgan research has warned that the next major global food crisis may not be short-lived and could emerge as soon as next year. Bill Gates has also been warning about hunger, malnutrition, and child mortality moving in the wrong direction after decades of progress. At the same time, Jamie Dimon says the risks are "bigger than other people think" and continues warning about serious stress building in bond markets. Ray Dalio, central bankers, and energy executives keep circling around the same risks: Food. Energy. War. Debt. AI disruption. WHEN THIS MANY PEOPLE ARE WARNING ABOUT THE SAME THINGS AT THE SAME TIME, IT'S WORTH PAYING ATTENTION. Now comments attributed to Bank of Japan voice Yuto 🇯🇵 are adding another layer to the story: the idea that policymakers could eventually point to an outside crisis as the explanation for economic pain already building underneath the system. We've seen a version of this sequence before. In 2019, the repo market suddenly seized up. Liquidity disappeared, overnight funding rates exploded into double digits, and the Fed was forced to inject cash into the system. Then COVID arrived. What followed was one of the largest monetary responses in modern history, with trillions of dollars created to keep the financial system functioning. THE FINANCIAL STRESS STARTED BEFORE THE CRISIS DID. And today, the underlying problems are arguably even larger. Global debt keeps climbing. Government deficits have become structural. Bond yields remain difficult to contain. Foreign demand for Treasuries is under pressure in key markets. Meanwhile, central banks have been accumulating gold at an extraordinary pace. THE WORLD'S MONETARY AUTHORITIES ARE CLEARLY PREPARING FOR A DIFFERENT KIND OF SYSTEM. That doesn't prove anyone is engineering the next crisis. But if another major shock hits food, energy, AI, or global trade while the financial system is already under pressure, governments and central banks could once again have the justification for extraordinary monetary intervention. THE REAL QUESTION ISN'T WHETHER THE NEXT SHOCK COMES? IT'S WHAT THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM WILL LOOK LIKE AFTER IT DOES!👀show more