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🤖 30+ Tesla Robotaxis staged at Houston home base before a single unsupervised fare runs. • Austin launched with 13 active units on day 1 • Houston base shows 30+ pre-positioned - more than 2x Austin's opening fleet size • Dallas + Houston both opened unsupervised from day 1,...

41,988 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Biggest warning I’ll give Tesla shorts right now. This time, you’re probably not going to get fucked by some classic short squeeze. You’re going to get fucked by being wrong about what Tesla becomes next. Look at the latest short-interest tape. As of the Aug 14 settlement: • 69,196,896 $TSLA shares short • ~2.2% of the float • 2.15 days to cover • ~$23.7 BILLION worth of stock short And the important part is that… Short interest peaked at 79.1M shares on June 30. So roughly 12.5% of those shorts had already been covered by August 14. So no… I’m NOT sitting here telling you that shorts are trapped. That’s not my thesis. My thesis is actually much more dangerous for a long-term Tesla short. What if they’re simply wrong? Wrong about autonomy. Wrong about Robotaxi. Wrong about Cybercab. And ultimately wrong about what Tesla’s earnings power could look like if this scales. Bc I’ve now watched this story go from something people laughed at… to something I personally rode in. My first Tesla Robotaxi ride in Austin was on launch day, June 22, 2025. Then I came back for the Cybercab launch on September 3, 2026. And it changed the way I look at Tesla. Cybercab isn’t something with Elon standing on a stage telling you what might happen five years from now. You can literally hail one. Pay for a ride. Get inside. There’s no steering wheel. No accelerator. No brake pedal. And it takes paying passengers through real Austin streets. Tesla itself now describes Cybercab as a fully autonomous, purpose-built two-seater in its Robotaxi fleet. That matters... Bc Tesla is no longer trying to prove that Robotaxi can exist bc it does exist. The next question is whether Tesla can scale it safely, economically and fast enough. And THAT is where I think shorts are massively underestimating the company. As of the latest Texas registry data, Tesla has 437 authorized vehicles in Texas - 388 Model Ys/49 Cybercabs It shows how quickly the fleet Tesla is preparing for commercial autonomy is growing. Now zoom out a bit. Tesla already lists more than 125,000 units of installed annual Cybercab manufacturing capacity in Texas. This is INSTALLED capacity. And Tesla calls Cybercab the “workhorse” of its Robotaxi fleet. Tesla spent most of its history making $ by building a vehicle and selling it once. Robotaxi opens a completely different model. Build the vehicle once. Then potentially monetize that same asset again. and again. and again. every time somebody takes a ride. Instead of only asking: “How many cars can Tesla sell this quarter?” You start asking: “How many autonomous miles can Tesla sell every day?” That is a MASSIVE change in the business model. And Cybercab is built specifically for that job. Not around a driver. Around the rider. If Tesla can bring those pieces together at scale, it has the potential to build a transportation network where the machine itself replaces THE largest costs in traditional ride-hailing: the human driver. Then there’s the flywheel. More Cybercabs. More geographic coverage. Shorter wait times. More rides. Higher fleet utilization. More recurring revenue. More capital to deploy even more vehicles. Tesla itself has told investors it expects hardware profits over time to be joined by accelerating AI, software and fleet-based profits. Does Tesla still have to execute? Absolutely. Regulation matters. Safety matters. Utilization matters. Manufacturing ramp matters. The economics have to work at scale. Those are legitimate risks, and anyone pretending otherwise isn’t being serious. But the serious Tesla short thesis can’t just be: “Elon promised autonomy before.” An actual bear now has to explain why a steering-wheel-free vehicle that is already carrying paying passengers won’t scale into a meaningful business. Tesla shorts are still betting against a car company, but I bet Cybercab is about to prove they’re shorting a transportation network.

Teslaconomics

34,223 просмотров • 18 дней назад

🚨SPACEX WILL CRASH JUST LIKE TESLA DID IN 2010 The exact same setup played out 16 years ago. Rewind to 2010. Tesla goes public at $1.13. Pumps to $2.03 in days. The timeline floods with the same takes: "Elon is building the future." "This is a generational entry." "You will regret missing this." Then reality showed up. Tesla bled almost 50% in one week. $2.03 → $1.00 Retail got flushed before the real run even started. Fast forward to now. 2026: – SpaceX just printed the biggest IPO in market history – +30% from the IPO price on day one – $1.75T valuation out the gate – Retail access unlocked at the very last second – Everyone is already calling it "the next Tesla" But the setup is nothing alike. Tesla 2010 launched into: - A beaten down market - Low expectations - Small cap valuation - Zero hype tax SpaceX 2026 is launching into: - The most overvalued market on record - Peak retail euphoria - A $1.75T price tag before a single earnings report - Every fund already positioned That is not the same trade. That is the exit liquidity version of it. People hear Tesla 2010 and only remember the pump. Tesla pumped first. Then it destroyed everyone who chased it. That part always gets removed from the screenshot. Now SpaceX has the same Elon premium and the same future narrative, but much worse timing. So you have two choices: Chase the most expensive IPO in history after a +30% launch candle. Or learn from what Tesla already did. Reminder: I called Bitcoin at $16K, the top at $126K, and gold before it ran. Eight years of calls, all public. When I exit this market, I post it here first. Every move goes here too. Turn notifications on. You will understand why later.

winkle.

191,834 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

1 Year Anniversary of Tesla Tesla Robotaxi Launch ... Reliving that 1st day! One year ago a small group or people including me received an invitation from Tesla_AI to be among the first to participate in the launch of the Tesla Robotaxi service. The launch took place in Austin Texas on 22 June 2025 and was punctuated by a lot of excitement, some uncertainty or what to expect, waiting for the app to download and then hailing the first ride as the small group of participants faced out in the initial service area and waited for their Robotaxi to arrive! For this initial launch, Tesla used Model Y's with the "Robotaxi" logos on the doors and rear hatch and had supervisors in the passenger seat but the cars all drove autonomously and did exceptionally well. We had all kinds of media trailing behind trying to get images, interviews or any information about our experiences, and this made for a surreal day, almost like paparazzi chasing after high-profile celebrities. Over the next year, the Robotaxi service would slowly scale to new cities, initially Austin and the San Fransisco areas, and then later to Houston and Dallas while preparations for several more cities were underway. The fleet did scale up but slowly, going through several revisions and updates of the autonomous software, becoming fully unsupervised and the fleet management aspects of the Robotaxi service were further developed. Regulatory permits and filings also took place to position the Robotaxi service for what we all hope will be large-scale expansion including the addition of the new Cybercabs, which are now in limited production and are testing multiple locations around the US. What will year 2 be like for Robotaxi? All indications are a very big year, but ultimately, Tesla needs to demonstrate they can execute on their plans, preparations and Cybercab production. I'm very hopeful they will be able to do so starting very soon! JC Christopher Doug 📐 JUSTIN ROTH Tesla Welt - german Podcast about Tesla Kalena Brown Chuck Cook Herbert Ong Tesla Owners Silicon Valley Ashok Elluswamy

Joe Tegtmeyer 🚀 🤠🛸😎

14,649 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад