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Amp co-founder Beyang says people who think coding agents will replace humans are living in a "dismal fantasy land": "There's a lot of hype around coding agents replacing humans entirely, or agents in general replacing jobs. The capabilities of agents are evolving at a fast pace, but fundamentally they... show more
24,407 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)
Комментарии: 2
Tony Tong | Founder | Ancient Systems x AI2 месяцев назад
@beyang Same pattern in my workshops. I run a series called Astrology Without the Woo, workshop 4 on money patterns, workshop 5 on dating and chemistry. The point was never to hand people a prediction, it's to sharpen the judgment call they still have to make themselves.
Kostya | AI2 месяцев назад
@beyang While agents won’t replace coders, they’ll likely shift the workflow, automating repetitive scaffolding and letting developers focus on higher‑level design.
![CEO Dhaval Adjodah and CTO Owen He on building a self-improving AI company where humans and agents work as one system: "One big limit of [RSI] is the human element. I think the way that a lot of AI companies are thinking is, let us use AI to replace humans." "But what we found is that there's so much that good researchers and good engineers can bring to the table that's gonna be very hard to replace by agents." "And so that's why from the very beginning, we've tried to think of our basically entire company as a multi-agent system, where humans are a kind of agent that's cohabitating with other AI agents." "We have one of our engineers that we named the Viceroy of Variance. That's a real thing. His job is to go and destroy the results we have and find what's wrong." "So far we have not found a replacement for what we call quality time. Literally running hundreds of experiments, looking at it, developing an intuition, trying to figure out what is wrong, what is not wrong... what is just variance, what is not." MakerMaker.AI Dhaval Adjodah](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2109702031661465899/amplify_video_thumb/2109701889495576577/img/Q3S2Pspdo_G0ptmo.jpg)
![Temporal CEO Samar Birwadker says GitHub was designed for humans, but is now at the mercy of agents. "Agents are starting to get more and more long-lived, more asynchronous, and more mission-critical." "For example, if you pick coding agents alone, is something like GitHub was designed for humans collaborate and create [pull requests] right now." "Now a lot of code is being generated by these agents, and they're the ones creating these PRs essentially, and even code review process is being automated by other agents." "So now this entire system backend, which is being built for human consumption, is now at the mercy of these agents kind of using it for their own coordination and collaboration."](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2052888409904168988/amplify_video_thumb/2052888121659076608/img/W2qzz_coo9L4pBdg.jpg)
![Airtable's Howie Liu says that basically everyone will need to graduate from being ICs to ICs that manage teams of 20-30 agents: "The best developers today don't just sit there in front of their IDEs and synchronously talk to their agent." "[Instead], you have like 30 separate branches that are each being worked on by a different agent. And you can have the agents continue to update the branches based on human and other agent feedback." "And I think this whole idea of it taking hours for that entire loop to complete — agent pushes some changes, the changes get feedback from other agents or humans, the agent responds to that — that whole loop could be hours, not just minutes. So you're not going to just sit there and watch it one at a time." "But the powerful thing about this is, each one is still actually operating faster than a human engineer. One agent on one branch can do the work of maybe three humans, operating 3x as fast. So it's like a 10x leverage factor just for one agent." "But the best engineers are now able to multitask and say, 'I'm going to oversee my own little team of 20-30 agents working concurrently.'" "Everyone needs to graduate from being an IC to an IC manager of agents. Meaning, if you're a VC analyst, your job should no longer be to go synchronously research one company. You need to go and research like 30 companies, and do them all faster, better, and higher quality than you could before." "That's the greatest leap that is going to be challenging for a lot of people in a lot of roles. Because it's a totally different mentality in how you operate, and what your role is."](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2046698073511141425/amplify_video_thumb/2046698001637453824/img/pnyhxL9xXxUoN__D.jpg)
![Sequoia partner Pat Grady says software is shifting from apps that demand attention to agents that work quietly in the background. This shift will change what moats will look like, and will be especially hard for incumbents to deal with. "It's two very different business paradigms," he says. "In an era of apps, you want a lot of surface area with your customers, you want them to spend a lot of time in your product." "In an era of agents, things can just be running passively in the background. The amount of surface area you have with your customers, the amount of time they might spend in your product might be de minimis. So the nature of the moat that you [will need to build] is different." "I think we'll see a lot of companies in the coming years able to live in the software world and have some of the workflows people are accustomed to. And then separately they can deploy these passive agents that kind of function as coworkers who just come back to you when things are done."](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2012303522474377326/amplify_video_thumb/2012302721999847427/img/WZhg-X-Po4lfOYUk.jpg)
