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China's 49th naval task force arrived in Somali waters this week, relieving its predecessor in a mission to protect shipping and combat piracy off the Horn of Africa nation. The deployment continues Beijing's UN-mandated presence there since 2008.

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27,949 views • 1 month ago •via X (Twitter)

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Somali pirates conducted the most hijackings in Somali waters in a 10-day period since the end of the peak of the Somali piracy crisis in 2012. CTP Africa Analyst Michael DeAngelo explains what this means and why this is significant. ⬇️

Somali pirates conducted the most hijackings in Somali waters in a 10-day period since the end of the peak of the Somali piracy crisis in 2012. CTP Africa Analyst Michael DeAngelo explains what this means and why this is significant. ⬇️

Critical Threats

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🇸🇴 Is piracy making a comeback in the Horn of Africa? While the world is locked onto the Middle East, Somali pirates are quietly moving again. At least 4 ships have been hit recently in Somali waters. Speed, surprise, and coastal cover doing the work. 3 years ago, piracy in this region was nearly dead. International naval operations had choked it out. But those same naval forces are now stretched toward the Strait of Hormuz, and the vacuum they left behind is being filled fast. Between 2005 and 2012, Horn of Africa pirates extracted up to $430 million in ransoms. Source: DW News

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Piracy in the Arabian Sea, the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and the Horn of Africa has surged to unprecedented levels, with 17 piracy incidents recorded in the first half of 2026. This rise has been linked to alleged cooperation between the Houthis and Somali pirate networks, aimed at destabilizing maritime navigation in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb. Somaliland has offered assistance in efforts to combat piracy.

Piracy in the Arabian Sea, the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and the Horn of Africa has surged to unprecedented levels, with 17 piracy incidents recorded in the first half of 2026. This rise has been linked to alleged cooperation between the Houthis and Somali pirate networks, aimed at destabilizing maritime navigation in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb. Somaliland has offered assistance in efforts to combat piracy.

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A Turkish Navy warship arrived in Somalia’s capital, Mogadishu, on Saturday and docked at the Port of Mogadishu. The vessel, TCG Göksu (F-497), is a Gabya-class frigate that has previously operated off the Somali coast as part of Turkey’s naval mission in the region. The warship has been involved in providing security and escort for Turkish vessels conducting maritime energy exploration activities off Somalia, including the Oruç Reis seismic research vessel. Its arrival comes as Turkey continues to strengthen its maritime presence and security cooperation with Somalia, including efforts to protect maritime activities and support the security of Somalia’s territorial waters.

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Our B-52's are in U.S. European Command executing a Bomber Task Force deployment. During this mission, the team is testing Agile Combat Employment concepts, operating from smaller, more flexible locations across Europe and Africa…This is what Peace through Strength looks like in action!

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Chinese state media have released footage of a joint naval drill with Indonesia in waters east of Taiwan, sparking concern in Taipei, which fears Beijing is seeking to normalise its military presence around the island and assert control over vital shipping lanes.

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Christie and I had the privilege of spending Veterans Day with Oklahoma's National Guard members deployed with Task Force Tomahawk in the Horn of Africa. Then, we returned stateside for a very full week in Washington. Watch my #WeeklyWrapUp:

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JUST IN - Chinese Defense Ministry Confirms Six Warships in Middle East - The 44th Naval Escort Task Force, based in the region since May, conducted a joint exercise with the Omani navy and recently embarked on a goodwill visit to Kuwait. - The task force is comprised of a guided-missile destroyer, a frigate, and an integrated supply ship

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This is crazy. In 2022 a disabled Somali whistleblower came forward to expose some of the fraud happening in Minnesota. Afterwards he feared retribution from the Somali community so he fled to Africa but when he arrived there they beat him for talking. 🤣

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876,446 views • 8 months ago

El Nino & IOD Update (Greater Horn of #Africa): About 1,800KM off the East African coastline, a peculiar tropical disturbance has been trying to spin off into a tropical cyclone in the Western Indian Ocean since last week, complete with a cluster of thunderstorm cells. It won't amount to anything much for now due to the equatorial coriolis force & the strong West Indian Ocean Monsoon winds. However, the low pressure system accompanying it appears to be pulling in strong lower atmosphere easterly winds from the Eastern Indian Ocean off the coast of Sumatra north West of Australia. These winds are seemingly strengthening as we head into Sept & could be a major booster to the development of a +ve Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) as warm waters are pushed towards the Horn of Africa. It will be interesting to see the IOD Mode indices in the coming weeks. The ocean-atmosphere coupling is quite strong across the globe as El Nino continues to intensify in the Pacific. A coincidence of a strong El Nino & +ve IOD phase is expected to bring extremely wet conditions over the Greater Horn of Africa in the forthcoming rainy season.

El Nino & IOD Update (Greater Horn of #Africa): About 1,800KM off the East African coastline, a peculiar tropical disturbance has been trying to spin off into a tropical cyclone in the Western Indian Ocean since last week, complete with a cluster of thunderstorm cells. It won't amount to anything much for now due to the equatorial coriolis force & the strong West Indian Ocean Monsoon winds. However, the low pressure system accompanying it appears to be pulling in strong lower atmosphere easterly winds from the Eastern Indian Ocean off the coast of Sumatra north West of Australia. These winds are seemingly strengthening as we head into Sept & could be a major booster to the development of a +ve Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) as warm waters are pushed towards the Horn of Africa. It will be interesting to see the IOD Mode indices in the coming weeks. The ocean-atmosphere coupling is quite strong across the globe as El Nino continues to intensify in the Pacific. A coincidence of a strong El Nino & +ve IOD phase is expected to bring extremely wet conditions over the Greater Horn of Africa in the forthcoming rainy season.

Maithya wa Vilivū

101,898 views • 29 days ago

Between 2012 and 2024, Somali piracy was effectively neutralized, with no major attacks reported for years. But that has changed. In 2025, the waters off the Horn of Africa are once again becoming a hotspot. In 2025, Somali pirates are re-emerging, taking advantage of the chaos created by the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and the drawdown of international naval patrols. Between January and June 2025, there were at least 7 reported attacks on commercial vessels, including the hijacking of the MV Abdulla in March, whose 23 crew members were held for ransom. By mid-2025, the number of incidents had surpassed the total recorded in all of 2024, which had seen a near-complete lull. A hijacking of a fishing vessel in April 2025 further demonstrated the pirates' ability to adapt and operate. The hijackings of 2025 have driven up the cost of the "war risk" insurance premiums for vessels transiting the region, with the average premium rising to 1.2% of the vessel's hull value in April 2025. This is significantly higher than the 0.5% to 0.7% rate seen just six months earlier. The cost of ransoms has also risen, with the MV Abdulla reportedly being held for a ransom of $5 million. These numbers reflect the pirates' ability to command a premium. Somali piracy has never been a random phenomenon. It has been fueled by the collapse of the Somali state, the absence of effective governance, and the immense wealth flowing through the Gulf of Aden. The 2025 resurgence is a direct consequence of the geopolitical instability caused by the Red Sea crisis, which has allowed the pirates to exploit the chaos and the reduced naval presence. Beyond the financial cost, there is a human cost. The hijackings of 2025 have led to the detention of at least 23 crew members, and the potential for violence remains high. The Somali pirates are not just robbers; they are a symptom of a failed state and a testament to the desperation of a population that has been abandoned by its leaders. Somali piracy is not a myth. It is a real and dangerous phenomenon. But it is also a symptom of a deeper problem, a failed state, a collapsed economy, and a population that has been left with few options. The pirates are not just criminals they are the product of a society that has been destroyed by its leaders. And until Somalia is rebuilt, the piracy will continue. South Africa is not the enemy. Somalia's leaders are. And it is time the world held them accountable for the chaos they have created.

Between 2012 and 2024, Somali piracy was effectively neutralized, with no major attacks reported for years. But that has changed. In 2025, the waters off the Horn of Africa are once again becoming a hotspot. In 2025, Somali pirates are re-emerging, taking advantage of the chaos created by the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and the drawdown of international naval patrols. Between January and June 2025, there were at least 7 reported attacks on commercial vessels, including the hijacking of the MV Abdulla in March, whose 23 crew members were held for ransom. By mid-2025, the number of incidents had surpassed the total recorded in all of 2024, which had seen a near-complete lull. A hijacking of a fishing vessel in April 2025 further demonstrated the pirates' ability to adapt and operate. The hijackings of 2025 have driven up the cost of the "war risk" insurance premiums for vessels transiting the region, with the average premium rising to 1.2% of the vessel's hull value in April 2025. This is significantly higher than the 0.5% to 0.7% rate seen just six months earlier. The cost of ransoms has also risen, with the MV Abdulla reportedly being held for a ransom of $5 million. These numbers reflect the pirates' ability to command a premium. Somali piracy has never been a random phenomenon. It has been fueled by the collapse of the Somali state, the absence of effective governance, and the immense wealth flowing through the Gulf of Aden. The 2025 resurgence is a direct consequence of the geopolitical instability caused by the Red Sea crisis, which has allowed the pirates to exploit the chaos and the reduced naval presence. Beyond the financial cost, there is a human cost. The hijackings of 2025 have led to the detention of at least 23 crew members, and the potential for violence remains high. The Somali pirates are not just robbers; they are a symptom of a failed state and a testament to the desperation of a population that has been abandoned by its leaders. Somali piracy is not a myth. It is a real and dangerous phenomenon. But it is also a symptom of a deeper problem, a failed state, a collapsed economy, and a population that has been left with few options. The pirates are not just criminals they are the product of a society that has been destroyed by its leaders. And until Somalia is rebuilt, the piracy will continue. South Africa is not the enemy. Somalia's leaders are. And it is time the world held them accountable for the chaos they have created.

Musa Ronalds

212,531 views • 2 months ago