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55% catch probability on this one per Statcast. More rage bait from Mr. Crow-Armstrong... "My 12u CF catches this one" "I caught this ball 10 times a season in Legion" "I'm 65 and out of shape and I can get that now" None of those things are true. 20...

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The WARmonger

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Another day, another 5-star catch for Pete Crow-Armstrong. This one Wednesday night. His 9th on the season in 13 opportunities. 25% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. The magic happens before the camera is on him. Pete is #1 in average outfield jump by a good amount.
0:13

Another day, another 5-star catch for Pete Crow-Armstrong. This one Wednesday night. His 9th on the season in 13 opportunities. 25% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. The magic happens before the camera is on him. Pete is #1 in average outfield jump by a good amount.

The WARmonger

55,840 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Statcast gave Leody Taveras a 60% catch probability on this two-out double from Jesús Sánchez. Taveras' jump was negative 9.6 feet, per Statcast. This double drove in one run and the Blue Jays scored another later in the inning.
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Statcast gave Leody Taveras a 60% catch probability on this two-out double from Jesús Sánchez. Taveras' jump was negative 9.6 feet, per Statcast. This double drove in one run and the Blue Jays scored another later in the inning.

Jacob Calvin Meyer

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Many requests for the game-tying Heim double past Jarren Duran yesterday. 80% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. Not a routine play, but Duran is generally good out there and should get this one. See his route in the first reply.
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Many requests for the game-tying Heim double past Jarren Duran yesterday. 80% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. Not a routine play, but Duran is generally good out there and should get this one. See his route in the first reply.

The WARmonger

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New acquisition Tyrone Taylor filled in as the Cubs CF yesterday and made one of the best catches of the day. 15% catch probability on this one, and that doesn't consider dodging Ian Happ as he makes the play!
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New acquisition Tyrone Taylor filled in as the Cubs CF yesterday and made one of the best catches of the day. 15% catch probability on this one, and that doesn't consider dodging Ian Happ as he makes the play!

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231,476 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

"Pete Crow-Armstrong, who gets the best jumps of just about anybody in the world". Statcast agrees, with PCA averaging 5.1 feet above average on his jumps (#1 by a good amount, almost all of that before the camera is on him). Makes the "catch" look quite easy because it is. 35% out probability on this ball:
0:11

"Pete Crow-Armstrong, who gets the best jumps of just about anybody in the world". Statcast agrees, with PCA averaging 5.1 feet above average on his jumps (#1 by a good amount, almost all of that before the camera is on him). Makes the "catch" look quite easy because it is. 35% out probability on this ball:

The WARmonger

134,000 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Get your "glazing Pete Crow-Armstrong" pitchforks out, because here's another one! And he actually caught it this time... Just a 20% catch probability, but he makes it look so easy. Most MLB outfielders aren't catching this at all, and certainly not with a casual slide. Why? Per usual for him, the jump and route efficiency. +8.3 feet above average (43 feet total, another top 10 of these), and a 97.3% route efficiency.
0:12

Get your "glazing Pete Crow-Armstrong" pitchforks out, because here's another one! And he actually caught it this time... Just a 20% catch probability, but he makes it look so easy. Most MLB outfielders aren't catching this at all, and certainly not with a casual slide. Why? Per usual for him, the jump and route efficiency. +8.3 feet above average (43 feet total, another top 10 of these), and a 97.3% route efficiency.

The WARmonger

277,528 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays! 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!
0:14

Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays! 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!

The WARmonger

345,224 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Braves fans will focus on the Dubón RBIs and the Eli White throw, but there's another play that saved the game This play had a ***5% CATCH PROBABILITY*** White covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds. One of the best Braves plays this season, and of the Statcast era
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Braves fans will focus on the Dubón RBIs and the Eli White throw, but there's another play that saved the game This play had a ***5% CATCH PROBABILITY*** White covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds. One of the best Braves plays this season, and of the Statcast era

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94,822 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Colton Cowser does it again — and he earns loud moos from Orioles fans at Camden Yards. Baltimore's center fielder robs a two-run homer to keep the Orioles in this game. Statcast gave this ball a 65% catch probability. That metric does not include factors such as the CF wall.
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Colton Cowser does it again — and he earns loud moos from Orioles fans at Camden Yards. Baltimore's center fielder robs a two-run homer to keep the Orioles in this game. Statcast gave this ball a 65% catch probability. That metric does not include factors such as the CF wall.

Jacob Calvin Meyer

104,907 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Great play by Kahlil Watson this afternoon! 30% catch probability on this ball for now from Statcast. He actually played it so well he won't make any highlight reels, his jump was ~8 feet above average! A lesser outfielder on this play would be trailing behind Watson and have to make a more spectacular "catch" to get to this one:
0:12

Great play by Kahlil Watson this afternoon! 30% catch probability on this ball for now from Statcast. He actually played it so well he won't make any highlight reels, his jump was ~8 feet above average! A lesser outfielder on this play would be trailing behind Watson and have to make a more spectacular "catch" to get to this one:

The WARmonger

74,658 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

I've had some replies that this Pete Crow-Armstrong catch IS actually a routine play, so here is a VERY similar play: The CF has the exact same distance to cover, and .2 of a second longer to get there. The CF (Carroll) was faster on the play, by about a foot per second. It's a double:
0:16

I've had some replies that this Pete Crow-Armstrong catch IS actually a routine play, so here is a VERY similar play: The CF has the exact same distance to cover, and .2 of a second longer to get there. The CF (Carroll) was faster on the play, by about a foot per second. It's a double:

The WARmonger

521,029 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Lots of posts critical of Bryan Torres for not catching this ball that broke up Dustin May's no-hitter. Just a 20% catch probability on this 108 MPH liner, and that doesn't consider it's in shadow for most of the flight and then comes into bright sunlight at the end. Decent argument it would have been one of the best catches of the year if he made it. It's just a routine double well past most outfielders and they don't get blamed for not saving a no-hitter.
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Lots of posts critical of Bryan Torres for not catching this ball that broke up Dustin May's no-hitter. Just a 20% catch probability on this 108 MPH liner, and that doesn't consider it's in shadow for most of the flight and then comes into bright sunlight at the end. Decent argument it would have been one of the best catches of the year if he made it. It's just a routine double well past most outfielders and they don't get blamed for not saving a no-hitter.

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44,988 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Andy Pages made the first 5-star catch of the season last night, just a 5% catch probability on this one according to Statcast! Pages covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds with the sliding grab. Add a big homer to his +1.2 OAA and Pages is off to a great start!
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Andy Pages made the first 5-star catch of the season last night, just a 5% catch probability on this one according to Statcast! Pages covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds with the sliding grab. Add a big homer to his +1.2 OAA and Pages is off to a great start!

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205,582 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).
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Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).

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55,454 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

This is one of those 'Peak America' things that, as a British guy, I just love about your country. The size of America allows for this type of amazing and unique adventure. It's just one of those things you can't really do in the UK.
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This is one of those 'Peak America' things that, as a British guy, I just love about your country. The size of America allows for this type of amazing and unique adventure. It's just one of those things you can't really do in the UK.

Jay Anderson

113,246 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

One of my absolute favorite things about yesterday is the moment after contact where everyone in attendance registers that this ball is playable and Pete’s gonna catch it. The catch is *the moment* but that split second of realization is so cool.
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One of my absolute favorite things about yesterday is the moment after contact where everyone in attendance registers that this ball is playable and Pete’s gonna catch it. The catch is *the moment* but that split second of realization is so cool.

Corey Freedman

877,751 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

'The Harmony Codex' is out now Of course I'm always proud of my records, but I think there's something especially magical about this one. So I'm super happy that everyone can now experience this piece of "cinema for the ears"!
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'The Harmony Codex' is out now Of course I'm always proud of my records, but I think there's something especially magical about this one. So I'm super happy that everyone can now experience this piece of "cinema for the ears"!

Steven Wilson

44,324 Aufrufe • vor 3 Jahren

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:
0:11

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:

The WARmonger

324,332 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr