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‼️🇹🇷📡🇮🇱 BREAKING | Turkey is moving to deploy radar systems inside Syria. Reports suggest this could significantly limit Israel’s operational freedom, as Israeli strikes toward Iran heavily rely on access through Syrian airspace.

32,618 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇱🇹🇷 Netanyahu has effectively admitted Israel bombed Syria as a warning to Turkey, and geopolitical analyst Malcolm Nance is concerned the next message could be much harder to control. The airbase Israel targeted was reportedly of interest to Ankara as a potential base of operations, and Netanyahu said Turkey's movement south was challenging the existing status quo, so Israel demonstrated its position through what he described as “kinetic” means. Malcolm says this is about something much bigger than one Syrian airfield. Israel wants freedom to operate across Syrian airspace without a serious military challenge. Turkey, meanwhile, is steadily expanding its influence over Damascus and wants a stable Syria increasingly integrated into its own security architecture. Those two visions of Syria are becoming incompatible. And Malcolm believes Israel is trying to establish its red lines now, before Turkish influence becomes too deeply entrenched to reverse. What worries him is the mentality behind it. Israel has become accustomed to using overwhelming airpower to impose red lines on much weaker regional opponents, but Turkey is an entirely different proposition. It has one of NATO's largest standing armies, a huge domestic defence industry, advanced drones and weapon systems, and the strategic depth to absorb attacks in a way Israel's traditional adversaries cannot. Malcolm also points to increasingly aggressive rhetoric from Israeli officials discussing confrontation with Turkish forces in Syria and even scenarios they believe could avoid triggering NATO's Article 5. Nobody seriously wants an Israel-Turkey war, but that's precisely what makes this dangerous. Israel believes it can bomb Turkey's ambitions in Syria without fighting Turkey itself. Malcolm's warning is that eventually Erdoğan may stop accepting that distinction. Malcolm Nance

Mario Nawfal

264,418 просмотров • 25 дней назад

ISRAEL ALMOST STARTED A WAR WITH TURKEY, AND NO ONE, NOT EVEN TRUMP, SAW IT COMING… Israel’s strike in Syria almost started a war with Turkey, and Trump’s Special Envoy just gave me an extraordinary account of how it happened According to Ambassador Tom Barrack, Israel received intelligence suggesting Turkey might be moving military assets onto a Syrian airbase. Washington checked, and confirmed it WAS NOT happening. The concern was communicated, the intelligence was examined, and Syria believed the issue was being handled through diplomatic channels, including a two-hour backchannel discussion between Syria’s foreign minister and the head of Mossad. Then jets appeared anyway, and Israel struck the runways without notifying either Washington or Turkey. That's where this stopped being another Israeli strike on Syria and became something potentially far more dangerous. Turkey saw the aircraft approaching and, not knowing their purpose or target, began confronting the possibility that it would have to scramble its own jets. It could have triggered a direct military confrontation between two of America’s most important regional partners, one of them a NATO member. Asked why Israel would take such a risk, Ambassador Barrack offered two theories. One was a catastrophic breakdown in communication between Mossad, the IDF and Netanyahu’s office. The other? “The Israelis were baiting the Turks.” My bet is on the latter… Behind all of this sits an even bigger strategic contest. Ambassador Barrack says Israel wants Syria kept clear of military systems that could interfere with its access to Iran, describing Syrian airspace as providing Israel with a “clear line of sight to Iran.” Turkey, meanwhile, is becoming increasingly entrenched as a military and political power inside the new Syria; so this wasn’t simply another airstrike. It was a glimpse of the fault line emerging underneath the post-Assad Middle East: Turkey wants to help build and secure the new Syria; Israel wants to ensure that Syria can never obstruct its freedom to strike Iran. For a few extremely dangerous moments, those two ambitions appear to have nearly met in the sky. And next time, cooler heads may not get there first. Ambassador Tom Barrack

Mario Nawfal

1,294,957 просмотров • 1 месяц назад