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Arthur Hayes predicts three major factors that could pop the AI bubble (ARCHIVE FOOTAGE) On June 26, 2026, Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, shared in an interview with Bonnie Blockchain three core reasons that could lead to the burst of the current AI bubble. He believes that,...

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Arthur Hayes: The AI bubble may pop in 2028(ARCHIVE FOOTAGE) On June 26, 2026, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated in an interview with Bonnie Blockchain that the prime date for the AI bubble to pop will be around 2028. He believes that the market is currently underwriting GPUs with a two-year useful life using a six-year depreciation schedule, and this wave of debt accumulated since 2024 will face a crucible in about two and a half years. He stated that the underlying economics of building expensive Western data centers will completely evaporate due to competition from equally capable Chinese AI models that cost a tenth of the price, leading to a severe collision between capital costs and actual demand.
1:22

Arthur Hayes: The AI bubble may pop in 2028(ARCHIVE FOOTAGE) On June 26, 2026, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated in an interview with Bonnie Blockchain that the prime date for the AI bubble to pop will be around 2028. He believes that the market is currently underwriting GPUs with a two-year useful life using a six-year depreciation schedule, and this wave of debt accumulated since 2024 will face a crucible in about two and a half years. He stated that the underlying economics of building expensive Western data centers will completely evaporate due to competition from equally capable Chinese AI models that cost a tenth of the price, leading to a severe collision between capital costs and actual demand.

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Arthur Hayes Bullish on Bitcoin Hitting $125,000 by Year-End BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes states that new US banking leverage regulations, combined with state-level military and AI capital expenditures, will trigger a $4 trillion credit boom. He believes this massive injection of liquidity will far outweigh any credit destruction caused by AI. Given that liquidity indicators have already bottomed out in sync with Bitcoin, he predicts the asset will reach $125,000 by the end of the year.
1:45

Arthur Hayes Bullish on Bitcoin Hitting $125,000 by Year-End BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes states that new US banking leverage regulations, combined with state-level military and AI capital expenditures, will trigger a $4 trillion credit boom. He believes this massive injection of liquidity will far outweigh any credit destruction caused by AI. Given that liquidity indicators have already bottomed out in sync with Bitcoin, he predicts the asset will reach $125,000 by the end of the year.

Wu Blockchain

11,878 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Arthur Hayes: AI Will Trigger the New Subprime Crisis On April 28, 2026, Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated at the Bitcoin 2026 conference that AI is triggering a deflationary crisis. He believes the replacement of high-earning knowledge workers by AI will devastate traditional SaaS companies and severely impact lending institutions. This potential multi-hundred-billion-dollar banking failure, termed the "new subprime crisis," is the key macroeconomic factor previously driving Bitcoin prices lower.
1:51

Arthur Hayes: AI Will Trigger the New Subprime Crisis On April 28, 2026, Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated at the Bitcoin 2026 conference that AI is triggering a deflationary crisis. He believes the replacement of high-earning knowledge workers by AI will devastate traditional SaaS companies and severely impact lending institutions. This potential multi-hundred-billion-dollar banking failure, termed the "new subprime crisis," is the key macroeconomic factor previously driving Bitcoin prices lower.

Wu Blockchain

19,756 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Arthur Hayes: Selling Altcoins Because the AI Trade is About to Peak On June 13, 2026, Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated in an interview with Cointelegraph that he had liquidated his altcoin positions, including HYPE, NEAR, and Worldcoin. Reflecting on his previous macro forecasts, he mentioned that current fiat liquidity did not flow into Bitcoin, but was instead entirely absorbed by the AI sector. Hayes believes the AI narrative is currently facing three problems: the vexing price of energy, the risk of US policy reversals, and the liquidity drain from the mega IPOs of Anthropic and OpenAI. He expressed that it is not as if AI goes down 50%, people have capital to invest in Bitcoin; rather, Bitcoin would get "thrown out with the bathwater." Given these risks are present, he decided to exit.
2:18

Arthur Hayes: Selling Altcoins Because the AI Trade is About to Peak On June 13, 2026, Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated in an interview with Cointelegraph that he had liquidated his altcoin positions, including HYPE, NEAR, and Worldcoin. Reflecting on his previous macro forecasts, he mentioned that current fiat liquidity did not flow into Bitcoin, but was instead entirely absorbed by the AI sector. Hayes believes the AI narrative is currently facing three problems: the vexing price of energy, the risk of US policy reversals, and the liquidity drain from the mega IPOs of Anthropic and OpenAI. He expressed that it is not as if AI goes down 50%, people have capital to invest in Bitcoin; rather, Bitcoin would get "thrown out with the bathwater." Given these risks are present, he decided to exit.

Wu Blockchain

45,748 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Arthur Hayes: $15 Trillion in Credit Will Drive a $1 Million BTC On April 10, 2026, BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes spoke at Korea Blockchain Week, analyzing the potential money-printing trajectory of the Fed and the US Treasury. He expressed that due to fears of issuing long-term debt, the US government is utilizing the Genius Act and stablecoin regulations to find price-inelastic buyers for short-term Treasury bills. Hayes believes that if the government gains full control of monetary policy levers, it will lead to an estimated $15.2 trillion in credit expansion by 2028. He stated that this extreme macroeconomic easing will break the traditional four-year cycle and drive Bitcoin past the $1 million mark.
1:42

Arthur Hayes: $15 Trillion in Credit Will Drive a $1 Million BTC On April 10, 2026, BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes spoke at Korea Blockchain Week, analyzing the potential money-printing trajectory of the Fed and the US Treasury. He expressed that due to fears of issuing long-term debt, the US government is utilizing the Genius Act and stablecoin regulations to find price-inelastic buyers for short-term Treasury bills. Hayes believes that if the government gains full control of monetary policy levers, it will lead to an estimated $15.2 trillion in credit expansion by 2028. He stated that this extreme macroeconomic easing will break the traditional four-year cycle and drive Bitcoin past the $1 million mark.

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47,190 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

ARTHUR HAYES: THE AI BUBBLE WILL BURST IN ZERO TO THREE YEARS “I THINK THE AI BUBBLE WILL BURST… ZERO TO TWO YEARS, TWO OR THREE YEARS FROM NOW” “I WOULD NEVER SHORT ANYTHING AI EVEN IF I BELIEVE THAT SOME OF THESE THINGS ARE COMPLETELY FUGAZI… IF THE MUSIC'S PLAYING YOU GOT TO DANCE”
0:40

ARTHUR HAYES: THE AI BUBBLE WILL BURST IN ZERO TO THREE YEARS “I THINK THE AI BUBBLE WILL BURST… ZERO TO TWO YEARS, TWO OR THREE YEARS FROM NOW” “I WOULD NEVER SHORT ANYTHING AI EVEN IF I BELIEVE THAT SOME OF THESE THINGS ARE COMPLETELY FUGAZI… IF THE MUSIC'S PLAYING YOU GOT TO DANCE”

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46,581 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Arthur Hayes: Why Bitcoin is not going up? (ARCHIVE FOOTAGE) On June 26, 2026, Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated in an interview with Bonnie Blockchain that Bitcoin has failed to rally despite money printing because AI capital expenditures have absorbed the market's marginal capital. He believes investors are chasing AI tech stocks and supply chains, while newly wealthy individuals from the AI boom prioritize buying hard assets or diversifying into NASDAQ stocks rather than investing in the crypto market. Furthermore, Arthur Hayes believed that if AI stocks crash, cryptocurrencies will initially plunge in tandem. Due to their 24/7 liquidity, investors will be forced to sell crypto to generate cash during margin calls before the market eventually stabilizes and sorts out the relative winners.
2:10

Arthur Hayes: Why Bitcoin is not going up? (ARCHIVE FOOTAGE) On June 26, 2026, Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated in an interview with Bonnie Blockchain that Bitcoin has failed to rally despite money printing because AI capital expenditures have absorbed the market's marginal capital. He believes investors are chasing AI tech stocks and supply chains, while newly wealthy individuals from the AI boom prioritize buying hard assets or diversifying into NASDAQ stocks rather than investing in the crypto market. Furthermore, Arthur Hayes believed that if AI stocks crash, cryptocurrencies will initially plunge in tandem. Due to their 24/7 liquidity, investors will be forced to sell crypto to generate cash during margin calls before the market eventually stabilizes and sorts out the relative winners.

Wu Blockchain

33,808 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Arthur Hayes: Is The US Promoting Stablecoins Only to Resolve Its Debt? During an interview with Kyle Chasse, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, pointed out that in many parts of the world such as Latin America and developing Asia, people have a strong demand for US dollars due to high inflation of their local currencies and deposit rates lower than nominal GDP. However, they can hardly access US dollars because local regulations restrict foreign banks from providing US dollar-denominated banking services, which makes stablecoins like Tether highly popular. He believes this situation is expected to unlock trillions of US dollars in capital from the Global South, with the potential market size of stablecoins possibly reaching $34 trillion. He also mentioned that Besson and Trump's promotion of stablecoins has geopolitical significance; essentially, it is to let the private sector promote stablecoins globally, ultimately facilitating the purchase of Treasury bills. The core goal is to attract price-insensitive buyers to buy Treasury bills rather than focusing on innovation, and this move is in line with the interests of U.S. monetary policy. Source:
1:24

Arthur Hayes: Is The US Promoting Stablecoins Only to Resolve Its Debt? During an interview with Kyle Chasse, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, pointed out that in many parts of the world such as Latin America and developing Asia, people have a strong demand for US dollars due to high inflation of their local currencies and deposit rates lower than nominal GDP. However, they can hardly access US dollars because local regulations restrict foreign banks from providing US dollar-denominated banking services, which makes stablecoins like Tether highly popular. He believes this situation is expected to unlock trillions of US dollars in capital from the Global South, with the potential market size of stablecoins possibly reaching $34 trillion. He also mentioned that Besson and Trump's promotion of stablecoins has geopolitical significance; essentially, it is to let the private sector promote stablecoins globally, ultimately facilitating the purchase of Treasury bills. The core goal is to attract price-insensitive buyers to buy Treasury bills rather than focusing on innovation, and this move is in line with the interests of U.S. monetary policy. Source:

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Arthur Hayes: DeFi Needing Regulatory Approval Signals Decentralization Has Failed On June 23, 2026, BitMEX Co-founder Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated in an interview with the New Era Finance podcast that if the development of DeFi needs a US regulator to pass an act like the Clarity Act, the mission of building decentralized systems has failed. Addressing the narrative of institutional capital entering the space, Hayes stated that traders and Wall Street institutions do not care about regulations; as long as there is money to be made, they will always find a way to trade and satisfy compliance. He added that the true value of crypto lies in building an alternate financial system for 8 billion people globally. He concluded that investors waiting for regulatory approval as a prerequisite should simply trade stocks instead.
1:24

Arthur Hayes: DeFi Needing Regulatory Approval Signals Decentralization Has Failed On June 23, 2026, BitMEX Co-founder Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes stated in an interview with the New Era Finance podcast that if the development of DeFi needs a US regulator to pass an act like the Clarity Act, the mission of building decentralized systems has failed. Addressing the narrative of institutional capital entering the space, Hayes stated that traders and Wall Street institutions do not care about regulations; as long as there is money to be made, they will always find a way to trade and satisfy compliance. He added that the true value of crypto lies in building an alternate financial system for 8 billion people globally. He concluded that investors waiting for regulatory approval as a prerequisite should simply trade stocks instead.

Wu Blockchain

28,741 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Arthur Hayes: In the Era of Global Money Printing, Crypto Market Enters a Long-Term Bull Run BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said in an interview with Coin Bureau on November 3 that politicians worldwide are pursuing "spend without tax hikes" policies, stimulating the economy through money printing and credit expansion. With global liquidity remaining high, he expects the current crypto bull run to continue until 2027–2028. Hayes noted that Bitcoin halving is having less impact, with liquidity and inflation being the main driving forces. He predicts a "blow-off top" and remains long-term bullish on Bitcoin. Source:
2:52

Arthur Hayes: In the Era of Global Money Printing, Crypto Market Enters a Long-Term Bull Run BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said in an interview with Coin Bureau on November 3 that politicians worldwide are pursuing "spend without tax hikes" policies, stimulating the economy through money printing and credit expansion. With global liquidity remaining high, he expects the current crypto bull run to continue until 2027–2028. Hayes noted that Bitcoin halving is having less impact, with liquidity and inflation being the main driving forces. He predicts a "blow-off top" and remains long-term bullish on Bitcoin. Source:

Wu Blockchain

63,522 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

China will crash the US stock market this year. They're dumping SOTA open-source models on the US, nearly as good as the frontier labs, basically free. Nobody can refuse cutting a $100M AI bill down to $5M. Once that deal is on the table for everyone, Anthropic and OpenAI can't justify their prices, or their valuations. The bubble isn't AI. It's the price of AI. And it's about to pop.
0:33

China will crash the US stock market this year. They're dumping SOTA open-source models on the US, nearly as good as the frontier labs, basically free. Nobody can refuse cutting a $100M AI bill down to $5M. Once that deal is on the table for everyone, Anthropic and OpenAI can't justify their prices, or their valuations. The bubble isn't AI. It's the price of AI. And it's about to pop.

Ben Cera

546,813 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🔥BREAKING: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang pushes back against efforts to ban Chinese AI models in the US. In an interview with Axios, Huang said US firms should "ABSOLUTELY" be allowed to use Chinese models. "These Chinese models are excellent." "The market's misunderstood the impact of DeepSeek the first time. It's misunderstood the impact of Kimi again this time." "With great open AI models, it's great for the whole industry." "Great models lead to great use, which leads to great growth." Huang’s statement directly challenges Trump officials and US labs seeking to shut Chinese AI models out.
1:25

🔥BREAKING: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang pushes back against efforts to ban Chinese AI models in the US. In an interview with Axios, Huang said US firms should "ABSOLUTELY" be allowed to use Chinese models. "These Chinese models are excellent." "The market's misunderstood the impact of DeepSeek the first time. It's misunderstood the impact of Kimi again this time." "With great open AI models, it's great for the whole industry." "Great models lead to great use, which leads to great growth." Huang’s statement directly challenges Trump officials and US labs seeking to shut Chinese AI models out.

Coin Bureau

69,973 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

China is trying to pop the US AI bubble. Xi just announced China will provide 30 countries with 5,000 AI training and seminar opportunities while building international AI application cooperation centers. China and the US have a different definition of "winning" the AI race. The US strategy: Spend trillions building and controlling the AI infrastructure the world will depend on through a proprietary ecosystem. China is taking the opposite approach: Build cheaper open-source models with similar performance and encourage the world to build on top of them. The bet is simple: The winner of AI will not necessarily be whoever owns the infrastructure. .... It will be whoever builds the best companies on top of it. Just like in the post-dot-com era... The biggest winners were companies like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft that built businesses on top of open infrastructure.
0:41

China is trying to pop the US AI bubble. Xi just announced China will provide 30 countries with 5,000 AI training and seminar opportunities while building international AI application cooperation centers. China and the US have a different definition of "winning" the AI race. The US strategy: Spend trillions building and controlling the AI infrastructure the world will depend on through a proprietary ecosystem. China is taking the opposite approach: Build cheaper open-source models with similar performance and encourage the world to build on top of them. The bet is simple: The winner of AI will not necessarily be whoever owns the infrastructure. .... It will be whoever builds the best companies on top of it. Just like in the post-dot-com era... The biggest winners were companies like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft that built businesses on top of open infrastructure.

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196,872 görüntüleme • 25 gün önce

Ray Dalio: AI will change the world but related stocks could still drop 80% On July 17, 2026, in an interview with My First Million, Ray Dalio Ray Dalio stated that during a bubble period, even the most successful companies could see their stock prices plunge by about 80%. He believes that while the emergence of major new technologies brings excitement and reasons to invest, promising technological prospects do not guarantee excellent stock returns due to high valuations and incoming competitors. According to his "bubble gauge," the current market is at 75% of the extreme levels seen in 1929 and 2000. Ray Dalio believes that the pricking of a bubble typically occurs when investors need to convert wealth into cash, frequently triggered by tightening monetary policies or wealth taxes.
2:14

Ray Dalio: AI will change the world but related stocks could still drop 80% On July 17, 2026, in an interview with My First Million, Ray Dalio Ray Dalio stated that during a bubble period, even the most successful companies could see their stock prices plunge by about 80%. He believes that while the emergence of major new technologies brings excitement and reasons to invest, promising technological prospects do not guarantee excellent stock returns due to high valuations and incoming competitors. According to his "bubble gauge," the current market is at 75% of the extreme levels seen in 1929 and 2000. Ray Dalio believes that the pricking of a bubble typically occurs when investors need to convert wealth into cash, frequently triggered by tightening monetary policies or wealth taxes.

Wu Blockchain

25,667 görüntüleme • 27 gün önce

Arthur Hayes: Surviving a Financial Crisis Requires Downsizing Rather Than Buying Bitcoin On March 10, 2026, during an interview with Natalie Brunell, Arthur Hayes stated that for high earners who suddenly lose their $250,000 salaries while carrying massive mortgages, the cash drain of maintaining their previous lifestyle is a bottomless pit. In the AI age, the only true survival path is to act decisively: cut out costly gadgets, sell real estate early, and thoroughly downsize. Unfortunately, looking at your own financial situation, you will find that buying $10,000 of Bitcoin simply cannot save you from your crisis.
1:14

Arthur Hayes: Surviving a Financial Crisis Requires Downsizing Rather Than Buying Bitcoin On March 10, 2026, during an interview with Natalie Brunell, Arthur Hayes stated that for high earners who suddenly lose their $250,000 salaries while carrying massive mortgages, the cash drain of maintaining their previous lifestyle is a bottomless pit. In the AI age, the only true survival path is to act decisively: cut out costly gadgets, sell real estate early, and thoroughly downsize. Unfortunately, looking at your own financial situation, you will find that buying $10,000 of Bitcoin simply cannot save you from your crisis.

Wu Blockchain

253,807 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🇨🇳 CHINA IS ALMOST READY TO UNDERCUT THE WORLD'S BEST AI MODELS. Six months ago, that sounded impossible. Today GLM-5.2 is open source and costs a fraction of frontier models. Zhipu's co-founder says Fable-class Chinese AI comes even sooner than people think. This is the same playbook China ran on solar, on steel, on EVs. Build it cheaper. Give it away. Take the market. If China delivers frontier AI at a fraction of the price, the economics holding up the U.S. AI market start to crack.
0:20

🇨🇳 CHINA IS ALMOST READY TO UNDERCUT THE WORLD'S BEST AI MODELS. Six months ago, that sounded impossible. Today GLM-5.2 is open source and costs a fraction of frontier models. Zhipu's co-founder says Fable-class Chinese AI comes even sooner than people think. This is the same playbook China ran on solar, on steel, on EVs. Build it cheaper. Give it away. Take the market. If China delivers frontier AI at a fraction of the price, the economics holding up the U.S. AI market start to crack.

CryptoGoos

46,766 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Arthur Hayes: Why Sovereign Nations Prefer Gold Over Bitcoin On gold vs. Bitcoin differences, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, emphasized sovereign nations still favor gold as a safe-haven, while individual investors prefer Bitcoin’s high volatility and self-custody advantages. He forecasts Bitcoin may align with gold on the dollar debasement narrative long-term, though sovereign buying will differentiate their short-term performance. Notably, he cited recent Yuan-settled oil trades between Saudi Arabia and China—a geopolitical shift that could weaken the U.S. dollar’s hegemony and support Bitcoin’s long-term value. Video Source:
2:39

Arthur Hayes: Why Sovereign Nations Prefer Gold Over Bitcoin On gold vs. Bitcoin differences, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, emphasized sovereign nations still favor gold as a safe-haven, while individual investors prefer Bitcoin’s high volatility and self-custody advantages. He forecasts Bitcoin may align with gold on the dollar debasement narrative long-term, though sovereign buying will differentiate their short-term performance. Notably, he cited recent Yuan-settled oil trades between Saudi Arabia and China—a geopolitical shift that could weaken the U.S. dollar’s hegemony and support Bitcoin’s long-term value. Video Source:

Wu Blockchain

46,505 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

𝐃𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚 𝐎𝐂𝐀𝐈 (𝐎𝐧𝐞-𝐂𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐤 𝐀𝐈) 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬 - $DSYNC 𝐄𝐚𝐫𝐥𝐲 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐞𝐰 We are training and building a wide range of AI models for the Destra OCAI platform. Today, we will be showcasing an early preview of one of the initial models we are working on—a bullish/bearish prediction model designed to 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐝𝐢𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐨𝐟 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐭𝐨𝐤𝐞𝐧𝐬. This is just one of the initial models we are working on; as we progress, the models will become more complex and intricate. In this behind-the-scenes video, we demonstrate how the model predicts the future market trend of the BTC-USD pair with an 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝟔𝟓%. This is the barebones structure of the models we are training, which will soon be available to users with a single click through the Destra OCAI platform. The OCAI platform includes a wide array of Destra Exclusive AI models, specifically designed to simplify life for crypto audiences, that are envisioned and built from scratch at Destra Labs.
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𝐃𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚 𝐎𝐂𝐀𝐈 (𝐎𝐧𝐞-𝐂𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐤 𝐀𝐈) 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬 - $DSYNC 𝐄𝐚𝐫𝐥𝐲 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐞𝐰 We are training and building a wide range of AI models for the Destra OCAI platform. Today, we will be showcasing an early preview of one of the initial models we are working on—a bullish/bearish prediction model designed to 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐝𝐢𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐨𝐟 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐭𝐨𝐤𝐞𝐧𝐬. This is just one of the initial models we are working on; as we progress, the models will become more complex and intricate. In this behind-the-scenes video, we demonstrate how the model predicts the future market trend of the BTC-USD pair with an 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝟔𝟓%. This is the barebones structure of the models we are training, which will soon be available to users with a single click through the Destra OCAI platform. The OCAI platform includes a wide array of Destra Exclusive AI models, specifically designed to simplify life for crypto audiences, that are envisioned and built from scratch at Destra Labs.

Destra Network

37,150 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

In Ackman's latest interview he divides the AI market, stating that it is not a bubble at the foundational layer, but highly risky at the software/model layer. He sees "near infinite demand" for compute. He believes infrastructure providers such as Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and even SpaceX will earn massive returns on their data center investments. He is highly skeptical of pure model layer businesses like OpenAI and Anthropic. He notes they face massive capital burn rates and an existential threat from open-source models such as Chinese model and SpaceX that are driving the cost of AI access effectively to zero. A business model reliant on charging for proprietary models will collapse if open-source alternatives are essentially free. $AMZN $META $MSFT $SPCX
3:09

In Ackman's latest interview he divides the AI market, stating that it is not a bubble at the foundational layer, but highly risky at the software/model layer. He sees "near infinite demand" for compute. He believes infrastructure providers such as Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and even SpaceX will earn massive returns on their data center investments. He is highly skeptical of pure model layer businesses like OpenAI and Anthropic. He notes they face massive capital burn rates and an existential threat from open-source models such as Chinese model and SpaceX that are driving the cost of AI access effectively to zero. A business model reliant on charging for proprietary models will collapse if open-source alternatives are essentially free. $AMZN $META $MSFT $SPCX

CapexAndChill

138,008 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce