After multiple bull cycles, the biggest lesson I've learned is to stop picking exact price targets to sell. I'll be exiting within a range based on risk and macro factors. It's time to start thinking about this now. The last real crypto bull market was 2020 into 2021, and... 2022 to 2025 was a nice move but it wasn't a business cycle expansion bull market. That one is still setting up. I zoomed way out on Bitcoin and laid out my range for this cycle, $137K to $390K. I know that seems like a wide range, but the business cycle will decide where BTC ends up in it within it. Still to be determined. And again, I will be exiting within a range based on risk and macro factors. The bull market hasn't happened yet 0:00 Daily chart bearish divergence 1:00 Weekly inverse head and shoulders 2:15 Last cycle's QT and the dip 4:11 The big fakeout 6:00 Copper, gold and the Russell 2000 8:26 Why the pattern is disqualified 10:15 $137K to $390K targets 11:45 90s-style boom 13:05 CCV Business Cycle Index 15:00 Short-term range 17:21 Downside levels 19:00 Path back to the 120s 20:00 Final thoughts 21:17show more

Pretty weak expansion bull if we only see $137k BTC. Considering we saw $126K in what you considered not the true bull market and that we haven’t seen a true bull since 2021. 11k more is pretty weak

Yea, because it's a possibility. Not my base case, but a possibility.

I mean if we’re talking possibilities then $BTC could not reach $126k ever again. I certainly don’t think that’s the case but from years of touting a big bull market a price of 11k over the previous $126k that you called not the bull is pretty weak. But hey, whatever gets more

Content and clicks 🤷🏼‍♂️

137k to 390k is a 2.8x wide band, which is honest but barely a plan. With BTC at 83k even the low end is 65% away, so the part that actually decides your exit is the macro trigger, not the number.

Thank you

My strategy is the 20-20-20-20-20% "moonbag" system! That way, you don't have to try to guess the top at all; you always hit it, and you've already secured 80% (the maximum result), while the remaining 20% ​​becomes your moonbag. Whether it’s BTC or an altcoins doesn't matter..🥳

Macro and the business cycle matter more than trying to nail one exact BTC top the range based approach makes more sense for managing risk

Ranges beat exact targets. But after multiple cycles, the real edge is psychological — holding when you're up 5x and everyone says higher 🫠

dan is going to lose his mind looking at this business cycle and talking about bull run. while hes sleeping just rolling around mumbling CPI, bull market doors, economic expansion

And the ETH and ADA range?

Hard to make selling tag numbers when the market itself could still be moving for months. That’s the hard part. Or you could think there is a lot more movement to go and then the market shoots down and never comes back for yrs. It’s a cold game.

Dog delisting 😭😭😭Bitget

What’s your range for ADA

Range-based exits age better than magic sell numbers. Macro + risk bands beat one target every cycle.

Boğa döngüleri tek fiyat hedefleyenleri değil, riski ve makroyu okuyup aralıkta satanları ödüllendirir.