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🇮🇷 By hitting Jordan, Iran is draining the exact interceptor stockpiles that Israel relies on as its backup missile defense Veteran war correspondent and military analyst Elijah Magnier, breaks it down: Gulf countries have all their infrastructure above ground, Iran has all its missiles buried underground, and 70 days... show more

Mario Nawfal

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167,550 views • 2 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Military and political analyst Elijah Magnier talks to Al Jazeera and says he believes the US was not prepared for the war on Iran to last as long as it has, as the conflict enters its 14th day.

Military and political analyst Elijah Magnier talks to Al Jazeera and says he believes the US was not prepared for the war on Iran to last as long as it has, as the conflict enters its 14th day.

Al Jazeera English

107,943 views • 6 months ago

🇮🇷 Iran retaliates from exactly where the attack originates, and every Gulf capital knows it. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier explains why the entire region is now quietly lining up to cut a deal. "They have to live with them for many long years. They don't have to live with the Americans." The Gulf isn't choosing Iran. It's choosing survival. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷 Iran retaliates from exactly where the attack originates, and every Gulf capital knows it. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier explains why the entire region is now quietly lining up to cut a deal. "They have to live with them for many long years. They don't have to live with the Americans." The Gulf isn't choosing Iran. It's choosing survival. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

62,876 views • 3 months ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump publicly threatened Iran so many times he can no longer walk away without looking weak. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the clock is running out on diplomacy. "Iran will be committing suicide if it ends the war with no deal that is in favor of the Iranian economy." The question is no longer if pressure escalates. It's whether either side has a real exit left. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump publicly threatened Iran so many times he can no longer walk away without looking weak. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the clock is running out on diplomacy. "Iran will be committing suicide if it ends the war with no deal that is in favor of the Iranian economy." The question is no longer if pressure escalates. It's whether either side has a real exit left. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

45,019 views • 4 months ago

"The Trump Admin FAILS to understand that Iran is fighting an EXISTENTIAL WAR – There's NO room for BLUFFING" Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 noted that the US realized Iran has followed through on each of its threats, and would create a regional "energy blackout," if the US hit Iran's power plants

"The Trump Admin FAILS to understand that Iran is fighting an EXISTENTIAL WAR – There's NO room for BLUFFING" Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 noted that the US realized Iran has followed through on each of its threats, and would create a regional "energy blackout," if the US hit Iran's power plants

Rachel Blevins

21,183 views • 6 months ago

🇮🇷🇶🇦 One chokepoint could erase 15 million barrels of oil per day and over 20% of the world's gas supply simultaneously. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "Iran is not looking for concessions. Iran is imposing conditions, which is a big difference." The Strait of Hormuz is more than just a bargaining chip. It's a loaded gun pointed at the global economy. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷🇶🇦 One chokepoint could erase 15 million barrels of oil per day and over 20% of the world's gas supply simultaneously. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "Iran is not looking for concessions. Iran is imposing conditions, which is a big difference." The Strait of Hormuz is more than just a bargaining chip. It's a loaded gun pointed at the global economy. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

127,822 views • 1 month ago

🇮🇷🇺🇸 A cruise missile kills a target once. An interceptor gets spent every single time something flies at you, and it takes more than one per incoming. That asymmetry is the whole war, says veteran correspondent Elijah Magnier. The U.S. still has bombers, carriers, subs and regional bases. What it doesn't have is an endless interceptor supply covering Israel, the Gulf bases and the fleet simultaneously. Iran floods it with cheap drones and decoys and lets the arithmetic do the work. Elijah doesn't see another 40 days in this. A week or 2, then what? Iran needs a handful of drones to keep Hormuz closed. So if bombing can't reopen the Strait, what's the buildup actually for? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷🇺🇸 A cruise missile kills a target once. An interceptor gets spent every single time something flies at you, and it takes more than one per incoming. That asymmetry is the whole war, says veteran correspondent Elijah Magnier. The U.S. still has bombers, carriers, subs and regional bases. What it doesn't have is an endless interceptor supply covering Israel, the Gulf bases and the fleet simultaneously. Iran floods it with cheap drones and decoys and lets the arithmetic do the work. Elijah doesn't see another 40 days in this. A week or 2, then what? Iran needs a handful of drones to keep Hormuz closed. So if bombing can't reopen the Strait, what's the buildup actually for? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

114,586 views • 2 months ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran isn't refusing a deal out of stubbornness, but because a bad peace is more dangerous to the regime than the war itself. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "The Iranians understand very well that Donald Trump is seeking a victory they cannot offer him. This is why there is no deal for now." If the war ends without sanctions lifted, Iran loses its people. They know it, and so does Washington. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran isn't refusing a deal out of stubbornness, but because a bad peace is more dangerous to the regime than the war itself. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "The Iranians understand very well that Donald Trump is seeking a victory they cannot offer him. This is why there is no deal for now." If the war ends without sanctions lifted, Iran loses its people. They know it, and so does Washington. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

73,734 views • 4 months ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧 Trump’s casual public dismissal of Iran suspending negotiations reveals a dangerous miscalculation of Tehran’s ultimate red lines. According to regional conflict analyst Elijah Magnier, Israel’s hardline ministers have allegedly agreed in a small war cabinet to reject any diplomatic deal between Washington and Iran. Elijah stresses that because the organic, ideological bond between Iran and Hezbollah is entirely non-negotiable, any further military escalation in Beirut means Netanyahu is actively choosing a return to a full-scale war. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧 Trump’s casual public dismissal of Iran suspending negotiations reveals a dangerous miscalculation of Tehran’s ultimate red lines. According to regional conflict analyst Elijah Magnier, Israel’s hardline ministers have allegedly agreed in a small war cabinet to reject any diplomatic deal between Washington and Iran. Elijah stresses that because the organic, ideological bond between Iran and Hezbollah is entirely non-negotiable, any further military escalation in Beirut means Netanyahu is actively choosing a return to a full-scale war. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

118,023 views • 3 months ago

🚨"For the first time in the history of Iran, Iran goes to war on behalf of an ally. Since 1982, in academia, we've been bombarded by people saying Hezbollah is a proxy of Iran and that Hezbollah will fight on behalf of Iran to damage Israel to make Iran happy. Well, we saw in June 2025 that Iran went to war on its own. Hezbollah refused to intervene. And we have seen how Iran went to war on behalf of Hezbollah and Lebanon to stop the bombardment of the suburb of Beirut, where there are between 700,000 and 800,000 Lebanese," says Elijah Magnier (Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺) in our recent interview. ➤ Watch the full episode on Substack:

🚨"For the first time in the history of Iran, Iran goes to war on behalf of an ally. Since 1982, in academia, we've been bombarded by people saying Hezbollah is a proxy of Iran and that Hezbollah will fight on behalf of Iran to damage Israel to make Iran happy. Well, we saw in June 2025 that Iran went to war on its own. Hezbollah refused to intervene. And we have seen how Iran went to war on behalf of Hezbollah and Lebanon to stop the bombardment of the suburb of Beirut, where there are between 700,000 and 800,000 Lebanese," says Elijah Magnier (Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺) in our recent interview. ➤ Watch the full episode on Substack:

Lena Petrova

10,814 views • 3 months ago

🚨 "All these US military bases - around 800 bases around the world - are not made to protect other countries. They are made to occupy these countries. To create an advanced base, it is to conduct war on other countries. This is why CENTCOM is based in Bahrain, to attack Iran. So these bases are made to make sure that all the monarchies keep using the dollar to sell their oil. This is how the U.S. empire can be maintained. This has become a liability because the dollar is tied to oil. The decline of the U.S. empire by failing its military objective against Iran will be the beginning of the end of the U.S. empire. And it will start from West Asia, and it's starting," notes an expert on Middle East politics and veteran war-zone correspondent Elijah Magnier (Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 ) in our latest interview. ➤ Watch the full episode:

🚨 "All these US military bases - around 800 bases around the world - are not made to protect other countries. They are made to occupy these countries. To create an advanced base, it is to conduct war on other countries. This is why CENTCOM is based in Bahrain, to attack Iran. So these bases are made to make sure that all the monarchies keep using the dollar to sell their oil. This is how the U.S. empire can be maintained. This has become a liability because the dollar is tied to oil. The decline of the U.S. empire by failing its military objective against Iran will be the beginning of the end of the U.S. empire. And it will start from West Asia, and it's starting," notes an expert on Middle East politics and veteran war-zone correspondent Elijah Magnier (Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 ) in our latest interview. ➤ Watch the full episode:

Lena Petrova

46,708 views • 1 month ago

$🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 The fragile U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding is already fracturing as Israel sets its sights on major military operations inside Beirut. Veteran war analyst Elijah Magnier warns that because the preliminary Pakistani-mediated framework explicitly included Lebanon, Tehran is ready to restart a multi-front conflict if the ceasefire terms are violated. Magnier observes that Donald Trump's perceived protection of Benjamin Netanyahu risks plunging the entire region back into a brutal war of attrition that will choke global shipping at both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺$

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 The fragile U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding is already fracturing as Israel sets its sights on major military operations inside Beirut. Veteran war analyst Elijah Magnier warns that because the preliminary Pakistani-mediated framework explicitly included Lebanon, Tehran is ready to restart a multi-front conflict if the ceasefire terms are violated. Magnier observes that Donald Trump's perceived protection of Benjamin Netanyahu risks plunging the entire region back into a brutal war of attrition that will choke global shipping at both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

28,076 views • 3 months ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Veteran Middle East correspondent Elijah Magnier believes the current phase of the war is over. He says Trump is looking for a way out so he can claim he ended it and declare victory. Iran, however, sees this as its last real opportunity and will not simply pause for years without results. Iran wants its more than $110 billion in frozen assets returned, sanctions lifted and compensation for the war. The interim Hormuz arrangement gives 60 days with no fees, after which Iran could start charging if it still feels its national security is under pressure from sanctions. He says Tehran will not move to nuclear talks until the broader demands, including regional issues, are addressed. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Veteran Middle East correspondent Elijah Magnier believes the current phase of the war is over. He says Trump is looking for a way out so he can claim he ended it and declare victory. Iran, however, sees this as its last real opportunity and will not simply pause for years without results. Iran wants its more than $110 billion in frozen assets returned, sanctions lifted and compensation for the war. The interim Hormuz arrangement gives 60 days with no fees, after which Iran could start charging if it still feels its national security is under pressure from sanctions. He says Tehran will not move to nuclear talks until the broader demands, including regional issues, are addressed. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

80,080 views • 1 month ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Veteran Middle East correspondent Elijah Magnier expects the active bombing phase of the war to pause for at least several weeks once the Oman-Iran arrangement on the Strait of Hormuz is in place. He says the Iranians know the Americans are quietly behind the talks. By publicly claiming the deal as his own, Trump is effectively acknowledging the end of U.S. dominance over the strait and accepting greater Iranian control. Elijah argues this shows the limits of Trump’s strategic thinking. He started the war after being told it would be over in days, ignored his own intelligence agencies, and now jumps from Iran developing nuclear material to Iran using nuclear weapons. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Veteran Middle East correspondent Elijah Magnier expects the active bombing phase of the war to pause for at least several weeks once the Oman-Iran arrangement on the Strait of Hormuz is in place. He says the Iranians know the Americans are quietly behind the talks. By publicly claiming the deal as his own, Trump is effectively acknowledging the end of U.S. dominance over the strait and accepting greater Iranian control. Elijah argues this shows the limits of Trump’s strategic thinking. He started the war after being told it would be over in days, ignored his own intelligence agencies, and now jumps from Iran developing nuclear material to Iran using nuclear weapons. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

82,678 views • 1 month ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Veteran Middle East correspondent Elijah Magnier has a clear take on the latest Hormuz talks. He says people panicking over Trump’s recent threats forget that he has done this several times before: talk tough about bombing Iran, then pull back. Trump is speaking more to the media, the stock market and oil prices than to the Iranians themselves. The real negotiations are happening directly between Oman and Iran, with a long-running backchannel through Witkoff that never stopped. Elijah sees Trump as a skillful negotiator who is often negotiating with himself. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Veteran Middle East correspondent Elijah Magnier has a clear take on the latest Hormuz talks. He says people panicking over Trump’s recent threats forget that he has done this several times before: talk tough about bombing Iran, then pull back. Trump is speaking more to the media, the stock market and oil prices than to the Iranians themselves. The real negotiations are happening directly between Oman and Iran, with a long-running backchannel through Witkoff that never stopped. Elijah sees Trump as a skillful negotiator who is often negotiating with himself. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

58,127 views • 1 month ago

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran is playing a brutal war of economics: launch cheap drones and force the U.S. and its Gulf allies to burn expensive, increasingly scarce interceptors. “If these drones and missiles reach or do not reach the desired objective on the ground, they have reached the desired objective in the air.” Every interception can therefore count as a success. Iran is not only targeting bases and ships, but the very stockpile defending them. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran is playing a brutal war of economics: launch cheap drones and force the U.S. and its Gulf allies to burn expensive, increasingly scarce interceptors. “If these drones and missiles reach or do not reach the desired objective on the ground, they have reached the desired objective in the air.” Every interception can therefore count as a success. Iran is not only targeting bases and ships, but the very stockpile defending them. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

79,840 views • 23 days ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Strait of Hormuz has been mined, and even if the war stops tomorrow, demining takes 8 to 12 months minimum. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran is routing all ships through its national waters, giving it the legal right to charge fees on every vessel with no time limit and extra penalties for countries that participated in the war. The message to Gulf states is simple: the U.S. failed to protect itself and failed to protect you. Saudi, the Emirates, and Iraq are already looking towards Pakistan and Turkey instead. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Strait of Hormuz has been mined, and even if the war stops tomorrow, demining takes 8 to 12 months minimum. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran is routing all ships through its national waters, giving it the legal right to charge fees on every vessel with no time limit and extra penalties for countries that participated in the war. The message to Gulf states is simple: the U.S. failed to protect itself and failed to protect you. Saudi, the Emirates, and Iraq are already looking towards Pakistan and Turkey instead. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

82,522 views • 5 months ago

🇮🇷 Iran keeps widening the war on purpose, because an unbearable status quo is what forces a deal. Military analyst Elijah Magnier explains the logic behind every new front. Persistent long-range strikes expose structural defense holes while cranking diplomatic pressure to maximum. The strategy has one destination: make standing still cost more than signing. And Elijah is clear about what unlocks it all. Until sanctions relief and the core economic terms land on the table, the fronts keep multiplying, and every party gets shoved closer to a final settlement. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷 Iran keeps widening the war on purpose, because an unbearable status quo is what forces a deal. Military analyst Elijah Magnier explains the logic behind every new front. Persistent long-range strikes expose structural defense holes while cranking diplomatic pressure to maximum. The strategy has one destination: make standing still cost more than signing. And Elijah is clear about what unlocks it all. Until sanctions relief and the core economic terms land on the table, the fronts keep multiplying, and every party gets shoved closer to a final settlement. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

35,824 views • 1 month ago

🇱🇧 🇮🇱 A signed deal would be the start of the problem, not the end. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the gaps between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran make any agreement almost impossible to hold. "This is the beginning of a diplomatic battle that is never ending, and it will not end." Don't celebrate the ceasefire. The real fight hasn't even started. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧 🇮🇱 A signed deal would be the start of the problem, not the end. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the gaps between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran make any agreement almost impossible to hold. "This is the beginning of a diplomatic battle that is never ending, and it will not end." Don't celebrate the ceasefire. The real fight hasn't even started. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

24,262 views • 4 months ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 More bombing will not change the reality on the ground: Hamas is still in Gaza, Hezbollah is still in Lebanon, and the same ruling system remains in Iran. Elijah J. Magnier says Trump and Netanyahu achieved nothing except creating domestic solidarity inside Iran, and the Strait stays closed until every sanction is lifted and war compensation is paid in full. Iran has said things will never return to how they were before the war, and Trump is the one who has to pay the price for starting it. "Donald Trump did not win to impose his terms. That is his problem, not Iran's." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 More bombing will not change the reality on the ground: Hamas is still in Gaza, Hezbollah is still in Lebanon, and the same ruling system remains in Iran. Elijah J. Magnier says Trump and Netanyahu achieved nothing except creating domestic solidarity inside Iran, and the Strait stays closed until every sanction is lifted and war compensation is paid in full. Iran has said things will never return to how they were before the war, and Trump is the one who has to pay the price for starting it. "Donald Trump did not win to impose his terms. That is his problem, not Iran's." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

90,928 views • 5 months ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Gulf is entering a dangerous new phase as the U.S. and Iran move toward a direct military collision over the Strait of Hormuz. Elijah Magnier talked about why Trump is doubling down on "Project Freedom" despite sixteen U.S. bases in the region having suffered severe damage. Elijah warned that with Iran now citing international law to justify strikes on any territory used to launch American attacks, the stakes are higher than ever. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Gulf is entering a dangerous new phase as the U.S. and Iran move toward a direct military collision over the Strait of Hormuz. Elijah Magnier talked about why Trump is doubling down on "Project Freedom" despite sixteen U.S. bases in the region having suffered severe damage. Elijah warned that with Iran now citing international law to justify strikes on any territory used to launch American attacks, the stakes are higher than ever. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

62,467 views • 4 months ago