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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 A silent dollar shortage is rippling through the global financial system as Middle Eastern oil flows dry up. Jeffrey Snider explains that when the Gulf sells less oil, the crucial circulation of commercial dollars that Asian importers and central banks desperately rely on suddenly vanishes. With Japan already...

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Mario Nawfal

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26,462 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸 The hidden plumbing that supplies the world with dollars is jamming up, and the Fed won't say a word about it publicly. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider tracks the network of banks outside America that lend dollars to everyone else, the system he built Eurodollar University to explain. When that supply tightens, every country starts scrambling for dollars at the same moment. Jeffrey says that scramble is already happening, in ways the headline economic data hasn't picked up yet. Everyone is watching the oil price. The dollar problem underneath it moves faster and hits harder. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🇺🇸 The hidden plumbing that supplies the world with dollars is jamming up, and the Fed won't say a word about it publicly. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider tracks the network of banks outside America that lend dollars to everyone else, the system he built Eurodollar University to explain. When that supply tightens, every country starts scrambling for dollars at the same moment. Jeffrey says that scramble is already happening, in ways the headline economic data hasn't picked up yet. Everyone is watching the oil price. The dollar problem underneath it moves faster and hits harder. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trump is weaponizing the global energy crisis to bring Beijing to its knees before the first peace deal is even signed. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider explains that the administration is leveraging China’s weak economy and its total inability to survive a massive oil shock. By delaying key meetings, Trump is negotiating from a position of absolute strength, essentially holding the Chinese "by the balls" until they blink. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trump is weaponizing the global energy crisis to bring Beijing to its knees before the first peace deal is even signed. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider explains that the administration is leveraging China’s weak economy and its total inability to survive a massive oil shock. By delaying key meetings, Trump is negotiating from a position of absolute strength, essentially holding the Chinese "by the balls" until they blink. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 The myth of a global peace with China is officially dead, as the world realigns under a more aggressive U.S. umbrella. While some argue the U.S. is alienating allies, Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider suggests the UAE’s move to double down on Washington shows that regional players know where the real security lies. The Chinese were never going to be "just like us," and the West is finally waking up to their strategic clash of interests. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 The myth of a global peace with China is officially dead, as the world realigns under a more aggressive U.S. umbrella. While some argue the U.S. is alienating allies, Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider suggests the UAE’s move to double down on Washington shows that regional players know where the real security lies. The Chinese were never going to be "just like us," and the West is finally waking up to their strategic clash of interests. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸 Countries are dumping U.S. assets to get their hands on dollars, and that's the real inflation threat. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider says analysts fixated on oil are watching a symptom while the disease spreads underneath. When the world runs short of dollars, every country sells American assets at once to raise them, which crashes bond prices and spikes yields at the worst possible moment. Break that system and the damage transmits instantly across every asset class, with no lag to prepare for. His warning: the bond market already knows something the stock market hasn't priced in yet. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🇺🇸 Countries are dumping U.S. assets to get their hands on dollars, and that's the real inflation threat. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider says analysts fixated on oil are watching a symptom while the disease spreads underneath. When the world runs short of dollars, every country sells American assets at once to raise them, which crashes bond prices and spikes yields at the worst possible moment. Break that system and the damage transmits instantly across every asset class, with no lag to prepare for. His warning: the bond market already knows something the stock market hasn't priced in yet. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 The geopolitical map of the 20th century is being systematically dismantled to make way for a new, transactional world order. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider highlights the UAE’s exit from OPEC as a symbolic move toward a deeper American alliance, proving that old institutional leftovers are losing their grip. This realignment is a message to the world that China cannot protect its partners as well as it seems. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The widespread fear that a prolonged Middle East energy shock will trigger hyperinflation completely misunderstands how the global economy works. Jeffrey Snider points out that massive energy price spikes are inherently recessionary because they brutally destroy consumer demand. As people get crushed at the gas pump, spending on everything from Netflix to dining out completely decelerates, which is why the market is quietly pricing a growth crash rather than an inflation spiral. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The widespread fear that a prolonged Middle East energy shock will trigger hyperinflation completely misunderstands how the global economy works. Jeffrey Snider points out that massive energy price spikes are inherently recessionary because they brutally destroy consumer demand. As people get crushed at the gas pump, spending on everything from Netflix to dining out completely decelerates, which is why the market is quietly pricing a growth crash rather than an inflation spiral. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The global financial system is staring down a nightmare scenario as fears grow over strikes on Gulf energy infrastructure and a blockade of the Hormuz and Mandeb straits being sustained. Jeffrey Snider warns that a prolonged disruption could send energy prices soaring and trigger severe currency devaluations across Asia, potentially forcing economies like India into capital controls. "The Indian Rupee hit record low again today. Biggest trade deficit for any April in their history." Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The global financial system is staring down a nightmare scenario as fears grow over strikes on Gulf energy infrastructure and a blockade of the Hormuz and Mandeb straits being sustained. Jeffrey Snider warns that a prolonged disruption could send energy prices soaring and trigger severe currency devaluations across Asia, potentially forcing economies like India into capital controls. "The Indian Rupee hit record low again today. Biggest trade deficit for any April in their history." Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇮🇷 Iran will never give up the Strait, and that may be harder to negotiate than nukes. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider just broke down why this deal could collapse before it starts. "Hormuz is their leverage. That's what they've got. If the regime wants to stay in power, they have to maintain that." The question now is whether the White House announcement is real progress, or just another move to talk oil prices down. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🇮🇷 Iran will never give up the Strait, and that may be harder to negotiate than nukes. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider just broke down why this deal could collapse before it starts. "Hormuz is their leverage. That's what they've got. If the regime wants to stay in power, they have to maintain that." The question now is whether the White House announcement is real progress, or just another move to talk oil prices down. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸 We are officially on track for $5 per gallon gasoline nationwide, and the political fallout will be unlike anything we’ve seen. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider explains that surging prices are reflecting a harsh economic reality that the White House seems willing to sacrifice for its geopolitical goals. The administration appears to have already written off the midterms, betting that neutralizing the Iranian nuclear threat is worth crashing the domestic economy. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸 We are officially on track for $5 per gallon gasoline nationwide, and the political fallout will be unlike anything we’ve seen. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider explains that surging prices are reflecting a harsh economic reality that the White House seems willing to sacrifice for its geopolitical goals. The administration appears to have already written off the midterms, betting that neutralizing the Iranian nuclear threat is worth crashing the domestic economy. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Why is the Trump administration willing to risk severe short-term economic pain to keep pushing the war in Iran? Jeffrey Snider argues that the U.S. sees the potential long-term gains in the Middle East as outweighing the immediate disruption, betting that a permanent victory will dismantle China's regional influence and secure American dominance for decades to come. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Why is the Trump administration willing to risk severe short-term economic pain to keep pushing the war in Iran? Jeffrey Snider argues that the U.S. sees the potential long-term gains in the Middle East as outweighing the immediate disruption, betting that a permanent victory will dismantle China's regional influence and secure American dominance for decades to come. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Oil's real price is around $50 a barrel. Everything above that is the war. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider agrees the Trump administration has worked the oil market, and explains why the "two weeks from a deal" announcements kept coming every two weeks. Traders know that absent this conflict, oil returns to the 50s, so nobody wants to be caught holding long positions when peace breaks out. Where Jeff parts ways is on how much that explains: "That's not manipulation to me. That's the market saying shit's getting bad in the short run, and the inevitable consequences are like every other energy shock that we've seen in history, which is a global recession at the very least." Speculators can be spooked with a headline. The physical barrels still have to show up, and the shape of the futures curve is pricing in something no press release can talk down. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Oil's real price is around $50 a barrel. Everything above that is the war. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider agrees the Trump administration has worked the oil market, and explains why the "two weeks from a deal" announcements kept coming every two weeks. Traders know that absent this conflict, oil returns to the 50s, so nobody wants to be caught holding long positions when peace breaks out. Where Jeff parts ways is on how much that explains: "That's not manipulation to me. That's the market saying shit's getting bad in the short run, and the inevitable consequences are like every other energy shock that we've seen in history, which is a global recession at the very least." Speculators can be spooked with a headline. The physical barrels still have to show up, and the shape of the futures curve is pricing in something no press release can talk down. Jeffrey P. Snider

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47,152 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The pause in fighting doubled as an oil market cooldown, and the pattern looks deliberate. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider explains how the conflict-ceasefire cycle could be a strategy in itself: fight until energy prices threaten to break things, pause until they settle, then resume grinding down the opposition: "Every time we go through a period of conflict, we're degrading the Iranians further and further." Each round leaves Iran weaker and the oil market calm enough to go again. The clock keeps getting reset, and that may be the whole design. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The pause in fighting doubled as an oil market cooldown, and the pattern looks deliberate. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider explains how the conflict-ceasefire cycle could be a strategy in itself: fight until energy prices threaten to break things, pause until they settle, then resume grinding down the opposition: "Every time we go through a period of conflict, we're degrading the Iranians further and further." Each round leaves Iran weaker and the oil market calm enough to go again. The clock keeps getting reset, and that may be the whole design. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇮🇳 One overlooked currency signals where the entire global dollar system is heading. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider says forget the headline indicators everyone stares at, the real tell is the Indian rupee. Its movements track the hidden plumbing of the global money system, the offshore dollar network that actually determines whether the world has liquidity or a crisis brewing: "The Indian rupee is always tied to euro dollar mechanics, so dollar conditions, liquidity, that kind of thing." So when the rupee starts sliding, it's rarely just an India story. It's the dollar system itself flashing a warning most people never learn to read. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🇮🇳 One overlooked currency signals where the entire global dollar system is heading. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider says forget the headline indicators everyone stares at, the real tell is the Indian rupee. Its movements track the hidden plumbing of the global money system, the offshore dollar network that actually determines whether the world has liquidity or a crisis brewing: "The Indian rupee is always tied to euro dollar mechanics, so dollar conditions, liquidity, that kind of thing." So when the rupee starts sliding, it's rarely just an India story. It's the dollar system itself flashing a warning most people never learn to read. Jeffrey P. Snider

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Everyone watches the oil price. Almost nobody watches what comes next. An oil shock becomes a dollar shock. Oil is priced in dollars. So when energy spikes, the whole world suddenly needs more of them. Demand jumps just as supply shrinks. Lenders get nervous exactly when risk rises, and pull back from the weak economies that need dollars most. You can see it already. Indonesia's currency fell off a cliff. Japan burned 75 billion defending the yen and it is back near 160 anyway. The oil price is the story everyone tells. The dollar squeeze underneath is the one that does the damage.
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Everyone watches the oil price. Almost nobody watches what comes next. An oil shock becomes a dollar shock. Oil is priced in dollars. So when energy spikes, the whole world suddenly needs more of them. Demand jumps just as supply shrinks. Lenders get nervous exactly when risk rises, and pull back from the weak economies that need dollars most. You can see it already. Indonesia's currency fell off a cliff. Japan burned 75 billion defending the yen and it is back near 160 anyway. The oil price is the story everyone tells. The dollar squeeze underneath is the one that does the damage.

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🚨 The markets are dangerously calm, but the underlying data suggests we are drifting toward massive demand destruction. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider warns that as energy costs spike, the lack of a robust labor market means consumers will have to cannibalize spending elsewhere just to survive. This shift is fundamentally recessionary, threatening to trigger a wave of layoffs as business margins completely erode. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨 The markets are dangerously calm, but the underlying data suggests we are drifting toward massive demand destruction. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider warns that as energy costs spike, the lack of a robust labor market means consumers will have to cannibalize spending elsewhere just to survive. This shift is fundamentally recessionary, threatening to trigger a wave of layoffs as business margins completely erode. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇨🇳 A secret handshake may be controlling the global oil price right now. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider says the only logical explanation is that Trump and Xi reached a backroom agreement where China agreed to slow-walk its oil inventory refill in exchange for something big. "It had to have been something big. Or maybe she just kind of put a favor in the bank and said, I'm gonna come back to this later." No one knows what China got in return, and that's exactly what makes this so dangerous. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🇺🇸🇨🇳 A secret handshake may be controlling the global oil price right now. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider says the only logical explanation is that Trump and Xi reached a backroom agreement where China agreed to slow-walk its oil inventory refill in exchange for something big. "It had to have been something big. Or maybe she just kind of put a favor in the bank and said, I'm gonna come back to this later." No one knows what China got in return, and that's exactly what makes this so dangerous. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Wall Street’s current wave of optimism over the U.S.-Iran diplomatic track is completely masking a brutal macroeconomic reality building in the background. Jeffrey Snider warns that while surging stock prices create a cozy narrative that the conflict is wrapping up, dangerous second-order effects are already quietly accumulating. Companies are quietly gearing up to ditch employees to brace for the fallout, with a sharp rise in unemployment probably on the horizon regardless of what Trump does next. Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Wall Street’s current wave of optimism over the U.S.-Iran diplomatic track is completely masking a brutal macroeconomic reality building in the background. Jeffrey Snider warns that while surging stock prices create a cozy narrative that the conflict is wrapping up, dangerous second-order effects are already quietly accumulating. Companies are quietly gearing up to ditch employees to brace for the fallout, with a sharp rise in unemployment probably on the horizon regardless of what Trump does next. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸 The institution everyone blames for inflation can't even create money that means anything on its own. Jeffrey Snider just explained the limits of the Federal Reserve. "The best that the Federal Reserve can do is create bank reserves and hope it somehow influences bank behavior, because commercial banks are the ones who own these bank reserves. Unless commercial banks do something in response to whatever operation the Federal Reserve is undertaking, then it doesn't matter, the Federal Reserve is just moving stuff around from one pocket to another. They're not actually creating useful money in the outside system." Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸 The institution everyone blames for inflation can't even create money that means anything on its own. Jeffrey Snider just explained the limits of the Federal Reserve. "The best that the Federal Reserve can do is create bank reserves and hope it somehow influences bank behavior, because commercial banks are the ones who own these bank reserves. Unless commercial banks do something in response to whatever operation the Federal Reserve is undertaking, then it doesn't matter, the Federal Reserve is just moving stuff around from one pocket to another. They're not actually creating useful money in the outside system." Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 While China's export sectors appear to be booming by shifting goods from the U.S. to European markets, Jeffrey Snider reveals that the domestic system is choking on a massive real estate bubble and unproductive leverage. Built as a temporary bridge after the 2008 crash, this mountain of bad debt has left the Chinese banking system incredibly vulnerable as a global economic slowdown takes hold. "China got big, but it never got big enough." Jeffrey P. Snider
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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 While China's export sectors appear to be booming by shifting goods from the U.S. to European markets, Jeffrey Snider reveals that the domestic system is choking on a massive real estate bubble and unproductive leverage. Built as a temporary bridge after the 2008 crash, this mountain of bad debt has left the Chinese banking system incredibly vulnerable as a global economic slowdown takes hold. "China got big, but it never got big enough." Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Is the conflict in Iran just one piece of a massive global chess match against Beijing? Jeffrey Snider analyzes the deeper strategic motivations driving the Trump administration's foreign policy, arguing that the true end game goes far beyond regional security or nuclear enrichment. Instead, Washington is aiming for complete regime collapse in Tehran to eliminate a vital Chinese partner, and fundamentally redraw the lines of 21st-century power. Jeffrey P. Snider

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