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At what #Bitcoin price does #MicroStrategy actually face risk? Is this a genius long-term capital structure or a massive balance-sheet gamble heading into 2028? Michael Saylor At this point, we’re all wondering… did you strategically disable the “Sell” button? Analysis by Emre İşlek

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TraderLex

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90,688 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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6 months ago Michael Saylor told Grant Cardone that Strategy’s balance sheet could withstand a -90% drawdown in Bitcoin’s price before being collateralized. Price of Bitcoin at the time = $95,000. He said the company can tolerate the price going to $10,000. Michael Saylor famously said if the price of Bitcoin was to go to a $1 tomorrow, the company would just buy all the Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently down over 35% since this interview and sits around $60,000. Credit: Grant Cardone
1:11

6 months ago Michael Saylor told Grant Cardone that Strategy’s balance sheet could withstand a -90% drawdown in Bitcoin’s price before being collateralized. Price of Bitcoin at the time = $95,000. He said the company can tolerate the price going to $10,000. Michael Saylor famously said if the price of Bitcoin was to go to a $1 tomorrow, the company would just buy all the Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently down over 35% since this interview and sits around $60,000. Credit: Grant Cardone

The ₿itcoin Therapist

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A lot of the criticism aimed at Michael Saylor is about short-term dilution to Bitcoin per share. His answer: sometimes that’s the right long-term move because every decision is a balance between chasing growth and managing risk. Here’s how he explains it in full:
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A lot of the criticism aimed at Michael Saylor is about short-term dilution to Bitcoin per share. His answer: sometimes that’s the right long-term move because every decision is a balance between chasing growth and managing risk. Here’s how he explains it in full:

Natalie Brunell ⚡️

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💥 BREAKING: Jim Cramer just said it out loud: Michael Saylor will fight the shorts “by any means necessary.” This isn’t satire. This is balance sheet warfare. Saylor isn’t just holding Bitcoin he’s defending it. - MicroStrategy holds ~214,400 BTC - Avg entry: ~$35K - Unrealized gains: ~$12B - Still buying, even at ~$93K This isn’t a trade anymore. It’s a public company using debt, equity, and conviction to absorb supply and pressure shorts. When a player with billions, no sell button, and infinite patience steps in the game changes. This isn’t Saylor vs shorts. It’s conviction vs disbelief.
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💥 BREAKING: Jim Cramer just said it out loud: Michael Saylor will fight the shorts “by any means necessary.” This isn’t satire. This is balance sheet warfare. Saylor isn’t just holding Bitcoin he’s defending it. - MicroStrategy holds ~214,400 BTC - Avg entry: ~$35K - Unrealized gains: ~$12B - Still buying, even at ~$93K This isn’t a trade anymore. It’s a public company using debt, equity, and conviction to absorb supply and pressure shorts. When a player with billions, no sell button, and infinite patience steps in the game changes. This isn’t Saylor vs shorts. It’s conviction vs disbelief.

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281,768 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

“There was never any talk of the risk.” Peter Schiff is just lying at this point. The risk of $STRC was always obvious: it is preferred equity issued by a Bitcoin Treasury Company. Saylor said it clearly: if Bitcoin goes down long term or forever, that is the risk. And what are we seeing now? Bitcoin under pressure. Liquidity rotated into AI and IPOs. Maximum fear. STRC down. That is not some hidden scandal. That is risk premium repricing. Strategy does not magically control STRC’s market price. They can adjust the dividend rate, but the market prices the risk of Bitcoin and Strategy’s ability to keep paying dividends. And when Bitcoin starts going up again, what do you think happens? The same risk premium reprices in the other direction. If you buy preferred equity in a Bitcoin company, you are making one core assumption: Bitcoin goes up over the long term. That was never hidden.
0:42

“There was never any talk of the risk.” Peter Schiff is just lying at this point. The risk of $STRC was always obvious: it is preferred equity issued by a Bitcoin Treasury Company. Saylor said it clearly: if Bitcoin goes down long term or forever, that is the risk. And what are we seeing now? Bitcoin under pressure. Liquidity rotated into AI and IPOs. Maximum fear. STRC down. That is not some hidden scandal. That is risk premium repricing. Strategy does not magically control STRC’s market price. They can adjust the dividend rate, but the market prices the risk of Bitcoin and Strategy’s ability to keep paying dividends. And when Bitcoin starts going up again, what do you think happens? The same risk premium reprices in the other direction. If you buy preferred equity in a Bitcoin company, you are making one core assumption: Bitcoin goes up over the long term. That was never hidden.

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“Never sell your Bitcoin” was never meant as: “Never make intelligent financial decisions.” When Michael Saylor talks about potentially selling BTC from the $MSTR balance sheet, he’s talking about strategic capital allocation designed to maximize long-term Bitcoin ownership. That’s very different from: “I sold my Bitcoin to buy a sports car.” Before selling Bitcoin, always ask yourself: Will this thing I’m buying still matter in 10 years? 20 years? 100 years? Because Bitcoin probably will. As Saylor said: "You don’t sell Cyber Manhattan for a horse and buggy."
1:46

“Never sell your Bitcoin” was never meant as: “Never make intelligent financial decisions.” When Michael Saylor talks about potentially selling BTC from the $MSTR balance sheet, he’s talking about strategic capital allocation designed to maximize long-term Bitcoin ownership. That’s very different from: “I sold my Bitcoin to buy a sports car.” Before selling Bitcoin, always ask yourself: Will this thing I’m buying still matter in 10 years? 20 years? 100 years? Because Bitcoin probably will. As Saylor said: "You don’t sell Cyber Manhattan for a horse and buggy."

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Bitcoin is Suffering From Capital Rotation Michael Saylor (Michael Saylor) notes that capital markets have deployed approximately $400B into the AI sector over the last six months, triggering a massive liquidity rotation away from digital assets. Market data and institutional filings confirm roughly $4B in outflows from $BTC ETFs since May 14, placing significant downward pressure on the $BTC price action. He added, "This is a capital rotation, not a Bitcoin impairment." What do you think?
0:30

Bitcoin is Suffering From Capital Rotation Michael Saylor (Michael Saylor) notes that capital markets have deployed approximately $400B into the AI sector over the last six months, triggering a massive liquidity rotation away from digital assets. Market data and institutional filings confirm roughly $4B in outflows from $BTC ETFs since May 14, placing significant downward pressure on the $BTC price action. He added, "This is a capital rotation, not a Bitcoin impairment." What do you think?

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I sat down with Strive CEO Matt Cole to discuss digital credit, $ASST, and $SATA. Matt Cole breaks down the mechanics, the dividend structures, what the risks are, Michael Saylor's decision to sell bitcoin, and why a thriving ecosystem of digital credit issuers is better for bitcoin long-term. YouTube: Apple: Spotify: TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Intro 0:41 - What is digital credit & what problem does it solve? 5:17 - How the carry trade works 8:48 - Daily dividends & dividend structure 10:52 - Downside risk & balance sheet protection 16:18 - The strongest critique of digital credit 19:32 - Michael Saylor selling bitcoin 27:03 - Bitcoin price action vs. bullish headlines 31:32 - Where is digital credit taking capital from? 36:44 - Banks, Jamie Dimon & systemic risk 38:52 - Strive vs. Strategy 42:38 - Too much bitcoin held by public companies? 48:33 - Strive's mission & the road ahead
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I sat down with Strive CEO Matt Cole to discuss digital credit, $ASST, and $SATA. Matt Cole breaks down the mechanics, the dividend structures, what the risks are, Michael Saylor's decision to sell bitcoin, and why a thriving ecosystem of digital credit issuers is better for bitcoin long-term. YouTube: Apple: Spotify: TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Intro 0:41 - What is digital credit & what problem does it solve? 5:17 - How the carry trade works 8:48 - Daily dividends & dividend structure 10:52 - Downside risk & balance sheet protection 16:18 - The strongest critique of digital credit 19:32 - Michael Saylor selling bitcoin 27:03 - Bitcoin price action vs. bullish headlines 31:32 - Where is digital credit taking capital from? 36:44 - Banks, Jamie Dimon & systemic risk 38:52 - Strive vs. Strategy 42:38 - Too much bitcoin held by public companies? 48:33 - Strive's mission & the road ahead

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"Michael Saylor has invented our fantasy" - Yves Choueifaty on The State of Bitcoin Markets. He covers: - The “dream” trade: borrow from big banks against Bitcoin, pay interest, never repay principal - How Saylor has built this model at scale via MicroStrategy - Why buying MSTR effectively plugs investors into that structure - How leverage can compound Bitcoin exposure like a “rocket on a rocket”

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Michael Saylor Explains Why He May Sell Bitcoin Strategy founder Michael Saylor Michael Saylor said in a May 9 interview with Bonnie Blockchain that if the company needs to sell a small amount of Bitcoin, it would be to realize capital gains and pay STRC credit dividends. He compared the model to real estate development: raising capital through credit instruments, buying an asset, and later monetizing it through a sale or refinancing after it appreciates. Responding to Peter Schiff's "Ponzi scheme" criticism, Saylor said the more accurate principle is to "never be a net seller of Bitcoin." At this stage, even if Strategy sells 1 Bitcoin, it would buy 10 to 20 at the same time.

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12,629 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

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38:38

Welcome back to The Bitcoin Treasuries Podcast. Today's guest is Michael Mescher, CEO of Gammon Capital. Michael and I discuss derivatives, institutional capital, balance sheet protection, and the future of Bitcoin treasury management. Here's my conversation with Michael Mescher. 0:00 - Intro 0:40 – Michael’s path from derivatives to Bitcoin treasury strategy 3:18 – What a 50% collateral haircut really means for a Bitcoin treasury company 11:15 – The coming $10 billion "Put Wall" and why 2027 matters 13:21 – Why Bitcoin treasury companies are paying too much for capital 15:02 – Using derivatives as balance sheet protection - not speculation 16:55 – Building a Bitcoin treasury playbook for bear and sideways markets 19:05 – What Michael Saylor gets right about financial engineering 22:15 – What separates the strongest Bitcoin treasury companies from the rest 24:42 – Why the market still hasn't built a better Bitcoin credit facility 26:54 – How Bitcoin treasury companies can unlock institutional capital 29:04 – Managing asset-liability mismatches on a Bitcoin balance sheet 32:38 – Capital efficient hedging strategies for downside protection 34:46 – How to sell a hedging strategy to a long-only Bitcoin executive 37:17 – What a strategic engagement with Gammon Capital looks like 38:18 - Where to find Michael Mescher and Gammon Capital

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Meet Hero. This is genius. Simple point your phone at things you need to sell, it will classify and figure out a recommended price Built by Joshua Voydik Links below
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1:01

Arthur Hayes: Don't Expect Michael Saylor to Protect Your BTC Wallet BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes Arthur Hayes said in a May 13 interview with The Wolf of All Streets that investors need to understand Michael Saylor's role: he is protecting his own company, not the Bitcoin held by ordinary investors. Hayes said Saylor is a genius in corporate finance, and MicroStrategy's ability to launch related products and derivatives comes from its unique balance sheet and market relationships. He added that this does not mean Saylor is doing anything wrong; rather, he will do what best serves the company's shareholders.

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THE BITCOIN DISCOUNT SAYLOR WARNED YOU ABOUT IS HERE This one’s from a while back, but it aged perfectly. $BTC price dips like this are exactly what he was talking about. He said you can wait until it’s “easy and risk-free”… and pay $10 million per #Bitcoin. Or buy when it’s messy -- at a 99% discount. This is the phase most people miss. 🤯

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Jeff Walton

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1:54

"What is the point of Bitcoin at this point?" 📉🤔 Nick O’Neill doesn't hold back on the state of the market. It’s not acting as a store of value, it’s completely un-correlating from tech stocks while they rip, and the Michael Saylor/MicroStrategy catalyst is flipping negative. If the tech is slow and the OG narrative is shifting, what's the actual thesis for holding?

HENRY

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Michael Michael Saylor lays out Strategy: You buy Bitcoin with a variable rate perpetual preferred stock,” creating “what is in essence a nearly risk free swap.” Are you really overpaying at “8% or 9%” if you’re using that capital to buy an asset that keeps appreciating? “There’s only $30 million of Bitcoin available for sale every day and we’re buying all of it.” “What’s the best way to predict the future? It’s to determine the future." “If we basically buy $100 billion of Bitcoin, it’s probably not going up to 0%." ⚡
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Michael Michael Saylor lays out Strategy: You buy Bitcoin with a variable rate perpetual preferred stock,” creating “what is in essence a nearly risk free swap.” Are you really overpaying at “8% or 9%” if you’re using that capital to buy an asset that keeps appreciating? “There’s only $30 million of Bitcoin available for sale every day and we’re buying all of it.” “What’s the best way to predict the future? It’s to determine the future." “If we basically buy $100 billion of Bitcoin, it’s probably not going up to 0%." ⚡

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"Is Stretch really that innovative Bitcoin-backed credit, or is it just yield chasing right now?" David Duong on the real debate around Michael Saylor and Strategy "So far Saylor has demonstrated the ability to raise capital and grow his Bitcoin per share. That kind of stays ahead of the compounding dividend obligation he has. That engine so far has been running" "But is that an autopilot thing where he can just keep doing that in perpetuity? I don't have the answer to that. I don't think anyone does" "A lot of it comes down to Michael Saylor. How good is he at continuing this trend? I don't know what the answer is gonna be at the end of all things, but this is what a lot of people are internalizing at the moment"

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16,157 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

IPO, IPO, IPO… yeah, it’s a big word at eToro right now! But what does it actually mean? Depends who you ask 👀 Here’s how our team defined it. Drop your own definition in the comments ⬇️ #eToroIPO #NasdaqListed ⚠️ This shall not constitute an offer, or the solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell these securities. Your capital is at risk.
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IPO, IPO, IPO… yeah, it’s a big word at eToro right now! But what does it actually mean? Depends who you ask 👀 Here’s how our team defined it. Drop your own definition in the comments ⬇️ #eToroIPO #NasdaqListed ⚠️ This shall not constitute an offer, or the solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell these securities. Your capital is at risk.

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