Loading video...

Video Failed to Load

Go Home

Anti-corruption data analyst studying the success of anonymous Polymarket bets on military outcomes says the 52% success rate of these bets are a "telltale sign" of "systemic insider trading"

HQNewsNow's profile picture

Headquarters

1,155,679 subscribers

64,831 views • 3 months ago •via X (Twitter)

News & Politics
LIVE

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 Comments

No comments available

Comments from the original post will appear here

Related Videos

The Anti-Corruption Data Collective found long-shot wagers — bets of more than $2,500 with less than 35% odds — on military outcomes won more than they lost. Researchers say it’s a telltale sign of “systemic insider-trading.”
0:49

The Anti-Corruption Data Collective found long-shot wagers — bets of more than $2,500 with less than 35% odds — on military outcomes won more than they lost. Researchers say it’s a telltale sign of “systemic insider-trading.”

60 Minutes

181,673 views • 3 months ago

NEW: Polymarket referred dozens of possible military insider trading cases to the DOJ, per source with knowledge. Many of these accounts showed hallmarks of insider activity on war markets: brand-new wallets, well-timed bets, 97% win rate.
2:57

NEW: Polymarket referred dozens of possible military insider trading cases to the DOJ, per source with knowledge. Many of these accounts showed hallmarks of insider activity on war markets: brand-new wallets, well-timed bets, 97% win rate.

Marshall Cohen

12,970 views • 5 days ago

Data analyst studying anonymous Polymarket bets on military operations: "This might be the most insane pattern we have found on Polymarket so far... We spotted 9 Polymarket accounts, all connected, who made collectively $2.4M betting almost exclusively on US military operations... Here is the crazy part. 98% win rate... Luck alone cannot explain those numbers."
1:46

Data analyst studying anonymous Polymarket bets on military operations: "This might be the most insane pattern we have found on Polymarket so far... We spotted 9 Polymarket accounts, all connected, who made collectively $2.4M betting almost exclusively on US military operations... Here is the crazy part. 98% win rate... Luck alone cannot explain those numbers."

Headquarters

40,343 views • 3 months ago

LUCK ALONE CAN'T EXPLAIN THIS... 9 connected Polymarket accounts. $2.4M in profits. Bets almost exclusively on U.S. military operations. A 98% win rate. Now convince me it isn’t insider trading.
1:41

LUCK ALONE CAN'T EXPLAIN THIS... 9 connected Polymarket accounts. $2.4M in profits. Bets almost exclusively on U.S. military operations. A 98% win rate. Now convince me it isn’t insider trading.

Coin Bureau

31,878 views • 3 months ago

Bets on prediction markets are getting out of control. As if bets on war and insider trading weren’t enough. Now people are wagering on wildfires. And creating the most perverse and destructive of incentives.
2:52

Bets on prediction markets are getting out of control. As if bets on war and insider trading weren’t enough. Now people are wagering on wildfires. And creating the most perverse and destructive of incentives.

Senator Adam Schiff

78,881 views • 8 days ago

High stakes bets on apps like Polymarket have led to allegations of insider trading. On the latest edition of the This Is Why podcast, Niall Paterson speaks to our OSINT producer Sam Doak about Polymarket, and the ethics of wartime betting Listen now 🔗
1:11

High stakes bets on apps like Polymarket have led to allegations of insider trading. On the latest edition of the This Is Why podcast, Niall Paterson speaks to our OSINT producer Sam Doak about Polymarket, and the ethics of wartime betting Listen now 🔗

Sky News

16,996 views • 5 months ago

Absolute importance. 60 Minutes exposes how a US Army soldier literally used highly classified Pentagon intelligence to execute massive insider trading bets on the capture of the Venezuelan President. The corruption within the US military establishment is absolutely staggering!
1:03

Absolute importance. 60 Minutes exposes how a US Army soldier literally used highly classified Pentagon intelligence to execute massive insider trading bets on the capture of the Venezuelan President. The corruption within the US military establishment is absolutely staggering!

Furkan Gözükara

38,845 views • 3 months ago

Absolute bombshell. James O'Brien exposes massive insider trading just before Trump announced a ceasefire. 8 newly created accounts placed massive bets on a US-Iran ceasefire with obvious insider knowledge. The corruption of this war is staggering.
1:15

Absolute bombshell. James O'Brien exposes massive insider trading just before Trump announced a ceasefire. 8 newly created accounts placed massive bets on a US-Iran ceasefire with obvious insider knowledge. The corruption of this war is staggering.

Furkan Gözükara

180,406 views • 5 months ago

Experience a new way of trading crypto, where the bets are low but the rewards are high! Game On. Trade On!📈
1:02

Experience a new way of trading crypto, where the bets are low but the rewards are high! Game On. Trade On!📈

TradingLeagueshq

11,473 views • 2 years ago

🚨More than 80 suspiciously timed trades were placed ahead of Iran military operations. 🚨Politicians and government officials with inside information are placing bets and taking profits. This insider trading must end. I’m demanding info from Polymarket & Kalshi.👇
10:46

🚨More than 80 suspiciously timed trades were placed ahead of Iran military operations. 🚨Politicians and government officials with inside information are placing bets and taking profits. This insider trading must end. I’m demanding info from Polymarket & Kalshi.👇

Rep. James Comer

36,689 views • 3 months ago

A new report raises concerns that insiders are using classified U.S. military information to place Polymarket bets that foreign adversaries can readily decode. “It’s shockingly easy,” Michelle Kendler-Kretsch, research fellow at Anti-Corruption Data Collective, tells “Jesse Weber Live.” More:
4:05

A new report raises concerns that insiders are using classified U.S. military information to place Polymarket bets that foreign adversaries can readily decode. “It’s shockingly easy,” Michelle Kendler-Kretsch, research fellow at Anti-Corruption Data Collective, tells “Jesse Weber Live.” More:

NewsNation

11,387 views • 5 days ago

Just before the US strike on Iran, a surge of suspiciously timed bets on prediction markets triggered fresh insider trading alarms. Funds that let investors mirror the stock trades of Congress are under scrutiny. Tidal Financial Group’s Dan Weiskopf said ‘the grift continues’
5:31

Just before the US strike on Iran, a surge of suspiciously timed bets on prediction markets triggered fresh insider trading alarms. Funds that let investors mirror the stock trades of Congress are under scrutiny. Tidal Financial Group’s Dan Weiskopf said ‘the grift continues’

Reuters

138,029 views • 5 months ago

MicroStrategy Selling Bitcoin? Here's What Happens Next The Order Book Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 0:30 - Bitcoin Price Action Analysis 10:12 - Macro Analysis (Stocks + Crypto, News, Big Picture) 14:28 - Stocks Over Crypto? (Trading The Hottest Markets) 17:22 - Summary Of Trades and Market Thoughts 21:32 - Polymarket Best Bets (2026 NBA Champion) 24:07 - Polymarket Best Bets (2026 FIFA World Cup Winner) 25:15 - Polymarket Best Bets (Will GameStop Aquire eBay?) 26:21 - Polymarket Best Bets (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) 29:23 - Polymarket Best Bets (Microstrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___?) 31:37 - Will Michael Saylor Actually Sell Bitcoin? 39:03 - Polymarket Best Bets (What will S&P 500 Hit by end of June?) 40:35 - Polymarket Best Bets (Will the US Confirm that aliens exist by…?)
45:24

MicroStrategy Selling Bitcoin? Here's What Happens Next The Order Book Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 0:30 - Bitcoin Price Action Analysis 10:12 - Macro Analysis (Stocks + Crypto, News, Big Picture) 14:28 - Stocks Over Crypto? (Trading The Hottest Markets) 17:22 - Summary Of Trades and Market Thoughts 21:32 - Polymarket Best Bets (2026 NBA Champion) 24:07 - Polymarket Best Bets (2026 FIFA World Cup Winner) 25:15 - Polymarket Best Bets (Will GameStop Aquire eBay?) 26:21 - Polymarket Best Bets (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) 29:23 - Polymarket Best Bets (Microstrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___?) 31:37 - Will Michael Saylor Actually Sell Bitcoin? 39:03 - Polymarket Best Bets (What will S&P 500 Hit by end of June?) 40:35 - Polymarket Best Bets (Will the US Confirm that aliens exist by…?)

Mayne

25,482 views • 3 months ago

Reporter on Insider Trading at WH: Is there any sort of plan in place to try to track people to see if they're making these types of bets in the White House? Leavitt: I don’t know why there’s further questions on it.
1:36

Reporter on Insider Trading at WH: Is there any sort of plan in place to try to track people to see if they're making these types of bets in the White House? Leavitt: I don’t know why there’s further questions on it.

Acyn

61,960 views • 1 month ago

A group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific, well-timed bets on whether the U.S. and Iran would reach a ceasefire on April 7, resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for these new customers.
1:12

A group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific, well-timed bets on whether the U.S. and Iran would reach a ceasefire on April 7, resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for these new customers.

The Associated Press

76,204 views • 4 months ago

Reporter: There are also bets being placed on the Iran conflict. People suspect there is insider trading happening. Are you concerned? Trump: Unfortunately, the whole world has become somewhat of a casino. I don't like it conceptually. It is what it is.
0:45

Reporter: There are also bets being placed on the Iran conflict. People suspect there is insider trading happening. Are you concerned? Trump: Unfortunately, the whole world has become somewhat of a casino. I don't like it conceptually. It is what it is.

unusual_whales

215,881 views • 4 months ago

Wagers on popular prediction markets tied to the fate of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the timing of U.S. military strikes in the country are drawing scrutiny over possible insider trading and the ethics of betting on death. Users of Kalshi and Polymarket have flocked to the platforms in recent weeks to wager millions on potential actions involving Iran. CBS News' Jo Ling Kent reports on the timing of these bets and how it is prompting some lawmakers to question whether the wagers were made based on inside information. At the same time, ethical concerns are growing over allowing users to speculate on certain issues.
1:55

Wagers on popular prediction markets tied to the fate of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the timing of U.S. military strikes in the country are drawing scrutiny over possible insider trading and the ethics of betting on death. Users of Kalshi and Polymarket have flocked to the platforms in recent weeks to wager millions on potential actions involving Iran. CBS News' Jo Ling Kent reports on the timing of these bets and how it is prompting some lawmakers to question whether the wagers were made based on inside information. At the same time, ethical concerns are growing over allowing users to speculate on certain issues.

CBS News

114,674 views • 5 months ago

How did Chris Hohn turn a handful of multibillion-dollar bets into one of the world's most successful hedge funds? Costas Mourselas examines the iron convictions behind his success — and how they are now increasingly being tested.
1:48

How did Chris Hohn turn a handful of multibillion-dollar bets into one of the world's most successful hedge funds? Costas Mourselas examines the iron convictions behind his success — and how they are now increasingly being tested.

Financial Times

17,358 views • 2 months ago

"The hurdle rate is higher but great businesses are being funded," TriNet CEO Burton Goldfield says on the higher rate environment for small business owners. "We are seeing a record level of innovation and success with many of the small businesses we serve."
3:18

"The hurdle rate is higher but great businesses are being funded," TriNet CEO Burton Goldfield says on the higher rate environment for small business owners. "We are seeing a record level of innovation and success with many of the small businesses we serve."

Yahoo Finance

10,818 views • 3 years ago