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AGI will arrive in 2026. The final missing piece is Continual Learning. The following AI Leaders have stated they believe Continual Learning will be solved this year: > Shane Legg > Dario Amodei > Sholto Douglas Rumor is GDM has it but needs guradrails. Prepare yourself.

Dan McAteer

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27,228 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Continual Learning in 2026. And AGI with it? In July, Dario said he believes Continual Learning will turn out to be not as difficult as it seems. Sholto Douglas, Anthropic and former Deepmind researcher, predicted Continual Learning gets solved in a satisfying way in 2026. Sholto said that last week. Considering how capable AI models have become in 2025, it is unwise to dismiss this as fundraising or hype. It is much wiser to assume AGI is coming. That it will change the world. And that you can benefit from it... ...than it is to assume the opposite. "Not enough people are ready for AI to not be a bubble." - roon Choose wisely my friends.

Continual Learning in 2026. And AGI with it? In July, Dario said he believes Continual Learning will turn out to be not as difficult as it seems. Sholto Douglas, Anthropic and former Deepmind researcher, predicted Continual Learning gets solved in a satisfying way in 2026. Sholto said that last week. Considering how capable AI models have become in 2025, it is unwise to dismiss this as fundraising or hype. It is much wiser to assume AGI is coming. That it will change the world. And that you can benefit from it... ...than it is to assume the opposite. "Not enough people are ready for AI to not be a bubble." - roon Choose wisely my friends.

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Making AI learning AGI-capable: continual learning, transfer learning, lifelong learning.

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OpenAI's Chief Scientist, Jakub Pachocki, on the continual learning wave: frontier labs are already building this into the core of the technology. The entire premise of scaling was to create systems that learn in context. Jakub says continual learning is not some separate missing piece, but “exactly what we’re working toward.”

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"Will the robotics industry will be generating trillions of dollars of revenue?", "YES." Dario Amodei says breakthroughs in robotics could emerge in several ways, such as through continual learning or generalization. Once achieved, these models will revolutionize both robot design and control. However, it will likely take another year or two from that point for the technology to diffuse through the economy.

"Will the robotics industry will be generating trillions of dollars of revenue?", "YES." Dario Amodei says breakthroughs in robotics could emerge in several ways, such as through continual learning or generalization. Once achieved, these models will revolutionize both robot design and control. However, it will likely take another year or two from that point for the technology to diffuse through the economy.

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AGI probably needs 1-2 new breakthroughs, like continual learning, selective memory, smarter context windows, and long term planning. ~ Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis But in any case, large foundation models will remain the key component of AGI. --- From 'Alex Kantrowitz' YT channel (link in comment)

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407,248 次观看 • 8 个月前

this was the most important bit of the ilya interview imo. humans are not AGI, and LLMs won’t become like humans with more scaling. humans lack a huge amount of knowledge and have insanely good “continual learning” powered by extremely good reward functions (except for addiction) that guide them. and so it’s more about the learning rather than knowledge. the term AGI was coined as a response to the narrow AI which was only capable of intelligence in a specific domain (chess, game, code, etc) but General intelligence is able to learn different topics because that’s what “learning” is about. pre-training was thought to be the solution to reaching AGI because you train AI on so many different topics. but they have “overshot” that target. amazing perspective.

this was the most important bit of the ilya interview imo. humans are not AGI, and LLMs won’t become like humans with more scaling. humans lack a huge amount of knowledge and have insanely good “continual learning” powered by extremely good reward functions (except for addiction) that guide them. and so it’s more about the learning rather than knowledge. the term AGI was coined as a response to the narrow AI which was only capable of intelligence in a specific domain (chess, game, code, etc) but General intelligence is able to learn different topics because that’s what “learning” is about. pre-training was thought to be the solution to reaching AGI because you train AI on so many different topics. but they have “overshot” that target. amazing perspective.

ℏεsam

53,442 次观看 • 7 个月前

This morning at NeurIPS, Rich Sutton reminded us that we need continual learning to reach AGI. This afternoon, Ali Behrouz presented a Google poster paper, Nested Learning, which provides new ideas on the path to continual learning. I recorded the 40 minute talk as it might be useful for some researchers in the audience. For the rest of us, I subscribe to Andrej Karpathy's suspicion that it will take a 5-10 papers like this to move us to AGI from where we are now, just like it took about 10 papers to move from 2012's AlexNet to ChatGPT. At the very end, I ask Ali how far along to continual learning this represents. Full paper link below, as well as a YouTube link. ps. sorry about the first 2 minutes of bad audio since there were 2 idiots standing beside me have a conversation right in front of this presenter in a rather packed poster presentation. Honestly, tamp down your egos guys and show come common courtesy!

This morning at NeurIPS, Rich Sutton reminded us that we need continual learning to reach AGI. This afternoon, Ali Behrouz presented a Google poster paper, Nested Learning, which provides new ideas on the path to continual learning. I recorded the 40 minute talk as it might be useful for some researchers in the audience. For the rest of us, I subscribe to Andrej Karpathy's suspicion that it will take a 5-10 papers like this to move us to AGI from where we are now, just like it took about 10 papers to move from 2012's AlexNet to ChatGPT. At the very end, I ask Ali how far along to continual learning this represents. Full paper link below, as well as a YouTube link. ps. sorry about the first 2 minutes of bad audio since there were 2 idiots standing beside me have a conversation right in front of this presenter in a rather packed poster presentation. Honestly, tamp down your egos guys and show come common courtesy!

Phil Trubey

235,435 次观看 • 7 个月前