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Anthropic just quietly published the most terrifying chart in tech The blue zone = what AI can automate right now. The red zone = what's actually being used. The gap between them is enormous - and it's not closing slowly. It's waiting to snap shut. > #1 most at-risk...

233,018 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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The man who built ChatGPT just issued a verdict on your career. Andrej Karpathy, co-founder of OpenAI, the architect of Tesla Autopilot just ranked every job in America by one brutal question, how soon does AI replace you?​ He pulled all 342 occupations from official US government labor data. And fed each one to an AI with a scoring rubric, published the results for the world to see.​ The verdict is that the average American worker scores 5.3 out of 10 for AI replacement risk.​ More than half the economy is already inside the blast radius. Here is what the numbers actually say. 42% of all US jobs score 7 or higher and that's 59.9 million people.​ The jobs at the top of the kill list are not low-skill factory work. They are the highest-paid, most-educated careers in the country.​ Software developers, 9/10, Financial analysts: 9/10. Lawyers: 8/10, Office administrators: 9/10.​ The jobs that require a laptop are the jobs in the crosshairs Jobs scoring 7 or above represent $3.7 trillion in annual U.S. wages. Roofers score a 1 and construction workers score a 1.​ The people who everyone called unskilled may be the most recession-proof workers alive. Karpathy's rule is one sentence, if the entire job happens on a screen, exposure is high.​ Anthropic, the company behind Claude published its own data the same week. Anthropic also found something nobody is talking about. Hiring for young workers aged 22–25 in high exposure jobs is already slowing down. The layoffs have not spiked yet but the hiring has stopped. The most chilling part is not the 10/10 score but rather that no job scored a zero.​ There is no safe harbor, only degrees of exposure.

StockMarket.News

216,992 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

The corporate ladder doesn't exist anymore. It's structurally GONE. The bottom rungs have been removed. And the data proves it beyond any debate: Employment for software developers aged 22 to 25 has fallen nearly 20% since late 2022. The exact moment generative AI went mainstream. Developers aged 30 and older at the SAME companies? Employment grew 6 to 12%. Same companies. Same industry. Same economy. Young workers got cut. Senior workers got raises. This is literally a restructuring of who gets to have a career. Entry-level jobs across AI-exposed fields collapsed: - Software postings dropped from 43% entry-level to 28% - Data roles dropped from 35% to 22% - Consulting dropped from 41% to 26% Total entry-level postings in the US down 35% since January 2023. Bloomberg reported this week that 43% of US graduates aged 22 to 27 are now underemployed. Working jobs that don't require the degree they just spent four years and six figures earning. Meanwhile 60% of entry-level jobs now require 3+ years of experience. Entry-level. Three years experience required. You need the job to get the experience. You need the experience to get the job. The loop is closed. So here's what you need to understand: Every generation before this one had a deal. An unspoken contract between companies and young workers. You start at the bottom. You answer phones. You build spreadsheets. You write the first draft that a senior person edits. You sit in meetings you don't understand yet. You learn by doing the work nobody else wants to do. That was the training ground. The apprenticeship that turned a 22yo with a degree into a 28yo who could actually run something. But AI automated that entire layer: First drafts? ChatGPT. Data entry? Automated. Basic code? Copilot. Customer support tier 1? Agents. Report generation? Gone. Research summaries? Gone. Junior analyst work? Gone. The tasks that used to TEACH young people how to become senior people no longer exist as jobs. Companies aren't replacing those roles with training programs. They're just not hiring juniors at all. SignalFire found a 50% decline in new hires with less than one year of post-graduate experience at major tech companies between 2019 and 2024. The Dallas Fed confirmed it: Young people aren't getting fired... They're never getting HIRED in the first place. The door closed before they could walk through it. Now you have an economy with two classes: Senior workers who learned their skills BEFORE AI. They carry institutional knowledge, judgment, and context no model can replicate. Wages rising. Jobs secure. AI makes them MORE valuable. Young workers who graduated INTO the AI era. Their textbook knowledge is exactly what AI replicates best. Wages stagnant. Jobs disappearing. Redundant before they've had a chance to become anything. Walmart's CEO started by unloading trucks. HP's CEO started in a call center. GM's CEO started on the assembly line at 18. Those paths are gone. Not because companies are evil - but because the WORK those paths were built on no longer requires a human. And here's the scary part to me: If nobody trains the next generation, there IS no next generation. The 28yo manager you want to hire in 2030 is the 22yo who can't get an entry-level job today. The senior talent you're hoarding will retire. Nobody will be behind them. Because nobody invested in building them. So every company celebrating "doing more with less" is quietly destroying the pipeline of people who would have become their future leaders. The ladder isn't broken. It's been REMOVED. And nobody's building a new one.

Ricardo

11,900 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Goldman Sachs just published the list of jobs AI will eliminate first. 300 million jobs globally. 25% of all US work hours. And that's not in 10 years, it's starting NOW. Highest risk of displacement according to Goldman: 1. Computer programmers 2. Accountants 3. Auditors 4. Legal assistants 5. Administrative assistants 6. Customer service reps 7. Telemarketers 8. Proofreaders 9. Copy editors 10. Credit analysts. 46% of all office and administrative tasks can be automated. 44% of legal work. 37% of architecture and engineering. 36% of science. 35% of business and finance. These aren't warehouse jobs. These aren't factory floor positions. These are the careers parents told their kids to pursue. "Go to college. Get a degree. Get a desk job. You'll be safe." Goldman Sachs just told you that desk is getting emptied. And the data is already showing up in real time: Tech employment as a share of the US economy has dropped below its long-term trend for the first time since records began. Marketing consulting, graphic design, office administration, and call centers are all seeing employment growth fall below trend. Younger workers are getting hit first and hardest. Goldman's lead economist said it directly: "The big story in 2026 in labor will be AI." But here's what the report doesn't mention: Goldman Sachs is one of the biggest investors in the companies BUILDING the AI that eliminates these jobs. They underwrote OpenAI's funding rounds. They're advising on the $700 billion in AI infrastructure spending this year. They profit from every merger, every capex deal, every stock offering tied to AI. The same bank telling you 300 million jobs are at risk is making billions helping the companies that will take them. And the corporate playbook is already locked in: Meta is firing 16,000 people. 20% of its entire workforce. While doubling AI spending to $135 billion. Stock went up 3% on the announcement. Block fired 40% of its staff. Stock surged 24%. Atlassian cut 10%. Same pattern. Over 61,000 AI-linked layoffs since November. 764 people per day losing their jobs in tech alone. Every single time a company announces mass layoffs and says "AI," the stock price goes up. Wall Street has created a system where firing humans is the most profitable announcement a CEO can make. Goldman's report says the jobs most PROTECTED from AI are air traffic controllers, chief executives, radiologists, pharmacists, and members of the clergy. Notice who's safe? The people at the top and the people praying. Everyone in the middle is exposed. The entry-level white-collar worker who spent four years and $200,000 on a degree is now competing against software that works 24/7, never takes vacation, never asks for a raise, and improves every single week. Goldman even admits younger workers in their 20s and 30s entering knowledge and content creation sectors will be "most affected." The generation that was told AI would make their lives better is the one getting displaced by it first. And it gets even WORSE: Goldman says if this displacement happens faster than their 10 year base case, the economic impact "could be much larger." Basically: if companies move fast, which they already are, the fallout will be worse than their projections. They're already moving fast. $700 billion in AI infrastructure this year. Mass layoffs at every major tech company. Stock prices rewarding every single one. The report is 50 pages of data telling you exactly what's coming. Most people won't read past the headline. But you just did.

Ricardo

235,602 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад