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20 free Tembo runs/day sounds tiny until you actually do the math The stack: Opus 4.7, GPT 5.5, GLM 5.1. That means the "free tier" is not toy-model autocomplete It is frontier coding models doing real work 1 Bugfix - 1-3 runs 1 Refactor - 3-5 runs 1 PR...

14,193 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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A 67-year-old grandfather in Vermont built a trading bot during retirement - it earned him $290,000 in a single year without losing a single trade. 168 trades. 100% win rate. Zero drawdown across 365 days. The strategy is so safe it's basically a bond ladder - but with AI doing the probability math instead of credit Here's how it actually works: He only takes bets the model is >85% sure of. Everything else? Killed. 188 events scanned per day. ~12 pass the filter. ~1 actually deploy. AI algo waits. Most days he doesn't trade at all. The probability model is stolen from weather forecasting: 31 models vote on every outcome. 28 out of 31 saying "yes" = 90% conviction. Below 26 = automatic reject. That's the entire edge. Polymarket is full of 87-92¢ markets that almost always settle at $1. Most traders ignore them - upside per dollar looks tiny. The math: edge = model_p − market_p kelly = edge / (1 − token_price) size = bankroll x kelly x 0.15 The stack runs free: Polymarket Gamma API for discovery, ClickHouse + Redpanda for the pipeline, paper mode validation before live capital. Brier score 0.041 across all 168 predictions. Anything under 0.10 is institutional-grade. He's printing the academic numbers. Most boring account on Polymarket. Also the most profitable - so save this post. And if you’ve been looking for the most safest strategy to copy - you’ve definitely found it. You only need Claude + laptop + 1 hour/day. Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment Your thoughts . 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan

Marry Evan

16,352 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Alibaba just released a coding model that hits 82 percent on SWE-Bench Verified. That is the highest score ever published for an open-source model. The weights are free. The license is Apache 2.0. You can run it today. The model is Qwen 4 Coder 32B. Here is what 82 percent on SWE-Bench Verified actually means. SWE-Bench Verified tests whether an AI can autonomously resolve real bugs pulled from real production GitHub repositories. Not synthetic exercises. Real open-source projects that real teams depend on. A model gets a bug report, reads the code, writes a fix, and either passes the test suite or it does not. At 82 percent, Qwen 4 Coder 32B resolves 82 out of every 100 real production bugs it is given. Without a human guiding it. On code it has never seen before. For comparison: Qwen 4 Coder 32B: 82 percent SWE-Bench Verified. Open source. Apache 2.0. Claude Fable 5: 80.3 percent SWE-Bench Pro. $10 input / $50 output per million tokens. Currently suspended. GPT-5.6 Sol: Competitive on Terminal-Bench. $5 input / $30 output per million tokens. An open-weight model that you can download and run for free just beat both of them on the benchmark designed to measure real software engineering capability. Here is the architecture. Qwen 4 Coder 32B is a 32 billion parameter dense model. Not a Mixture-of-Experts. Every parameter is active on every request. This matters for inference: a dense 32B model runs on 22 gigabytes of VRAM, which fits on a single high-end consumer GPU or a MacBook Pro with 64GB of unified memory. The smaller variant, Qwen 4 Coder 4B, runs at approximately 135 tokens per second on an M5 Max and fits inside 8 gigabytes of RAM. For a model with usable coding capability, that is a new bar for what fits in a single laptop. The training methodology continued Alibaba's approach of reinforcement learning on verifiable coding tasks. The model gets rewarded when its code passes tests. It gets penalized when it fails. Over millions of training steps, the model learns to write code that actually runs rather than code that looks plausible. License: Apache 2.0. Full commercial use. No attribution requirement. No revenue threshold. No monthly active user ceiling. Weights: Hugging Face, available today. Runs on: vLLM, Ollama, SGLang, and any standard GGUF-compatible inference engine. Qwen 4 32B also runs at approximately 135 tokens per second on an M5 Max chip, setting a new bar for what a sub-8GB model can do on Apple Silicon. The open-source coding model just beat the best closed-source model in the world on the benchmark designed to test whether AI can actually do software engineering. The weights are free. The subscription is optional. Source: Autom8Labs AI Insight July 2026, State of Open Source LLMs June 2026, Kunal Ganglani blog June 2026.

Harman

41,278 просмотров • 26 дней назад

A 67-year-old grandfather in Vermont built a trading bot during retirement - it earned him $290,000 in a single year without losing a single trade. 168 trades. 100% win rate. Zero drawdown across 365 days. The strategy is so safe it’s basically a bond ladder - but with AI doing the probability math instead of credit ratings. Here’s how it actually works: He only takes bets the model is >85% sure of. Everything else? Killed. 188 events scanned per day. ~12 pass the filter. ~1 actually deploy. AI algo waits. Most days he doesn’t trade at all. The probability model is stolen from weather forecasting: 31 models vote on every outcome. 28 out of 31 saying “yes” = 90% conviction. Below 26 = automatic reject. That’s the entire edge. Polymarket is full of 87-92¢ markets that almost always settle at $1. Most traders ignore them - upside per dollar looks tiny. The math: edge = model_p − market_p kelly = edge / (1 − token_price) size = bankroll × kelly × 0.15 The stack runs free: Polymarket Gamma API for discovery, ClickHouse + Redpanda for the pipeline, paper mode validation before live capital. Brier score 0.041 across all 168 predictions. Anything under 0.10 is institutional-grade. He’s printing the academic numbers. Most boring account on Polymarket. Also the most profitable - so save this post. And if you’ve been looking for the safest strategy to copy - you’ve definitely found it. You only need Claude + Device + 1 hour/day. Giving This Free Dm for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment What Ever you think about it. ( Mandatory ) 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan

Marry Evan

12,315 просмотров • 1 месяц назад