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Being a good trader has a lot to do with how your mind thinks. Below is a question i was asked during my interview for the fund I worked at right out of college. Can you get it right? Comment your answer and reasoning why. #TTG #stocks #trading

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Michael Edward

13,070 subscribers

123,726 Aufrufe • vor 3 Jahren •via X (Twitter)

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10 Kommentare

Profilbild von A_Bronx_tale
A_Bronx_talevor 3 Jahren

The only logical explanation would be prisoner number 2 because if prisoner 1 saw 2 guys in front of him with the same color hat than prisoner 1 would've know the answer, therefore leading #2 to believe that 2 & 3 must have different colored hats & if so his hat must be white 😁

Profilbild von Chris
Chrisvor 3 Jahren

2. Because 1 can see two hats and if they were the same color, he would have replied his own, since he did not, 2 knows his color is the opposite of 3.

Profilbild von Lance Steelback
Lance Steelbackvor 3 Jahren

1 sees a white & a black hat. Not enough to know his hat color, so 1 is silent. 3 &4 know nothing, both are silent. 2 sees 3’s black hat & knows 1 sees two hats but is SILENT. If 1 had seen two black hats, he’d say his hat is white. 2 then has enough info to know his hat is white

Profilbild von Glenny Trades
Glenny Tradesvor 3 Jahren

2 will know his is white. If 3’s hat was white - then #1 would have known his was black - but he (1) saw 2 different colors - so he wouldn’t say anything . Two realizes this - knows 3 is black so by deduction 2 knows his is white

Profilbild von diane figg
diane figgvor 3 Jahren

I had to rewatch way too many times... #1 doesn't know cuz it's 50/50.. #2 knows he's not black because #3 is and #1 would have said white if he saw 2 black hats

Profilbild von Tex
Texvor 3 Jahren

#2 has best odds (67%) of correctly guessing. Since he sees #3 has black, he knows 2/3 remaining are white. All others are 50% odds of correctly guessing.

Profilbild von MAC-A-DAY-DAY
MAC-A-DAY-DAYvor 3 Jahren

Prisoner 1 yells out black hat because he assumes there’s a pattern and believes his hat would be black

Profilbild von Memz World
Memz Worldvor 3 Jahren

Prisoner 2 has the best chance to correctly call out his hat because he has a 66% chance knowing the prisoner in front of him has a white hat, he takes the opposing hat color. P1, P3, & P4 have 50/50 odds as the info before them doesn’t indicate any other chances.

Profilbild von Stevie
Stevievor 3 Jahren

Number 4, because he's outside of the prison and doesn't have to follow orders.

Profilbild von Jay 💎 Grayson💎
Jay 💎 Grayson💎vor 3 Jahren

I’m gonna say prisoner 1, he has more data. He know the color of 2&3 and has a better chance at being correct.

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