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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Bombs are still falling, and Tehran is already saying it will never be the first to ask for talks. Joshua Landis breaks down why military pressure may be doing the opposite of what Washington intends. "If the US believes that it can force the Islamic Republic to request... show more

Mario Nawfal

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116,783 次观看 • 2 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has tried military force and economic strangulation against Iran; now Tehran has concluded that pressure simply does not work Iran has taken enormous punishment. Its economy is reeling, inflation is brutal, and its military has absorbed repeated strikes. But six months into the war, the regime is still standing, and crucially, Iran can still disrupt the Strait of Hormuz. Middle East scholar Joshua Landis believes that has fundamentally changed Tehran's calculation. Washington has moved from military force to its new “Economic D-Day,” but the regional cooperation needed to make that strategy truly devastating isn't materialising. Iraq, Turkey, the UAE and Qatar still have powerful incentives to trade with Iran. Oman is negotiating with Tehran. Pakistan and Qatar are talking to the Iranians. These countries don't want another regional war or a permanently closed Persian Gulf, and Iran knows it. Joshua says Tehran increasingly believes America has already played its strongest cards, which makes surrender even less attractive. Iranian leaders now believe that if they cave to Trump's demands, America and Israel will simply return once Iran has recovered and hit it again. In Joshua's words, Iran fears becoming another Gaza, Lebanon or Syria; periodically attacked to keep it permanently weak. So Tehran has reached the opposite conclusion: It has to make resisting Iran more painful than living with it. Tehran may finally have learned the difference between America having the power to hurt it, and having the power to make it surrender. Joshua Landis Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has tried military force and economic strangulation against Iran; now Tehran has concluded that pressure simply does not work Iran has taken enormous punishment. Its economy is reeling, inflation is brutal, and its military has absorbed repeated strikes. But six months into the war, the regime is still standing, and crucially, Iran can still disrupt the Strait of Hormuz. Middle East scholar Joshua Landis believes that has fundamentally changed Tehran's calculation. Washington has moved from military force to its new “Economic D-Day,” but the regional cooperation needed to make that strategy truly devastating isn't materialising. Iraq, Turkey, the UAE and Qatar still have powerful incentives to trade with Iran. Oman is negotiating with Tehran. Pakistan and Qatar are talking to the Iranians. These countries don't want another regional war or a permanently closed Persian Gulf, and Iran knows it. Joshua says Tehran increasingly believes America has already played its strongest cards, which makes surrender even less attractive. Iranian leaders now believe that if they cave to Trump's demands, America and Israel will simply return once Iran has recovered and hit it again. In Joshua's words, Iran fears becoming another Gaza, Lebanon or Syria; periodically attacked to keep it permanently weak. So Tehran has reached the opposite conclusion: It has to make resisting Iran more painful than living with it. Tehran may finally have learned the difference between America having the power to hurt it, and having the power to make it surrender. Joshua Landis Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

215,721 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis

Mario Nawfal

86,521 次观看 • 2 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may have reached the point where every option makes America's position worse. Middle East expert Joshua Landis says Iran isn't just retaliating to U.S. pressure anymore. It's deliberately expanding the battlefield to convince Washington that escalation carries a higher cost than compromise. Start with the recent strikes. An American response inside Iran is followed by Iranian attacks on U.S. assets in Jordan and on ships in Egypt. If Washington turns to economic warfare or tries to blockade Iran, Tehran will simply drag the conflict back into military escalation. Landis agrees. He argues the White House still believes it can force Iran to back down by gradually degrading its economy, missile capabilities and military infrastructure. But every new round of pressure pushes Iran to widen the conflict instead, creating economic pain for America's regional partners and demonstrating that no country is insulated from the consequences. Egypt is the perfect example. Even if American ships are the intended target, attacks near Egypt threaten tourism, Suez Canal traffic and one of the region's most fragile economies. The point isn't necessarily Egypt itself. It's proving that pressure on Iran can quickly become pressure on everyone else. That brings Landis to the real issue: the Strait of Hormuz. He argues this war is ultimately about who controls one of the world's most important energy chokepoints. For decades, American dominance in the Gulf has underpinned its global influence. But Landis says preserving that dominance through military force is becoming increasingly difficult. His argument is that even if Washington steps back, Iran cannot simply shut off global oil forever. Tehran also depends on exporting its own energy, meaning every Gulf state ultimately has an incentive to reach some form of accommodation. The real question isn't whether oil will keep flowing, but whether the United States remains the power that guarantees it. Landis warns that continuing to escalate may actually accelerate the decline Washington is trying to prevent. Joshua Landis

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may have reached the point where every option makes America's position worse. Middle East expert Joshua Landis says Iran isn't just retaliating to U.S. pressure anymore. It's deliberately expanding the battlefield to convince Washington that escalation carries a higher cost than compromise. Start with the recent strikes. An American response inside Iran is followed by Iranian attacks on U.S. assets in Jordan and on ships in Egypt. If Washington turns to economic warfare or tries to blockade Iran, Tehran will simply drag the conflict back into military escalation. Landis agrees. He argues the White House still believes it can force Iran to back down by gradually degrading its economy, missile capabilities and military infrastructure. But every new round of pressure pushes Iran to widen the conflict instead, creating economic pain for America's regional partners and demonstrating that no country is insulated from the consequences. Egypt is the perfect example. Even if American ships are the intended target, attacks near Egypt threaten tourism, Suez Canal traffic and one of the region's most fragile economies. The point isn't necessarily Egypt itself. It's proving that pressure on Iran can quickly become pressure on everyone else. That brings Landis to the real issue: the Strait of Hormuz. He argues this war is ultimately about who controls one of the world's most important energy chokepoints. For decades, American dominance in the Gulf has underpinned its global influence. But Landis says preserving that dominance through military force is becoming increasingly difficult. His argument is that even if Washington steps back, Iran cannot simply shut off global oil forever. Tehran also depends on exporting its own energy, meaning every Gulf state ultimately has an incentive to reach some form of accommodation. The real question isn't whether oil will keep flowing, but whether the United States remains the power that guarantees it. Landis warns that continuing to escalate may actually accelerate the decline Washington is trying to prevent. Joshua Landis

Mario Nawfal

272,598 次观看 • 2 个月前

🇮🇷 Trump is running out of time, and Iran knows it. Defense analyst Pravin Sawhney breaks down why the pressure is entirely on Washington, not Tehran. "It is President Trump who is under pressure, and certainly not the Iranians." If Trump strikes Iranian energy infrastructure, the petrodollar dies with it. Pravin Sawhney

🇮🇷 Trump is running out of time, and Iran knows it. Defense analyst Pravin Sawhney breaks down why the pressure is entirely on Washington, not Tehran. "It is President Trump who is under pressure, and certainly not the Iranians." If Trump strikes Iranian energy infrastructure, the petrodollar dies with it. Pravin Sawhney

Mario Nawfal

29,893 次观看 • 4 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The last time this escalation spiral started, economic catastrophe forced a deal in weeks. Joshua Landis explains why Iran is betting history repeats itself. "If the Iran didn't open the Straits of Hormuz and oil reserves would have run out in four weeks, we had to make a deal." Tehran is watching the gas prices. So is Trump. Joshua Landis

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The last time this escalation spiral started, economic catastrophe forced a deal in weeks. Joshua Landis explains why Iran is betting history repeats itself. "If the Iran didn't open the Straits of Hormuz and oil reserves would have run out in four weeks, we had to make a deal." Tehran is watching the gas prices. So is Trump. Joshua Landis

Mario Nawfal

59,724 次观看 • 2 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The mullahs may be trying to hurt Trump without ever touching him. Joel Rosenberg argues Iran is using chaos around the Strait of Hormuz to damage the U.S. economy and turn voters against Republicans before the midterms. “Iran believes that it can politically assassinate Trump by creating the conditions by which Republicans will lose in the fall.” Hormuz is the pressure point. The election is the target. Joel C. Rosenberg

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The mullahs may be trying to hurt Trump without ever touching him. Joel Rosenberg argues Iran is using chaos around the Strait of Hormuz to damage the U.S. economy and turn voters against Republicans before the midterms. “Iran believes that it can politically assassinate Trump by creating the conditions by which Republicans will lose in the fall.” Hormuz is the pressure point. The election is the target. Joel C. Rosenberg

Mario Nawfal

86,935 次观看 • 2 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest mistake Washington may be making is assuming Iran is running out of options. According to Prof. Robert Pape, Tehran believes it has already solved the central military problem of this war. Not because it can defeat America, but because it believes the U.S can't achieve its objective. Trump's goal is simple: reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restore normal shipping. The only problem is that Iran can launch drones capable of striking ships from an area larger than California. Much of it is mountainous, filled with tunnels, valleys and concealed launch sites. It's like trying to find someone in an area equivalent to 11,000 Manhattans. Iran doesn't need thousands of drones to survive; it only needs enough to keep attacking ships. That's why Prof. Pape believes Trump can't simply bomb his way to reopening Hormuz before the midterms, and probably not even before January. And he says Tehran knows it, which changes everything. If Iran believes Washington has no realistic military solution, why would it rush into negotiations? Instead, political scientist Prof. Pape believes Tehran will try to maximise its leverage by keeping pressure on global shipping, energy markets, and the U.S economy. His warning is that Iran is no longer simply trying to survive; it's trying to convince every future American president that attacking them carries an unacceptable economic and political price. Robert A. Pape

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest mistake Washington may be making is assuming Iran is running out of options. According to Prof. Robert Pape, Tehran believes it has already solved the central military problem of this war. Not because it can defeat America, but because it believes the U.S can't achieve its objective. Trump's goal is simple: reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restore normal shipping. The only problem is that Iran can launch drones capable of striking ships from an area larger than California. Much of it is mountainous, filled with tunnels, valleys and concealed launch sites. It's like trying to find someone in an area equivalent to 11,000 Manhattans. Iran doesn't need thousands of drones to survive; it only needs enough to keep attacking ships. That's why Prof. Pape believes Trump can't simply bomb his way to reopening Hormuz before the midterms, and probably not even before January. And he says Tehran knows it, which changes everything. If Iran believes Washington has no realistic military solution, why would it rush into negotiations? Instead, political scientist Prof. Pape believes Tehran will try to maximise its leverage by keeping pressure on global shipping, energy markets, and the U.S economy. His warning is that Iran is no longer simply trying to survive; it's trying to convince every future American president that attacking them carries an unacceptable economic and political price. Robert A. Pape

Mario Nawfal

306,985 次观看 • 2 个月前

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Joshua Landis believes Washington is doubling down on a strategy of escalating pressure until Iran's ability to respond begins to erode. The Middle East analyst says recent U.S. strikes fit the existing pattern of calibrated retaliation, but the broader objective is to gradually degrade Iran's missile production, military capabilities, and economic resilience rather than seek an immediate decisive blow. He warns Iran is likely to respond by widening the conflict and targeting economically vulnerable states such as Egypt, where disruptions to tourism and trade could quickly ripple across the wider region. Joshua Landis

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Joshua Landis believes Washington is doubling down on a strategy of escalating pressure until Iran's ability to respond begins to erode. The Middle East analyst says recent U.S. strikes fit the existing pattern of calibrated retaliation, but the broader objective is to gradually degrade Iran's missile production, military capabilities, and economic resilience rather than seek an immediate decisive blow. He warns Iran is likely to respond by widening the conflict and targeting economically vulnerable states such as Egypt, where disruptions to tourism and trade could quickly ripple across the wider region. Joshua Landis

Mario Nawfal

78,373 次观看 • 2 个月前

JUST IN 🇮🇷🇺🇸: U.S. and Iranian Negotiations hit a BIG WALL, The Strait of Hormuz Iran stressed the Strait of Hormuz, won't return to its pre-war status, and a new transit protocol must be established. The U.S. wants to return to what it was before the war. The 40-day War on Iran gave them a nuke, the Strait of Hormuz, and they will not give it up! This was a problem created by Netanyahu lying and starting this war on Iran and the world is paying the price. Thanks again Bibi...

JUST IN 🇮🇷🇺🇸: U.S. and Iranian Negotiations hit a BIG WALL, The Strait of Hormuz Iran stressed the Strait of Hormuz, won't return to its pre-war status, and a new transit protocol must be established. The U.S. wants to return to what it was before the war. The 40-day War on Iran gave them a nuke, the Strait of Hormuz, and they will not give it up! This was a problem created by Netanyahu lying and starting this war on Iran and the world is paying the price. Thanks again Bibi...

Ryan Rozbiani

147,375 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may be making the biggest strategic miscalculation of the war. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert believes the White House is assuming one overwhelming show of force will push Iran back to the negotiating table. He thinks the opposite will happen. According to reports discussed in the interview, Washington is weighing a large-scale campaign targeting not only military sites, but potentially Iran's energy infrastructure as well. Brandon believes the logic is simple. Hit Iran hard enough, demonstrate overwhelming American power, then negotiate from a position of strength. He doesn't think Tehran sees it that way. His argument is that Washington is treating Iran like a conventional state that responds primarily to military pressure. Iran, he says, defines legitimacy through resistance. The harder it's hit, the harder it becomes politically for Tehran to compromise. That's why Brandon believes a major U.S. campaign wouldn't be the final round. It would simply be the start of the next one. The U.S. may be able to destroy what it can find. But it can never be certain it found everything. Meanwhile, Iran only needs to keep enough capability intact to continue imposing costs. Brandon believes that asymmetry favors Tehran over time. If Iran refuses to bend, what started as escalation could well become an open-ended war neither side knows how to end. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may be making the biggest strategic miscalculation of the war. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert believes the White House is assuming one overwhelming show of force will push Iran back to the negotiating table. He thinks the opposite will happen. According to reports discussed in the interview, Washington is weighing a large-scale campaign targeting not only military sites, but potentially Iran's energy infrastructure as well. Brandon believes the logic is simple. Hit Iran hard enough, demonstrate overwhelming American power, then negotiate from a position of strength. He doesn't think Tehran sees it that way. His argument is that Washington is treating Iran like a conventional state that responds primarily to military pressure. Iran, he says, defines legitimacy through resistance. The harder it's hit, the harder it becomes politically for Tehran to compromise. That's why Brandon believes a major U.S. campaign wouldn't be the final round. It would simply be the start of the next one. The U.S. may be able to destroy what it can find. But it can never be certain it found everything. Meanwhile, Iran only needs to keep enough capability intact to continue imposing costs. Brandon believes that asymmetry favors Tehran over time. If Iran refuses to bend, what started as escalation could well become an open-ended war neither side knows how to end. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

377,798 次观看 • 2 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Strait of Hormuz is Iran's nuclear weapon, and it will never give it up for free. Lawyer and analyst Dimitri Lascaris breaks down why Washington's sequencing kills any deal before it starts. "Iran is not going to open the Strait of Hormuz without massive concessions from the United States." Rubio is setting terms, Iran is setting terms, but nobody is budging. Dimitri Lascaris, Azi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Strait of Hormuz is Iran's nuclear weapon, and it will never give it up for free. Lawyer and analyst Dimitri Lascaris breaks down why Washington's sequencing kills any deal before it starts. "Iran is not going to open the Strait of Hormuz without massive concessions from the United States." Rubio is setting terms, Iran is setting terms, but nobody is budging. Dimitri Lascaris, Azi

Mario Nawfal

41,472 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨 JUST IN. Iran is publicly warning against renewed military action while signaling it does not want to fully give up key nuclear and regional demands, including influence over the Strait of Hormuz. That explains why negotiations appear stalled. The core disagreements are still massive. Pressure is rising again, and the next moves from both sides will matter enormously.

🚨 JUST IN. Iran is publicly warning against renewed military action while signaling it does not want to fully give up key nuclear and regional demands, including influence over the Strait of Hormuz. That explains why negotiations appear stalled. The core disagreements are still massive. Pressure is rising again, and the next moves from both sides will matter enormously.

ⁿᵉʷˢ Barron Trump 🇺🇸

38,609 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨 JUST IN: Trump is weighing ‘ALL OUT’ military action against Iran. Iran still refusing direct meetings. Nuclear program and keeping the Strait of Hormuz open are on the table. But Trump has made it crystal clear to aides: if diplomacy fails, full-scale military strikes are very much on the table. VP Vance says carrot and stick. The stick is real. If Iranians won’t fold on denuclearization and Hormuz, Trump is ready to act decisively. THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS NOT BLUFFING. All options remain on the table.

🚨 JUST IN: Trump is weighing ‘ALL OUT’ military action against Iran. Iran still refusing direct meetings. Nuclear program and keeping the Strait of Hormuz open are on the table. But Trump has made it crystal clear to aides: if diplomacy fails, full-scale military strikes are very much on the table. VP Vance says carrot and stick. The stick is real. If Iranians won’t fold on denuclearization and Hormuz, Trump is ready to act decisively. THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS NOT BLUFFING. All options remain on the table.

ⁿᵉʷˢ Barron Trump 🇺🇸

72,346 次观看 • 3 个月前

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran thinks the old Hormuz is gone. The diplomacy looked promising. Then suddenly more U.S. forces were heading into the region and everything seemed to fall apart. Marandi says Tehran sees it differently. Nothing changed. Iran still wants the US to implement the MOU. What has changed, he says, is Hormuz. “The Strait of Hormuz, its status has changed and it will remain that way.” That may be the real problem now. Washington wants a deal that restores the old status quo. Marandi is saying Iran no longer thinks that status quo exists. Seyed Mohammad Marandi

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran thinks the old Hormuz is gone. The diplomacy looked promising. Then suddenly more U.S. forces were heading into the region and everything seemed to fall apart. Marandi says Tehran sees it differently. Nothing changed. Iran still wants the US to implement the MOU. What has changed, he says, is Hormuz. “The Strait of Hormuz, its status has changed and it will remain that way.” That may be the real problem now. Washington wants a deal that restores the old status quo. Marandi is saying Iran no longer thinks that status quo exists. Seyed Mohammad Marandi

Mario Nawfal

109,820 次观看 • 2 天前

Q: To be clear, is sanctions relief for Iran on the table? BESSENT: Nothing is going to be on the table until we see the Strait of Hormuz open and the Iranians agree that they have to turn over the highly enriched uranium Q: So it is on the table

Q: To be clear, is sanctions relief for Iran on the table? BESSENT: Nothing is going to be on the table until we see the Strait of Hormuz open and the Iranians agree that they have to turn over the highly enriched uranium Q: So it is on the table

Aaron Rupar

37,637 次观看 • 4 个月前

President Trump is shifting his rhetoric on Iran, asking when the Iranian people will “rise up and fight” as he dismisses the prospect of another deal with the Islamic Republic. But the bigger story is what the U.S. is doing, not just what Trump is saying. American military operations continue, pressure on the regime is mounting and the economy is collapsing. The rhetoric may be changing. The pressure campaign never stopped.

President Trump is shifting his rhetoric on Iran, asking when the Iranian people will “rise up and fight” as he dismisses the prospect of another deal with the Islamic Republic. But the bigger story is what the U.S. is doing, not just what Trump is saying. American military operations continue, pressure on the regime is mounting and the economy is collapsing. The rhetoric may be changing. The pressure campaign never stopped.

Tousi TV

21,633 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The ceasefire is fake if bombs are still falling outside Beirut. Analyst Alex Christoforou breaks down why Iran has set a clear litmus test for the Trump administration, and the US keeps failing it: "If you want a deal with Iran, if you want this war to end, you have to tell Israel that their war in Lebanon ends." Washington is buying time and space for Netanyahu, and Tehran knows it. Alex Christoforou

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The ceasefire is fake if bombs are still falling outside Beirut. Analyst Alex Christoforou breaks down why Iran has set a clear litmus test for the Trump administration, and the US keeps failing it: "If you want a deal with Iran, if you want this war to end, you have to tell Israel that their war in Lebanon ends." Washington is buying time and space for Netanyahu, and Tehran knows it. Alex Christoforou

Mario Nawfal

39,493 次观看 • 4 个月前

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf says a U.S. minesweeper entered the Strait of Hormuz and was told to leave or be fired upon. Washington asked for 15 minutes. Iran gave it to them. The minesweeper left. Ghalibaf was blunt on what comes next: if the blockade attempt continues, Iran will choke traffic through the Strait entirely. Apparently the U.S. blinked. And Iran is making sure everyone knows it.

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf says a U.S. minesweeper entered the Strait of Hormuz and was told to leave or be fired upon. Washington asked for 15 minutes. Iran gave it to them. The minesweeper left. Ghalibaf was blunt on what comes next: if the blockade attempt continues, Iran will choke traffic through the Strait entirely. Apparently the U.S. blinked. And Iran is making sure everyone knows it.

Mario Nawfal

462,944 次观看 • 5 个月前

‼️‼️🇮🇷🇺🇸 BIG | Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and suspended negotiations with the US after Israel's strikes on Lebanon. It is reported that the IRGC ordered all ships by radio to stay away from the Strait of Hormuz. This situation in the Strait of Hormuz before the agreement could lead to renewed hostilities on either side, but this is unlikely in my opinion.

‼️‼️🇮🇷🇺🇸 BIG | Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and suspended negotiations with the US after Israel's strikes on Lebanon. It is reported that the IRGC ordered all ships by radio to stay away from the Strait of Hormuz. This situation in the Strait of Hormuz before the agreement could lead to renewed hostilities on either side, but this is unlikely in my opinion.

Visioner

22,953 次观看 • 3 个月前

Iran is demanding an end to regional hostilities and compensation for damages before fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz, warning that talks over a temporary route don’t guarantee it will stay open. The U.S. blockade remains in place as Washington ramps up diplomatic, economic, and military pressure, though President Trump has suggested he could declare victory and move on if Iran fully reopens the strait, even without a nuclear deal. Vice President JD Vance says negotiations are still “in the middle of the game,” as U.S. and Israeli officials point to growing economic pressure on Tehran. Trey Yingst reports on the Middle East live from the region.

Iran is demanding an end to regional hostilities and compensation for damages before fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz, warning that talks over a temporary route don’t guarantee it will stay open. The U.S. blockade remains in place as Washington ramps up diplomatic, economic, and military pressure, though President Trump has suggested he could declare victory and move on if Iran fully reopens the strait, even without a nuclear deal. Vice President JD Vance says negotiations are still “in the middle of the game,” as U.S. and Israeli officials point to growing economic pressure on Tehran. Trey Yingst reports on the Middle East live from the region.

Fox News

556,295 次观看 • 1 个月前