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After the Templar Covenant exit last week, the need for institutional grade risk frameworks couldn’t be more obvious Since then we’ve seen Manako partner with PWC and multiple plans to rollout trillion parameter training runs from other subnets Compute is being squeezed and non-AI companies are pivoting to GPU...

18,086 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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A Bittensor subnet just outscored Claude and Cursor on the SWE benchmark. They spent less than $1 million to get there. Anthropic spent billions. I sat down with Mark Jeffrey, one of the most connected people in the Bittensor ecosystem, and he broke down everything. Here's what most people don't know about TAO. Bittensor takes Bitcoin's mining concept and makes it programmable. Instead of solving meaningless hash puzzles, miners compete on real AI tasks. Best freelancer wins. Blockchain pays them. No company. No CEO. No permission needed. Bitcoin did this for energy. Bittensor does it for talent. The numbers are wild: • Ridges (Subnet 62) built a Claude/Cursor competitor for under $1M • Miners on Ridges were earning $50K per day at peak • The Bittensor network has 128 subnets, each like its own AI startup • Mark says 20-30 of them could become multi-billion dollar companies • Only 20% of TAO is staked in subnets right now • Stakers are earning up to 80% yield on some subnets Mark has been in crypto since 2013. He was in the Ethereum ICO. He's seen every cycle. His take: Bittensor is the most important thing to happen in crypto since Ethereum. He calls TAO the "third great coin" alongside Bitcoin and ETH. The comparison to early Bitcoin is hard to ignore. TAO just had its first halving in December. Same 21 million supply cap. Same post-halving setup. When Bitcoin went through this phase, it jumped from $250 to $10,000. Mark's conservative target for TAO by end of 2026: $3,000. But the real insight was about demand. More subnets means more TAO gets locked up. Subnet cap going from 128 to 256. Staking will absorb most of the supply. And AI agents need crypto to transact. They can't open bank accounts. Bittensor is building the rails for that. Jensen Huang just talked about Templar, a Bittensor subnet, on stage. This isn't theoretical anymore. People are using this stuff. The products on Bittensor are 10 to 100x better than what we saw in early Ethereum. And we're still early.

Jesus Martinez

73,314 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

$TAO just reclaimed the #1 AI crypto spot. Most people saw the headline. Almost nobody understands what it means for the price. Here is the data. $NEAR built real infrastructure. Partnerships. Developer activity. A legitimate ecosystem. $TAO just walked past it anyway. Not because of hype. Because Bittensor is the only AI crypto with a functioning marketplace for machine intelligence where supply, demand, and price discovery are all happening on-chain right now. That is not a roadmap. That is a live network. The numbers. 120+ subnets running today. $1.4B+ total ecosystem value. Chutes AI subnet: 150B+ tokens per day. Grayscale GTAO Trust: already live. Single subnet listed on the marketplace at $970,000 asking price. Subnets are becoming assets. The market is starting to price that. What the emission data is telling you. Emission rate is the network's vote on where the most valuable work is being done. When a subnet gains emission share, the collective stake-weighted intelligence of the network has decided that subnet's output is worth more of the TAO supply. Chutes AI gaining emissions while processing 150B tokens daily is not a coincidence. The network is directing capital toward proven output before any headline announces it. Why mainstream money changes everything. James Altucher just launched bluetao. ai, a TAO-powered ChatGPT alternative built directly on Bittensor subnets. He did not just buy the token. He built a product on the network. Products built on a network create structural demand for the native asset. That is how every successful L1 cycle has worked. Bittensor is now getting that builder activity from outside the crypto native world. That is a different signal from a price target tweet. Why $TAO is structurally different. Most AI tokens are betting their chain becomes the preferred environment for AI development. $TAO is not betting on becoming infrastructure. It already is. 120+ subnets running. Miners competing. Validators setting weights. Alpha tokens being priced in real time. The difference between $TAO and every other AI crypto is the difference between a city under construction and a city people are already living in. Van de Poppe said $1,000 to $2,000 in 12 months. He gave you the narrative. The subnet emission data is the mechanism he did not explain. Now you have both. $TAO at $313 with a $3.42B market cap is still early relative to what this network is actually processing. Centralised AI infrastructure companies are valued at hundreds of billions for processing far less novel work than a decentralised intelligence marketplace running 120+ competing subnets simultaneously. The repricing has not happened yet. The subnet marketplace listing at $970,000 is telling you something the price has not caught up to yet.

2xnmore

12,150 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Covenant Labs just did a 90-minute AMA breaking down their 3 Bittensor subnets. templar. basilica. grail. Pre-training, compute, and post-training under one roof. Most people missed it. Here's everything they said. Covenant is building what they call the "end to end intelligence continuum." Three subnets. Three layers of the AI stack. All permissionless. Templar (SN3) handles decentralized pre-training. Basilica (SN39) handles compute. Grail (SN81) handles RL post-training. Sam Dare, the lead, put it bluntly. Decentralized training is "humanity's last dance." Not about beating OpenAI head to head. About creating optionality. About making it cheap enough for anyone to train models. The gap between academia and frontier labs is growing exponentially. Researchers can't afford to experiment. The actual training run costs 5% of the reported budget. The other 95% is experimentation. If Covenant cracks cheap training, that entire surface area opens up. On Templar specifically: • Hit 39% emission on Bittensor. Highest since Apex was the only subnet on the network • Covenant-72B trained permissionlessly with 70+ contributors on commodity internet • 1.1 trillion tokens processed. No centralized data center • Performance competitive with LLaMA-2-70B On Grail, something flew under the radar. They built Pulse. A weight synchronization method that compresses model updates by 100x. • In RL post-training, only ~1% of weights update per step • Pulse exploits that sparsity. Lossless compression • Prime Intellect's comparable system took 14 minutes to sync a 30B model • Pulse makes decentralized RL training actually feasible at scale • Already used by Cursor The lead researcher on Grail said they've trained on math, code, and GPU kernels. Got 40-60% improvement on benchmarks. Working toward agentic training with 100K+ token context and 30B+ parameter models. On Basilica, the compute subnet: The team was blunt. Just reselling GPU hours is a 5-10% margin game. Traditional compute providers already do that. Their play is value-added services. • "GPU as code." No dashboard. No UI. Agents interact via SDK • Custom scheduler that places workloads across heterogeneous hardware • Verification checks for GPU, CPU, bandwidth, memory, storage, and OS security • Partnerships with providers like Mass Compute for 10-20% below market pricing • Miners compete on useful infrastructure, not just GPU hours Sam then went on a rant about the miner burn debate. His take: Bittensor had to grow up. dTAO introduced investors. The old "miners are God" philosophy doesn't hold. • Subnet owners have a duty to protect token value • Miners are a resource optimization exercise, not a cost reduction exercise • 100% miner emissions on compute subnets = immediate sell pressure • The 41% miner allocation is arbitrary. Different business models need different splits • Fish (who started burns) agreed. Burns usually mean the validation isn't mature enough The bigger point. You can't police burns. Subnets just send to their own keys instead of the burn address. Subnet 28 does exactly that. Sam's position: judge subnets on outcomes, not process. Const has changed the protocol 9-10 times in 2 years. That iteration speed is Bittensor's actual moat. The whole Covenant thesis is playing out in real time. TAO is up 100%+ in a month. Jensen Huang name-dropped the network. Grayscale has an ETF filing. But the real story is three subnets quietly building every layer of decentralized AI.

Jesus Martinez

26,642 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

For anyone trying to understand Bittensor from first principles, this lecture is a useful place to start. Presented by Bittensor co-founder const. Learn Bittensor > Start with Bitcoin, distributed systems, incentives, > How Bitcoin leads to Bittensor Subnets coordinating AI infrastructure. Topics: // Start - Bitcoin as more than a digital currency // Risks of AI centralization + closed systems // "The incentive computer" // How Bittensor subnets work (mining, validating) // How distributed AI infrastructure could scale globally // Impact on students, builders & future founders Recorded at the National University of Singapore Computer Science Club. NUS Computing Chapters - Bitcoin, AI, and Bittensor - Bitcoin history and decentralization - AI changes how engineers work - The danger of centralized AI power - Why most crypto visions fail - Bitcoin as the world’s largest compute network - Bitcoin as a market for compute - The idea of an “incentive computer” - Bitcoin compared to Bittensor - Classroom example of decentralized scoring - A simple subnet example - SN62 :: Ridges AI | SN62 SWE agents - SN3 templar :: Distributed AI Training - SN52 lium.io :: GPU rentals on Bittensor 128 subnets, some examples Why this matters for the future of work Q&A Subnet examples mentioned @ SN64 - Serverless + TEE Compute :: Chutes SN8 - Prop firm Vanta Trading SN52 - AutoML :: Gradients SN62 - SWE agents :: Ridges AI | SN62 SN51 - Compute / GPU rental lium.io SN4 - TEE compute for enterprise :: Targon SN3 - 72B Distributed Training run :: templar SN41 - Prediction markets :: Almanac SN44 - Computer Vision Score - Subnet 44 SN68 - Drug discovery :: METANOVA SN18 - Weather Forecasting Zeus | SN 18 SN50 - Bitcoin prediction data :: Synthdata SN61 - Quantum computing :: qBitTensor Labs SN14 - Bitcoin mining pool :: TaoHash SN34 - Perp Dex :: 0xMarkets SN17 - 3D model generation :: 404 SN33 - Data analytics :: ReadyAI SN19 - [Since relaunched] RPC infrastructure :

Openτensor Foundaτion

1,172,998 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

The Onion Theory of Risk by Marc Andreessen: "I think the single biggest thing entrepreneurs are missing, both on fundraising and how they run their companies, is the relationship between risk and cash. The relationship between risk and raising cash, and then the relationship between risk and spending cash. So I've always been a fan of something that Andy Ratcliffe taught me years ago, which he called the onion theory of risk. Um, which basically is, you can think about a startup like on day one, um, as having every conceivable kind of risk, right? And you can basically just make a list of the risks. And so you've got, you know, founding team risk. You know, do the founders, are the founders gonna be able to work together? Do you have the right founders? You're gonna have product risk. You know, can you build a product? You'll have technical risk, right? Which is maybe you need a machine learning breakthrough or something to make it work. Are you gonna be able to do that? Um, you'll have, you know, launch risk. Will the launch go well? You'll have, you know, market acceptance risk. You'll have revenue risk. A big risk you get into in a lot of businesses that have a sales force is, can you actually sell the product for enough money to actually pay for the cost of sale? So you have the cost of sale risk. If you're a consumer product, you'll have a viral growth risk. Well, you get the thing of viral growth. And so, a startup at the very beginning is basically just this long list of risks. And then the way that I always think about running a startup is also the way I think about raising money, which is it's a process of peeling away layers of risk as you go. And so you raise seed money in order to peel away the first two or three risks. The founding team risk, the product risk, and maybe the initial launch risk. You raise the A round to peel away the next level of product risk. Maybe you peel away some recruiting risk because you get your full engineering team built. Maybe you peel away some customer risk because you get your first five beta customers. And so basically the way to think about it is you're peeling away risk as you go. You're peeling away risk by achieving milestones. And then as you achieve milestones, you're both making progress in your business, and you're justifying raising more capital. And so you come in, and you pitch somebody like us, and you say you're raising a B round. The best way to do that with us is you say, okay, I raised a seed round, I achieved these milestones, I eliminated these risks. I raised the A round, I achieved these milestones, and I eliminated these risks. Now I'm gonna raise a B round. Here are my milestones, here are my risks. And then by the time I go to raise a seed round, here's the state that I'll be in. And then you calibrate the amount of money that you raise to spend to the risks that you're pulling out of the business. And I go through all this, in a sense this sounds kind of obvious, but I go through all this because it's a systematic way to think about how the money gets raised and deployed. As compared to so much of what's happening, especially these days, which is just, my God, let me go raise as much money as I can. Let me go build the fancy offices, let me go hire as many people as I can, and just kind of hope for the best."

Founder Mode

106,870 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

"We Need to Employ $50 Trillion": Larry Fink on Why the Private Sector Must Lead the Green Transition "Well, if they don't get it done, then we are going to have more risk as societies, we're going to have more issues related to rising climate and importantly, which will create more societal issues." "Already we're seeing an impact in society right now from climate risk and climate change. are seeing insurance premiums going up 18 % a year right now. So we're seeing a real impact from what climate risk is doing from flooding, from fires. So we're seeing a big impact." "And so the faster that we could find ways to mitigating the rising temperatures, I would say the more just society could be. And so to me, we don't have much time. And this is why when I learned about catalyst and I learned about what Bill was doing was very clear to me why we needed to be a part of this, why we needed to invest the time and the money." "And the key is also the time because we need to be learning about these new the new technologies and how to move forward. And we need to then inform our investors ultimately where we think the next opportunities are going to be too as Bill in his book wrote about, we need to employ $50 trillion to get to a green world." "With the rising deficits that we see in governments, from our perspective, the 50 trillion is mostly going to have to come from the private sector. And I do believe that money will be well spent, well spent for returns. It will transform our economies. It will build new jobs. will build new cities and new opportunities." "So I look at this as an optimist. I don't look at this as a pessimist. But the key is to be that optimist. We have to jump on it now. We have to be investing today. We need to talk about it today, although much of the problems in the future but we're seeing more and more evidence of the problem today."

Camus

55,484 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

David from USD.AI on the institutional shift happening behind CHIP, why every borrower they have is institutional, and why the AI super cycle has had no real on-chain exposure until now: "We have personally beat out other investment banks in running deals that we've signed. They're starting to view us as a threat. One call we had, she ended it early: 'I think you're a competitor, I can't talk anymore.' We're just cheaper financing, even for the bigger deals. People think we only do small deals, but we're starting to get bigger and bigger. As we attract more capital, we have to deploy in bigger deals to keep up. All of our customers are institutional. There's not a single retail borrower. These chips are expensive: The minimum we lend against is H200s, clusters of eight, that's like 300k. We're working with many of the brand names in San Francisco that are actually in the AI sector. People appreciate the positioning of Chip; it's actually engaging with the AI economy. A lot of people claim to be AI. They're in their own version of AI that they think is AI. But then there's the OpenAIs of the world. There's the Cursors of the world. Real customers, with real backing, that have cash flows. That is what people in our space want exposure to. We just haven't had a good way to do it. There's a reason you can get a loan against an airplane or a Honda Civic, but not a GPU. And GPUs are going to be worth a lot more than cars or airplanes in the future." Clip from the Modern Market interview with David | www.usd.ai

The Modern Market Show

10,397 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

‼️JUST NOW — powerful brief remarks by the leaders of Ukraine, the UK, France, and Germany in London: IN SHORT: Merz: “The coming days could be decisive for all of us. The destiny of this country is the destiny of Europe. Nobody should doubt our support for Ukraine. And this is what we are firmly standing behind. I'm skeptical about some of the details which we are seeing in the documents coming from the U.S. side.” Macron: "I think we have a lot of cards in our hands." Zelenskyy: "Our team came back, and I think that they will brief us about the last talks with Americans and after talks of Americans with Russians." Starmer: "If there's to be a ceasefire, it needs to be a just and lasting ceasefire. Matters about Ukraine are for Ukraine." FULL STATEMENTS: UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer: "But the principles remain, the principles that we've operated on for a very, very long time, which is that we stand with Ukraine, and if there's to be a ceasefire, it needs to be a just and lasting ceasefire. And that's why it's so important, that we repeatedly set out the principle forward that matters about Ukraine are for Ukraine. And we stand here to support you in the conflict and support you in the negotiations and make sure that this is a just and lasting settlement if we can get that far. You're very welcome for our discussions". President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy: "Thank you very much, Kir. Thank you for organizing this meeting. Thank you, friends, Emmanuel and Friedrich, and thank you for our joint meeting. I think that it is very important now to organize such a meeting and discuss very sensitive issues regarding these talks that we had, in the United States and between us. Our team came back, and I think that they will brief us about the last talks with Americans and after talks of Americans with Russians. I think there are lot of what we have to discuss and speak about. So there are a lot of things which are very important for today. I think, unity between Europe and Ukraine, and also unity between Europe, Ukraine, and the U.S. There are some things which we can't manage without Americans, things which we can't manage without Europe, and that's why we need to make some important decisions". President of France Emmanuel Macron: "And thank you Volodymyr for being with us. You are always welcome. In France, I think we all support Ukraine, and we all support peace. And peace negotiations to have sustainable, robust peace. And I think we have a lot of cards in our hands. The financing and the quality of equipments and training programs to Ukraine, the fact that Ukraine is resisting in this war, and the fact that the Russian economy is starting to suffer, especially after our latest sanctions and the US sanctions. And now I think the main issue is the convergence between our common positions, Europeans and Ukrainians, and the U.S. to finalize these, peace negotiations and re-engage in a new phase in the best possible conditions for Ukraine, for the Europeans, and for our collective security". Chancellor of Germany Friedrich Merz: "I highly appreciate that we are having the opportunity to see you, Volodymyr, together with Emmanuel, and talking about the upcoming days, because this could be a decisive time for all of us. We are trying to continue our support for Ukraine, as you know. On the other hand, we are seeing these talks and negotiations in Moscow and in the U.S. I'm looking forward to hear from you what the outcome of these talks might be. And we are still and remain strongly behind Ukraine and giving support to your country, because we all know that the destiny of this country is the destiny of Europe. So that's the reason why we are here, trying to figure out what we can do. And nobody should doubt on our support for Ukraine. And this is what we are firmly standing behind. And the outcome is open. I'm skeptical about some of the details which we are seeing in the documents coming from the U.S. side, but we have to talk about that. That's why we are here".

Kateryna Lisunova

373,089 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce