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🇺🇸🇨🇦 A diesel export ban would hand Canada a veto over America's refineries, because the crude that makes the diesel comes from Alberta The bond market figured this out before Washington did. Yields jumped to 5.11 percent, the highest since 2007, within hours of the ban headlines, and Philip... Pilkington reads the move as a market pricing the crisis the ban admits. Nobody bans diesel exports without a diesel crisis. Then the geography does the rest. Since NAFTA, Canadian sour crude is refined in the Midwest and Texas sweet crude in Mexico, so a total ban invites Ottawa to hold back the feedstock, while a Europe-only ban gets laundered through Mexican tanks the way India laundered Russian oil. Ireland showed the ending in April: four days of empty pumps, truckers blocking motorways, and two-thirds of the public on the truckers' side. Whoever floated this ban should look at a pipeline map before signing anything. Philip Pilkingtonshow more

Mario Nawfal

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312,962 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

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17 Kommentare

Profilbild von DARIO ALTMAN

DARIO ALTMANvor 4 Tagen

People debate the policy. Markets have to price the infrastructure. A ban changes the rules overnight. Pipelines, refineries and geography don't. That gap is where the real consequences show up.

Profilbild von rugpull rorschach

rugpull rorschachvor 4 Tagen

whoever thought a diesel export ban was a clean solution clearly never looked at where the crude actually comes from lol

Profilbild von Geoff B

Geoff Bvor 4 Tagen

Looks like Canada just got the ultimate "say it ain't diesel" card. Nothing like a little market clarity to brighten the day.

Profilbild von Cipher

Ciphervor 4 Tagen

like what was the actual goal here? Because every path out of this leads to either Ottawa having leverage or Europe finding a backdoor

Profilbild von GHG of ph

GHG of phvor 4 Tagen

PIPELINE MAP. LOOK AT IT BEFORE YOU SIGN ANYTHING. THIS IS NOT COMPLICATED

Profilbild von Johnny Records

Johnny Recordsvor 4 Tagen

The Midwest refineries running on Canadian sour crude is something most people genuinely dont think about until somethink like this comes up

Profilbild von SliceOfAnna

SliceOfAnnavor 4 Tagen

Join now and claim your $1,00,000 reward:

Profilbild von lingrestakes.eth 🧠

lingrestakes.eth 🧠vor 4 Tagen

Nobody bans diesel exports without a diesel crisis is probably the most important line in this whole thread and people are gonna scroll past it

Profilbild von Bad Hombre

Bad Hombrevor 4 Tagen

We got plenty of heavy crude available down in Venezuela.

Profilbild von TKB🏕️🦫

TKB🏕️🦫vor 4 Tagen

Canada supplies only 20% of Americas total crude - y’all will be fine.

Profilbild von Denvium

Denviumvor 4 Tagen

Hmm so basically Canada holds the keys and Washington might not have realized it until the bond market screamed 👀

Profilbild von Johnny Records

Johnny Recordsvor 4 Tagen

The Midwest refineries running on Canadian sour crude is something most people genuinely dont think about until somethink like this comes u

Profilbild von AssetMarketCap

AssetMarketCapvor 4 Tagen

Looks like Canada just leveled up to "co-owner" of our refineries. Nothing like a little cross-border teamwork to keep the markets on their toes.

Profilbild von Unofficial Devrel (founders don't know my handle)

Unofficial Devrel (founders don't know my handle)vor 4 Tagen

bond markets figured it out before Washington did is both impressive and deeply concerning at the same time

Profilbild von anon0x77fade

anon0x77fadevor 4 Tagen

The Ireland comparison is chilling honestly. Four days and the whole country ground to a halt. America is not built to absorb that kind of disruption quietly

Profilbild von nep♡ghostpill

nep♡ghostpillvor 4 Tagen

The India and Russian oil laundering comparison is so apt here. These workarounds always exist and they always get used

Profilbild von Jom

Jomvor 4 Tagen

How many trillions of dollars of fraud were uncovered by DOGE ??? How many people were arrested for stealing the trillions of dollars of USA tax payers money?

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🇮🇪 Four days without diesel and an entire country unraveled. Economist Philip Pilkington breaks down how a brief fuel shortage in Ireland sent truckers onto the motorways and turned 65% of the public against their own government. "Civil unrest is potential if you start getting fuel shortages. I mean, we saw it in Ireland." If that's four days, imagine what a real crisis looks like. Philip Pilkington

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🇮🇷 Pipeline strikes are a waste of time, and Iran almost certainly knows it. Economist Philip Pilkington breaks down exactly where a real attack would land if Tehran decides to escalate: "The best way for Iran to screw around with Gulf oil production and exports is to attack either the refineries or the crude oil fields themselves." Pipelines get patched in weeks. Refineries and fields stay down for months or years. And the playbook already exists, Ukraine is running it on Russia right now. Philip Pilkington

🇮🇷 Pipeline strikes are a waste of time, and Iran almost certainly knows it. Economist Philip Pilkington breaks down exactly where a real attack would land if Tehran decides to escalate: "The best way for Iran to screw around with Gulf oil production and exports is to attack either the refineries or the crude oil fields themselves." Pipelines get patched in weeks. Refineries and fields stay down for months or years. And the playbook already exists, Ukraine is running it on Russia right now. Philip Pilkington

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 American diesel stocks are the lowest they've been since 1951, and the crude that makes diesel is trapped behind two closed straits and a broken pipeline Seventy-five years. That's how far back you have to go to find US distillate inventories this thin, and the reason is chemistry, not politics. Diesel and jet fuel come from sour crude, the heavy Gulf grade that American, Indian, Chinese and Japanese refineries were built for. It isn't leaving the Gulf. Saudi Arabia's bypass pipeline to the Red Sea is now down for five or six weeks, and Larry Johnson's arithmetic from Russia runs another month past the repair before a single barrel reaches a refinery. Two months, minimum, of shortage. Meanwhile a supertanker burns off Oman. Iran says it hit a mine, CENTCOM says a missile, and the argument only matters to insurers... to the crew it was a fire either way. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

🇺🇸🇮🇷 American diesel stocks are the lowest they've been since 1951, and the crude that makes diesel is trapped behind two closed straits and a broken pipeline Seventy-five years. That's how far back you have to go to find US distillate inventories this thin, and the reason is chemistry, not politics. Diesel and jet fuel come from sour crude, the heavy Gulf grade that American, Indian, Chinese and Japanese refineries were built for. It isn't leaving the Gulf. Saudi Arabia's bypass pipeline to the Red Sea is now down for five or six weeks, and Larry Johnson's arithmetic from Russia runs another month past the repair before a single barrel reaches a refinery. Two months, minimum, of shortage. Meanwhile a supertanker burns off Oman. Iran says it hit a mine, CENTCOM says a missile, and the argument only matters to insurers... to the crew it was a fire either way. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

251,401 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

In the midst of an oil crisis Bob Katter MP wants to know why we continue to send 32% of our requirements overseas as crude oil. For a measly 8 billion. Then buy back the refined oil for 62 billion. He is calling for a ban/restriction on those exports until we rebuild domestic refining capacity. Makes sense now doesn’t it !

In the midst of an oil crisis Bob Katter MP wants to know why we continue to send 32% of our requirements overseas as crude oil. For a measly 8 billion. Then buy back the refined oil for 62 billion. He is calling for a ban/restriction on those exports until we rebuild domestic refining capacity. Makes sense now doesn’t it !

Kat A 🌸

91,115 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

The Australian economy is teetering on the brink of collapse amid a severe diesel and gasoline shortage. One of the nation’s two remaining refineries is now engulfed in flames, pushing the entire fuel supply network at risk. Australia imports most of it's diesel, gasoline and jet fuel from Singapore and South Korea. But those two sources are not receiving enough crude oil from the middle east, so they are not able to export anything to Australia. Why does Australia no longer have it's own refineries? Australia actually exports it's oil production to other countries because it cannot refine it in Australia.

The Australian economy is teetering on the brink of collapse amid a severe diesel and gasoline shortage. One of the nation’s two remaining refineries is now engulfed in flames, pushing the entire fuel supply network at risk. Australia imports most of it's diesel, gasoline and jet fuel from Singapore and South Korea. But those two sources are not receiving enough crude oil from the middle east, so they are not able to export anything to Australia. Why does Australia no longer have it's own refineries? Australia actually exports it's oil production to other countries because it cannot refine it in Australia.

Wall Street Mav

72,207 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

A rapid surge in the price of diesel fuel is straining businesses and threatening to raise costs across the economy. It’s also putting pressure on President Trump to respond to higher prices at the pump, including through a diesel export ban that some Republican lawmakers are pushing ahead of November’s midterm elections. William Brangham speaks to Bob McNally for more.

A rapid surge in the price of diesel fuel is straining businesses and threatening to raise costs across the economy. It’s also putting pressure on President Trump to respond to higher prices at the pump, including through a diesel export ban that some Republican lawmakers are pushing ahead of November’s midterm elections. William Brangham speaks to Bob McNally for more.

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15,405 Aufrufe • vor 3 Tagen

I asked Tim Burchett how Trump can lower the price of diesel. He just laid out the perfect plan: H.R. 10423: A temporary ban on U.S. diesel exports until January 2027. H.R. 10422: a price-triggered export control. If the national average diesel price reaches $5/gallon, diesel exports would be restricted. The restriction would remain until the national average falls to $4.50/gallon or less for 30 consecutive days. "I firmly convinced the oil companies hate Donald Trump, and lil tell you why. He's the dealmaker. He's the biggest oil man in the world right now after that deal he cut in Venezuela. It was a stroke of genius." "The reality is right now, you could make the argument that we are at war over there and under war, there are certain things, limitations that happen and we need to do that. We need to start looking after Americans and quit worrying about the world and take care of us." This is something that should be done Tim Burchett it would immediately bring down the prices of gas and diesel.

I asked Tim Burchett how Trump can lower the price of diesel. He just laid out the perfect plan: H.R. 10423: A temporary ban on U.S. diesel exports until January 2027. H.R. 10422: a price-triggered export control. If the national average diesel price reaches $5/gallon, diesel exports would be restricted. The restriction would remain until the national average falls to $4.50/gallon or less for 30 consecutive days. "I firmly convinced the oil companies hate Donald Trump, and lil tell you why. He's the dealmaker. He's the biggest oil man in the world right now after that deal he cut in Venezuela. It was a stroke of genius." "The reality is right now, you could make the argument that we are at war over there and under war, there are certain things, limitations that happen and we need to do that. We need to start looking after Americans and quit worrying about the world and take care of us." This is something that should be done Tim Burchett it would immediately bring down the prices of gas and diesel.

Benny Johnson

149,473 Aufrufe • vor 6 Tagen

🇺🇸 The robots trading oil believe whatever Trump posts. Economist Philip Pilkington explains the machine driving the manipulation. Most oil futures trades are already algorithmic, heading toward all of them, and the algorithms aren't as smart as anyone assumes. Drop a headline saying a deal is imminent or oil is flowing through Hormuz, and the machines read Axios or a presidential post as credible news, then trade on it instantly. Pilkington has been making this case since the Red Sea crisis, back when people called it a lunatic theory. Now Tucker Carlson is citing it, and the theory that sounded crazy is simply how the market works. Philip Pilkington

🇺🇸 The robots trading oil believe whatever Trump posts. Economist Philip Pilkington explains the machine driving the manipulation. Most oil futures trades are already algorithmic, heading toward all of them, and the algorithms aren't as smart as anyone assumes. Drop a headline saying a deal is imminent or oil is flowing through Hormuz, and the machines read Axios or a presidential post as credible news, then trade on it instantly. Pilkington has been making this case since the Red Sea crisis, back when people called it a lunatic theory. Now Tucker Carlson is citing it, and the theory that sounded crazy is simply how the market works. Philip Pilkington

Mario Nawfal

89,116 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

⛽️ Oil analyst Rory Johnston explains why a shortage of diesel, not crude oil, is the bigger economic threat to the world right now. “Diesel hits everything. It hits shipping, it hits industry, it hits your Amazon deliveries,” he told Drop Site. Diesel crack spreads (premium over crude) have surged to nearly $100 a barrel, about 5 times normal levels, amid shrinking Middle East production, and amid Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries which push Russian refined-product exports to their “lowest level since the collapse of the Soviet Union.” Rory Johnston | Sarmad Jawad Full video linked below. Watch on YouTube.

⛽️ Oil analyst Rory Johnston explains why a shortage of diesel, not crude oil, is the bigger economic threat to the world right now. “Diesel hits everything. It hits shipping, it hits industry, it hits your Amazon deliveries,” he told Drop Site. Diesel crack spreads (premium over crude) have surged to nearly $100 a barrel, about 5 times normal levels, amid shrinking Middle East production, and amid Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries which push Russian refined-product exports to their “lowest level since the collapse of the Soviet Union.” Rory Johnston | Sarmad Jawad Full video linked below. Watch on YouTube.

Drop Site

27,525 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat