Loading video...

Video Failed to Load

Go Home

❄️ 2ND CALL SNOW MAP UPDATE ❄️ A few key corrections south to account for slightly higher QPF in some model trends... I’ve made some adjustments to the snowfall map, shifting totals a bit farther south to better account for areas where the front end snowfall Sunday morning/afternoon will...

172,358 views • 7 months ago •via X (Twitter)

0 Comments

No comments available

Comments from the original post will appear here

Related Videos

SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POTENTIAL FRIDAY NIGHT ******1ST CALL MAP****** 🎄 Merry Christmas to YOU!!! A pretty sizable snowstorm is expected across the region Friday night, with snow developing as early as Friday evening. I am very confident in a widespread 6–10" snowfall for a large portion of the Tri-State area, with lower confidence closer to NYC, Long Island, and the Jersey Shore where mixing remains a concern. At this time, I am keeping some mixing in play in central NJ/Long Island, but I’m not totally sold on how aggressive it becomes. While 4–6" looks like a very solid floor, several areas could easily boom to 6"+ if colder air locks in faster and holds longer than currently modeled. ZONE 1 – 6–10" OF SNOW This is the zone where cold air damming will be most prevalent, allowing snow to remain all snow for the duration of the event. Expect higher snow ratios, which could allow many areas to push toward double-digit totals, especially under any persistent banding. I could easily pull this zone into NYC and Nassau County as we see more model data. ZONE 2 – 4–6" OF SNOW This zone will likely start with heavy, wet snow, before transitioning to a lighter, fluffier snowfall as colder air works in. Some compaction is expected with lower snow ratios, but additional snow and mesoscale banding could still drive totals toward or above 6" in spots. ZONE 3 – 2–4" WITH MIXING This zone remains VERY uncertain. I could make a strong argument that cold air advection dominates, keeping this mostly snow and allowing totals to reach 4–6". However, low-level warm air transport on an easterly wind may introduce sleet, especially along the Jersey Shore (east of GSP) and into Suffolk County, which would eat into accumulations. I’ll be watching trends closely as this is shaping up to be a sharp cutoff storm where small shifts could have big impacts. 📺 On TV now with the latest on PIX11 News

Mike Masco

242,183 views • 8 months ago

SUNDAY SNOWFALL — 2ND CALL ❄️ This setup shares similarities with today’s event, where lift and timing matter more than storm track of the coastal. While the primary coastal low stays offshore, a secondary zone of strong dynamics along the leading edge of arctic air will be the driver for snowfall Sunday. That zone favors Long Island and central NJ Sunday afternoon into the evening, supporting a widespread 2–4” snowfall. The BOOM potential remains over LI if the trough axis can swing from neutral toward slightly negative tilt — a signal consistently shown by the AI guidance, which has been notably steady with this idea. In this scenario your moisture transport off the Atlantic Ocean can be enhanced causing more surprises. I am being cautious on that. ❄️ZONE 1 | NW NJ / Hudson Valley Snow arrives earlier here with colder air already in place. Snow ratios will be higher, allowing coating–2” in most spots. With the front nearby at onset, isolated 3” totals can’t be ruled out, especially near I-87 and areas just east. ❄️ZONE 2 | Interior NJ, NYC, SE NY, CT (away from the immediate coast) This is the core 2–4” zone. While that sounds modest, this is a dynamic-driven snow, meaning totals could fluctuate sharply over short distances. I believe most of NE NJ, NYC, SE NY, and much of CT reach at least 2”, with localized overachievers possible. ❄️ZONE 3 | Coastal NJ & Southern Long Island Mixing remains the wildcard here. Small temperature and wind shifts will have an outsized impact, making this zone highly volatile and lower confidence overall. ⚠️ BOOM POTENTIAL: ALL OF LONG ISLAND & SE CT If snow banding locks in Sunday evening, this area could see an extended period of steady snow. In a perfect scenario, 4–6” is achievable, but confidence in that outcome is still low. More on the PIX11 News at 10pm

Mike Masco

20,050 views • 7 months ago

**WINTER STORM WATCH** TUESDAY'S SNOWFALL FORECAST FOR THE 1ST WINTER STORM OF THE YEAR WHAT TO EXPECT (BY ZONE) 🟢ZONE 1 – Heavy Rain (Central NJ, NYC, Long Island) This region remains solidly in the warm sector, meaning no meaningful snow accumulation. 🔴ZONE 2 – Mix of Snow, Sleet & Rain (Interior NJ, Southern Westchester, Southern CT, Lower Hudson Valley) This transitional zone holds onto snow the longest before eventually flipping to sleet and rain. These areas will likely see: A slushy early accumulation of 1–3 inches of wet snow Highest totals in elevated terrain north of I-95 and north of the Tappan Zee Bridge ❄️ZONE 3 – Heavy Wet Snow (Northwest NJ, Lower Hudson Valley North of I-84, Central CT) This is where the heaviest and most persistent snow occurs. A strong band of lift will develop Tuesday morning into early afternoon, creating snowfall rates capable of outpacing marginal surface temperatures. Expected totals: 3–6 inches of heavy, wet snow Isolated pockets of 6” possible above 600 feet 🌨️ZONE 4 – Jackpot Zone: Highest Elevations North of I-84. This zone includes the highest terrain of the Catskills and interior Connecticut/New York. These areas sit firmly in the cold sector for most of the event, allowing for the most efficient accumulation. Key locations: Monticello Poughkeepsie Walden Redding, CT Northern and high-elevation CT communities Snow totals: 6 inches+ possible FULL BREAKDOWN: ***MORE ON PIX11 News AT 10PM***

Mike Masco

289,369 views • 8 months ago

❄️ SNOWFALL REPORT: Week of 1/18 – 1/25 ❄️ This is a another BIG one. A HIGH IMPACT Winter Storm could develop late this upcoming week, with the potential to bring Heavy Snow and Ice to parts of the country. 🌨️ The heaviest Snow will likely fall on the north side of this storm Friday - Sunday, wherever it ultimately tracks. As we move through the week, I would not be surprised to see Winter Storm Watches and Warnings issued as it becomes more clear where this storm will setup. ❄️When it comes to exact locations and Snow totals, we are still WAY too far out to pin that down. That said, the most likely SNOW ZONE appears to be somewhere within the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, though this will almost certainly shift as we get closer. ❄️Elsewhere, the Midwest will see a few rounds of light to moderate Snow Monday through Wednesday as a series of Alberta Clippers pass through. These should be minor systems, generally producing a few inches. ❄️ Boston, NYC, and parts of the Northeast will start the week with a healthy dose of Snow, with 4-5 inches possible by Monday morning. 🏔️ Out West, the Rocky Mountains from Colorado through Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho should pick up significant Mountain Snow, with over a foot possible in higher elevations. 🏔️The Cascades in Washington and Oregon will also see Snowfall, with a few feet possible in favored areas. ❄️The MAIN THING to remember this week: whoever gets hit by the late week Winter Storm could get A LOT of Snow, but there will also be plenty of busts nearby. That’s the nature of these storms. 👀 I’ll be watching this late week storm LIKE A HAWK 🦅and will post updated maps as details become clearer. ❄️ Get ready, my brotheren. This is shaping up to be an exciting week of weather tracking. May the odds of Snow be ever in your favor

Brady Harris

642,270 views • 7 months ago

Winter Weather Advisory ⚠️ for Lake Cook Dupage and Will counties and south from there from 6PM Saturday to 6PM Sunday If it was just system #snow giving us a glancing blow from the expansive southern storm dumping every type of weather from #Chicago to the gulf coast, an easy forecast of 1”-4” north to south would be on the table But dance with the devil we must as Lake Michigan sits poised to be either a reluctant dance partner or the lead tango dancer in the snow show Forecasts range from 2”-9” in the city. 2” means no lake impact, 9” means we get a long duration lake feed I’m leaning toward the latter, as entrenched cold air, mid and low level wind convergence over the lake, a lengthy North-Northeast wind fetch and still open mid lake surface water should be enough to loft even a little moisture 2-3 miles upward to feast on an excellent snowflake growth zone that will feed into the immediate Chicago shore areas and add another 3”-5” to the system snow. Another tricky point is the ratio of liquid to snowfall. Usually we see a 10 to 1 mix. 0.1” liquid=1” snow. This cold air here will double that to 20 to 1 so even an extra 1/4 inch of liquid would be 5” of snow (0.25x20=5.0) to add in And by immediate shore areas I could see Midway getting double what O’Hare gets. Like Cicero Ave and east being a cutoff Here’s the model variance. Snow would start to trickle in about sunset Saturday and just hang out thru much of Sunday into the afternoon.

WindyCity Weather and News

55,195 views • 7 months ago