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BITCOIN HAS GRADUATED FROM THE HALVING CYCLE. ETFs and institutional flows changed the game. This market no longer trades pure supply shocks. It trades macro liquidity and business cycles. If you’re still waiting for: “Halving. Altseason. Blow-off top” You’re using an outdated model. Adapt or miss the real trend.

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Merlijn The Trader

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94,082 views • 5 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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BREAKING: MACRO JUST FLIPPED. AND BITCOIN IS ALREADY PRICING IT IN. Tom Lee, live on CNBC: “Bitcoin no longer follows the halving. It follows the ISM. When ISM crosses above 50, crypto goes into supercycle mode.” The data is brutal: - Detrended Bitcoin tracks the business cycle almost perfectly - Every single time ISM > 50 explosive BTC & ETH moves - ISM is now bottoming at 48.2 and turning up fast Meanwhile: - Global liquidity is surging - The Fed is boxed in with more cuts coming - Fiscal flows are accelerating - Institutions are loading, retail is still scared Sequence locked: 1. Bitcoin breaks out first 2. Ethereum catches fire on liquidity 3. Altseason detonates when the tide overflows The 4-year halving cycle isn’t dead. It got absorbed into the global macro engine. If you’re still waiting for the “post-halving pump” in 2025… you’re trading the wrong calendar. The real trigger is ISM. And it’s flashing green. Position for the inversion. Or get left in the dust. Macro won. Crypto is now its highest-beta play.
1:33

BREAKING: MACRO JUST FLIPPED. AND BITCOIN IS ALREADY PRICING IT IN. Tom Lee, live on CNBC: “Bitcoin no longer follows the halving. It follows the ISM. When ISM crosses above 50, crypto goes into supercycle mode.” The data is brutal: - Detrended Bitcoin tracks the business cycle almost perfectly - Every single time ISM > 50 explosive BTC & ETH moves - ISM is now bottoming at 48.2 and turning up fast Meanwhile: - Global liquidity is surging - The Fed is boxed in with more cuts coming - Fiscal flows are accelerating - Institutions are loading, retail is still scared Sequence locked: 1. Bitcoin breaks out first 2. Ethereum catches fire on liquidity 3. Altseason detonates when the tide overflows The 4-year halving cycle isn’t dead. It got absorbed into the global macro engine. If you’re still waiting for the “post-halving pump” in 2025… you’re trading the wrong calendar. The real trigger is ISM. And it’s flashing green. Position for the inversion. Or get left in the dust. Macro won. Crypto is now its highest-beta play.

Merlijn The Trader

338,881 views • 6 months ago

ALTSEASON 2026 • BTC dominance historically peaks before rotation • ETFs + institutional inflows stabilize Bitcoin • Liquidity cycles lag the halving by ~12–18 months • Strong infra: L2s, AI, RWAs, DeFi, Meme trenches If history rhymes, smart money rotates after BTC → alts Not financial advice. Stay selective.
5:47

ALTSEASON 2026 • BTC dominance historically peaks before rotation • ETFs + institutional inflows stabilize Bitcoin • Liquidity cycles lag the halving by ~12–18 months • Strong infra: L2s, AI, RWAs, DeFi, Meme trenches If history rhymes, smart money rotates after BTC → alts Not financial advice. Stay selective.

THE ALTCOIN CHIEF

36,073 views • 6 months ago

NEW: Lyn Alden believes this Bitcoin cycle will go on longer than people expect because it’s not being driven by the halving, it’s because of broader macro and liquidity issues and we have not seen a euphoric top.
1:10

NEW: Lyn Alden believes this Bitcoin cycle will go on longer than people expect because it’s not being driven by the halving, it’s because of broader macro and liquidity issues and we have not seen a euphoric top.

The ₿itcoin Therapist

103,149 views • 7 months ago

🚨THE REAL BITCOIN CYCLE Michael Howell CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes says $BTC cycles come from the fight between debt and liquidity. When that balance breaks Bitcoin moves. It is not the halving clock. It is the system stress signal. Watch the full video in the comments.👇
2:14

🚨THE REAL BITCOIN CYCLE Michael Howell CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes says $BTC cycles come from the fight between debt and liquidity. When that balance breaks Bitcoin moves. It is not the halving clock. It is the system stress signal. Watch the full video in the comments.👇

Kyle Chassé 🐸

49,505 views • 7 months ago

BREAKING: THIS ISN’T A CRASH. IT’S A COIL. Raoul Pal just spelled it out: The old 4-year halving cycle is over. We’re in a liquidity-driven supercycle. For 15 years the script was simple: Halving. Supply shock. Retail mania. Top. Winter. That ended when $125B+ ETFs, sovereigns, and macro funds turned Bitcoin into a global asset. Now we trade liquidity, not calendars. - Business cycle bottoming - Fiscal stimulus loading - Global money printer warming up - Institutions forced to chase Corrections aren’t endings anymore. They’re slingshots. The crowd sees red candles and panic. Macro sees re-entry zones. Parabolic never feels safe. It feels wrong, overextended, “too late”… right until it isn’t. You have a choice: Trade like it’s the old cycle that no longer exists. Or position for the exponential curve already in motion. The dip is temporary. The breakout is coming. Coil loaded. Spring ready. Act like it.
1:14

BREAKING: THIS ISN’T A CRASH. IT’S A COIL. Raoul Pal just spelled it out: The old 4-year halving cycle is over. We’re in a liquidity-driven supercycle. For 15 years the script was simple: Halving. Supply shock. Retail mania. Top. Winter. That ended when $125B+ ETFs, sovereigns, and macro funds turned Bitcoin into a global asset. Now we trade liquidity, not calendars. - Business cycle bottoming - Fiscal stimulus loading - Global money printer warming up - Institutions forced to chase Corrections aren’t endings anymore. They’re slingshots. The crowd sees red candles and panic. Macro sees re-entry zones. Parabolic never feels safe. It feels wrong, overextended, “too late”… right until it isn’t. You have a choice: Trade like it’s the old cycle that no longer exists. Or position for the exponential curve already in motion. The dip is temporary. The breakout is coming. Coil loaded. Spring ready. Act like it.

Merlijn The Trader

112,391 views • 6 months ago

Bitcoin did 30X after the 2016 halving 8X after the 2020 halving it hasn't even done 2X this cycle
0:40

Bitcoin did 30X after the 2016 halving 8X after the 2020 halving it hasn't even done 2X this cycle

Crypto Tea

419,463 views • 1 year ago

The bull run isn’t over. Ignore the rigid 4-year halving cycles, liquidity is the real driver. #Bitcoin’s still in a macro uptrend since Nov 2022, and once global liquidity eases, altcoins will catch up just like in 2017 and 2021. Patience always pays.
3:07

The bull run isn’t over. Ignore the rigid 4-year halving cycles, liquidity is the real driver. #Bitcoin’s still in a macro uptrend since Nov 2022, and once global liquidity eases, altcoins will catch up just like in 2017 and 2021. Patience always pays.

VirtualBacon

202,129 views • 1 year ago

Bitcoin Whales Dumping As Liquidity Crisis Hits | Willy Woo Reveals The Endgame 00:00 - Intro 01:40 - Brought to you by Binance 02:03 – Where’s Bitcoin Going Next? 03:12 – Cycles, Liquidity, and Investor Flows 05:28 – Tracking Bitcoin’s Capital Flows 07:49 – Macro Liquidity and Bitcoin Cycles 09:46 – Business Cycle Risks for Bitcoin 11:19 – Bitcoin: The Canary in Liquidity 13:11 – Whale Selling and Market Impact 14:35 – Altcoins, ETFs, and Capital Rotation 17:11 – Treasury Companies and Bitcoin Demand 18:08 – Are Bear Markets Inevitable? 19:16 – How Deep Could the Next Dip Be? 21:01 – Macro Catalysts and Bear Market Risks 24:21 – Bitcoin vs. Gold as Safe Haven 27:14 – Willy’s Early Bitcoin Journey 31:06 – Trading, Building, and Future of Bitcoin
47:32

Bitcoin Whales Dumping As Liquidity Crisis Hits | Willy Woo Reveals The Endgame 00:00 - Intro 01:40 - Brought to you by Binance 02:03 – Where’s Bitcoin Going Next? 03:12 – Cycles, Liquidity, and Investor Flows 05:28 – Tracking Bitcoin’s Capital Flows 07:49 – Macro Liquidity and Bitcoin Cycles 09:46 – Business Cycle Risks for Bitcoin 11:19 – Bitcoin: The Canary in Liquidity 13:11 – Whale Selling and Market Impact 14:35 – Altcoins, ETFs, and Capital Rotation 17:11 – Treasury Companies and Bitcoin Demand 18:08 – Are Bear Markets Inevitable? 19:16 – How Deep Could the Next Dip Be? 21:01 – Macro Catalysts and Bear Market Risks 24:21 – Bitcoin vs. Gold as Safe Haven 27:14 – Willy’s Early Bitcoin Journey 31:06 – Trading, Building, and Future of Bitcoin

The Wolf Of All Streets

53,904 views • 9 months ago

THE BITCOIN BULL MARKET MAY BE STRETCHED OUT, NOT FINISHED Mike Alfred argues $BTC is experiencing an elongated cycle because ETFs and treasury companies changed demand. He says, "Long Bitcoin. Long AI. Easiest trades of your lifetime." 🚀
1:33

THE BITCOIN BULL MARKET MAY BE STRETCHED OUT, NOT FINISHED Mike Alfred argues $BTC is experiencing an elongated cycle because ETFs and treasury companies changed demand. He says, "Long Bitcoin. Long AI. Easiest trades of your lifetime." 🚀

CryptosRus

37,317 views • 14 days ago

#BITCOIN HALVING FUN FACT: At the end of each halving cycle, the percentage of total Bitcoin left to be mined corresponds to the block reward from the previous cycle, expressed as a % of the total supply of 21M BTC Tick tock… Viz: Wicked
2:28

#BITCOIN HALVING FUN FACT: At the end of each halving cycle, the percentage of total Bitcoin left to be mined corresponds to the block reward from the previous cycle, expressed as a % of the total supply of 21M BTC Tick tock… Viz: Wicked

Walker⚡️

72,375 views • 2 years ago

The old rules of Bitcoin are dead ☠️ They promised the halving would launch prices. It didn’t. The bull market isn’t over - Bitcoin’s just bigger than hype. In 2026, ETFs and global liquidity matter more than the calendar. This is structural strength.
0:44

The old rules of Bitcoin are dead ☠️ They promised the halving would launch prices. It didn’t. The bull market isn’t over - Bitcoin’s just bigger than hype. In 2026, ETFs and global liquidity matter more than the calendar. This is structural strength.

The Edge of Show 🎙

69,755 views • 4 months ago

NEW: $100 Billion TD Bank drops #Bitcoin commercial about the halving and spot Bitcoin ETFs. 🔥
1:38

NEW: $100 Billion TD Bank drops #Bitcoin commercial about the halving and spot Bitcoin ETFs. 🔥

Bitcoin Archive

299,851 views • 2 years ago

$BTC: It all makes sense in the end. Buy Bitcoin 500 days before the halving. Sell Bitcoin 500 days after the halving. One bull cycle = ~1,000 days.
0:45

$BTC: It all makes sense in the end. Buy Bitcoin 500 days before the halving. Sell Bitcoin 500 days after the halving. One bull cycle = ~1,000 days.

Crypto Caesar

66,425 views • 13 days ago

Spot Bitcoin ETFs, The Halving, Bitcoin's Next Bull Run and Building Wealth with @NatBrunell.
1:30:09

Spot Bitcoin ETFs, The Halving, Bitcoin's Next Bull Run and Building Wealth with @NatBrunell.

Michael Saylor

302,072 views • 2 years ago

🚨 NO BEAR MARKET ✅ RSI bottoming ✅ ISM breaks above 50 ✅ Global liquidity + ISM trigger = parabolic phase ✅ Long-term trend channel holding strong Bitcoin halving cycle is bullshit. Global liquidity drives markets.
12:49

🚨 NO BEAR MARKET ✅ RSI bottoming ✅ ISM breaks above 50 ✅ Global liquidity + ISM trigger = parabolic phase ✅ Long-term trend channel holding strong Bitcoin halving cycle is bullshit. Global liquidity drives markets.

Leo Lanza | Lanza.eth

38,388 views • 5 months ago

Silver is down 40% from its all-time high. Futures? Down 51%. In 2 months. January 2026: $121. Today: $65. The “China export ban” narrative? Institutions built it, filled their bags, and dumped at the top. You became the exit liquidity. Silver isn’t Bitcoin. No fixed supply. No halving. Just hype cycles and 25-year recoveries. #silver #silvercrash #gold #usa #iran
2:53

Silver is down 40% from its all-time high. Futures? Down 51%. In 2 months. January 2026: $121. Today: $65. The “China export ban” narrative? Institutions built it, filled their bags, and dumped at the top. You became the exit liquidity. Silver isn’t Bitcoin. No fixed supply. No halving. Just hype cycles and 25-year recoveries. #silver #silvercrash #gold #usa #iran

CryptoWala

132,514 views • 3 months ago

Same Halving cycles for $BTC 749 days cycle -> last liquidity sweep -> bull run Do you follow?
0:29

Same Halving cycles for $BTC 749 days cycle -> last liquidity sweep -> bull run Do you follow?

symbiote

20,192 views • 2 months ago

JUST IN: TD Bank subsidiary releases commercial explaining the #Bitcoin halving and promotes spot Bitcoin ETFs after 👀
1:38

JUST IN: TD Bank subsidiary releases commercial explaining the #Bitcoin halving and promotes spot Bitcoin ETFs after 👀

Bitcoin Magazine

281,232 views • 2 years ago

Bitcoin vs Business Cycle (ISM's PMI) Explains Why: No Blow-off Top ✅ No Top Signals Triggered ✅ No Euphoria ✅ No Altseason ✅
13:44

Bitcoin vs Business Cycle (ISM's PMI) Explains Why: No Blow-off Top ✅ No Top Signals Triggered ✅ No Euphoria ✅ No Altseason ✅

𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘

118,456 views • 7 months ago