Statcast gave Leody Taveras a 60% catch probability on... this two-out double from Jesús Sánchez. Taveras' jump was negative 9.6 feet, per Statcast. This double drove in one run and the Blue Jays scored another later in the inning.show more

Per Statcast, a 90% catch probability here for #Orioles... right fielder Heston Kjerstad on this leadoff double by Mariners' J.P. Crawford in the bottom of the 5th inning:show more

A clutch catch from Colton Cowser in center field... to potentially save this game. Here are the Statcast metrics on this one: 45% catch probability +4-foot jump 86 feet traveled 29 ft/sec top speedshow more

Another day, another 5-star catch for Pete Crow-Armstrong. This... one Wednesday night. His 9th on the season in 13 opportunities. 25% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. The magic happens before the camera is on him. Pete is #1 in average outfield jump by a good amount.show more

Routine catch here by Cody Bellinger, the best defensive... LF in baseball. The out probability on this play from Statcast is just 45%, but his outstanding read and jump make everything we see look simple:show more

Absurd catch yesterday by Jacob Young of the Nationals.... Just 2% catch probability on this one from Statcast (rounds up to 5%). Why doesn't it look that hard for Young? His jump was one of the best of the year, over 12 feet above average.show more

Colton Cowser does it again — and he earns... loud moos from Orioles fans at Camden Yards. Baltimore's center fielder robs a two-run homer to keep the Orioles in this game. Statcast gave this ball a 65% catch probability. That metric does not include factors such as the CF wall.show more

At 404 feet, that was the second longest batted... ball distance leading to a double play in the Statcast era, trailing only this 410 foot flyout by Yandy Díaz from 2019.show more

This just allows me to bring up that time... that Statcast gave this batted ball a 95% catch probability, and therefore gave Yoshida -0.95 OAA on a play that is quite literally impossible And if you're wondering, yes I did run the numbers manually to figure this outshow more

Victor Robles was a sneaky key piece in today's... game -- with two diving catches that Dan Wilson said were the types that "breaks the back of the other team." Per Statcast, the first had a catch probability of 10% and the second was 20%.show more

Andy Pages made the first 5-star catch of the... season last night, just a 5% catch probability on this one according to Statcast! Pages covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds with the sliding grab. Add a big homer to his +1.2 OAA and Pages is off to a great start!show more

Randy Arozarena lost a projected 28 feet of distance... on this flyball to straightaway center, per Statcast, compared to calm-day conditions. Essentially, robbed of a two-run homer by the wind.show more

I just noticed that Andy Pages has a new... "best catch of the year" according to catch probability, and it's a great example of how watching the advanced stats can tell you things you won't get from watching on TV. This was the last play of the game last Wednesday. Bogaerts hit the ball 102.3 MPH at a 15° launch angle, and Pages covered 45 feet in 2.9 seconds and did it so efficiently he didn't even have to leave his feet. Statcast has it at just a 5% catch probability.show more

Now that it's the next day, we have some... Statcast data on this... Catch Probability: 99% Opportunity Time: 5.4 seconds Distance Needed: 85 ft Not great. Outfield defense needs to lock in a bit.show more

"Pete Crow-Armstrong, who gets the best jumps of just... about anybody in the world". Statcast agrees, with PCA averaging 5.1 feet above average on his jumps (#1 by a good amount, almost all of that before the camera is on him). Makes the "catch" look quite easy because it is. 35% out probability on this ball:show more

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great... example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:show more

Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays!... 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!show more

Yesterday's best outfield catch! Just a 45% catch probability.... Looks like a routine play, no? Why is it so special? Because of what happens before the camera is on PCA. This is why the eye test is poor for fielding. A +10.7 feet jump, just remarkable, allows him to cruise to the ball, covering 77 feet in 4.2 seconds. Jump is player movement in the first three seconds from pitch release. Most MLB outfielders don't catch this one, and many who do are diving...show more

You didn't notice this play, did you? Not a... single request. Makes sense, he didn't even need to dive. 35% catch probability. Isaac Collins is #1 in the league in jumps, leading PCA and Rafaela by nearly two feet. His jump on this ball was +11.7 feet above average, just astounding. Collins had to cover 115 feet. He makes it look incredibly easy, all due to that jump.show more

Coby Mayo's 7th-inning single had an exit velocity of... 116.5 mph, per Statcast. It's the highest exit velo on a batted ball by the 24-year-old in his 140-game MLB career. (Orioles couldn't capitalize as they left runners on 2nd and 3rd when Gunnar Henderson struck out.)show more