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2025 tested investors like never before, sharp volatility, global uncertainty, tariff tensions, and relentless FII outflows. So what should investors really expect from 2026? In this in-depth conversation, Ashish Nanda, Chief Digital Business Officer at Kotak Securities, sits down with Sunil Singhania, Founder of Abakkus Asset Manager Private Limited...

20,641 次观看 • 7 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Something big just happened at BlackRock, and it’s a warning shot to everyone invested in private credit. The world’s largest asset manager just told clients: No, you can’t withdraw all the money you asked for. And for some, it was: no, you can’t withdraw your money at all. Not because the fund collapsed, but because too many investors wanted out at once. BlackRock’s $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund was hit with $1.2 billion in redemption requests this quarter. That’s about 9.3% of the entire fund. But the structure only allows 5% to leave at once. So BlackRock paid out $620 million… and pushed the rest to future quarters. For the first time since the fund launched, the redemption gate was triggered, meaning nearly half the investors who asked for their money back couldn’t get it right away. And it’s not just BlackRock. Blackstone just saw a surge of withdrawals in its $82 billion private credit fund. Requests were so high the firm had to lift its usual redemption cap to 7% and inject $400 million of its own money just to meet demand. These funds lend money to companies through private loans, loans that don’t trade on exchanges and can’t be sold quickly when markets get volatile. So when investors rush to withdraw at the same time, the cash simply isn’t there. That means if you’re invested in private credit and everyone heads for the exits, the money you were counting on in your time of need might suddenly be locked up. Morningstar analyst Greggory Warren warned it should serve as “a warning sign for the industry and the rulemakers about the downside of illiquid funds for retail investors.” But here’s the good news: you’re an informed reader and you can plan ahead while everyone sleepwalks until the liquidity crisis affects them directly. That means there is still time to prepare and make moves accordingly so that you always have access to capital. And one of the most liquid and reliable assets in any crisis is physical gold and silver. Bill Armour from joins us to discuss how our readers can prepare before the next liquidity crisis locks investors out of their own money. 🧵

The Vigilant Fox 🦊

125,874 次观看 • 4 个月前

Michael Seibel on how to create a great startup pitch Former Y Combinator CEO Michael Seibel breaks down the two types of pitches every startup founder needs: a 30-second elevator pitch and a two-minute pitch for investors. “A lot of people practice 10-minute, 30-minute, hour-long, pitches. I think that’s all garbage. I think you can get all of your points across in two minutes. And one thing I like to tell founders is that the more you talk, the more you have an opportunity to say something that people don’t like.” 30-Second Elevator Pitch: You should be able to explain to anyone you come across what your company does in 30 seconds. This should be three sentences: • What does your company do? Assume the person you’re talking to knows nothing. This should be a 1-sentence explanation that your mom or dad can understand (e.g. “We’re Airbnb and we allow you to rent out the extra room in your house” NOT “We’re Airbnb and we’re a marketplace for space”). • How big is the market? Do a couple hours of research so that you can give investors a rough approximation of the size of the market you’re in (e.g. Airbnb might give the size of online hotel booking market) • How much traction do you have? Ideally you can say something like: “We launched in January and we’re growing 30% month over month. We have SX sales and Y users.” If you’re pre-launch, you need to convince investors that you’re moving quickly (e.g. “the team came together in January. By March we launched our beta. By April we launched our product.”). Two-Minute Pitch: This pitch is for people you’re actually trying to convince of something (e.g. investors, potential employees, etc.). You basically want to simply explain what you do and then ask for money. There are 5 key components: • Clear 30 second pitch (everything mentioned above) • Unique insight—what do the biggest players in your market not understand? This should be 2 sentences. • How do you make money? • Team. If your team has done something that has made investors money, you should mention that (e.g. “we’re the founders of PayPal”). If you haven’t, don’t go on about the awards you’ve won or PhDs you hold. What investors want to hear is: how many founders? (hopefully 2-4) how many of the founders are technical? (hopefully 50% or more engineers) How long have you known each other? (ideally you’ve known each other either personally or professionally for at least 6 months) Are you all full-time? • The Big Ask ($$$). You have to know what you’re talking about when you ask for money. Are you raising on a convertible note or a SAFE? What’s the cap of the SAFE? How much money are you raising? What’s the minimum check size? If you don’t know these things, investors won’t think you’re serious or that you haven’t done your homework.

Startup Archive

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A clip from Li Lu's greatest-ever public speech. The Columbia Lecture for Bruce Greenwald's 2006 Columbia Class. Here are 9 Learnings from Li Lu's Investment Strategy: 1. Why Value Investing Works The market isn’t built for value investors. It is built in a way that increases the urge to speculate. That’s why businesses are so often misprized in the short term. Value investors can benefit from this circumstance. 2. Understand Who You Are You’ll be more interested in some industries/topics than in others. And in investing, you can choose in what industries you’ll look for opportunities. Investors should use this advantage and be sure about their circle of competence. 3. Be a Journalist Being an investor is a lot like being a research journalist. You have to dig into the company on a level that journalists do when they research their stories. You also need to clearly articulate your thesis and research and bring it to paper. 4. Find the Truth A journalist also has to find the truth before he publishes a story. Same goes for an investor. It could be fatal if he makes a decision before he knows “the truth” about a company. Thus, he has to avoid all sorts of biases and misleading influences. 5. Commitment Bias One of these biases is the commitment bias. To avoid this one, Li Lu rarely agrees to public appearances. The more you talk about investments, the more you talk yourself into them. The perceived knowledge about a company increases for no reason. 6. ROIC Just like Charlie Munger, Li Lu emphasizes the importance of ROIC as a metric for superior performance and competitive advantages. The longer your holding period, the more your return will equal the ROIC of the underlying company. 7. Volatility As explained before, stock prices are a lot more volatile than the business behind that stock. Investors, therefore, should pay attention to slow, long-term changes in the business instead of stock prices. 8. Self Defense To Li Lu, the Margin of Safety is a concept of self-defense. Even if the company is more valuable than the market gives it credit for, the management could destroy this advantage. This possibility is something investors have to look out for. 9. Uninvestable Some industries are impossible to value. Li Lu gives the example of restaurants. Even if the business is great, there are little to no durable advantages. Investors shouldn’t try the impossible and just focus on what can be valued. You can find the whole Lecture on YouTube. I highly recommend watching it!

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244,913 次观看 • 2 年前