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Data analyst studying anonymous Polymarket bets on military operations: "This might be the most insane pattern we have found on Polymarket so far... We spotted 9 Polymarket accounts, all connected, who made collectively $2.4M betting almost exclusively on US military operations... Here is the crazy part. 98% win rate...... show more

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LUCK ALONE CAN'T EXPLAIN THIS... 9 connected Polymarket accounts. $2.4M in profits. Bets almost exclusively on U.S. military operations. A 98% win rate. Now convince me it isn’t insider trading.

LUCK ALONE CAN'T EXPLAIN THIS... 9 connected Polymarket accounts. $2.4M in profits. Bets almost exclusively on U.S. military operations. A 98% win rate. Now convince me it isn’t insider trading.

Coin Bureau

31,878 views • 2 months ago

“We spotted nine Polymarket accounts, all connected, who made, collectively,$2.4 million betting almost exclusively on U.S. military operations,” says Nicolas Vaiman, co-founder of the small data analytics firm Bubblemaps. “And now here's the crazy part: 98% win rate.”

“We spotted nine Polymarket accounts, all connected, who made, collectively,$2.4 million betting almost exclusively on U.S. military operations,” says Nicolas Vaiman, co-founder of the small data analytics firm Bubblemaps. “And now here's the crazy part: 98% win rate.”

60 Minutes

3,792,674 views • 2 months ago

Anti-corruption data analyst studying the success of anonymous Polymarket bets on military outcomes says the 52% success rate of these bets are a "telltale sign" of "systemic insider trading"

Anti-corruption data analyst studying the success of anonymous Polymarket bets on military outcomes says the 52% success rate of these bets are a "telltale sign" of "systemic insider trading"

Headquarters

64,831 views • 2 months ago

VIDEO | "We spotted nine Polymarket accounts, all connected, who made, collectively, $2.4 million betting almost exclusively on US military operations." Online prediction markets have evolved into a major arena for war profiteering, with traders wagering over a billion dollars this year alone on global military outcomes. A CBS News investigation revealed that the phenomenon has sparked an entirely new category of insider trading, leading to unprecedented federal prosecutions involving individuals leveraging highly sensitive government intelligence for personal financial gain.

VIDEO | "We spotted nine Polymarket accounts, all connected, who made, collectively, $2.4 million betting almost exclusively on US military operations." Online prediction markets have evolved into a major arena for war profiteering, with traders wagering over a billion dollars this year alone on global military outcomes. A CBS News investigation revealed that the phenomenon has sparked an entirely new category of insider trading, leading to unprecedented federal prosecutions involving individuals leveraging highly sensitive government intelligence for personal financial gain.

The Cradle

11,720 views • 28 days ago

Suspected insider made $2.14 million betting on a U.S. strike on Iran - using 38 accounts on Polymarket. > $2.14M Profit > 38 accounts with PNL ranging from $30k to $230k > 4–10 bets on military events > ~100% win rate >All accounts belong to the same person. Prep started on February 22 = Knew everything in advance!? I'm about to break down this insane story - the biggest suspected insider win in Polymarket history - in this thread. Like/bookmark/retweet/quote to support Full details in the thread below ->>>

Suspected insider made $2.14 million betting on a U.S. strike on Iran - using 38 accounts on Polymarket. > $2.14M Profit > 38 accounts with PNL ranging from $30k to $230k > 4–10 bets on military events > ~100% win rate >All accounts belong to the same person. Prep started on February 22 = Knew everything in advance!? I'm about to break down this insane story - the biggest suspected insider win in Polymarket history - in this thread. Like/bookmark/retweet/quote to support Full details in the thread below ->>>

Andrew 10 GWEI

129,992 views • 4 months ago

THE WORLDS FIRST PROP FIRM FOR POLYMARKET IS HERE! If you believe you have the skill to trade Polymarket but not the capital, we are here for you! Receive up to $200,000 in funded capital with PolyFundr and prove your edge! ✨ We are giving away 5 free $200,000 accounts TONIGHT to random people who retweet and comment on this post. Good luck! Your skill. Our capital.

THE WORLDS FIRST PROP FIRM FOR POLYMARKET IS HERE! If you believe you have the skill to trade Polymarket but not the capital, we are here for you! Receive up to $200,000 in funded capital with PolyFundr and prove your edge! ✨ We are giving away 5 free $200,000 accounts TONIGHT to random people who retweet and comment on this post. Good luck! Your skill. Our capital.

PolyFundr

97,421 views • 2 months ago

Polymarket vs Sportsbooks: Why Betting Apps are Toast On E248, Chamath and Friedberg discussed why prediction markets like Polymarket are killing traditional sportsbooks. Friedberg: “I think gambling generally, as we call it, should be decriminalized.” “And I don't like this state-by-state set up with gambling.” “I think we should have a federal regulatory body.” “This is not going away. People love to bet on stuff. This is part of sports, this is part of the culture.” Chamath: “ Look at Polymarket.” “Polymarket raised at, whatever it was, $1-2B at $9B. Then the next weekend they announced sports betting and now they're raising money 30 days later at, allegedly, $12-15B.” “And you can see, by the way, the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.” Friedberg: “ The Polymarket model is the best model because it creates a market.” “And so as information flows in, that market will dynamically adjust and everyone will get a more fair price.” “Polymarket actually has the news before the news does.” “And this is one of the most powerful outputs of Polymarket, is they're actually getting a read on what's going on in the world before the media recognizes it, before the public recognizes it.” “When you put money up, it actually turns out that when people have incentives, that market will find the truth.”

Polymarket vs Sportsbooks: Why Betting Apps are Toast On E248, Chamath and Friedberg discussed why prediction markets like Polymarket are killing traditional sportsbooks. Friedberg: “I think gambling generally, as we call it, should be decriminalized.” “And I don't like this state-by-state set up with gambling.” “I think we should have a federal regulatory body.” “This is not going away. People love to bet on stuff. This is part of sports, this is part of the culture.” Chamath: “ Look at Polymarket.” “Polymarket raised at, whatever it was, $1-2B at $9B. Then the next weekend they announced sports betting and now they're raising money 30 days later at, allegedly, $12-15B.” “And you can see, by the way, the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.” Friedberg: “ The Polymarket model is the best model because it creates a market.” “And so as information flows in, that market will dynamically adjust and everyone will get a more fair price.” “Polymarket actually has the news before the news does.” “And this is one of the most powerful outputs of Polymarket, is they're actually getting a read on what's going on in the world before the media recognizes it, before the public recognizes it.” “When you put money up, it actually turns out that when people have incentives, that market will find the truth.”

The All-In Podcast

348,178 views • 9 months ago

This guy made $15,000 on Polymarket with a 100% win rate Simply by betting $5 on the weather Result: $5 → $15,000 490 trades. Win rate 100%. The biggest win: $2,600 on a single bet. Profile and copytrading: His strategy is simple: - Buys YES only below 10-15c - Buys NO only above 40-50c - Still risks <$5 per position Small bets + small price = positive profit over time Bookmark this post so you don’t lose easy money

AdiiX

92,232 views • 4 months ago

making money from pentagon pizza orders is actually possible sounds insane but hear me out I saw how some people made such a bot and earned millions on polymarket, so I decided to do the same: when major military operations happen, pentagon staff work late nights late nights = massive pizza order spikes venezuela operation? 800% spike in orders before news broke public so i'm building a bot that: → tracks pizza deliveries near pentagon → detects unusual spikes (2-3x normal volume) → matches them to political prediction markets → places bets before events go public currently adding polymarket markets to make it even better goal: $10k this month from pizza data this is either genius or the dumbest thing i've ever built how do you think this will work?

making money from pentagon pizza orders is actually possible sounds insane but hear me out I saw how some people made such a bot and earned millions on polymarket, so I decided to do the same: when major military operations happen, pentagon staff work late nights late nights = massive pizza order spikes venezuela operation? 800% spike in orders before news broke public so i'm building a bot that: → tracks pizza deliveries near pentagon → detects unusual spikes (2-3x normal volume) → matches them to political prediction markets → places bets before events go public currently adding polymarket markets to make it even better goal: $10k this month from pizza data this is either genius or the dumbest thing i've ever built how do you think this will work?

Argona

18,348 views • 6 months ago

I found 3 edges on Polymarket that turned $6,400 into $28,900 in 8 weeks No insider info. No leverage. No luck Just public data that 93% of traders ignore Edge 1: NOAA The US government runs a $6B weather supercomputer Satellites. Ocean buoys. Doppler radar. 40 years of atmospheric models It updates every few minutes Polymarket prices adjust 9-15 minutes later That delay is an arbitrage window NOAA says 84% probability. Market prices it at 12¢ 72-point edge. On a free government API 47 trades. 91% win rate. $11,340 Edge 2: top wallets Top 200 Polymarket wallets have 87% combined win rate and $4.7M in profit I'm use for copytrade bots Gluon: Fighting them is stupid Copying them is not Half-Kelly sizing. 10% max exposure. Auto-execution 134 trades. 84% win rate. $12,680 Edge 3: correlation spreads Polymarket prices correlated contracts independently Two contracts that should move together sometimes diverge 15-20% Short the overpriced one. Long the underpriced one. Convergence does the rest 12 pairs traded. 75% win rate. $4,880 8 weeks. 3 strategies. $6,400 → $28,900 Then I automated everything Now it runs 24/7 on a Python scheduler 4 hours a week to monitor The data is public. The formulas are on Wikipedia. The code runs on any laptop The edge is that nobody bothers to connect the dots

I found 3 edges on Polymarket that turned $6,400 into $28,900 in 8 weeks No insider info. No leverage. No luck Just public data that 93% of traders ignore Edge 1: NOAA The US government runs a $6B weather supercomputer Satellites. Ocean buoys. Doppler radar. 40 years of atmospheric models It updates every few minutes Polymarket prices adjust 9-15 minutes later That delay is an arbitrage window NOAA says 84% probability. Market prices it at 12¢ 72-point edge. On a free government API 47 trades. 91% win rate. $11,340 Edge 2: top wallets Top 200 Polymarket wallets have 87% combined win rate and $4.7M in profit I'm use for copytrade bots Gluon: Fighting them is stupid Copying them is not Half-Kelly sizing. 10% max exposure. Auto-execution 134 trades. 84% win rate. $12,680 Edge 3: correlation spreads Polymarket prices correlated contracts independently Two contracts that should move together sometimes diverge 15-20% Short the overpriced one. Long the underpriced one. Convergence does the rest 12 pairs traded. 75% win rate. $4,880 8 weeks. 3 strategies. $6,400 → $28,900 Then I automated everything Now it runs 24/7 on a Python scheduler 4 hours a week to monitor The data is public. The formulas are on Wikipedia. The code runs on any laptop The edge is that nobody bothers to connect the dots

Lunar

19,855 views • 4 months ago

Devs are printing $50k-$200k/week on Polymarket Hard truth: You won't hit those numbers on the frontend. The UI lags 10x behind reality. I’ve been a dev for 8+ years. I’m opening a FREE bootcamp to teach you the basics on how to build your first BOT. Why I’m doing this: > Most of you will just bookmark this and never execute. > If you outgrow me, I gain a smarter circle. We all level up The plan (2 weeks bootcamp) : → Learn the Polymarket API basics → Fetch raw data → Build an interpretation engine that executes trades To join: → Join Polymarket via my link: → Deposit $20+ → DM me your TG handle Group will open soon. If you have not been invited yet, you will be asap. (The clip below shows what raw API speed looks like)

Devs are printing $50k-$200k/week on Polymarket Hard truth: You won't hit those numbers on the frontend. The UI lags 10x behind reality. I’ve been a dev for 8+ years. I’m opening a FREE bootcamp to teach you the basics on how to build your first BOT. Why I’m doing this: > Most of you will just bookmark this and never execute. > If you outgrow me, I gain a smarter circle. We all level up The plan (2 weeks bootcamp) : → Learn the Polymarket API basics → Fetch raw data → Build an interpretation engine that executes trades To join: → Join Polymarket via my link: → Deposit $20+ → DM me your TG handle Group will open soon. If you have not been invited yet, you will be asap. (The clip below shows what raw API speed looks like)

Jayden ⛩️

12,206 views • 7 months ago

99% winrate: polymarket trader that literally forgets how to lose i found a wallet on Polymarket that feels like a glitch in the simulation his stats: win rate: 99% PnL: $30,000 strategy: manual, disciplined, high-probability trades bet size: ~$10k why this is the perfect copy-trading setup: >99% win rate means you almost never see a "red day" its the perfect setup for those who want steady growth without the stress of drawdowns >this isnt a high-speed bot, you have time to sync and follow without getting crushed by execution speed >at ~$10k per bet, he doesnt move the market. you can copy him using PolyGun and get filled at almost the same prices wallet:

99% winrate: polymarket trader that literally forgets how to lose i found a wallet on Polymarket that feels like a glitch in the simulation his stats: win rate: 99% PnL: $30,000 strategy: manual, disciplined, high-probability trades bet size: ~$10k why this is the perfect copy-trading setup: >99% win rate means you almost never see a "red day" its the perfect setup for those who want steady growth without the stress of drawdowns >this isnt a high-speed bot, you have time to sync and follow without getting crushed by execution speed >at ~$10k per bet, he doesnt move the market. you can copy him using PolyGun and get filled at almost the same prices wallet:

AshenSoul

33,904 views • 6 months ago

I just found a Polymarket trader who made over 500 trades with a 98% win rate… He started with just $10 and turned it into more than $18,000 in only 3 months. Here’s how he trades: > He focuses only on weather markets. > He usually enters positions at 40–60% probability and still wins. > Most likely, he uses airport weather data or aviation observations like METAR + SPECI to get the latest actual temperature data. > He keeps the same bet size for every trade, no gambling. Some of his recent trades: > Wellington: entered with only $8 and turned it into $243 > Buenos Aires: from $12 to $140 > Tokyo: from $43 to $297 All his current positions: I found this trader using this custom Live Trades filter: > Weather markets only > Bots excluded > Traders with >$10k Pnl only > Win rate >90% He is one of the most successful weather traders I have ever seen on Polymarket.

I just found a Polymarket trader who made over 500 trades with a 98% win rate… He started with just $10 and turned it into more than $18,000 in only 3 months. Here’s how he trades: > He focuses only on weather markets. > He usually enters positions at 40–60% probability and still wins. > Most likely, he uses airport weather data or aviation observations like METAR + SPECI to get the latest actual temperature data. > He keeps the same bet size for every trade, no gambling. Some of his recent trades: > Wellington: entered with only $8 and turned it into $243 > Buenos Aires: from $12 to $140 > Tokyo: from $43 to $297 All his current positions: I found this trader using this custom Live Trades filter: > Weather markets only > Bots excluded > Traders with >$10k Pnl only > Win rate >90% He is one of the most successful weather traders I have ever seen on Polymarket.

Recogard

13,359 views • 1 month ago

Polyinsiders is now live: Over the past three months, we have reviewed all previous trading on Polymarket and consulted with over 10 top traders about the wallets they monitor. Now, you can access those signals instantly through Polyinsiders. For those who applied for the Polyinsiders Pro Whitelist, results will be shared within the next 48 hours.

Polyinsiders is now live: Over the past three months, we have reviewed all previous trading on Polymarket and consulted with over 10 top traders about the wallets they monitor. Now, you can access those signals instantly through Polyinsiders. For those who applied for the Polyinsiders Pro Whitelist, results will be shared within the next 48 hours.

insiders.bot

57,248 views • 8 months ago

The best trader to copy on Polymarket right now -> $806,000 profit. I've been on Polymarket for a while now, and I've never seen anything like this. Meet [Sharky6999] - a trader who's made 27,299 predictions with an all-time profit of $806,390 and a win rate so consistent it looks like a cheat code. His edge? He sticks to one thing only, to crypto Up/Down markets. No politics, no sports, no noise. Just pure crypto direction plays. And in that lane alone, he's made 21,000+ predictions with a 99.5% win rate. The consistency on the chart tells the whole story -> steady climb, no blowups. His profile here: The best part, you can copy his trades automatically via just add his wallet 0x751a2b86cab503496efd325c8344e10159349ea1 No guessing. No research. Just follow the best trader on the platform. Save him here.

slash1s

15,920 views • 3 months ago

Trader who won 11 out of 12 crypto sales bets on Polymarket He has only been trading for 1.5 months, and during that time he has found a niche where really knows how to make money. Only 21 predictions and $35k in net profit. Beautiful statistics. All of his profitable bets were made on 3 pre-markets: > Aztec ; Infinex ; Gensyn Based on the analysis, this trader prefers to hold positions for the medium term. Profile: Does he know something we don't know?

Hanako

16,666 views • 6 months ago

I made $18,300 in 30 days copying David's wallet on Polymarket. Trump's crypto advisor aka "Czar" wallet is insider trading on Polymarket. This wallet knows in advance when Trump will mention crypto. $187K profit. 90% win rate. I've made the exact guide to auto copy-trade his wallet. Could've sold for $999. Giving It Free for 24 hours. Comment "Wallet" + Retweet + Save This Post. You Must Follow me Himanshu Kumar, so i can send you DM. The play is stupid simple. He sits in meetings before every Trump appearance. He sees the speech draft. Then he opens Polymarket and bets on what Trump's about to say. Mentions of "Bitcoin." Mentions of "stablecoin." Mentions of "regulation." He bets "Yes" before the speech. Trump says the word. "czar" cashes out. $30K-$50K per public appearance. Every single time. His Polymarket Wallet: EscalateFund The numbers are insane: > 90% win rate in the mentions category > Longest win streak: 51 trades in a row > $187K total profit > Active in every Trump-adjacent market Bookmark his wallet. If this guy bets Trump will say something, Trump will definitely say it. Pro tip: skip his NBA trades. Dude yolos on his favorite team and they lose every time. You're trying to predict Trump from his Truth Social posts. Sacks is hearing the speech draft 6 hours before it goes live. You can't out-research that. But you can copy it. Follow me Himanshu Kumar, to stay connected for more post on making money with ai Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. I’m not making claims about any person, only about the wallet activity. This is real, and it’s happening.

I made $18,300 in 30 days copying David's wallet on Polymarket. Trump's crypto advisor aka "Czar" wallet is insider trading on Polymarket. This wallet knows in advance when Trump will mention crypto. $187K profit. 90% win rate. I've made the exact guide to auto copy-trade his wallet. Could've sold for $999. Giving It Free for 24 hours. Comment "Wallet" + Retweet + Save This Post. You Must Follow me Himanshu Kumar, so i can send you DM. The play is stupid simple. He sits in meetings before every Trump appearance. He sees the speech draft. Then he opens Polymarket and bets on what Trump's about to say. Mentions of "Bitcoin." Mentions of "stablecoin." Mentions of "regulation." He bets "Yes" before the speech. Trump says the word. "czar" cashes out. $30K-$50K per public appearance. Every single time. His Polymarket Wallet: EscalateFund The numbers are insane: > 90% win rate in the mentions category > Longest win streak: 51 trades in a row > $187K total profit > Active in every Trump-adjacent market Bookmark his wallet. If this guy bets Trump will say something, Trump will definitely say it. Pro tip: skip his NBA trades. Dude yolos on his favorite team and they lose every time. You're trying to predict Trump from his Truth Social posts. Sacks is hearing the speech draft 6 hours before it goes live. You can't out-research that. But you can copy it. Follow me Himanshu Kumar, to stay connected for more post on making money with ai Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. I’m not making claims about any person, only about the wallet activity. This is real, and it’s happening.

Himanshu Kumar

17,112 views • 2 months ago

I found a trader who made nearly $1,000,000 on Polymarket by betting "NO" He calls himself a "geopolitics expert" But I see it differently: he is simply farming retail hopium His profile: Here are the main takeaways: - He fades hype pumps and sells into the euphoria before reality kicks in - Retail loves 100x longshots; he profits by selling them overpriced dreams - The crowd overpays for drama (wars ending, rates cutting). He bets big that absolutely nothing changes Stop betting on what you want to happen and start betting on what is likely to fail I've covered this "bet against the narrative" edge before This trader is living proof it works. I'll keep hunting these setups

Lirratø

348,809 views • 6 months ago

WHITNEY WEBB on how Polymarket, a resurrection of DARPA's Policy Analysis Market, is key for the "privatized panopticon" and "pre-crime" PAM was also a part of DARPA's Total Information Awareness, which was resurrected into Palantir—Palantir and Polymarket are now partnered 🤯 This clip of Webb (Whitney Webb), a contributing editor of Unlimited Hangout and author of One Nation Under Blackmail, and Mark Goodwin (markgoodw.in), is taken from an episode of the Unlimited Hangout podcast posted to YouTube on July 20, 2026 ----------------Partial transcription of clip--------------- "But what was PAM? PAM was part, or the Policy Analysis Market, what these guys have been trying to resurrect, it was part of TIA, and TIA, Total Information Awareness, the goal was not just to see everything going on in the present and find anomalies, find the 'bad guys' in the, in a sea of data, of everyone's data in mass surveillance. It was to predict. It was pre-crime. "It was predictive policing on a massive scale and not— in pretty much every ambit of human life you can think of, right? And so Polymarket, because, you know, the market knows all of these Polymarket odds, just like with PAM, the odds are there to help feed the pre-crime engine. This is what will happen. Or this will not. "And we know that Polymarket bets can be rigged and that Polymarket itself puts out misinformation sometimes to make trades swing one way or the other. And that insider trading is a huge problem. And the context of, of that and as it's meant to interface with what is now Palantir is really unsettling. "And lo and behold, if you look it up, dude, it's there. Polymarket and Palantir are partners. They are partnered and they work together, for the 'market integrity.' So this has already happened and this is the Privatized Panopticon."

WHITNEY WEBB on how Polymarket, a resurrection of DARPA's Policy Analysis Market, is key for the "privatized panopticon" and "pre-crime" PAM was also a part of DARPA's Total Information Awareness, which was resurrected into Palantir—Palantir and Polymarket are now partnered 🤯 This clip of Webb (Whitney Webb), a contributing editor of Unlimited Hangout and author of One Nation Under Blackmail, and Mark Goodwin (markgoodw.in), is taken from an episode of the Unlimited Hangout podcast posted to YouTube on July 20, 2026 ----------------Partial transcription of clip--------------- "But what was PAM? PAM was part, or the Policy Analysis Market, what these guys have been trying to resurrect, it was part of TIA, and TIA, Total Information Awareness, the goal was not just to see everything going on in the present and find anomalies, find the 'bad guys' in the, in a sea of data, of everyone's data in mass surveillance. It was to predict. It was pre-crime. "It was predictive policing on a massive scale and not— in pretty much every ambit of human life you can think of, right? And so Polymarket, because, you know, the market knows all of these Polymarket odds, just like with PAM, the odds are there to help feed the pre-crime engine. This is what will happen. Or this will not. "And we know that Polymarket bets can be rigged and that Polymarket itself puts out misinformation sometimes to make trades swing one way or the other. And that insider trading is a huge problem. And the context of, of that and as it's meant to interface with what is now Palantir is really unsettling. "And lo and behold, if you look it up, dude, it's there. Polymarket and Palantir are partners. They are partnered and they work together, for the 'market integrity.' So this has already happened and this is the Privatized Panopticon."

Sense Receptor

54,398 views • 6 days ago

Iran is literally choking the global economy right now and most ppl don't even know how. $100 oil. Strait of Hormuz shut. Tankers getting hit. Pinned Prof. Jiang Xueqin's video + Polymarket odds because they're telling the same story from different angles. This 9-min video will explain you much more about situation, than everything you can find on the internet. Jiang broke this down weeks ago, Iran's play was never just military. It's economic warfare targeting the GCC, the petrodollar and by extension the entire US stock market. His argument: Gulf states pump oil -> sell for USD -> invest profits into US tech stocks. Polymarket: 91% chance oil hits $100 by end of March 66% chance it hits $110 IEA dropped the biggest emergency oil release in history (400M barrels) and it's barely making a dent. You can find and Copy Trade best Polymarket traders here:

Iran is literally choking the global economy right now and most ppl don't even know how. $100 oil. Strait of Hormuz shut. Tankers getting hit. Pinned Prof. Jiang Xueqin's video + Polymarket odds because they're telling the same story from different angles. This 9-min video will explain you much more about situation, than everything you can find on the internet. Jiang broke this down weeks ago, Iran's play was never just military. It's economic warfare targeting the GCC, the petrodollar and by extension the entire US stock market. His argument: Gulf states pump oil -> sell for USD -> invest profits into US tech stocks. Polymarket: 91% chance oil hits $100 by end of March 66% chance it hits $110 IEA dropped the biggest emergency oil release in history (400M barrels) and it's barely making a dent. You can find and Copy Trade best Polymarket traders here:

gemchanger

27,263 views • 4 months ago