This ball had a 90% catch probability. Friedl had... to slide for it, which allowed the runner to tag up. I am a bit worried about his defense. It hasn't gotten better after he struggled in CF last season.show more

This was obscured by other storylines last night, but... is an obviously limited Trent Grisham going to be in CF again today? This ball had a 60% catch probability (that's for all OF, not just CF), and he had no ability to get close to it.show more

Andrew Vaughn came around to score the go-ahead run... after Grisham misplayed this ball which had 90% catch probabilityshow more

This ball that Wilyer Abreu dropped last night had... a 20% catch probability. The vast majority of MLB outfielders don't get to it to have a chance to drop it, it quite regularly just falls for a hit.show more

That was over this play LMFAOOO It had a... 90% catch probability btw per, The WARmongershow more

Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays!... 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!show more

I really want Noelvi Marte to be good in... CF, but this was pretty rough. Took a step in. Then kind of never sprinted. His average sprint speed is 29 feet/per second. On this play, it was just 26.8. MLB had it as an 80% catch probability for him.show more

I had a great vantage point of this play... yesterday. If Friedl can’t make that play, he doesn’t belong in CF anymore tbh. It looked like he was running in mud. #Redsshow more

Runner attempting steal of 2b..fly ball to CF ⁦Julio... Rodriguez🇩🇴🦁⁩-SS ⁦jp crawford⁩ knows where the ball is but never looks to CF, instead he bluffs DP Pivot getting the runner to slide-resulting in a DP “Little Things” that do not show up in a box score,but helps win gamesshow more

When I asked Vinnie Pasquantino about his catch tonight,... he brought me all the way back to 2023 -- a similar play on a ball Javier Baez popped up, which Pasquantino couldn't get to. Redemption tonight. "I've been thinking about it ever since. Here I am. Double play."show more

Fernando Tatis Jr. had a nearly perfect catch in... Yankee Stadium, and he executed it so well that it hasn't gotten much acclaim! Just 15% initial catch probability, what makes this catch so special happens before the camera is on him. +6.9 feet of jump above average, and back toward the wall. The route efficiency was elite, 97.9%. Not only are very few outfielders getting to this, most who do have to make it look spectacular.show more

Not to be a hater right now but this... play had an 85% catch probability. Freeman has picked it up with the bat and its great to see but I do not think he is a centerfielder at all.show more

Tim Anderson hasn't pulled a flyball in his last... 352 regular season plate appearances. And the last time he did it, it looked like this...show more

Ceedee flashing his hands last second to catch this... ball is absurd🤯 Bland had no idea when it was coming.show more

if i had a dollar for every time mike... was loading up to throw the ball and he had to pull it down because of pressure i'd be a rich manshow more

Michael Harris II with the diving grab this evening... in Atlanta: 80% catch probability. Why did it look so tough? -5.3 feet below average on the jump, and that's against all OF, not just CF. Tough sun for sure. The broadcast with an excellent theory, they cut to Andruw Jones with "he's probably saying he catches this standing up"! Still a fun catch and exciting finish. Please don't think you're not allowed to love a catch because of what the metrics are. Harris II always tends to catch the ball, the most important thing!show more

Lots of requests for the late night/early morning walk-off... play in Los Angeles. This ball had a 95% catch probability. 0% catch actuality. Nice route, Magellan.show more

Sorry I hadn’t been on or posting Tucker for... the last few days. This is him this morning feeling good but he was horribly sick with lymes disease and couldn’t even stand up for a couple days. Sorry for not telling about it but I couldn’t stand to even talk about it. Just had to get him better.show more

I just noticed that Andy Pages has a new... "best catch of the year" according to catch probability, and it's a great example of how watching the advanced stats can tell you things you won't get from watching on TV. This was the last play of the game last Wednesday. Bogaerts hit the ball 102.3 MPH at a 15° launch angle, and Pages covered 45 feet in 2.9 seconds and did it so efficiently he didn't even have to leave his feet. Statcast has it at just a 5% catch probability.show more

DeAndre Hopkins was going to catch this ball even... if he had to chase it out of bounds. The fans loved it. #RavensFlockshow more