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40 BROWSER TABS. A ROUTE SPREADSHEET. AND HALF THE PLACES STILL SUCK. that's every trip i've ever planned so today i'm building the fix in the marlow beta → enter destination, days, budget, vibe → get a full day-by-day itinerary in 30 seconds → activities, food, cost, all mapped...

37,160 просмотров • 3 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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Jensen Huang just looked at every tech giant building custom silicon. And laughed. Every major player is burning billions to escape the Nvidia tax. Google is building TPUs. Amazon is building Trainium. Meta is building MTIA. The logic makes sense on a spreadsheet. Design a chip perfectly tailored to your workload. Cut out the middleman. Own the stack. But the spreadsheet assumes the middleman is standing still. Huang: “Look at the number of ASICs that have been canceled… It’s not sensible, actually.” He is not questioning their engineering. He is questioning their math. Custom silicon takes years. Every design choice is a bet on a target that exists today. And Nvidia does not let today exist for long. Huang: “Because of our scale, our velocity, we’re the only company in the world that’s cranking it out every single year.” That is the real weapon. Not the chip. The clock. Nvidia stopped selling performance. They started selling time. By the time a custom ASIC tapes out, Nvidia has already shipped the next generation. The chip arrives obsolete. Not because it failed. Because it was built for a world that no longer exists. The graveyard of custom silicon is not filled with bad engineers. It is filled with slow ones. You cannot aim a three-year development cycle at a one-year moving target. Every company building custom silicon thinks they are building an escape route. They are building a time capsule.

Dustin

43,254 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Jeff Bezos looked at a government waiting room and priced it at a hundred billion dollars. Bezos: “This is a $100 billion business, by the way. This is huge business.” That number is not ambition. It is a measurement. A company that size does not create a hundred billion dollars of new value here. It recovers a hundred billion that is already being destroyed, on schedule, in public, by a process everyone has agreed to call normal. The size of the opportunity is the size of the wound. Bezos: “They almost always say yes, they just make you wait a long time.” So the verdict was never in question. Only the delivery date. Which means the months bought nothing. They were storage. Your project sat in a room while the word yes waited its turn to be said. Nobody in there was deciding. Someone was scheduling. And the room bills by the day. Suarez: “The daily carrying cost, one day of interest, 200 to $400,000 per day.” Now find the recipient. There isn’t one. No school funded, no inspector paid, no safety review performed. A tax at least moves money into someone’s hands. This deletes it at four hundred thousand a day, and every dollar was real before the queue touched it. Bezos: “And that doesn’t count the frustration.” Count it anyway. It lands on a body long before it lands on a spreadsheet. Suarez: “Which is infinite. I have some white hairs as a result of this stuff.” That is the invoice. The money has a rate. The rest gets charged to the man, and he pays it whether the answer comes back yes or no. No one has ever been refunded a year. Every other cost in this economy can be hedged, insured, refinanced, or written off. Waiting is the only one that is final. A man will forgive being told no. He will never get back the time he spent standing there waiting to be told yes. We built a civilization that can move a decision at the speed of light and still schedule it at the speed of a man’s hair turning white. Bezos: “It should give you a yes or a no in 10 seconds. And if the answer is no, it should tell you the 6 things you have to change to get a yes.” For four thousand years the wait was honest. Someone had to hold the entire code in one head and walk it line by line against your drawings. Reading was slow because reading was human. That stopped being true in less time than it takes to approve one building. Bezos: “Maybe with AI it can just read all the plans. And it knows all the codes. Spit it out.” The constraint is gone. The wait stayed. Anything still moving at the old speed after the cost of thinking collapsed is not slow. It is choosing. The queue never protected you from a bad building. It protected a signature from a bad outcome. Nobody gets fired for the wait. They get fired for the answer. An institution has no lifespan, so time costs it nothing. You have one, so time is the only thing it can take. Every queue is a trade between something that dies and something that doesn’t, and only one side is ever charged. That trade held for the whole of recorded history because the mortal side had no leverage. It does now. Somebody is going to build this. A hundred billion does not sit in a waiting room forever. And the day it exists, the wait stops being a fact of the world and becomes a decision with a name attached. The hundred billion was never the prize. It is the receipt for how long we agreed to stand there. We are the first people alive who get to stop signing it.

Dustin

17,035 просмотров • 14 дней назад