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ChatGPT. Windows. Google Search. WhatsApp. LinkedIn's Recommendation Algorithm. The U.S. has a long history of producing some of the world's most widely used software. This week on Possible, we discuss: - Risks to America's soft(ware) power - How to spot “real” revenue - Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's prediction that...

18,786 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr •via X (Twitter)

11 Kommentare

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Reid Hoffmanvor 1 Jahr

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invideovor 2 Jahren

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Profilbild von Lucas Answers 🇺🇸
Lucas Answers 🇺🇸vor 1 Jahr

Reid, are you nervous about the Epstein client list coming out?

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AJ "Verdict" Landrumvor 1 Jahr

Fuck nuts we support @LauraLoomer and now you look guilty as fuck. We will at least get to see where this 500 mill went. We want to know.

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Alvor 1 Jahr

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A1W_Angelvor 1 Jahr

Epstein Islander!

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Rizzovor 1 Jahr

Why are your shell companies and activist networks going after citizen journalists and citizens?

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Angel Sicily 🇺🇸vor 1 Jahr

I hope @elonmusk removes you from here!

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xiongmao.aivor 1 Jahr

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Bruce Michael Persiano Jrvor 1 Jahr

TELL US ABOUT YOUR RELATIONSHIP WITH EPSTEIN YOU PERVERTED OLD MAN

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time consumed professionalvor 1 Jahr

Why you look so sweaty? Would never use any product of yours, slob

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Anthropic's CEO just leaked the most INSANE revenue numbers in AI history. And what he said about the next 12 months will change how you think about every business decision you're making right now. Dario Amodei told Dwarkesh Patel on the interview that Anthropic went from: - 2023: $0 to $100M - 2024: $100M to $1B - 2025: $1B to $9-10B That's 10x revenue growth. Every. Single. Year. "In January alone, we added another few billion to revenue." One month. A few billion dollars. Think about what that means. Most companies would kill for $1B in annual revenue. Anthropic added multiple billions in 30 days. But Dario said something even more interesting: "We are near the end of the exponential." Not the end of AI progress. The end of people understanding how close we actually are. His exact words: "It is absolutely wild that you have people talking about the same tired political issues, when we are near the end of the exponential." What does "end of the exponential" mean? In 1-3 years, we get what he calls a "country of geniuses in a data center." AI systems that can: - Do end-to-end software engineering - Navigate any computer interface - Learn new skills like humans do - Replace entire categories of knowledge work And here's the contradiction: If Anthropic really believed this was 1-3 years away, why aren't they buying $1 trillion in compute? Dario's answer exposes the real game: "If you're off by only a year in your prediction, you go bankrupt." So even the CEO who's most bullish on AI timelines is hedging. He's buying hundreds of billions in compute. Not trillions. Because the gap between "AI can do the job" and "companies actually pay for it" is massive. He calls it "economic diffusion." I call it the gap that's going to make some people very rich and destroy everyone who ignores it. The models are already better than people think. Claude Code writes 90% of code at Anthropic right now. But Dario says there's a huge difference between: - 90% of code written by AI - 100% of code written by AI - 90% of end-to-end SWE tasks done by AI - 100% of end-to-end SWE tasks done by AI We're moving through that spectrum "very quickly." His prediction: FULL end-to-end software engineering in 1-2 years. But here's what's scary: The technology is advancing faster than anyone outside the AI labs understands. And the revenue is following faster than any technology in history. But it's still not instant. Dario expects 10-20% annual GDP growth. Not 300%. Which means we're in this weird middle zone: Fast enough to destroy unprepared businesses. Slow enough that most people are ignoring it. Dario's big takeaway: If you're running a business right now, you have maybe 12-18 months to figure out how AI changes your model. Not to "add AI features." To fundamentally rethink what you're selling and who can do the work. Because the companies that get this right will 10x. And the ones that don't will be explaining to investors why revenue is flat while everyone else is printing money. The exponential is ending. But most people literally still don't even know it started.

Ricardo

62,002 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten