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🇮🇷🇺🇸 A cruise missile kills a target once. An interceptor gets spent every single time something flies at you, and it takes more than one per incoming. That asymmetry is the whole war, says veteran correspondent Elijah Magnier. The U.S. still has bombers, carriers, subs and regional bases. What... it doesn't have is an endless interceptor supply covering Israel, the Gulf bases and the fleet simultaneously. Iran floods it with cheap drones and decoys and lets the arithmetic do the work. Elijah doesn't see another 40 days in this. A week or 2, then what? Iran needs a handful of drones to keep Hormuz closed. So if bombing can't reopen the Strait, what's the buildup actually for? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺show more

Mario Nawfal

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114,586 次观看 • 3 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran doesn't need to win. It just needs to not lose. Veteran war correspondent Elijah Magnier on why that distinction is the whole ballgame. Elijah's read: since 1945 the U.S. has sold itself as the guarantor of freedom of navigation. If Iran controls Hormuz, that image cracks. And the dollar sits downstream of that image. Now add Bab el-Mandeb. Another 8 to 9 million barrels a day disrupted. Two chokepoints at once is when outside powers stop watching. As for another MOU: he says the last one was violated almost immediately. So what would a second piece of paper actually be worth? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran doesn't need to win. It just needs to not lose. Veteran war correspondent Elijah Magnier on why that distinction is the whole ballgame. Elijah's read: since 1945 the U.S. has sold itself as the guarantor of freedom of navigation. If Iran controls Hormuz, that image cracks. And the dollar sits downstream of that image. Now add Bab el-Mandeb. Another 8 to 9 million barrels a day disrupted. Two chokepoints at once is when outside powers stop watching. As for another MOU: he says the last one was violated almost immediately. So what would a second piece of paper actually be worth? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

80,032 次观看 • 3 天前

🇮🇷 By hitting Jordan, Iran is draining the exact interceptor stockpiles that Israel relies on as its backup missile defense Veteran war correspondent and military analyst Elijah Magnier, breaks it down: Gulf countries have all their infrastructure above ground, Iran has all its missiles buried underground, and 70 days of low-intensity conflict has let Iran quietly restock while the other side depletes. Oil for oil, power for power. Everybody suffers equally, and Iran can last longer. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷 By hitting Jordan, Iran is draining the exact interceptor stockpiles that Israel relies on as its backup missile defense Veteran war correspondent and military analyst Elijah Magnier, breaks it down: Gulf countries have all their infrastructure above ground, Iran has all its missiles buried underground, and 70 days of low-intensity conflict has let Iran quietly restock while the other side depletes. Oil for oil, power for power. Everybody suffers equally, and Iran can last longer. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

167,550 次观看 • 9 天前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Gulf is entering a dangerous new phase as the U.S. and Iran move toward a direct military collision over the Strait of Hormuz. Elijah Magnier talked about why Trump is doubling down on "Project Freedom" despite sixteen U.S. bases in the region having suffered severe damage. Elijah warned that with Iran now citing international law to justify strikes on any territory used to launch American attacks, the stakes are higher than ever. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Gulf is entering a dangerous new phase as the U.S. and Iran move toward a direct military collision over the Strait of Hormuz. Elijah Magnier talked about why Trump is doubling down on "Project Freedom" despite sixteen U.S. bases in the region having suffered severe damage. Elijah warned that with Iran now citing international law to justify strikes on any territory used to launch American attacks, the stakes are higher than ever. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

62,467 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Strait of Hormuz has been mined, and even if the war stops tomorrow, demining takes 8 to 12 months minimum. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran is routing all ships through its national waters, giving it the legal right to charge fees on every vessel with no time limit and extra penalties for countries that participated in the war. The message to Gulf states is simple: the U.S. failed to protect itself and failed to protect you. Saudi, the Emirates, and Iraq are already looking towards Pakistan and Turkey instead. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Strait of Hormuz has been mined, and even if the war stops tomorrow, demining takes 8 to 12 months minimum. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran is routing all ships through its national waters, giving it the legal right to charge fees on every vessel with no time limit and extra penalties for countries that participated in the war. The message to Gulf states is simple: the U.S. failed to protect itself and failed to protect you. Saudi, the Emirates, and Iraq are already looking towards Pakistan and Turkey instead. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

82,423 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 More bombing will not change the reality on the ground: Hamas is still in Gaza, Hezbollah is still in Lebanon, and the same ruling system remains in Iran. Elijah J. Magnier says Trump and Netanyahu achieved nothing except creating domestic solidarity inside Iran, and the Strait stays closed until every sanction is lifted and war compensation is paid in full. Iran has said things will never return to how they were before the war, and Trump is the one who has to pay the price for starting it. "Donald Trump did not win to impose his terms. That is his problem, not Iran's." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 More bombing will not change the reality on the ground: Hamas is still in Gaza, Hezbollah is still in Lebanon, and the same ruling system remains in Iran. Elijah J. Magnier says Trump and Netanyahu achieved nothing except creating domestic solidarity inside Iran, and the Strait stays closed until every sanction is lifted and war compensation is paid in full. Iran has said things will never return to how they were before the war, and Trump is the one who has to pay the price for starting it. "Donald Trump did not win to impose his terms. That is his problem, not Iran's." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

90,928 次观看 • 2 个月前

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Before any war, the generals ask the politician one question: what do you want us to achieve? Veteran war correspondent Elijah Magnier says that's the question nobody in Washington can currently answer. And it's why the bombing hasn't produced anything. So the campaign has pressure as its only objective. Elijah's read: Trump has tried it, it's failed, and he won't accept the failure. And Iran can turn the screw without firing a shot, cut crossings from 150 ships a day to 50 and let the rest of the world absorb it. If the only way to reopen the Strait is to stop: how does Trump sell stopping as anything but losing? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Before any war, the generals ask the politician one question: what do you want us to achieve? Veteran war correspondent Elijah Magnier says that's the question nobody in Washington can currently answer. And it's why the bombing hasn't produced anything. So the campaign has pressure as its only objective. Elijah's read: Trump has tried it, it's failed, and he won't accept the failure. And Iran can turn the screw without firing a shot, cut crossings from 150 ships a day to 50 and let the rest of the world absorb it. If the only way to reopen the Strait is to stop: how does Trump sell stopping as anything but losing? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

56,904 次观看 • 3 天前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The IRGC vows to target any ship attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz with U.S. naval escorts. Elijah Magnier argued this "tit-for-tat" escalation is caused by Trump’s stubbornness regarding lifting sanctions on Iran. Elijah suggested that until the U.S. admits the war is a failure and lifts the blockade, the world’s most vital energy artery will remain a kill zone the world cannot withstand. "No ship will accept an escort because it's about insurance companies and ship owners. They will not accept ships going through a volatile Strait of Hormuz." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The IRGC vows to target any ship attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz with U.S. naval escorts. Elijah Magnier argued this "tit-for-tat" escalation is caused by Trump’s stubbornness regarding lifting sanctions on Iran. Elijah suggested that until the U.S. admits the war is a failure and lifts the blockade, the world’s most vital energy artery will remain a kill zone the world cannot withstand. "No ship will accept an escort because it's about insurance companies and ship owners. They will not accept ships going through a volatile Strait of Hormuz." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

63,806 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The MoU is vague in parts and the nature of this war ensures no one will be leaving anything uncapitalized. Elijah Magnier argues that Iran is entitled to force all ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz to obtain its approval first His reasoning is simple: If Israel is using the full 60-day period the agreement gives it to withdraw from Lebanon, why shouldn't Iran use the 30 days the MoU grants it to exercise its own rights over the Strait? "This is why a passage through the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian approval is not going to happen." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The MoU is vague in parts and the nature of this war ensures no one will be leaving anything uncapitalized. Elijah Magnier argues that Iran is entitled to force all ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz to obtain its approval first His reasoning is simple: If Israel is using the full 60-day period the agreement gives it to withdraw from Lebanon, why shouldn't Iran use the 30 days the MoU grants it to exercise its own rights over the Strait? "This is why a passage through the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian approval is not going to happen." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

67,676 次观看 • 26 天前

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 Without the ability to threaten shipping through the Strait, Tehran loses its biggest source of leverage over the U.S. Elijah Magnier believes Iran is deliberately targeting ships on the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz because not doing so would put Iran at a perceived disadvantage it can't tolerate, whatever the terms of the MoU may be. "The Iranians are saying you can't cherry-pick. You can't say you want free navigation, then where is my leverage?" Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 Without the ability to threaten shipping through the Strait, Tehran loses its biggest source of leverage over the U.S. Elijah Magnier believes Iran is deliberately targeting ships on the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz because not doing so would put Iran at a perceived disadvantage it can't tolerate, whatever the terms of the MoU may be. "The Iranians are saying you can't cherry-pick. You can't say you want free navigation, then where is my leverage?" Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

138,452 次观看 • 26 天前

🇮🇷 Iran retaliates from exactly where the attack originates, and every Gulf capital knows it. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier explains why the entire region is now quietly lining up to cut a deal. "They have to live with them for many long years. They don't have to live with the Americans." The Gulf isn't choosing Iran. It's choosing survival. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷 Iran retaliates from exactly where the attack originates, and every Gulf capital knows it. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier explains why the entire region is now quietly lining up to cut a deal. "They have to live with them for many long years. They don't have to live with the Americans." The Gulf isn't choosing Iran. It's choosing survival. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

62,854 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran isn't refusing a deal out of stubbornness, but because a bad peace is more dangerous to the regime than the war itself. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "The Iranians understand very well that Donald Trump is seeking a victory they cannot offer him. This is why there is no deal for now." If the war ends without sanctions lifted, Iran loses its people. They know it, and so does Washington. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran isn't refusing a deal out of stubbornness, but because a bad peace is more dangerous to the regime than the war itself. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "The Iranians understand very well that Donald Trump is seeking a victory they cannot offer him. This is why there is no deal for now." If the war ends without sanctions lifted, Iran loses its people. They know it, and so does Washington. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

52,684 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Over 900 ships and 20,000 sailors are currently trapped in a maritime stalemate that is holding the global economy hostage. Elijah Magnier argued that it's Trump's fault as he refused to lift the blockade on Iran despite their good faith gesture of opening the Strait of Hormuz. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Over 900 ships and 20,000 sailors are currently trapped in a maritime stalemate that is holding the global economy hostage. Elijah Magnier argued that it's Trump's fault as he refused to lift the blockade on Iran despite their good faith gesture of opening the Strait of Hormuz. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

65,497 次观看 • 2 个月前

"TRUMP HAS A VAST IMAGINATION WITH A LIMITED VOCABULARY" Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 noted that the U.S. President doesn't understand that, for Iran, this is an existential war and they are prepared for everything. Therefore, they will not back down the way he is hoping...

"TRUMP HAS A VAST IMAGINATION WITH A LIMITED VOCABULARY" Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 noted that the U.S. President doesn't understand that, for Iran, this is an existential war and they are prepared for everything. Therefore, they will not back down the way he is hoping...

Rachel Blevins

11,894 次观看 • 4 个月前

"IRAN WILL NOT ACCEPT A CEASEFIRE. IRAN WANTS THE END OF THE WAR." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 noted Iran is fighting for an end to the US and Israel's illegal attacks and endless war crimes across the region. This fight has united the Resistance, and Yemen will be the next to enter the war...

"IRAN WILL NOT ACCEPT A CEASEFIRE. IRAN WANTS THE END OF THE WAR." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 noted Iran is fighting for an end to the US and Israel's illegal attacks and endless war crimes across the region. This fight has united the Resistance, and Yemen will be the next to enter the war...

Rachel Blevins

12,103 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Every time a pragmatic Iranian government reached out to Washington, the U.S. blew up the deal. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran was bombed twice during active negotiations and has suffered over $200 billion in damages. There is zero trust left and no guarantee prevents Trump from changing his mind and starting another war. "I am not negotiating with someone I do not trust. He changes his mind all the time." The Strait opening and closing isn't an internal Iranian power struggle. It's Iran responding to Trump contradicting himself in real time. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Every time a pragmatic Iranian government reached out to Washington, the U.S. blew up the deal. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran was bombed twice during active negotiations and has suffered over $200 billion in damages. There is zero trust left and no guarantee prevents Trump from changing his mind and starting another war. "I am not negotiating with someone I do not trust. He changes his mind all the time." The Strait opening and closing isn't an internal Iranian power struggle. It's Iran responding to Trump contradicting himself in real time. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

79,901 次观看 • 2 个月前

Military and political analyst Elijah Magnier says the clearest sign the U.S lost the Iran war is that nobody is talking about Tehran's nuclear program anymore; they're fighting over the Strait of Hormuz. America went into this focused on Iran's nuclear program, its ballistic missiles, and regional proxies. Now Trump is arguing about who gets to control Hormuz, and Elijah thinks that tells you everything about how badly the original strategy failed. Iran's missile programme is still operational, its nuclear programme has been pushed into future negotiations, and its regional proxies remain part of Tehran's strategic calculations. Yet Washington's attention is now almost entirely consumed by a source of Iranian leverage that barely existed before the war: Hormuz. Elijah says Iran has effectively pulled off a strategic sleight of hand. For years, the world obsessed over Tehran's nuclear programme while Iran quietly built an enormous missile arsenal. Those missiles eventually gave Iran the ability to absorb American and Israeli attacks and continue retaliating across the region. Now he thinks they're doing it again. Everyone is staring at the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Iran is rebuilding missiles, maintaining its regional relationships, and buying time on the nuclear issue. Trump even briefly proposed charging ships a 20% fee to pass through the Strait. That lasted barely 24 hours before he replaced it with demands for massive Gulf investment in America. To Elijah, the whole episode exposed something much deeper. Washington says this is about freedom of navigation. But Trump accused Iran of monetizing Hormuz, then immediately tried to monetize it himself. Suddenly, the argument wasn't whether the Strait should be used as leverage; it was who gets to control it and collect the money, and Iran jumped on the contradiction immediately. Elijah's argument is that Trump has trapped himself. He entered the war determined to strip Iran of its leverage, but instead, he's handed Tehran a weapon it didn't have before. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Military and political analyst Elijah Magnier says the clearest sign the U.S lost the Iran war is that nobody is talking about Tehran's nuclear program anymore; they're fighting over the Strait of Hormuz. America went into this focused on Iran's nuclear program, its ballistic missiles, and regional proxies. Now Trump is arguing about who gets to control Hormuz, and Elijah thinks that tells you everything about how badly the original strategy failed. Iran's missile programme is still operational, its nuclear programme has been pushed into future negotiations, and its regional proxies remain part of Tehran's strategic calculations. Yet Washington's attention is now almost entirely consumed by a source of Iranian leverage that barely existed before the war: Hormuz. Elijah says Iran has effectively pulled off a strategic sleight of hand. For years, the world obsessed over Tehran's nuclear programme while Iran quietly built an enormous missile arsenal. Those missiles eventually gave Iran the ability to absorb American and Israeli attacks and continue retaliating across the region. Now he thinks they're doing it again. Everyone is staring at the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Iran is rebuilding missiles, maintaining its regional relationships, and buying time on the nuclear issue. Trump even briefly proposed charging ships a 20% fee to pass through the Strait. That lasted barely 24 hours before he replaced it with demands for massive Gulf investment in America. To Elijah, the whole episode exposed something much deeper. Washington says this is about freedom of navigation. But Trump accused Iran of monetizing Hormuz, then immediately tried to monetize it himself. Suddenly, the argument wasn't whether the Strait should be used as leverage; it was who gets to control it and collect the money, and Iran jumped on the contradiction immediately. Elijah's argument is that Trump has trapped himself. He entered the war determined to strip Iran of its leverage, but instead, he's handed Tehran a weapon it didn't have before. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

315,624 次观看 • 9 天前

$🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 The fragile U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding is already fracturing as Israel sets its sights on major military operations inside Beirut. Veteran war analyst Elijah Magnier warns that because the preliminary Pakistani-mediated framework explicitly included Lebanon, Tehran is ready to restart a multi-front conflict if the ceasefire terms are violated. Magnier observes that Donald Trump's perceived protection of Benjamin Netanyahu risks plunging the entire region back into a brutal war of attrition that will choke global shipping at both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺$

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 The fragile U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding is already fracturing as Israel sets its sights on major military operations inside Beirut. Veteran war analyst Elijah Magnier warns that because the preliminary Pakistani-mediated framework explicitly included Lebanon, Tehran is ready to restart a multi-front conflict if the ceasefire terms are violated. Magnier observes that Donald Trump's perceived protection of Benjamin Netanyahu risks plunging the entire region back into a brutal war of attrition that will choke global shipping at both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

28,076 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Ending the war is Iran's first condition. Netanyahu refusing it is why nothing moves. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier says Trump isn't mature enough for a deal yet, and is simply waiting for Israel to be ready, which it isn't. "He's not yet mature to have a deal with the Iranians, and he's waiting for Benjamin Netanyahu to be ready, which is not something that Israel is going to offer." If Trump signs, Netanyahu falls. That's the whole equation. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Ending the war is Iran's first condition. Netanyahu refusing it is why nothing moves. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier says Trump isn't mature enough for a deal yet, and is simply waiting for Israel to be ready, which it isn't. "He's not yet mature to have a deal with the Iranians, and he's waiting for Benjamin Netanyahu to be ready, which is not something that Israel is going to offer." If Trump signs, Netanyahu falls. That's the whole equation. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

69,014 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇸🇦🇮🇱 The Gaza war failed, so now normalization is the trophy. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "It is kind of the cherry to give to Donald Trump so he can give it to Benjamin Netanyahu and ask him to stop the war, because it's going nowhere." Saudi Arabia won't sign without a Palestinian state, and Netanyahu will never give one. The math doesn't work. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇸🇦🇮🇱 The Gaza war failed, so now normalization is the trophy. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "It is kind of the cherry to give to Donald Trump so he can give it to Benjamin Netanyahu and ask him to stop the war, because it's going nowhere." Saudi Arabia won't sign without a Palestinian state, and Netanyahu will never give one. The math doesn't work. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

61,878 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Trump keeps describing crises before they happen, and almost everyone missed the pattern. Military and political analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down a move hiding in plain sight: Trump pre-framed both the inspection standoff and the Strait of Hormuz fight before either became a crisis: "If we don't have access to it, they will not, exactly like the Strait of Hormuz." Magnier's read is that this is narrative preparation, Trump laying down the framing early so that when the confrontation arrives, the public already sees it his way. The story gets written before the event, and by the time it happens, the conclusion feels inevitable. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Trump keeps describing crises before they happen, and almost everyone missed the pattern. Military and political analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down a move hiding in plain sight: Trump pre-framed both the inspection standoff and the Strait of Hormuz fight before either became a crisis: "If we don't have access to it, they will not, exactly like the Strait of Hormuz." Magnier's read is that this is narrative preparation, Trump laying down the framing early so that when the confrontation arrives, the public already sees it his way. The story gets written before the event, and by the time it happens, the conclusion feels inevitable. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

35,122 次观看 • 17 天前