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$BTC - Quick update regarding the orderflow: -4H beardivs & lower timeframe -Multiple bearish divergences volume wise (AGGR&CVD&Spot vs perps) -SSL engineered -Weekend & early munday sweep. What could go wrong right? Still short. Video is quick&easy. GN

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Jordi

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11,451 просмотров • 1 месяц назад •via X (Twitter)

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$BTC (Video) Monthly timeframe breakdown. I’m laying out what you should be focused on right now - and trust me, almost nobody is explaining this correctly. If this triggers you, that’s fine. If it helps you, like & repost so it reaches the right people.
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$BTC (Video) Monthly timeframe breakdown. I’m laying out what you should be focused on right now - and trust me, almost nobody is explaining this correctly. If this triggers you, that’s fine. If it helps you, like & repost so it reaches the right people.

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Dick Vitale

177,955 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Bitcoin dropped to $93k yesterday and also printed a second TBO Breakdown, which is a bearish explosive prediction symbol from the Trending Breakout indicator. It's interesting to see BTC bounce from this level, but the signs are clear on multiple time frames that BTC is looking more and more bearish. ETH also confirmed its first TBO Breakdown yesterday on its daily close. Not to mention it printed a TBO Close Long on the weekly candle too. Now speaking of TBO Close Longs on the weekly, one possible outcome for these signals is that we get an oversold bounce for both BTC and ETH up to the weekly TBO Fast lines. If this happens, the market will feel ECSTATIC for a short period, but given how strong bearish the charts are, there is a strong chance that it will only be a temporary bounce before we see more pain to the downside. To make matters worse, combined stablecoin dominance printed its third TBO Breakout on the daily- the final symbol we'll see for the Breakout cluster. To make matters worse here, weekly RSI is above 75, which means we're more likely to see bullish continuation for this chart- which means more pain for ALTs (bot not all of them). STRK, XMR, ASTER and MORPHO have valid TBO Breakouts on their 4h and daily charts, which means we could see these chart have more explosive upside continuation. LTC, PI and BANANAS31 have new TBO Close Shorts on the daily time frame, which are early bullish reversal signals. Yes, I'm still expecting LTC to pump. The market isn't over until LTC (the fat lady) sings/pumps. ZEC, DASH, NIBI and RESOLV remain strong bullish with the TBO, making these good candidates for further upside continuation. SOL printed a third and final TBO Breakdown on its daily chart over the weekend, and ADA printed a TBO Breakdown Cluster on its 4h chart. These signals warn us of potential explosive downside continuation. TEL, XPL and MYX are worth watching this week due to irregular Volume and price action.
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Bitcoin dropped to $93k yesterday and also printed a second TBO Breakdown, which is a bearish explosive prediction symbol from the Trending Breakout indicator. It's interesting to see BTC bounce from this level, but the signs are clear on multiple time frames that BTC is looking more and more bearish. ETH also confirmed its first TBO Breakdown yesterday on its daily close. Not to mention it printed a TBO Close Long on the weekly candle too. Now speaking of TBO Close Longs on the weekly, one possible outcome for these signals is that we get an oversold bounce for both BTC and ETH up to the weekly TBO Fast lines. If this happens, the market will feel ECSTATIC for a short period, but given how strong bearish the charts are, there is a strong chance that it will only be a temporary bounce before we see more pain to the downside. To make matters worse, combined stablecoin dominance printed its third TBO Breakout on the daily- the final symbol we'll see for the Breakout cluster. To make matters worse here, weekly RSI is above 75, which means we're more likely to see bullish continuation for this chart- which means more pain for ALTs (bot not all of them). STRK, XMR, ASTER and MORPHO have valid TBO Breakouts on their 4h and daily charts, which means we could see these chart have more explosive upside continuation. LTC, PI and BANANAS31 have new TBO Close Shorts on the daily time frame, which are early bullish reversal signals. Yes, I'm still expecting LTC to pump. The market isn't over until LTC (the fat lady) sings/pumps. ZEC, DASH, NIBI and RESOLV remain strong bullish with the TBO, making these good candidates for further upside continuation. SOL printed a third and final TBO Breakdown on its daily chart over the weekend, and ADA printed a TBO Breakdown Cluster on its 4h chart. These signals warn us of potential explosive downside continuation. TEL, XPL and MYX are worth watching this week due to irregular Volume and price action.

Aaron Dishner

62,656 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

Dango's epoch 2 finished in 22 hours, there are easy points to grab, so here's my post (I said yesterday that I was going to do it I'v made a short vdo to show the whole protocol, and a quick presentation below. dango🍡 is a L1 built from scratch with a proper on-chain CLOB for spot + perps. If you're a r€tarded bro looking for money, just remember that it's a promising new Perp-DEX. ➜ The Airdrop: - Log in - Deposit at least $10 to activate your account, - Trade or LP, earn points. EZ. And yes, the more volume you make, the more you earn. ~50% of total $DNG supply is going straight to the community through points. Maybe more like 60 to 70%, I'm sharing with you an interview of the founder below, done what you want... TGE targeted for Q4 2026, so we've got time to farm properly. But if the hype cook, points will be diluted as the weeks go by, it's always easier to accumulate them at the beginning (remember Hyperliquid). [ Testnet participants and Galxe folks gonna be eligible too, and will have '' major advantage ''.] ➜ How the points works: 1 million points every week. 1️⃣ 750k split between perps traders (volume + OI driven) 2️⃣ 250k for vault/DLP depositors You also rack up lootboxes as you trade: bronze every $25k volume, silver $100k, gold $250k, crystal $500k. Those open into NFTs with hidden point multipliers that will matter when the program ends. ➜ Rankings right now: Because it's still early, you don't need massive volume to place well. Consistent activity gets you into top 1000 pretty easily. Top 100 takes more obviously, but the bar isn't crazy high yet compared to older platforms. ➜ Team and backing: Team is legit and known. The founder, Larry0x is a former smart contract developer at Delphi Digital and was heavily involved with Mars Protocol + Left Curve Software, proper Cosmos builders. They raised $3.6M from Hack VC, Lemniscap, Delphi... _____ And that's it.. my strategy is simple, farm max points during first weeks, as long as it's simple, then I'll advise according to how the project develops. I'm currently testing a solution for easy volume, I'm waiting for the full results and I'll share it tomorrow 😉
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Dango's epoch 2 finished in 22 hours, there are easy points to grab, so here's my post (I said yesterday that I was going to do it I'v made a short vdo to show the whole protocol, and a quick presentation below. dango🍡 is a L1 built from scratch with a proper on-chain CLOB for spot + perps. If you're a r€tarded bro looking for money, just remember that it's a promising new Perp-DEX. ➜ The Airdrop: - Log in - Deposit at least $10 to activate your account, - Trade or LP, earn points. EZ. And yes, the more volume you make, the more you earn. ~50% of total $DNG supply is going straight to the community through points. Maybe more like 60 to 70%, I'm sharing with you an interview of the founder below, done what you want... TGE targeted for Q4 2026, so we've got time to farm properly. But if the hype cook, points will be diluted as the weeks go by, it's always easier to accumulate them at the beginning (remember Hyperliquid). [ Testnet participants and Galxe folks gonna be eligible too, and will have '' major advantage ''.] ➜ How the points works: 1 million points every week. 1️⃣ 750k split between perps traders (volume + OI driven) 2️⃣ 250k for vault/DLP depositors You also rack up lootboxes as you trade: bronze every $25k volume, silver $100k, gold $250k, crystal $500k. Those open into NFTs with hidden point multipliers that will matter when the program ends. ➜ Rankings right now: Because it's still early, you don't need massive volume to place well. Consistent activity gets you into top 1000 pretty easily. Top 100 takes more obviously, but the bar isn't crazy high yet compared to older platforms. ➜ Team and backing: Team is legit and known. The founder, Larry0x is a former smart contract developer at Delphi Digital and was heavily involved with Mars Protocol + Left Curve Software, proper Cosmos builders. They raised $3.6M from Hack VC, Lemniscap, Delphi... _____ And that's it.. my strategy is simple, farm max points during first weeks, as long as it's simple, then I'll advise according to how the project develops. I'm currently testing a solution for easy volume, I'm waiting for the full results and I'll share it tomorrow 😉

𝗙𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗟𝗶𝗳𝗲

44,071 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

BTC is showing the textbook signs of a pivot high. RSI confirmed overbought and reversed in a single day - the last time we saw a one-and-done RSI move like this was back in January before a meaningful pullback. OBV's moving average is still pointing up, which keeps the door open for one more push to around $77K, but the bear flag has been fulfilled. Higher lows and higher highs are done. We can go home. If BTC does put in a higher high from here, I'd expect to see a lower high on RSI - that would just reinforce the setup. Support sits around $65K-$67K, and based on the pace of the last drawdown, something like that by end of weekend isn't unreasonable. Ethereum held up stronger than BTC this week, with RSI staying overbought across three days - Sunday at 73, Monday at 84, Tuesday at 76. ETHBTC is right at resistance. The multiple factor effect means whatever BTC does, ETH does 1.5x to 2x. Ethereum could still push higher, but we're deep into risky territory. Stablecoin dominance flipped green after eight consecutive red days. RSI confirmed oversold on Monday. The trend is starting to shift, and when this chart pumps it typically corresponds to selling pressure across crypto. DXY closed below support from Friday's push after going overbought on the 13th. RSI cracked below 61.78. A pullback to 98.708 is on the table, which should bring some relief to the euro and yen. The yen is still dangerously overbought - second TBT bearish divergence now printing on the weekly. If it keeps pushing up, the Bank of Japan's hand gets forced. We all know what happened last time that went too far. VIX is still inside the rejection zone it's been in since March 2023. Fear hasn't left the building. S&P futures have a TBO close long on the weekly - same pattern that printed before a 16% drop. NVIDIA's daily cloud is now compressed to under 1%. When the cloud gets that tight, explosive moves follow - not necessarily up. On the picks side: XRP had a real volume spike and an 8.8% move after 4H TBO breakouts, but I'm not convinced the momentum holds. Solana's OBV moving average is genuinely bullish - one more leg is possible. Tron is the biggest surprise - perfect three-in-a-row TBO breakout cluster and a 4% move, which for Tron is wild. HYPE printed a second TBO breakout with RSI at 82.34 - the level to beat is 83.86. Kaspa RSI hit 91.5 after a 9% move - that's danger territory. TAO has been overbought on the daily RSI since March 11th - day eight. OBV is genuinely bullish but the warning signs are piling up. Walrus protocol jumped 24% out of nowhere - probably news related and likely AI adjacent. Pippin is down 31% on Tuesday's close. Pi Network is now down 39% from its high after a textbook RSI divergence setup played out exactly as expected. Bitcoin Cash printed a TBT bearish divergence. Render, Morpho, Fetch AI, Syrup all showing exhaustion signals on the 4H.
48:04

BTC is showing the textbook signs of a pivot high. RSI confirmed overbought and reversed in a single day - the last time we saw a one-and-done RSI move like this was back in January before a meaningful pullback. OBV's moving average is still pointing up, which keeps the door open for one more push to around $77K, but the bear flag has been fulfilled. Higher lows and higher highs are done. We can go home. If BTC does put in a higher high from here, I'd expect to see a lower high on RSI - that would just reinforce the setup. Support sits around $65K-$67K, and based on the pace of the last drawdown, something like that by end of weekend isn't unreasonable. Ethereum held up stronger than BTC this week, with RSI staying overbought across three days - Sunday at 73, Monday at 84, Tuesday at 76. ETHBTC is right at resistance. The multiple factor effect means whatever BTC does, ETH does 1.5x to 2x. Ethereum could still push higher, but we're deep into risky territory. Stablecoin dominance flipped green after eight consecutive red days. RSI confirmed oversold on Monday. The trend is starting to shift, and when this chart pumps it typically corresponds to selling pressure across crypto. DXY closed below support from Friday's push after going overbought on the 13th. RSI cracked below 61.78. A pullback to 98.708 is on the table, which should bring some relief to the euro and yen. The yen is still dangerously overbought - second TBT bearish divergence now printing on the weekly. If it keeps pushing up, the Bank of Japan's hand gets forced. We all know what happened last time that went too far. VIX is still inside the rejection zone it's been in since March 2023. Fear hasn't left the building. S&P futures have a TBO close long on the weekly - same pattern that printed before a 16% drop. NVIDIA's daily cloud is now compressed to under 1%. When the cloud gets that tight, explosive moves follow - not necessarily up. On the picks side: XRP had a real volume spike and an 8.8% move after 4H TBO breakouts, but I'm not convinced the momentum holds. Solana's OBV moving average is genuinely bullish - one more leg is possible. Tron is the biggest surprise - perfect three-in-a-row TBO breakout cluster and a 4% move, which for Tron is wild. HYPE printed a second TBO breakout with RSI at 82.34 - the level to beat is 83.86. Kaspa RSI hit 91.5 after a 9% move - that's danger territory. TAO has been overbought on the daily RSI since March 11th - day eight. OBV is genuinely bullish but the warning signs are piling up. Walrus protocol jumped 24% out of nowhere - probably news related and likely AI adjacent. Pippin is down 31% on Tuesday's close. Pi Network is now down 39% from its high after a textbook RSI divergence setup played out exactly as expected. Bitcoin Cash printed a TBT bearish divergence. Render, Morpho, Fetch AI, Syrup all showing exhaustion signals on the 4H.

Aaron Dishner

16,640 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

I think May and June could be brutal for crypto, and in this video I walk through exactly why I still believe BTC could push all the way down to $38,555 before this bear market leg is done. The core of the argument comes from the crypto calendar and how the last real bottom years behaved, especially when you compare monthly closes with the full wick-to-wick volatility inside those candles. I break down what those historical averages imply for BTC first, then apply the same lens to ETH and the broader market. The important point is not just that monthly closes could be red. It is that the intramonth volatility can get much uglier than the close alone suggests, which is why a move that looks manageable on paper can still feel like a bloodbath in real time. I also zoom out to TOTALES and the smaller-cap market to show how deep the damage could go if the same kind of bear-market behavior repeats. That is where the opportunity comes in too. If this forecast is even directionally right, the next two months could create some of the best accumulation windows of the cycle, but only for people who stay patient, think probabilistically, and avoid pretending projections are guarantees. The biggest takeaway is that this is a forecast, not a certainty. July has historically looked stronger, but I do not treat that as proof the full bottom is in. Right now I am using the best historical data we have to map the downside, prepare for volatility, and think ahead instead of reacting after the damage is already done. Crypto Calendar: Chapters: 00:00 Bitcoin to $38,555 by June? 01:48 BTC May and June historical forecast 03:19 Bitcoin volatility and lower wick projections 06:40 June could be even worse for BTC 10:47 Why this data comes from The Better Traders Club 12:34 Ethereum May and June forecast 15:30 ETH volatility and the $1,000 target 20:02 What TOTALES shows about the whole crypto market 23:29 TOTALES May and June downside projections 27:04 TOTALES vs TOTALLY50 vs TOTALLY100 explained 31:39 TOTALLY50 forecast and mid-cap risk 34:51 TOTALLY100 forecast and smaller-cap risk 36:21 Why July could bring a bounce 37:40 These are projections, not guarantees 40:02 How traders should prepare 41:48 Trading volatility and final thoughts 🎲 Play Moonin Papa BINGO with today's video: 💹 Take Your Trading to the Next Level! 💰 Sign up & Trade on Kraken 👉 🥇 Toobit: $15k Bonus 👉 🥈 TBO indicator: identify trends early, confirm breakouts, and maximize profits by staying in the trend 👉 📚 Learn Proven Crypto Strategies: Master bot trading, scalping, day trading, and swing trading with our courses: 🌐 Stay Connected: Follow me for market updates and insights across platforms:
42:11

I think May and June could be brutal for crypto, and in this video I walk through exactly why I still believe BTC could push all the way down to $38,555 before this bear market leg is done. The core of the argument comes from the crypto calendar and how the last real bottom years behaved, especially when you compare monthly closes with the full wick-to-wick volatility inside those candles. I break down what those historical averages imply for BTC first, then apply the same lens to ETH and the broader market. The important point is not just that monthly closes could be red. It is that the intramonth volatility can get much uglier than the close alone suggests, which is why a move that looks manageable on paper can still feel like a bloodbath in real time. I also zoom out to TOTALES and the smaller-cap market to show how deep the damage could go if the same kind of bear-market behavior repeats. That is where the opportunity comes in too. If this forecast is even directionally right, the next two months could create some of the best accumulation windows of the cycle, but only for people who stay patient, think probabilistically, and avoid pretending projections are guarantees. The biggest takeaway is that this is a forecast, not a certainty. July has historically looked stronger, but I do not treat that as proof the full bottom is in. Right now I am using the best historical data we have to map the downside, prepare for volatility, and think ahead instead of reacting after the damage is already done. Crypto Calendar: Chapters: 00:00 Bitcoin to $38,555 by June? 01:48 BTC May and June historical forecast 03:19 Bitcoin volatility and lower wick projections 06:40 June could be even worse for BTC 10:47 Why this data comes from The Better Traders Club 12:34 Ethereum May and June forecast 15:30 ETH volatility and the $1,000 target 20:02 What TOTALES shows about the whole crypto market 23:29 TOTALES May and June downside projections 27:04 TOTALES vs TOTALLY50 vs TOTALLY100 explained 31:39 TOTALLY50 forecast and mid-cap risk 34:51 TOTALLY100 forecast and smaller-cap risk 36:21 Why July could bring a bounce 37:40 These are projections, not guarantees 40:02 How traders should prepare 41:48 Trading volatility and final thoughts 🎲 Play Moonin Papa BINGO with today's video: 💹 Take Your Trading to the Next Level! 💰 Sign up & Trade on Kraken 👉 🥇 Toobit: $15k Bonus 👉 🥈 TBO indicator: identify trends early, confirm breakouts, and maximize profits by staying in the trend 👉 📚 Learn Proven Crypto Strategies: Master bot trading, scalping, day trading, and swing trading with our courses: 🌐 Stay Connected: Follow me for market updates and insights across platforms:

Aaron Dishner

17,844 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

BITCOIN: UNBELIEVABLE!!!! 🚨🚨🚨 00:00 Intro - BTC still around the 200 WMA 00:12 Tether printing again on TRON - Bullish sign 01:20 TRON chart - Very strong compared to blue chip L2s 02:35 Trump Media now holding 14,319 BTC 03:05 Saylor - sold 108M USD BTC. Buys high sell lows, here's why 04:04 About the Clarity act 04:56 Boy genius Vitalik - A new day a new roadmap, strawmap dot org 06:41 AI - Vitalik Strawmap explained 08:22 Vitalik - ETH will be quantum safe 09:16 ETH chart - Do not touch. Only buy BTC during the bear 10:06 Anthropic buying cloud infrastructure from BTC miners 10:35 Strategy CEO video - We are the central bank of BTC 11:23 The idea of BTC was to remove the central bank 12:20 Imran - SOL leadership supports all founders and ideas 13:15 SOL chart - still bearish. Stay out 13:34 CT consensus - bottom between 45K-60K. Imagine going to 12K. Just DCA 14:26 BTC pls go to moon song - Teaching about 2019 bear market 16:50 Mentally prepare for the bear target - Crazy much lower 17:42 If something bottoms out expect another 70 percent drop 18:08 INTEL news - In bear trend 18:52 Bulmania scanner - bull flip overview 19:09 Use AI to get summary from inspiration tab 20:05 Shout out to Bullmania - Join the waitlist 20:53 AI on CPI news 21:55 OpenAI buying back shares before IPO 22:21 Trump - Strait of Hormuz is open again 22:35 Gold chart - Don't touch . Still in bear trend 23:00 We are humble and just react to the trend 23:49 Hedge funds buying stocks at record level - Greedy 25:20 NVDA CEO now collaborating with banks for financing platform 26:51 Senator Lummis - Fighting for stable coins 27:40 Coinbase video - Clarity Act on Sept 15th 28:57 Biggest Wall Street banks want bill for retirement savings in crypto - video 32:15 Tokenized stocks are not the same as the real stock - Trade them shortterm 34:10 Regulations - Crypto wants CFTC as regulator instead of SEC 36:18 NEAR video - preparing for post quantum future 38:43 Use NEAR for crosschain swap - Not for holding long term imo 41:10 Saylor video - Japanese AI slop 43:16 Imran - new VCs actively deploying in crypto 43:34 Q and A 43:37 Q1: Only weakness of Ivan is being humble? 43:45 Q2: What a great use of AI? 44:28 Best use of AI is Bullmania AI 45:18 About Robinhood weird things - Trenches are here 47:08 Q3: Volume low vs bottom signal? 49:25 Shout out to Bullmania - Sign up for the waitlist 50:10 Q4: Pretend to be a plebe with 10K. How would you play it? 51:57 Q5: Tokenized stocks just launched on HYPE? 54:52 Q6: I think you are wrong on central bank criticism for crypto? 58:31 Outro
58:41

BITCOIN: UNBELIEVABLE!!!! 🚨🚨🚨 00:00 Intro - BTC still around the 200 WMA 00:12 Tether printing again on TRON - Bullish sign 01:20 TRON chart - Very strong compared to blue chip L2s 02:35 Trump Media now holding 14,319 BTC 03:05 Saylor - sold 108M USD BTC. Buys high sell lows, here's why 04:04 About the Clarity act 04:56 Boy genius Vitalik - A new day a new roadmap, strawmap dot org 06:41 AI - Vitalik Strawmap explained 08:22 Vitalik - ETH will be quantum safe 09:16 ETH chart - Do not touch. Only buy BTC during the bear 10:06 Anthropic buying cloud infrastructure from BTC miners 10:35 Strategy CEO video - We are the central bank of BTC 11:23 The idea of BTC was to remove the central bank 12:20 Imran - SOL leadership supports all founders and ideas 13:15 SOL chart - still bearish. Stay out 13:34 CT consensus - bottom between 45K-60K. Imagine going to 12K. Just DCA 14:26 BTC pls go to moon song - Teaching about 2019 bear market 16:50 Mentally prepare for the bear target - Crazy much lower 17:42 If something bottoms out expect another 70 percent drop 18:08 INTEL news - In bear trend 18:52 Bulmania scanner - bull flip overview 19:09 Use AI to get summary from inspiration tab 20:05 Shout out to Bullmania - Join the waitlist 20:53 AI on CPI news 21:55 OpenAI buying back shares before IPO 22:21 Trump - Strait of Hormuz is open again 22:35 Gold chart - Don't touch . Still in bear trend 23:00 We are humble and just react to the trend 23:49 Hedge funds buying stocks at record level - Greedy 25:20 NVDA CEO now collaborating with banks for financing platform 26:51 Senator Lummis - Fighting for stable coins 27:40 Coinbase video - Clarity Act on Sept 15th 28:57 Biggest Wall Street banks want bill for retirement savings in crypto - video 32:15 Tokenized stocks are not the same as the real stock - Trade them shortterm 34:10 Regulations - Crypto wants CFTC as regulator instead of SEC 36:18 NEAR video - preparing for post quantum future 38:43 Use NEAR for crosschain swap - Not for holding long term imo 41:10 Saylor video - Japanese AI slop 43:16 Imran - new VCs actively deploying in crypto 43:34 Q and A 43:37 Q1: Only weakness of Ivan is being humble? 43:45 Q2: What a great use of AI? 44:28 Best use of AI is Bullmania AI 45:18 About Robinhood weird things - Trenches are here 47:08 Q3: Volume low vs bottom signal? 49:25 Shout out to Bullmania - Sign up for the waitlist 50:10 Q4: Pretend to be a plebe with 10K. How would you play it? 51:57 Q5: Tokenized stocks just launched on HYPE? 54:52 Q6: I think you are wrong on central bank criticism for crypto? 58:31 Outro

Ivan on Tech 🍳📈💰 Head Trader @ Bullmania

19,014 просмотров • 9 дней назад

I closed out the weekend with a very green run on BTC, up 0.9% Saturday, 0.8% Sunday, and 2.68% week to week, marking five confirmed green days in a row for the first time since that March run all the way back from the 9th to the 16th. Bitcoin is sitting inside the daily TBO cloud in bullish consolidation, RSI hasn't even tagged overbought yet, and I'm now looking at a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly. My target for July is the weekly fast line at 71,145, roughly 12% higher from here, but I want to be clear the macro trend is still strong bearish and this bounce doesn't mean we're going up and to the right forever. Ethereum had a great weekend too, printing its first TBO close short since December, which tells me the short I called back on May 18th (a 29% drawdown) could be winding down. I'm not panic selling shorts yet, I want to wait for a pullback to the fast line before acting either way. Stablecoin dominance combined is showing lower highs and a TBO close long, which lines up with my expectation that this green July is a short term bounce rather than a trend change, and I'm watching for it to go oversold as my signal that the rally is closer to done than people think. Across the board I'm seeing similar setups: Bitcoin dominance printed a bullish divergence, Ethereum dominance is heading toward the top of its cloud where I plan to trim, and Solana dominance is still strong but showing signs a scale out opportunity is coming. In Tradfi, the Dixie looks ready to fall further which is bullish for crypto, gold and silver both have TBO close longs, and oil remains oversold for an incredible stretch. For my picks I like Bitcoin Cash and Aerodrome off their oversold bounces, I'm watching Solana and Ethereum for pullback entries, and I flagged Morpho, Lab, and Professor as weak charts I expect to roll over hard. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin's green weekend and reality check 02:28 Bitcoin RSI, July target, and weekly trend 04:30 Ethereum TBO close short and pullback plan 07:23 Stablecoin dominance and July bounce warning 10:17 Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana dominance 13:18 Total market cap and bullish trap risk 16:11 TradFi, Dixie, USDJPY, and S&P futures 19:15 TBO, journal, Kraken, Phemex, and AFX 22:51 Bitcoin Cash, Aerodrome, LIT, and Solana 25:27 Link, Litecoin, CRO, SKY, KAS, and BONK 28:09 DEXE, RIVER, Morpho, LAB, and Professor 30:44 ONDO, FET, USELESS, NPC, HBAR, and AKT 33:24 AMD, Dell, HOOD, HPE, AMAT, and Dutch Bros 35:38 SMST, BMNZ, and July video wrap
37:17

I closed out the weekend with a very green run on BTC, up 0.9% Saturday, 0.8% Sunday, and 2.68% week to week, marking five confirmed green days in a row for the first time since that March run all the way back from the 9th to the 16th. Bitcoin is sitting inside the daily TBO cloud in bullish consolidation, RSI hasn't even tagged overbought yet, and I'm now looking at a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly. My target for July is the weekly fast line at 71,145, roughly 12% higher from here, but I want to be clear the macro trend is still strong bearish and this bounce doesn't mean we're going up and to the right forever. Ethereum had a great weekend too, printing its first TBO close short since December, which tells me the short I called back on May 18th (a 29% drawdown) could be winding down. I'm not panic selling shorts yet, I want to wait for a pullback to the fast line before acting either way. Stablecoin dominance combined is showing lower highs and a TBO close long, which lines up with my expectation that this green July is a short term bounce rather than a trend change, and I'm watching for it to go oversold as my signal that the rally is closer to done than people think. Across the board I'm seeing similar setups: Bitcoin dominance printed a bullish divergence, Ethereum dominance is heading toward the top of its cloud where I plan to trim, and Solana dominance is still strong but showing signs a scale out opportunity is coming. In Tradfi, the Dixie looks ready to fall further which is bullish for crypto, gold and silver both have TBO close longs, and oil remains oversold for an incredible stretch. For my picks I like Bitcoin Cash and Aerodrome off their oversold bounces, I'm watching Solana and Ethereum for pullback entries, and I flagged Morpho, Lab, and Professor as weak charts I expect to roll over hard. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin's green weekend and reality check 02:28 Bitcoin RSI, July target, and weekly trend 04:30 Ethereum TBO close short and pullback plan 07:23 Stablecoin dominance and July bounce warning 10:17 Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana dominance 13:18 Total market cap and bullish trap risk 16:11 TradFi, Dixie, USDJPY, and S&P futures 19:15 TBO, journal, Kraken, Phemex, and AFX 22:51 Bitcoin Cash, Aerodrome, LIT, and Solana 25:27 Link, Litecoin, CRO, SKY, KAS, and BONK 28:09 DEXE, RIVER, Morpho, LAB, and Professor 30:44 ONDO, FET, USELESS, NPC, HBAR, and AKT 33:24 AMD, Dell, HOOD, HPE, AMAT, and Dutch Bros 35:38 SMST, BMNZ, and July video wrap

Aaron Dishner

10,542 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

If insurance companies don’t adapt to Tesla FSD, they’re going to have a real problem. In 2024 at the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting, Warren Buffett got asked, “Assuming Elon delivers on his fully autonomous driving goal. Elon said, if you’ve got at scale, a statistically significant amount of data that shows conclusively that the autonomous car has half the accident rate of a human driven car, I think that’s difficult to ignore. Assuming Elon succeeds in reducing accidents by 50% vs human drivers, wouldn’t auto insurance rates fall to reflect the reduced underwriting risks, thereby adversely impacting Geico’s revenues and float and perhaps margins, too?” His main response was, “Well, let’s just take the extreme example. Let’s say there are only going to be 3 accidents in the U.S. next year for some crazy reason… anything that reduces accidents is going to reduce costs… If accidents get reduced 50%, it’s going to be good for society and it’s going to be bad for insurance companies’ volume… but good for society is what we’re looking for.” I’ve followed Tesla closely for years and now the proof is impossible to ignore. Profiting from insurance is built on risk and FSD is systematically removing it. FSD has now crossed the data threshold that insurers can’t ignore. By 2026, Tesla FSD has logged over 10B+ real world miles from real human behavior, real streets, real weather, real chaos, and it’s materially more data than ANY company in the world has today. Tesla’s own safety reports show it clearly: • Human driven U.S. average: ~1M miles per accident • Tesla Autopilot: ~4.5M miles per accident • Tesla FSD engaged: ~7.5M miles per accident That’s a 7.5x safety improvement over human driving! If the risk is 7.5x lower, and your premiums you’re charging customers don’t change, something is wrong. Insurance pricing is supposed to reflect this risk. This is why today’s Lemonade announcement is a wake up call to insurance providers. When Lemonade announced it’s offering a 50% insurance discount when FSD is steering, they’re reacting to Tesla FSD data. Fewer crashes results in fewer payouts, period. This is what adaptive insurance looks like and thus why Tesla & Lemonade insurance has an advantage. They are adapting to real FSD data and real time risk, and adjusting the prices. All while traditional insurance companies are still using broad historical averages, falling behind and losing customers. Companies like GEICO, State Farm, and Allstate were built for a world where humans are driving, risk is random, and prices update slowly. I believe this era of insurance is ending. Even Warren admitted it in this video, saying cutting accidents in half is great for society, but BAD for insurance volume. Bc less risk means lower premiums and lower premiums mean less float and less float is the core of traditional insurance profits! If FSD adoption hits even 50% of Tesla’s fleet, I bet accident rates could drop 30-50% industry wide. That alone puts massive pressure on a ~$300B U.S. auto insurance market today. This is also why I believe Tesla insurance has a MAJOR advantage. Your premium is solely based on data. It uses real time vehicle telemetry, scores you based on actual driving behavior, and rewards your FSD usage directly and right away. In places like California, Tesla Insurance premiums for FSD users are already 20-30% cheaper than competitors. In some cases, safe drivers see up to 60% discounts. And in Texas, claims for FSD users are 40% lower than non-FSD drivers. The long term outcome is becoming obvious to me. Insurance companies that DO NOT adapt prices dynamically, use real time data, and recognize FSD’s safety advantage will most likely lose their best customers to companies that do. For Tesla owners, this is great news bc safer driving, esp using FSD will result in cheaper insurance, but for legacy insurers, this is an existential moment. You either adapt or risk getting left behind.
3:25

If insurance companies don’t adapt to Tesla FSD, they’re going to have a real problem. In 2024 at the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting, Warren Buffett got asked, “Assuming Elon delivers on his fully autonomous driving goal. Elon said, if you’ve got at scale, a statistically significant amount of data that shows conclusively that the autonomous car has half the accident rate of a human driven car, I think that’s difficult to ignore. Assuming Elon succeeds in reducing accidents by 50% vs human drivers, wouldn’t auto insurance rates fall to reflect the reduced underwriting risks, thereby adversely impacting Geico’s revenues and float and perhaps margins, too?” His main response was, “Well, let’s just take the extreme example. Let’s say there are only going to be 3 accidents in the U.S. next year for some crazy reason… anything that reduces accidents is going to reduce costs… If accidents get reduced 50%, it’s going to be good for society and it’s going to be bad for insurance companies’ volume… but good for society is what we’re looking for.” I’ve followed Tesla closely for years and now the proof is impossible to ignore. Profiting from insurance is built on risk and FSD is systematically removing it. FSD has now crossed the data threshold that insurers can’t ignore. By 2026, Tesla FSD has logged over 10B+ real world miles from real human behavior, real streets, real weather, real chaos, and it’s materially more data than ANY company in the world has today. Tesla’s own safety reports show it clearly: • Human driven U.S. average: ~1M miles per accident • Tesla Autopilot: ~4.5M miles per accident • Tesla FSD engaged: ~7.5M miles per accident That’s a 7.5x safety improvement over human driving! If the risk is 7.5x lower, and your premiums you’re charging customers don’t change, something is wrong. Insurance pricing is supposed to reflect this risk. This is why today’s Lemonade announcement is a wake up call to insurance providers. When Lemonade announced it’s offering a 50% insurance discount when FSD is steering, they’re reacting to Tesla FSD data. Fewer crashes results in fewer payouts, period. This is what adaptive insurance looks like and thus why Tesla & Lemonade insurance has an advantage. They are adapting to real FSD data and real time risk, and adjusting the prices. All while traditional insurance companies are still using broad historical averages, falling behind and losing customers. Companies like GEICO, State Farm, and Allstate were built for a world where humans are driving, risk is random, and prices update slowly. I believe this era of insurance is ending. Even Warren admitted it in this video, saying cutting accidents in half is great for society, but BAD for insurance volume. Bc less risk means lower premiums and lower premiums mean less float and less float is the core of traditional insurance profits! If FSD adoption hits even 50% of Tesla’s fleet, I bet accident rates could drop 30-50% industry wide. That alone puts massive pressure on a ~$300B U.S. auto insurance market today. This is also why I believe Tesla insurance has a MAJOR advantage. Your premium is solely based on data. It uses real time vehicle telemetry, scores you based on actual driving behavior, and rewards your FSD usage directly and right away. In places like California, Tesla Insurance premiums for FSD users are already 20-30% cheaper than competitors. In some cases, safe drivers see up to 60% discounts. And in Texas, claims for FSD users are 40% lower than non-FSD drivers. The long term outcome is becoming obvious to me. Insurance companies that DO NOT adapt prices dynamically, use real time data, and recognize FSD’s safety advantage will most likely lose their best customers to companies that do. For Tesla owners, this is great news bc safer driving, esp using FSD will result in cheaper insurance, but for legacy insurers, this is an existential moment. You either adapt or risk getting left behind.

Teslaconomics

140,963 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

BONNIE LEVEL UP #22ndBonnieBDparty 🦊: What am I supposed to do? 🎤: Give her a birthday blessing. 🐰: Oh! Is your nose running? 🦊: For real? 🐰: You're crying? (wipes Emi's nose) Are you crying? Is it tears? Are you crying? 🦊: (wipes her eyes) 🐰: That's a big piece of eye gunk~ 🦊: (wipes Bonnie's eyes) 🎤: This is a bickering kind of love, right? 🦊: What am I supposed to say? 🐰: ☺️ 🐰: Is it real? 🦊: It's a fan 😆 🦊: What is that? The fan thing. 🐰: A fan, like when they wrap those new year lucky draw presents. 🦊: You'll have to open it to see. It's exactly like it. 🐰: Or is Any hidden in there?? 🦊: It might be too small 😆 🐰: It might not fit her. 🦊: Do you want to open it? 🐰: I do!! 🦊: It's exactly like it. 🐰: Really? 🦊: Almost exactly like it, but it's the one that's the closest to it. 🐰: Lemme see~ how do I open it? 🦊: Here here, you can open it yourself. 🐰: (starts opening it) 🐰: When did you buy it? 🦊: When did I buy it? 🦊: (helps Bonnie open it) 🎤: The vibe is like opening up the back of a truck to sell things. 🐰: (opens it) 🐰: 😭 🦊: It's exactly like it. It's even got the pearly design here. 🐰: 😭 🦊: Isn't it just like it? 🐰: 😭 🦊: It's really like it. I had to go to so many shops before I could find it. 🐰: How many shops did you go to? 🦊: So many. It's really like it. 🐰: Where did you buy it from? 🦊: Do you want to hold it? 🐰: I'm going to bring it to the concert. It'll definitely be at the Love Session. 🐰: (admiring the guitar) 🦊: Do you like it? 🐰: 🙂‍↕️ 🐰: My mic disappeared. 🦊: Her mic disappeared, where'd it go? 😆 🐰: My face is all gone now. I love it more than anything in the world. 🦊: Is it pretty? 🐰: It is. 🦊: It's really beautiful. The first time I saw it, I was like, this is the one. 🐰: It's beautiful. 🦊: Will you play it? 🐰: I will. I love it so much, I'm going to keep it till the day I die. 🦊: Yeah, guitars are things that, when ppl move homes, they'll bring their guitars with them. 🐰: What do you mean by moving? 🦊: As in, usually, guitars are things that ppl will bring with them even when they move homes. 🐰: Yeah. I'll bring it out with me. 🦊: You'll bring it out with you? 😆 🐰: I'll bring it to Central World, I'll walk and buy sweets with it. 🦊: It's heavy. 🐰: Oh, it's heavy. That's so sweet. 🦊: It really suits you. No one bought the same thing, right? 🐰: No, you're the only one I told. 🦊: The whole world knows now! 🐰: Oh yeah, they put it in (the Love Session BTS video). 🦊: 😆 🐰: They put it in the video. How come you're so sweet? 🦊: Do you want to try playing it? 🎤: Do you want to try playing? Will we see this guitar on stage on 7 March (EmiBonnie Love Session). 🦊: You can see it, but it doesn't have an amp, bc I had to choose between it having an amp or not having an amp. If it's a classic guitar with real wood, they don't really have amps apparently. That's what they said. 🎤: Do you want to give it a try? 🐰: No, I'm shy. Let me practice first. 🦊: Try listening to the sound. It's already been tuned. 🐰: (tries playing it) 🦊: Has it been tuned? Is this already tuned? 🐰: Yeah ☺️ 🐰: (hugs the guitar) 🐰: I'm going to hug it to sleep tonight. 🦊: You're going to hug it to sleep 😆 🎤: She's going to hug it to sleep 😆 🦊: It's so beautiful. It suits Bonnie the most. 🐰: (hugs the guitar) 🐰: When did you buy it? You had the time? 🦊: I did, I did. 🐰: When? We're together all the time, when'd you go? 🗣️: (screaming) 🦊: For this, of course I had time. 🐰: A spy. 🦊: Is it beautiful? 🐰: It's beautiful. Which shop did you buy it from? Does anyone know? 🦊: Are you going to buy another one or what? 😆 🐰: No, I'm not going to buy another one, this is the only one I want. 🎤: Everyone must want to take photos of the two of them with the guitar. You can stand next to the table with the cake. 🦊🐰: (being sweet with each other while everyone takes photos) 🦊: Which camera? 🎤: All the cameras. 🐰: Pls Meitu, edit the photos for me.
6:56

BONNIE LEVEL UP #22ndBonnieBDparty 🦊: What am I supposed to do? 🎤: Give her a birthday blessing. 🐰: Oh! Is your nose running? 🦊: For real? 🐰: You're crying? (wipes Emi's nose) Are you crying? Is it tears? Are you crying? 🦊: (wipes her eyes) 🐰: That's a big piece of eye gunk~ 🦊: (wipes Bonnie's eyes) 🎤: This is a bickering kind of love, right? 🦊: What am I supposed to say? 🐰: ☺️ 🐰: Is it real? 🦊: It's a fan 😆 🦊: What is that? The fan thing. 🐰: A fan, like when they wrap those new year lucky draw presents. 🦊: You'll have to open it to see. It's exactly like it. 🐰: Or is Any hidden in there?? 🦊: It might be too small 😆 🐰: It might not fit her. 🦊: Do you want to open it? 🐰: I do!! 🦊: It's exactly like it. 🐰: Really? 🦊: Almost exactly like it, but it's the one that's the closest to it. 🐰: Lemme see~ how do I open it? 🦊: Here here, you can open it yourself. 🐰: (starts opening it) 🐰: When did you buy it? 🦊: When did I buy it? 🦊: (helps Bonnie open it) 🎤: The vibe is like opening up the back of a truck to sell things. 🐰: (opens it) 🐰: 😭 🦊: It's exactly like it. It's even got the pearly design here. 🐰: 😭 🦊: Isn't it just like it? 🐰: 😭 🦊: It's really like it. I had to go to so many shops before I could find it. 🐰: How many shops did you go to? 🦊: So many. It's really like it. 🐰: Where did you buy it from? 🦊: Do you want to hold it? 🐰: I'm going to bring it to the concert. It'll definitely be at the Love Session. 🐰: (admiring the guitar) 🦊: Do you like it? 🐰: 🙂‍↕️ 🐰: My mic disappeared. 🦊: Her mic disappeared, where'd it go? 😆 🐰: My face is all gone now. I love it more than anything in the world. 🦊: Is it pretty? 🐰: It is. 🦊: It's really beautiful. The first time I saw it, I was like, this is the one. 🐰: It's beautiful. 🦊: Will you play it? 🐰: I will. I love it so much, I'm going to keep it till the day I die. 🦊: Yeah, guitars are things that, when ppl move homes, they'll bring their guitars with them. 🐰: What do you mean by moving? 🦊: As in, usually, guitars are things that ppl will bring with them even when they move homes. 🐰: Yeah. I'll bring it out with me. 🦊: You'll bring it out with you? 😆 🐰: I'll bring it to Central World, I'll walk and buy sweets with it. 🦊: It's heavy. 🐰: Oh, it's heavy. That's so sweet. 🦊: It really suits you. No one bought the same thing, right? 🐰: No, you're the only one I told. 🦊: The whole world knows now! 🐰: Oh yeah, they put it in (the Love Session BTS video). 🦊: 😆 🐰: They put it in the video. How come you're so sweet? 🦊: Do you want to try playing it? 🎤: Do you want to try playing? Will we see this guitar on stage on 7 March (EmiBonnie Love Session). 🦊: You can see it, but it doesn't have an amp, bc I had to choose between it having an amp or not having an amp. If it's a classic guitar with real wood, they don't really have amps apparently. That's what they said. 🎤: Do you want to give it a try? 🐰: No, I'm shy. Let me practice first. 🦊: Try listening to the sound. It's already been tuned. 🐰: (tries playing it) 🦊: Has it been tuned? Is this already tuned? 🐰: Yeah ☺️ 🐰: (hugs the guitar) 🐰: I'm going to hug it to sleep tonight. 🦊: You're going to hug it to sleep 😆 🎤: She's going to hug it to sleep 😆 🦊: It's so beautiful. It suits Bonnie the most. 🐰: (hugs the guitar) 🐰: When did you buy it? You had the time? 🦊: I did, I did. 🐰: When? We're together all the time, when'd you go? 🗣️: (screaming) 🦊: For this, of course I had time. 🐰: A spy. 🦊: Is it beautiful? 🐰: It's beautiful. Which shop did you buy it from? Does anyone know? 🦊: Are you going to buy another one or what? 😆 🐰: No, I'm not going to buy another one, this is the only one I want. 🎤: Everyone must want to take photos of the two of them with the guitar. You can stand next to the table with the cake. 🦊🐰: (being sweet with each other while everyone takes photos) 🦊: Which camera? 🎤: All the cameras. 🐰: Pls Meitu, edit the photos for me.

K-bab

73,138 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Yeah, Ordinals and Runes are back, and guess what? Shill_raton is back too, lmao. 🔥 Runes-Fudders punching the air right now. 😡 SO WHICH RUNES TO BUY ?!?!? FOMO!??! If you read my TOKEN2049 post a few days ago, you’d have seen it was a perfect indicator and buying opportunity. (especially the mentioned ones: Billy Cat, DOG and Pizza Ninjas) Ofc, we’re not fully back yet—just a small light shining on us. It’s still early days, but we were really down bad, and any Runes shill tweet over the past weeks was pure hopium. No surprise that 90% of the Runes collections didn’t survive the post-capitulation phase. But to those that did—congrats! So, what’s the plan? If you held top Runes through capitulation? Awesome, keep holding. You’ve already endured the worst, haven’t you? If you're looking to stack top Runes? Be cautious, but go for it. Just make sure you’re picking the ones that are getting the most attention/volume/engagement or are about to. Otherwise: STAY LIQUID. New Runes are going to pop up very soon, with strong teams and high quality. Be ready to mint when they hit, but cautiously. If you lock your liquidity, you will just fud and cope about new RUNES success. These new Runes will have it much easier to grab attention. I met several teams at TOKEN2049 who have been preparing for this trend switch for months. Top Ordinals collections should be in for a feast soon, too. Hold onto them. My call to everyone: Work for your bags. Shill like a siren. The Ordinals/Runes space is small, and our voices are tiny in this tight-knit BTC village. Support each other’s tweets (RT/like/comment), multiply attention, and stop the PVP nonsense—it’s outdated and simply stupid at this point. Quick TL;DR on the top Runes: (in no specific bag order, but you know my favs eitherway) - DOG•GO•TO•THE•MOON BTC classic meme, #3 etched Rune. Finally, more shillers than just Leonidas 🧡 $DOG. Best shot at leading the new run and hitting a 1 BLN market cap, and potentially getting a T1 CEX listing. - BILLION•DOLLAR•CAT Billy 🐱 Best branding, content and marketing, most visible at IRL events. Strong bounce last week, and community support is still amazing. - PUPS•WORLD•PEACE Pups 🌎☮️ BTC OG meme, known also on SOL, now bridged to SOL (again - potentially more liquid this way). Far from ATH but has a dedicated community. - RSIC•GENESIS•RUNE Runecoin ▣⛏️ A key pre-Runes project. The team’s been quiet (AGAIN) for weeks, and hopium is VERY low. If they don’t act now, it could be joever. - WADDLE•WADDLE•PENGU Waddle Waddle Pengu Simple, normie-friendly, wholesome, with a strong leader Cold Blooded Shiller (one of the best crypto-traders and partnership hunters) - LOBO•THE•WOLF•PUP LOBO•THE•WOLF•PUP A beta DOG play with VC money (not a bad thing lol) backing it - DECENTRALIZED ⚡️DECENTRALIZED Community Take Over (CTO); #2 etched Rune. Needs way more community unification stronger leadership to break out. - WANKO•MANKO•RUNES WankoManko OG Runes and very unique Furry-meme, practically created by Casey himself. Only Rune soft-shilled by him (and Erin). Dropped heavily from ATH, but the team is strong and working closely with AI tech ( , BOOTOSHI 👑 ) - SATOSHI•NAKAMOTO Strong ticker, but no known team. Premine still sitting in their wallet and burned a lot of people post-halving. - LIQUIDIUM•TOKEN Liquidium | Bitcoin Loans Utility Rune, down significantly from release and investor seed round (70m valuation). Still one of the best DeFi platforms on Bitcoin. - EPIC•EPIC•EPIC•EPIC Rune etched on the EPIC sat. Rare sats aren’t getting much attention from degens right now. - SAIKO•HAMSTER Saiko Hamster Psychopath cute hamster. Still active and never gave up, with a decent narrative. Hinting on a based ordinals collectin. - CATS•IN•THE•SATS Cats•In•The•Sats Before Billy, this was the #1 cat. Still going strong, with the team as active as day one. - ZBIT•BLUE•BITCOIN BTC MACHINE🤖 Gaming utility Rune with a dedicated team, but gaming in web3 isn’t really bullish at the moment. - Z•Z•Z•Z•Z•FEHU•Z•Z•Z•Z•Z Fehu Rune #1 etched. The owner holds multiple K Bitcoin since 2010. Probably just a fun experiment, without a clear execution plan (last heard: casino). - THE•DONALD•TRUMP Donald Trump Rune Best Trump Rune Ticker. Struggling to catch up lately, heavily dependent on IRL Trump action. - MR•YEN•JAPANESE•BUSINESSMAN Mr Yen First PG-friendly, non-animal Rune with its own lore and (video) style. He still loves his son (which should be enough, right?). - SPARKY•RUNEDOG Sparky Pokemon-like Rune. Hardworking team, constantly announcing partnerships, products, and more. - BASED•INTERNET•PANDA BIP 熊猫 Another cute animal, similar to Saiko Hamster. - GOB•IS•GOB•IS•GOB GOB ◨ ◨ Rune with gamified systems. - BAMK•OF•NAKAMOTO•DOLLAR BAMK•OF•NAKAMOTO•DOLLAR Runes stablecoin. - ALETHEIAS•AGORA @AletheiasAgora Polymarket of Bitcoin. - RSM•RUNES•STATE•MACHINE Programmable Runes experiment. There are more out there, but these are the most well-known. Hold, pick, and shill your Runes wisely. Stay liquid. New Runes are coming, and they’ll be profitable too
1:30

Yeah, Ordinals and Runes are back, and guess what? Shill_raton is back too, lmao. 🔥 Runes-Fudders punching the air right now. 😡 SO WHICH RUNES TO BUY ?!?!? FOMO!??! If you read my TOKEN2049 post a few days ago, you’d have seen it was a perfect indicator and buying opportunity. (especially the mentioned ones: Billy Cat, DOG and Pizza Ninjas) Ofc, we’re not fully back yet—just a small light shining on us. It’s still early days, but we were really down bad, and any Runes shill tweet over the past weeks was pure hopium. No surprise that 90% of the Runes collections didn’t survive the post-capitulation phase. But to those that did—congrats! So, what’s the plan? If you held top Runes through capitulation? Awesome, keep holding. You’ve already endured the worst, haven’t you? If you're looking to stack top Runes? Be cautious, but go for it. Just make sure you’re picking the ones that are getting the most attention/volume/engagement or are about to. Otherwise: STAY LIQUID. New Runes are going to pop up very soon, with strong teams and high quality. Be ready to mint when they hit, but cautiously. If you lock your liquidity, you will just fud and cope about new RUNES success. These new Runes will have it much easier to grab attention. I met several teams at TOKEN2049 who have been preparing for this trend switch for months. Top Ordinals collections should be in for a feast soon, too. Hold onto them. My call to everyone: Work for your bags. Shill like a siren. The Ordinals/Runes space is small, and our voices are tiny in this tight-knit BTC village. Support each other’s tweets (RT/like/comment), multiply attention, and stop the PVP nonsense—it’s outdated and simply stupid at this point. Quick TL;DR on the top Runes: (in no specific bag order, but you know my favs eitherway) - DOG•GO•TO•THE•MOON BTC classic meme, #3 etched Rune. Finally, more shillers than just Leonidas 🧡 $DOG. Best shot at leading the new run and hitting a 1 BLN market cap, and potentially getting a T1 CEX listing. - BILLION•DOLLAR•CAT Billy 🐱 Best branding, content and marketing, most visible at IRL events. Strong bounce last week, and community support is still amazing. - PUPS•WORLD•PEACE Pups 🌎☮️ BTC OG meme, known also on SOL, now bridged to SOL (again - potentially more liquid this way). Far from ATH but has a dedicated community. - RSIC•GENESIS•RUNE Runecoin ▣⛏️ A key pre-Runes project. The team’s been quiet (AGAIN) for weeks, and hopium is VERY low. If they don’t act now, it could be joever. - WADDLE•WADDLE•PENGU Waddle Waddle Pengu Simple, normie-friendly, wholesome, with a strong leader Cold Blooded Shiller (one of the best crypto-traders and partnership hunters) - LOBO•THE•WOLF•PUP LOBO•THE•WOLF•PUP A beta DOG play with VC money (not a bad thing lol) backing it - DECENTRALIZED ⚡️DECENTRALIZED Community Take Over (CTO); #2 etched Rune. Needs way more community unification stronger leadership to break out. - WANKO•MANKO•RUNES WankoManko OG Runes and very unique Furry-meme, practically created by Casey himself. Only Rune soft-shilled by him (and Erin). Dropped heavily from ATH, but the team is strong and working closely with AI tech ( , BOOTOSHI 👑 ) - SATOSHI•NAKAMOTO Strong ticker, but no known team. Premine still sitting in their wallet and burned a lot of people post-halving. - LIQUIDIUM•TOKEN Liquidium | Bitcoin Loans Utility Rune, down significantly from release and investor seed round (70m valuation). Still one of the best DeFi platforms on Bitcoin. - EPIC•EPIC•EPIC•EPIC Rune etched on the EPIC sat. Rare sats aren’t getting much attention from degens right now. - SAIKO•HAMSTER Saiko Hamster Psychopath cute hamster. Still active and never gave up, with a decent narrative. Hinting on a based ordinals collectin. - CATS•IN•THE•SATS Cats•In•The•Sats Before Billy, this was the #1 cat. Still going strong, with the team as active as day one. - ZBIT•BLUE•BITCOIN BTC MACHINE🤖 Gaming utility Rune with a dedicated team, but gaming in web3 isn’t really bullish at the moment. - Z•Z•Z•Z•Z•FEHU•Z•Z•Z•Z•Z Fehu Rune #1 etched. The owner holds multiple K Bitcoin since 2010. Probably just a fun experiment, without a clear execution plan (last heard: casino). - THE•DONALD•TRUMP Donald Trump Rune Best Trump Rune Ticker. Struggling to catch up lately, heavily dependent on IRL Trump action. - MR•YEN•JAPANESE•BUSINESSMAN Mr Yen First PG-friendly, non-animal Rune with its own lore and (video) style. He still loves his son (which should be enough, right?). - SPARKY•RUNEDOG Sparky Pokemon-like Rune. Hardworking team, constantly announcing partnerships, products, and more. - BASED•INTERNET•PANDA BIP 熊猫 Another cute animal, similar to Saiko Hamster. - GOB•IS•GOB•IS•GOB GOB ◨ ◨ Rune with gamified systems. - BAMK•OF•NAKAMOTO•DOLLAR BAMK•OF•NAKAMOTO•DOLLAR Runes stablecoin. - ALETHEIAS•AGORA @AletheiasAgora Polymarket of Bitcoin. - RSM•RUNES•STATE•MACHINE Programmable Runes experiment. There are more out there, but these are the most well-known. Hold, pick, and shill your Runes wisely. Stay liquid. New Runes are coming, and they’ll be profitable too

shin

10,832 просмотров • 1 год назад

Made $313 → $2,382,780 in 4 Days Using a Claude AI Bot on Polymarket. 26,738 trades. 98% win rate. Full blockchain proof. Every single trade verifiable on-chain. I've made the exact step-by-step guide to build this Claude Polymarket bot from scratch. You've been trading for 3 years. Still red. He gave Claude $313. Woke up rich. Free for 24 hours. To get this Setup guide: 1. Comment "Money" 2. Like and Retweet 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar (so i can DM you) Full 2-hour video tutorial attached. Every single click and command explained. Beginner to running bot. Now let me break down exactly how this works. Save this post. This is the most important trading breakdown you'll ever read. ↓ Let's start with the number that should make you sick. $313. That's what this wallet started with. Not $50,000. Not $10,000. Not even $1,000. $313. Less than your monthly Netflix + Uber Eats + Spotify combined. 4 months later: $2,382,780.80. That's a 7,942x return. While you spent those same 4 months staring at charts, drawing trendlines, panic selling, revenge trading, and ending the month exactly where you started. Minus the $200 you lost on that "sure thing." Same 4 months. Same market. Same opportunities. He had a bot. You had feelings. Guess who won. Save this post right now. What I'm about to explain is the exact mechanism behind every dollar of that $2.38M. Follow Himanshu Kumar so you don't miss the rest. ↓ How Polymarket actually works and why bots print money on it. Polymarket is a prediction market. Will BTC be higher in 15 minutes? Yes or No. Will the Fed raise rates? Yes or No. You buy shares between $0 and $1. If you're right, your share settles at $1. If you're wrong, it settles at $0. Simple. Now here's where it gets interesting. Polymarket updates its prices SLOWER than the real market moves. When BTC drops 0.6% on Binance, Polymarket still shows old odds for about 2.7 seconds. 2.7 seconds. In those 2.7 seconds, the bot already knows the outcome. It's not predicting. It's not guessing. It's reading information that already exists and trading before Polymarket catches up. That's not trading. That's collecting free money with a 2.7 second head start. And you're over there using a 15-indicator TradingView setup trying to "predict" where BTC goes next. The bot doesn't predict anything. It just reads faster than you. That's the entire edge. Save this post because if you understand this one concept you understand how millionaires are being made on Polymarket right now. Follow Himanshu Kumar for more breakdowns like this. ↓ Let me walk you through one single trade. A new 15-minute BTC contract opens on Polymarket. Odds are 50/50. Fair price. 10 minutes in, BTC drops 0.6% on Binance. Hard, fast move. The real probability of BTC being lower at expiry is now about 78%. Polymarket still shows 54/46. The bot sees this instantly. Binance WebSocket feed. Under 50ms latency. The edge is 24 percentage points. On a binary contract, that's basically free money. Bot calculates position size using Kelly Criterion. Executes via Polymarket's API. Done. Within 2-3 seconds, other participants update the odds. 54/46 moves toward 78/22. Bot either exits for immediate profit or holds to resolution. Either way, the trade was entered with near-certainty of a positive outcome. Now repeat this 200-500 times per day. $313 → $2,382,780 in 4 months. Not magic. Not prediction. Not luck. Industrial-scale exploitation of a market inefficiency that still exists today. And you're still placing one manual trade per day and calling yourself a "trader." This is the mechanism behind every single dollar. Bookmark this post so you can study it again. Follow Himanshu Kumar because I'm breaking down each strategy separately. ↓ There are 4 strategies. Not all Claude bots do the same thing. Strategy 1: Latency Arbitrage. Win rate: 85-98%. What 0x8dxd used. Monitor Binance price feeds. When Polymarket odds lag behind reality by 3-5%, buy the correct side before the market corrects. No forecasting. No model. No sentiment analysis. Pure speed. You're not guessing. You're reading an outcome that has already happened. Strategy 2: Oracle Arbitrage. Win rate: 78-85%. Chainlink oracle price feeds occasionally diverge from Polymarket's implied prices. When they do, the settlement direction is known. Fewer opportunities. Higher certainty when they appear. Strategy 3: News-Driven Trading. Win rate: 60-75%. Claude ingests real-time news. Government filings. Central bank statements. On-chain data. Assesses probability impact before retail traders even finish reading the headline. Lower win rate because interpretation introduces uncertainty. But works on ANY market category, not just crypto. Strategy 4: Market Making. Return: 2-5% per month. Place buy and sell orders on both sides. Capture the spread. No prediction required. Most consistent. Hardest to blow up. Compounds aggressively over time. You didn't even know there were 4 strategies. You thought "trading bot" meant one thing. That's how far behind you are. 4 strategies. 4 different risk profiles. 4 ways to make money while you sleep. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for the deep dive into each one. ↓ The timeline that should haunt you. December 2025: Bot launches with $313. Nobody notices. January 6, 2026: Wallet hits ~$438,000. 140x in 30 days. 6,615 predictions. 98% win rate. Finbold reports it. Crypto Twitter explodes. March 10, 2026: Head-to-head test. Claude bot: $1,000 → $14,216 in 48 hours. +1,322%. OpenClaw bot: fully liquidated. Same market. Same timeframe. Claude won because of better risk management. OpenClaw died because it overleveraged. March 16, 2026: Someone trains a swarm model on 3 years of NBA data. Result: +$1.49M on Polymarket. April 2026: 0x8dxd final verified balance: $2,382,780.80. 26,738 trades. 4 months. This all happened while you were "waiting for the right time to start." The right time was December 2025. The second best time is right now. But you'll probably wait until it's too late. That's what you always do. Every date on this timeline is a day you could have started but didn't. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar so you at least start today. ↓ Why Claude and not ChatGPT? This isn't opinion. It's data. March 2026 head-to-head: Claude bot: +1,322%. OpenClaw (GPT-based): liquidated. Same prompt. Same market. Same conditions. Researchers found Claude's code included: > More defensive edge cases > More conservative default parameters > Better error handling > More legible code for debugging > Proper Kelly Criterion position sizing > Hard drawdown kill switches ChatGPT's code overleveraged into a losing sequence and couldn't recover. Claude's code sized positions conservatively, stopped trading when drawdown thresholds hit, and survived to compound another day. The difference between +1,322% and liquidation wasn't the strategy. It was the risk management. And Claude writes better risk management than ChatGPT. That's not a debate. That's a $15,216 difference in 48 hours. But sure, keep using ChatGPT because "everyone uses it." Everyone's broke too. Coincidence? Stop using the popular tool. Start using the profitable one. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for more Claude vs ChatGPT comparisons with real data. ↓ Why humans lose to bots. Every single time. Same strategy. Same market. Same period. Bots: ~$206,000 profit. Humans: ~$100,000 profit. 2x gap. Same strategy. Here's why: 1. Late entries. By the time you identify the lag, verify your reasoning, and click buy, the 2.7 second window is gone. The bot executes in under 100ms. You execute in 30 seconds. The opportunity doesn't exist for 30 seconds. 2. Emotional sizing. You oversize when "confident." Undersize when scared. Exact opposite of Kelly math. The bot sizes based on edge. Every time. No feelings. 3. Fatigue. You make worse decisions at hour 6 than at hour 1. The bot makes the same decision at hour 72 that it made at hour 1. 4. Drawdown psychology. After 3 losses you either panic quit or double down trying to recover. Both destroy capital. The bot has a kill switch. It stops. It doesn't feel anything. You're not competing with other humans anymore. You're competing with machines that don't sleep, don't feel, don't flinch. And you're losing. The data doesn't lie. Humans lose to bots 2x on the same strategy. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for the complete bot setup that removes you from the equation. ↓ What can go wrong. Because I'm not going to lie to you. Most people who build this bot will NOT 7,942x their money. Some will lose their initial capital. Here's what can kill you: Edge compression. The arbitrage window was 12 seconds in 2024. It's 2.7 seconds now. It's shrinking. At some point it hits zero for retail operators. This is a time-limited opportunity. Not a permanent income stream. Rule changes. Polymarket can change contract mechanics, settlement rules, or API terms overnight. What worked yesterday can lose money tomorrow. Risk management bugs. A 98% win rate strategy with broken position sizing will blow up your account on the one losing trade. The March 2026 experiment proved this. Claude survived. OpenClaw got liquidated. Same strategy. Different risk management. That's why the 2-hour video tutorial walks through every single risk parameter. Because the strategy doesn't kill you. Bad risk management kills you. This is the section most "gurus" delete. I'm keeping it because I'd rather you make money safely than blow up and blame me. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for honest breakdowns, not hype. ↓ The step-by-step to build your own. Step 1: Set up a Polymarket wallet. Fund with USDC via Polygon network. Start with $100-$300 for testing. Step 2: Generate API credentials. CLOB API key from docs.polymarket .com. Store private key in environment variable. Never hardcode it. Never share it. Step 3: Prompt Claude to build the bot. Use Claude Code for best results. It reads your filesystem, executes code, and iterates on errors autonomously. Step 4: Paper trade for at least one week. Minimum 200 completed trades. Win rate must be above 70% before going live. This step is NOT optional. Step 5: Configure risk management. Max single position: 8% of portfolio. Daily loss limit: -20% with auto halt. Kill switch at -40% drawdown. Telegram alerts on every threshold. Step 6: Go live small. $1-5 per trade. Watch every trade for first week. Compare to paper results. Scale only on evidence. Skip steps 4 and 5 and you will lose your money. That's not a warning. That's a guarantee. This is your complete build guide. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar because I'll be posting the exact Claude prompts for each strategy. ↓ The edge exists right now. Not next month. Not "when you're ready." Right now. The arbitrage window is 2.7 seconds. It was 12 seconds in 2024. It's shrinking every week. Every day you wait, more bots enter the space. The window gets smaller. Your potential returns get smaller. The bots already running have a compounding advantage. They're making money today that they'll use to make more money tomorrow. You're reading about it and telling yourself "I'll look into this next weekend." That's what you said last weekend. And the weekend before that. The best time to start was 6 months ago. The second best time is today. But you already know you're going to bookmark this and never open it again. Prove me wrong. ↓ Full 2-hour video tutorial attached. Every single click. Every command. Every parameter. From zero to running bot. Beginner friendly. Nothing skipped. A similar bot has already earned $2,382,780. Full blockchain proof in the article below. The video is free. The tools are free. The edge still exists. The only thing that costs money is another month of doing nothing while bots eat every opportunity you're too slow to catch. Follow Himanshu Kumar for the complete series covering every automated income stream using Claude. Prediction markets are just the beginning. Save this post. Bookmark it. Screenshot it. Whatever you need to do so you actually watch the video and build the bot instead of just reading about people who did. You Must Follow me Himanshu Kumar, so i can send you DM.
2:22:35

Made $313 → $2,382,780 in 4 Days Using a Claude AI Bot on Polymarket. 26,738 trades. 98% win rate. Full blockchain proof. Every single trade verifiable on-chain. I've made the exact step-by-step guide to build this Claude Polymarket bot from scratch. You've been trading for 3 years. Still red. He gave Claude $313. Woke up rich. Free for 24 hours. To get this Setup guide: 1. Comment "Money" 2. Like and Retweet 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar (so i can DM you) Full 2-hour video tutorial attached. Every single click and command explained. Beginner to running bot. Now let me break down exactly how this works. Save this post. This is the most important trading breakdown you'll ever read. ↓ Let's start with the number that should make you sick. $313. That's what this wallet started with. Not $50,000. Not $10,000. Not even $1,000. $313. Less than your monthly Netflix + Uber Eats + Spotify combined. 4 months later: $2,382,780.80. That's a 7,942x return. While you spent those same 4 months staring at charts, drawing trendlines, panic selling, revenge trading, and ending the month exactly where you started. Minus the $200 you lost on that "sure thing." Same 4 months. Same market. Same opportunities. He had a bot. You had feelings. Guess who won. Save this post right now. What I'm about to explain is the exact mechanism behind every dollar of that $2.38M. Follow Himanshu Kumar so you don't miss the rest. ↓ How Polymarket actually works and why bots print money on it. Polymarket is a prediction market. Will BTC be higher in 15 minutes? Yes or No. Will the Fed raise rates? Yes or No. You buy shares between $0 and $1. If you're right, your share settles at $1. If you're wrong, it settles at $0. Simple. Now here's where it gets interesting. Polymarket updates its prices SLOWER than the real market moves. When BTC drops 0.6% on Binance, Polymarket still shows old odds for about 2.7 seconds. 2.7 seconds. In those 2.7 seconds, the bot already knows the outcome. It's not predicting. It's not guessing. It's reading information that already exists and trading before Polymarket catches up. That's not trading. That's collecting free money with a 2.7 second head start. And you're over there using a 15-indicator TradingView setup trying to "predict" where BTC goes next. The bot doesn't predict anything. It just reads faster than you. That's the entire edge. Save this post because if you understand this one concept you understand how millionaires are being made on Polymarket right now. Follow Himanshu Kumar for more breakdowns like this. ↓ Let me walk you through one single trade. A new 15-minute BTC contract opens on Polymarket. Odds are 50/50. Fair price. 10 minutes in, BTC drops 0.6% on Binance. Hard, fast move. The real probability of BTC being lower at expiry is now about 78%. Polymarket still shows 54/46. The bot sees this instantly. Binance WebSocket feed. Under 50ms latency. The edge is 24 percentage points. On a binary contract, that's basically free money. Bot calculates position size using Kelly Criterion. Executes via Polymarket's API. Done. Within 2-3 seconds, other participants update the odds. 54/46 moves toward 78/22. Bot either exits for immediate profit or holds to resolution. Either way, the trade was entered with near-certainty of a positive outcome. Now repeat this 200-500 times per day. $313 → $2,382,780 in 4 months. Not magic. Not prediction. Not luck. Industrial-scale exploitation of a market inefficiency that still exists today. And you're still placing one manual trade per day and calling yourself a "trader." This is the mechanism behind every single dollar. Bookmark this post so you can study it again. Follow Himanshu Kumar because I'm breaking down each strategy separately. ↓ There are 4 strategies. Not all Claude bots do the same thing. Strategy 1: Latency Arbitrage. Win rate: 85-98%. What 0x8dxd used. Monitor Binance price feeds. When Polymarket odds lag behind reality by 3-5%, buy the correct side before the market corrects. No forecasting. No model. No sentiment analysis. Pure speed. You're not guessing. You're reading an outcome that has already happened. Strategy 2: Oracle Arbitrage. Win rate: 78-85%. Chainlink oracle price feeds occasionally diverge from Polymarket's implied prices. When they do, the settlement direction is known. Fewer opportunities. Higher certainty when they appear. Strategy 3: News-Driven Trading. Win rate: 60-75%. Claude ingests real-time news. Government filings. Central bank statements. On-chain data. Assesses probability impact before retail traders even finish reading the headline. Lower win rate because interpretation introduces uncertainty. But works on ANY market category, not just crypto. Strategy 4: Market Making. Return: 2-5% per month. Place buy and sell orders on both sides. Capture the spread. No prediction required. Most consistent. Hardest to blow up. Compounds aggressively over time. You didn't even know there were 4 strategies. You thought "trading bot" meant one thing. That's how far behind you are. 4 strategies. 4 different risk profiles. 4 ways to make money while you sleep. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for the deep dive into each one. ↓ The timeline that should haunt you. December 2025: Bot launches with $313. Nobody notices. January 6, 2026: Wallet hits ~$438,000. 140x in 30 days. 6,615 predictions. 98% win rate. Finbold reports it. Crypto Twitter explodes. March 10, 2026: Head-to-head test. Claude bot: $1,000 → $14,216 in 48 hours. +1,322%. OpenClaw bot: fully liquidated. Same market. Same timeframe. Claude won because of better risk management. OpenClaw died because it overleveraged. March 16, 2026: Someone trains a swarm model on 3 years of NBA data. Result: +$1.49M on Polymarket. April 2026: 0x8dxd final verified balance: $2,382,780.80. 26,738 trades. 4 months. This all happened while you were "waiting for the right time to start." The right time was December 2025. The second best time is right now. But you'll probably wait until it's too late. That's what you always do. Every date on this timeline is a day you could have started but didn't. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar so you at least start today. ↓ Why Claude and not ChatGPT? This isn't opinion. It's data. March 2026 head-to-head: Claude bot: +1,322%. OpenClaw (GPT-based): liquidated. Same prompt. Same market. Same conditions. Researchers found Claude's code included: > More defensive edge cases > More conservative default parameters > Better error handling > More legible code for debugging > Proper Kelly Criterion position sizing > Hard drawdown kill switches ChatGPT's code overleveraged into a losing sequence and couldn't recover. Claude's code sized positions conservatively, stopped trading when drawdown thresholds hit, and survived to compound another day. The difference between +1,322% and liquidation wasn't the strategy. It was the risk management. And Claude writes better risk management than ChatGPT. That's not a debate. That's a $15,216 difference in 48 hours. But sure, keep using ChatGPT because "everyone uses it." Everyone's broke too. Coincidence? Stop using the popular tool. Start using the profitable one. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for more Claude vs ChatGPT comparisons with real data. ↓ Why humans lose to bots. Every single time. Same strategy. Same market. Same period. Bots: ~$206,000 profit. Humans: ~$100,000 profit. 2x gap. Same strategy. Here's why: 1. Late entries. By the time you identify the lag, verify your reasoning, and click buy, the 2.7 second window is gone. The bot executes in under 100ms. You execute in 30 seconds. The opportunity doesn't exist for 30 seconds. 2. Emotional sizing. You oversize when "confident." Undersize when scared. Exact opposite of Kelly math. The bot sizes based on edge. Every time. No feelings. 3. Fatigue. You make worse decisions at hour 6 than at hour 1. The bot makes the same decision at hour 72 that it made at hour 1. 4. Drawdown psychology. After 3 losses you either panic quit or double down trying to recover. Both destroy capital. The bot has a kill switch. It stops. It doesn't feel anything. You're not competing with other humans anymore. You're competing with machines that don't sleep, don't feel, don't flinch. And you're losing. The data doesn't lie. Humans lose to bots 2x on the same strategy. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for the complete bot setup that removes you from the equation. ↓ What can go wrong. Because I'm not going to lie to you. Most people who build this bot will NOT 7,942x their money. Some will lose their initial capital. Here's what can kill you: Edge compression. The arbitrage window was 12 seconds in 2024. It's 2.7 seconds now. It's shrinking. At some point it hits zero for retail operators. This is a time-limited opportunity. Not a permanent income stream. Rule changes. Polymarket can change contract mechanics, settlement rules, or API terms overnight. What worked yesterday can lose money tomorrow. Risk management bugs. A 98% win rate strategy with broken position sizing will blow up your account on the one losing trade. The March 2026 experiment proved this. Claude survived. OpenClaw got liquidated. Same strategy. Different risk management. That's why the 2-hour video tutorial walks through every single risk parameter. Because the strategy doesn't kill you. Bad risk management kills you. This is the section most "gurus" delete. I'm keeping it because I'd rather you make money safely than blow up and blame me. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for honest breakdowns, not hype. ↓ The step-by-step to build your own. Step 1: Set up a Polymarket wallet. Fund with USDC via Polygon network. Start with $100-$300 for testing. Step 2: Generate API credentials. CLOB API key from docs.polymarket .com. Store private key in environment variable. Never hardcode it. Never share it. Step 3: Prompt Claude to build the bot. Use Claude Code for best results. It reads your filesystem, executes code, and iterates on errors autonomously. Step 4: Paper trade for at least one week. Minimum 200 completed trades. Win rate must be above 70% before going live. This step is NOT optional. Step 5: Configure risk management. Max single position: 8% of portfolio. Daily loss limit: -20% with auto halt. Kill switch at -40% drawdown. Telegram alerts on every threshold. Step 6: Go live small. $1-5 per trade. Watch every trade for first week. Compare to paper results. Scale only on evidence. Skip steps 4 and 5 and you will lose your money. That's not a warning. That's a guarantee. This is your complete build guide. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar because I'll be posting the exact Claude prompts for each strategy. ↓ The edge exists right now. Not next month. Not "when you're ready." Right now. The arbitrage window is 2.7 seconds. It was 12 seconds in 2024. It's shrinking every week. Every day you wait, more bots enter the space. The window gets smaller. Your potential returns get smaller. The bots already running have a compounding advantage. They're making money today that they'll use to make more money tomorrow. You're reading about it and telling yourself "I'll look into this next weekend." That's what you said last weekend. And the weekend before that. The best time to start was 6 months ago. The second best time is today. But you already know you're going to bookmark this and never open it again. Prove me wrong. ↓ Full 2-hour video tutorial attached. Every single click. Every command. Every parameter. From zero to running bot. Beginner friendly. Nothing skipped. A similar bot has already earned $2,382,780. Full blockchain proof in the article below. The video is free. The tools are free. The edge still exists. The only thing that costs money is another month of doing nothing while bots eat every opportunity you're too slow to catch. Follow Himanshu Kumar for the complete series covering every automated income stream using Claude. Prediction markets are just the beginning. Save this post. Bookmark it. Screenshot it. Whatever you need to do so you actually watch the video and build the bot instead of just reading about people who did. You Must Follow me Himanshu Kumar, so i can send you DM.

Himanshu Kumar

53,247 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

UPDATE🚨🚨: The edited November, 2023, video that PI Kate Peter compiled, at the request of state prosecutors working on the Aidan Kearney cases, for use at the 2023 TurtleBoy grand jury involving Jen McCabe (charges that are still active) has been found! Kate never managed to delete the "secret" link that directly confirms Peter's involvement in the prosecution and investigation of the 2023 TurtleBoy cases (and, in turn, will almost certainly subject Kate to being called to the witness stand by Kearney's defense if those 2023 cases make it to trial). Kate, all the way back in November of 2023, was working directly on the grand jury indictments of her own arch nemesis. Here is a link to the unlisted video (entirely about helping Jen McCabe get charges on Aidan) that was sent by Kate to prosecutor Ken Mello (if Kate takes this link down, much like she took down other pieces of evidence that were submitted to a 2024 grand jury related to Aidan and Lindsey Gaetani, then that would almost guarantee the 2023 cases against Aidan get dismissed (although, at this point, Kate's involvement in those charges may make dismissal a fair accompli) - Earlier Sunday, I reported; It is now confirmed (by one of Kate Peter's own people, who worked himself into a shoot trying to keep up the appearance of being Free Karen Read), that Kate Peter manipulated discovery in the 2023 y cases involving Jen McCabe! Kate will for sure be called as a witness in those remaining cases (and this follows on the news that Kate worked as a PI for a firm retained by Jen McCabe to investigate Karen Read's case, with Yuri Bukhenik, as early as 2023). Kate (in newly leaked emails) even directly asked special Prosecutor Robert Cosgrove and Ken Mello if she could make edits to that discovery (Brian Tully then presented that evidence out of context to the grand jury thanks to Kate's edits), and got approval to do so! That approval, and the editing of discovery, thus elevates Kate from a civilian informant to a member of the prosecution team overseeing Aidan's cases (something that a judge can rule renders Kate, and all the evidence she touched, along with all her Discord servers, all of her phones and phone records, all of her emails, and otherwise, subject to Rule 14, and the exclusionary rule, in Aidan's trial). In short; Kate was elevated to the status of a member of the prosecution team under Rule 14 regarding Aidan's remaining 2023 cases, at Jen McCabe's direction apparently, and this is the smoking gun. I don't think Kate's minion even realized what he just did (as the 2024 cases against Aidan were null prossed because Kate sent Brian Tully two links that Tully used in the 2024 grand jury and, then, Kate deleted the links to prevent Aidan from forcing Kate to the stand as a defense witness at trial. Kate and Tully were also involved with the leak of Lindsey Gaetani's unredacted phone extraction to Kate's informant Jason Broyles, by way of an unwitting Aidan, after Tully removed only messages from Kate to Lindsey and from Tully to Lindsey while that extraction was in MSP custody (Tully didn't redact 15 years of other material, including multiple categories of protected information related to doctors, lawyers and school). Never, ever, take the bait when towel is out fishing. I'm lighting a special towel cigah right now. What a moment.
17:54

UPDATE🚨🚨: The edited November, 2023, video that PI Kate Peter compiled, at the request of state prosecutors working on the Aidan Kearney cases, for use at the 2023 TurtleBoy grand jury involving Jen McCabe (charges that are still active) has been found! Kate never managed to delete the "secret" link that directly confirms Peter's involvement in the prosecution and investigation of the 2023 TurtleBoy cases (and, in turn, will almost certainly subject Kate to being called to the witness stand by Kearney's defense if those 2023 cases make it to trial). Kate, all the way back in November of 2023, was working directly on the grand jury indictments of her own arch nemesis. Here is a link to the unlisted video (entirely about helping Jen McCabe get charges on Aidan) that was sent by Kate to prosecutor Ken Mello (if Kate takes this link down, much like she took down other pieces of evidence that were submitted to a 2024 grand jury related to Aidan and Lindsey Gaetani, then that would almost guarantee the 2023 cases against Aidan get dismissed (although, at this point, Kate's involvement in those charges may make dismissal a fair accompli) - Earlier Sunday, I reported; It is now confirmed (by one of Kate Peter's own people, who worked himself into a shoot trying to keep up the appearance of being Free Karen Read), that Kate Peter manipulated discovery in the 2023 y cases involving Jen McCabe! Kate will for sure be called as a witness in those remaining cases (and this follows on the news that Kate worked as a PI for a firm retained by Jen McCabe to investigate Karen Read's case, with Yuri Bukhenik, as early as 2023). Kate (in newly leaked emails) even directly asked special Prosecutor Robert Cosgrove and Ken Mello if she could make edits to that discovery (Brian Tully then presented that evidence out of context to the grand jury thanks to Kate's edits), and got approval to do so! That approval, and the editing of discovery, thus elevates Kate from a civilian informant to a member of the prosecution team overseeing Aidan's cases (something that a judge can rule renders Kate, and all the evidence she touched, along with all her Discord servers, all of her phones and phone records, all of her emails, and otherwise, subject to Rule 14, and the exclusionary rule, in Aidan's trial). In short; Kate was elevated to the status of a member of the prosecution team under Rule 14 regarding Aidan's remaining 2023 cases, at Jen McCabe's direction apparently, and this is the smoking gun. I don't think Kate's minion even realized what he just did (as the 2024 cases against Aidan were null prossed because Kate sent Brian Tully two links that Tully used in the 2024 grand jury and, then, Kate deleted the links to prevent Aidan from forcing Kate to the stand as a defense witness at trial. Kate and Tully were also involved with the leak of Lindsey Gaetani's unredacted phone extraction to Kate's informant Jason Broyles, by way of an unwitting Aidan, after Tully removed only messages from Kate to Lindsey and from Tully to Lindsey while that extraction was in MSP custody (Tully didn't redact 15 years of other material, including multiple categories of protected information related to doctors, lawyers and school). Never, ever, take the bait when towel is out fishing. I'm lighting a special towel cigah right now. What a moment.

Grant Smith Ellis

21,723 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад