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AUKUS: The billlion-Dollar Trap? Next week I’ll publish a deep-dive article showing how the Australians (and others) got themselves into one of the biggest defense money pits in modern history with the AUKUS SSN program: total cost estimated between US$177 billion and US$244 billion over 30–35 years, with the...

59,196 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Why I say Japanese submarines are so dangerous and quieter than many nuclear submarines Conventional diesel-electric submarines are normally quieter than nuclear ones only at very low speeds, typically up to around 2-7 knots. Above that speed they quickly become noisy, while modern nuclear submarines can maintain excellent stealth up to about 20 knots. The British Astute-class, the Virginia Class and probably the French Suffren-class are said to remain among the quietest submarines in the world even at speeds close to 22-25 knots, behind only of the super quieter SeaWolf. So what does this have to do with Japanese submarines? The latest Japanese Subs represent such a leap in technology that they can stay extremely quiet up to 15 knots or more, a figure that gets remarkably close to modern nuclear submarines and is clearly superior to older nuclear classes. On top of that, these Japanese submarines are equipped with AIP and advanced lithium-ion batteries in the Taigei-class, allowing them to remain submerged for 15–20 days at low speed. When solid-state batteries enter service in the next generation, that endurance will practically double and this is scheduled to happen before 2030. Imagine how many daily patrols an adversary would need to track something that can disappear for weeks and need only few hours to recharge on surface. In regional scenarios (Indo-Pacific, East China Sea, Taiwan Strait), the Japanese strategy is perfectly suited, and maintenance costs are far lower than those of nuclear submarines. It is no coincidence that Israel has become a customer and ordered several of these boats. Submarines are a state of art for Japanese.

Patricia Marins

1,449,350 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Japan Will Have to Rely on Its revolutionary Lithium Submarines Against China’s New Type 95 Nuclear Submarine China is expected to commission its first Type 95 nuclear-powered attack submarine in the coming weeks, a 7,000-8,000t vessel whose details remain largely estimates. By steadily refining Russian-derived technology, the Chinese are seeking to approach the performance level of the U.S. Virginia class. The Type 95 features modern technologies such as a pump-jet propulsor, advanced sensors, and numerous improvements over the earlier Type 093B. It is believed to achieve sustained speeds of around +25 knots. On the Japanese side stands the revolutionary Taigei class: diesel-electric submarines equipped with lithium-ion batteries that can remain submerged for up to three weeks and recharge in just a few hours. The latest units have incorporated upgrades including quieter snorkel systems, enhanced sensors, and improved battery performance. Can the 3,000-ton Taigei submarines deter the Type 095, which displaces more than twice as much? Both the Sea of Japan and the East/South China Seas feature extensive deep-water areas that strongly favor a nuclear submarine’s ability to maintain high constant speeds. Yet the Taigei would not be easy prey: its high-speed sprints nearly match the Chinese submarine’s cruising speed. Multiple Taigei boats would likely attempt to ambush a Type 95 if it ventured into shallower waters near Japan. Japanese electric submarines remain extremely quiet even at speeds above 10 knots for several days, setting the stage for a true underwater hunt. The Type 95 is expected to introduce new Chinese technologies specifically aimed at detecting very quiet submarines. In the coming years, the Type 95 fleet will gradually grow, but it will eventually face the Taigei’s successor, expected to feature solid-state batteries, higher speeds, submerged endurance approaching 60 days, and recharging times measured in minutes. Anticipating this, China is investing in the Type 041, which reportedly incorporates a compact micro-nuclear reactor and Lithium batteries, offering characteristics similar to the advanced Japanese submarines but with unlimited submerged endurance and greater speed. This is a head-to-head technological race between two major powers.

Patricia Marins

21,575 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

There is a lot of confusion right now about the sinking of the Iranian warship IRIS Dena and the role of the United States submarine in this incident. So let’s understand what most likely happened. First, the attack took place in international waters near Sri Lanka in the Indian Ocean. Second, the submarine involved was most likely a US nuclear powered attack submarine already operating somewhere in the Indian Ocean region. Many analysts believe it could have been operating from the broader operational area around Diego Garcia, a strategic military base used by the United States and the United Kingdom in the Indian Ocean. Unlike conventional submarines, nuclear submarines can stay underwater for months, because they do not need to surface for fuel. The only real limitation is food and crew endurance. So the submarine could easily remain in the region, quietly tracking naval movements. Now here is the timing part. The Iranian warship IRIS Dena had recently visited Visakhapatnam in India to participate in a multinational naval event hosted by the Indian Navy. After the exercise ended, the ship left Indian waters and began sailing west toward the Arabian Sea. If the submarine was tracking it, the most logical moment to strike would be after the ship left the exercise area and entered open international waters. That is when the torpedo strike reportedly happened near Sri Lanka. Now the next question people are asking is whether this was legal. Under the law of naval warfare, if two countries are in an armed conflict, a military vessel of the opposing side becomes a legitimate military target. Warships can be attacked even in international waters. In this case, the target was not a civilian vessel. It was a military warship of the Iranian navy. So from a naval warfare perspective, this kind of strike is generally considered permissible during active hostilities.

Praffulgarg

25,220 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🚨🇷🇺OCEANIC SHIELD: RUSSIA'S DOOMSDAY TORPEDO IS NOW AT SEA The Russian Navy has launched its most secretive and strategic submarine yet — RFS Khabarovsk — a nuclear-powered special-purpose vessel built for one mission only: to carry and deploy Poseidon (Status-6) nuclear torpedoes. What is Poseidon? 🔸A nuclear-powered, autonomous underwater torpedo 🔸Estimated range: up to 6,200 miles — intercontinental 🔸Capable of carrying a 2-megaton nuclear warhead — 100x more destructive than the Hiroshima bomb 🔸Runs at depths and speeds that make interception extremely difficult Putin himself confirmed its successful test in October 2025, calling it "a huge success" and saying "there is nothing like this” Khabarovsk — Poseidon's carrier: 🔸A nuclear-powered special-purpose submarine, quietly launched by the Russian Navy 🔸Designed to carry up to 6 Poseidon torpedoes in specialized side-mounted launch hangars 🔸Powered by a single OK-650V nuclear reactor 🔸Operates from protected bastion zones near Russian coastlines — safely out of enemy reach — while Poseidon autonomously travels to its target 🔸No countermeasure exists to intercept it Poseidon is Moscow's direct hedge against US missile defense, precision-strike capabilities, and low-yield nuclear systems that Russia views as a threat to strategic stability. Integrated with the Perimeter dead-hand system, Poseidon guarantees retaliation even if Russia's nuclear command and control is destroyed. Russia's plan, according to the US Naval Institute, calls for 30 Poseidons on 4 submarines — 2 for the Northern Fleet, 2 for the Pacific Fleet — with torpedoes in the Atlantic and Pacific capable of autonomously striking US port cities, far beyond the effective reach of any American torpedo. Multipurpose Deterrent — Poseidon is dual-capable, conventional or nuclear, and built to strike carrier battle groups, coastal fortifications, and critical infrastructure. The US has no standoff weapon to intercept Poseidon. The Navy retired Subroc in 1992 — its only long-range anti-submarine missile. Its replacement, Sea Lance, was canceled at the Cold War's end and never replaced.

NewRulesGeopolitics

56,252 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Countries thinking there's going to be a global reset creating a China led world order, as CCP has made everyone believe for years are mistaken. The US has already put in place a sequence of events that is going to prevent this, and put China in its place, starting with the election of Donald Trump - as I had written months before he got elected (attached post). The US has already taken control of Panama canal and Venezuela. It is a matter of time before Cuba and all of South America are in US control. The US also wants Russia on its side and Russia will mostly pivot. It knows about the China influenced US deep state that created the Ukraine war and also removed Trump in 2020. It knows China is quietly taking over Russia's north east and may invade one day. It knows China's partnership with the US was one of reasons for the fall of the USSR. For which China got rewarded with business and tech by the US. Russia will silently pivot to be friendly with the west as soon as the Ukraine war is ended (the old DS is still preventing this influencing Europe against US wishes.) The US is already at work in Iran. Once the regime goes, most of the middle east will be under US control. Nepal, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Pakistan, Bangladesh all have already been prepared to be under US fold. China has lost influence in South Asia. The US is also in control of most of the world's energy except Russia's. It is getting control of all shipping lanes and channels, especially if it exerts control on Greenland, which it is trying and may get, directly or indirectly. Those who can see all these events and connect them can understand what's happening. To think somehow China will be able to break the US hegemony, collapse the dollar without collapsing itself, and upend the world order in its favor is delusional as of now. A delusion created by the China propaganda in the last decade by influencing most of world's mainstream media and infiltrating world's social media. Not just people but many countries are still in this delusion I think. The CCP, of course, is not going to collapse without a fight causing a lot of issues in the world. Now, where this fight will be and how it will be done is anybody's guess. But my opinion has been it won't go for Taiwan. It won't go fight the US directly or indirectly. Which rules out Japan, Phillipines, and Korea. That leaves only India and Vietnam. But Vietnam's own communist party seems more aligned with China now. So that's why I say China will create conflict with India when things start going south at home. Because this conflict is manageable with no risk of US intervention and no threat of India escalating it into a devastating nuclear war as a responsible power. And by using Pakistan, it has a possibility of a limited propaganda win to keep citizens in China supporting the CCP. It already made preparation for this starting a conflict in 2020 during Covid when China was sure everything was going as per plan. It has tested India, found weaknesses and strengths, prepared itself to fill gaps, and is sitting tight for the next move. But whatever move China makes, the US will ensure it gets trapped and weakened. Be it India or Taiwan, be it another plandemic or planned dumping of US treasuries to hit the dollar, China can't escape without issues. Being a single party dictatorship, the political collapse is inevitable one day. India or the US can fight a war, lose some territory or strategic interest to China, the worst that can happen is public disillusionment, protests, a collapse of the govt and a new one elected. Think about this in China's case. This is where it is headed as economic issues hit. And that economic hit and manufactured recession is coming, mostly in the next two years (after mid terms), created by the US by Trump's actions, trade wars, and takeovers around the world.

Aravind

432,704 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

The Devil Boats are on the other side now. When we look at the Iran context, we need to dig deeper. The American fleet stationed there has 3-4 times more firepower than Israel had during those 12 days, but that shouldn’t be the main point. The real issue is the clash between two completely different naval doctrines: global power projection with large ships versus the mosquito fleet with its much smaller, even micro vessels, but armed with missiles. And there’s no assumption that these small craft are vulnerable to drones and air strikes, quite the opposite. Some of them are specifically dedicated to anti-air defense. I’m talking about an entire navy built around this concept facing a conventional navy. In the drone era, this would be the first time something like this happens on this scale. The Americans know this strategy very well. In their Civil War, the Confederates inflicted serious damage on the Union’s big ships using the mosquito fleet, a tactic later reused against the Japanese in World War II with the PT boats attacking large destroyers and cruisers, earning the nickname “Devil Boats” from the Japanese themselves. The Americans know exactly how dangerous these fleets can be, especially one as vast as Iran’s and backed by shore-based anti-missile batteries. The entire situation is asymmetric for the Persians, who are under heavy sanctions. They face two nuclear powers with strong air forces against a country that barely has an air force, but possesses one of the largest missile arsenals on the planet. That’s why this mosquito fleet has to be respected, not because of the boats themselves, but because of what they carry. And we’re talking about a base of 1,600-2,000 missile launchers, which is a considerable force. Iran is not Venezuela, where you can just hand out money and a corrupt regime delivers the president to you. Not that there isn’t corruption in Iran, I believe it’s actually quite high, but corrupting the senior officer corps is a far more complex situation in a much larger country and already intimidated by intelligence OPs. Whenever a non-nuclear nation faces a nuclear power, it is at a considerable disadvantage. The question is: how much punishment can one side absorb before consider the use of nuclear weapons, even at the tactical level? A tactical nuclear missile would leave radiation for a short period, maybe two months or less, limited to a short area. That fear will always linger in this kind of asymmetric confrontation. Let see if more forces will join these US ships.

Patricia Marins

28,031 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

🚨🇷🇺 NATO IN PANIC: RUSSIA’S FIRST ZIRCON-ARMED NUCLEAR SUBMARINE IS ENTERING SERVICE Russia’s Project 885M nuclear submarine Perm is expected to complete trials and join the Navy before the end of 2026. It will be Russia’s first multipurpose nuclear submarine built from the outset to carry Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles as standard armament. 🔸 The Yasen-M combines the concealment and endurance of a nuclear-powered attack submarine with Russia’s most advanced naval strike weapons. Its arsenal includes Zircon, Kalibr and Oniks missiles for attacks against warships and targets deep inland. 🔸 The submarine has a submerged displacement of around 13,800 tonnes, reaches 31 knots underwater, can dive to 520 metres and remain at sea for up to 100 days. 🔸 Zircon reaches speeds of around Mach 9 and can strike sea and land targets at ranges exceeding 1,000 km. Its speed leaves defending forces only minutes to detect the launch, identify the target and attempt an interception. 🔸 The missile has already been successfully launched from beneath the surface, but Perm turns that tested capability into the standard armament of an operational submarine rather than a launch from an adapted trial platform. 🔸 Surface ships carrying hypersonic missiles can be tracked by satellites, aircraft and patrol vessels. A Yasen-M can remain hidden beneath the ocean, change its firing position and attack from an unexpected direction. 🔸 The same submarine can hunt carrier groups and other major warships while holding naval bases, ports, command centres and infrastructure on land at risk. Finding Perm will be NATO’s first problem. Stopping its missiles after launch will be the second — and at Mach 9, the alliance may have only minutes to solve it. Does NATO have an answer to a Mach 9 missile launched from beneath the ocean?

NewRulesGeopolitics

29,745 Aufrufe • vor 29 Tagen

The Type 212CD is straight-up highway robbery, yet it remains the most advanced conventional submarine in existence today. The problem is: it simply cannot cost THIS much. This entire industry has completely forgotten the lessons of World War II. German tanks were technically superior in almost every way, yet they were buried under an avalanche of Soviet T-34s and American Shermans tanks that cost less than half as much and were churned out at triple the production rate. That war proved, once and for all, that in a prolonged attrition conflict, quantity and low unit cost are what win, not exquisite engineering alone. A weapon has to be excellent, yes, but above all it has to be cheap enough to be produced in massive numbers and replaced the day after it’s lost. Beyond the battery revolution that is already underway, we are on the cusp of a second, even more brutal underwater revolution: swarms of fully autonomous AI-armed UUVs whose sole mission is to hunt, track and kill submarines. Dozens, hundreds of these drones will saturate the operating area, surfacing briefly to receive updated orders and transmit targeting data, then diving again to relentlessly stalk their prey. What FPV drones are currently doing to multi-million-dollar tanks on land will be replicated under the sea by cheap, expendable, fully autonomous killers operating in the dark depths. When we invest billions in a platform, we have to war-game its obsolescence curve through the eyes of our adversaries over the next 10–15 years, not just admire the brochure. The German defence industry is addicted to gold-plating. The products are magnificent, no question. But the costs are so obscene they annihilate every single advantage they claim to offer.

Patricia Marins

107,118 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🚨 THE PENTAGON JUST REVEALED ITS DEADLIEST WEAPON. THE MIDDLE EAST IS ABOUT TO BOIL OVER. 🚨 The U.S. Navy almost never reveals the location of its Ohio-class nuclear submarines. They are silent, untraceable doomsday machines built to project overwhelming power from the shadows. So when the Pentagon openly announces one just rolled into Gibraltar on its way to the Middle East, it isn’t a press release. It’s a direct threat. The ceasefire with Iran is officially on "massive life support" (Trump's words—he just called Tehran's latest peace offer "garbage"). Now, we are watching a terrifying underwater standoff brew in the world's most critical oil choke point. Iran’s surface navy was completely gutted by US-Israeli strikes last month. They know they can't survive a traditional naval war with the US. So, they are going full guerilla. Tehran just flooded the Strait of Hormuz with at least 16 "Ghadir-class" midget submarines. These aren't massive nuclear leviathans. They are tiny, cheap, and built for one thing: ambush. • Operated by crews of less than 10. • Packed with heavy torpedoes and Chinese-designed C-704 anti-ship cruise missiles. But the scariest part is their tactic: "Seabed-resting." Because the Persian Gulf is shallow and noisy, these mini-subs literally sink to the ocean floor, power down, and sit dead-silent in the mud. They just wait for a multi-billion dollar American destroyer to sail overhead, ready to pull the trigger. This is the ultimate asymmetric warfare. And the timing is absolutely deliberate. Trump is about to sit down with Xi Jinping. Iran is using Chinese-designed weapons to hold global oil shipping hostage right before the two superpowers meet in Beijing. It’s the ultimate David vs. Goliath setup, but with apocalyptic stakes: A $3 billion American doomsday machine vs. a swarm of trigger-ready mini-subs hiding in the dirt. If the US takes the bait and someone pulls a trigger in Hormuz, watch what happens to the global markets tomorrow.

Commentary Donald J. Trump Truth Social Posts On X

66,655 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇮🇷 Changing Iran's nuclear doctrine in the event of an attack on peaceful nuclear centers 🇮🇷 The Commander of the Security and Safety Corps of the country's nuclear centers said: "The country's nuclear centers are completely safe. The threat of the Zionist regime to Iran's nuclear centers makes it possible to revise and deviate from the declared nuclear policy and considerations." 🇮🇷 Emphasizing the complete security of the country's nuclear centers in response to the threat of the Zionist regime to attack these centers, General Ahmad Haq-Talab said: “A revision of the doctrine and nuclear policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran and a deviation from the previously announced declaration is possible and is being discussed.” 🇮🇷 According to public relations information for the entire IRGC, the Commander of the Nuclear Defense and Security Corps, Brigadier General Ahmad Haq-Talab, said in a conversation about the possible actions of the Zionist regime in response to the victorious Operation True Promise to attack the country's nuclear facilities: “These threats do not apply either to today or to yesterday, since in previous years the false Zionist regime, in addition to threats, undertook sabotage and terrorist actions in the country’s nuclear industry.” 🇮🇷 He added: “Although all countries are prohibited from attacking nuclear facilities in accordance with international protocols and standards, as well as the rules and regulations of the International Nuclear Agency, the Islamic Republic of Iran has always been ready to counter these threats from the very beginning.” General Haq-Talab, noting that the Zionist regime recently violated all international laws and regulations by committing a criminal act by attacking the consular section of the Embassy of the Islamic Republic of Iran in Syria, stated: “By the grace of God, thanks to the measures of the Supreme Leader and Commander-in-Chief, as well as the efforts of the children of the Iranian nation in the armed forces, using passive defense plans, as well as the most modern means and equipment, as well as thanks to the dispersal of our country’s nuclear facilities and complexes over the vast territory of Iran, We can deal with any threat from the Zionist regime." 🇮🇷 The commander of the security and safety corps of the country's nuclear centers, emphasizing that the armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran are in full readiness, noted: "The nuclear centers of the Zionist enemy have been identified and the necessary information about all targets is at our disposal, so to speak, to respond to possible actions. They hold the trigger in their hands to launch powerful missiles to destroy the specified targets." 🇮🇷 He said: “If the Zionist regime wants to take action against our nuclear facilities and centers, it will definitely face our reaction and the regime’s nuclear facilities will be attacked using advanced weapons.” 🇮🇷 He further emphasized: “If the fake Zionist regime wants to use the threat of an attack on our country’s nuclear centers as a tool of pressure on Iran, then a revision of the nuclear doctrine and policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran and a retreat from the previous declaration are possible and discussed.” 🇮🇷 General Haq-Talab, emphasizing that the order of the Supreme Leader must be carried out today without delay, said: “If the Zionist regime commits an act of aggression against Iran, the type of response will be planned by the armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and they must be confident that the blow they receive from the armed forces will be remembered in history, like Operation True Promise.” ."

𝕊𝕡𝕣𝕚𝕟𝕥𝕖𝕣 𝕻𝕣𝕖𝕤𝕤

37,378 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren