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Chris Camillo explains why Pokémon cards might keep going up for decades “I’ve always believed that Pokémon and an IP similar to Pokémon for a collector is where it’s at” “Unlike other collectibles, it’s not set in a period of time where you have a peak where the people...

97,928 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Sam Altman: “Most people give up on things way too early” “Knowing when to quit and knowing when to give up on something, there’s no perfect answer to that. It’s really challenging to even get that approximately correct. But I think most people give up on things way too early.” Sam continues: “The mistake that most people make — particularly young entrepreneurs — is they try something, it does not immediately work, and after seven weeks, they say, ‘I tried this thing and it’s just not meant to be.’… The satirical version of this are people who are 23 and have started 14 startups because they give up on everyone before it could ever possibly be successful. These things are really hard. They take a really long time. There are a lot of critics. There are a lot of people who say: your thing sucks; it’s going to fail; it’s really stupid.” There’s also what Y Combinator calls “The Trough of Sorrow” where, as Sam describes, “no one even decides to say it sucks because no one cares at all. And that is at least as demotivating.” But this doesn’t necessarily mean it won’t work. Sam explains: “Most of the founders that I have spent a lot of time with that have gone on to be super successful spent a very long time on their idea when a lot of other people would have given up. Either people said it sucks, or people said nothing about it at all. And a framework that I have for when to give up versus when to keep working is that it should be an internal, rather than an external, decision. If people aren’t using it or people are saying it’s bad, that alone is not a reason to give up. You want to pay some attention to that — they might be right. But the best entrepreneurs I know make an internal decision about when to give up or when to keep working on something. It’s basically: when you have run out of ideas, and something is not working, then it is a good time to stop.” Video source: Y Combinator (2016)

Startup Archive

31,721 次观看 • 1 年前

Marc Andreessen on the 3 things he looks for when investing in a startup The first thing Marc Andreesen looks for is a big market: “Is there a big existing market that you think you can go after and displace incumbents? Or do you believe there will be a new market that will be big?” The second thing he looks for is a 10x better product: “Is there a fundamental technology or economic change that justifies a new company? And the way I always think about that is: Is there a 10x change happening in the technology landscape? Is something 10x faster, 10x cheaper, or 10x better? If it’s not 10x, we as both VCs and entrepreneurs have to ask ourselves if it’s really worth doing because it’s really hard to start new companies . . . Existing companies are usually pretty good at what they do. So for a new company to exist, it has to bring a product to market that’s so much better than what exists that it punches through the status quo.” The third is the team: “Is the team outstanding? . . . You want to have a founding team of complementary skillsets. You want to have at least one super strong technologist — quite possibly more than one. Some of the best startups are actually more than one founding technologist. And then it often helps to have someone who is a marketing or salesperson who has a really good understanding of business.” Marc believes that you need all three of these, but if you’re going to compromise on one of those as an investor, it should be the product: “A great market is a lot easier to make up for with iterative product execution. The problem with a poor or small market is that even if you do a good job on the product, there just aren’t that many customers so it’s hard to ever get big and people get demoralized . . . And then we evaluate the team of a startup by its ability to get into a big market with a good product.”

Startup Archive

17,320 次观看 • 5 个月前

🚨Former Israeli Peace Negotiator Daniel Levy: ‘Israel is on a SUGAR HIGH of death and destruction, it’s not clear to me Zionism can RE-INVENT itself.’ ‘America may be feeling less pain, but America’s threshold for pain, certainly when it’s economic and it translates into political, is significantly less than it is for others. And this is where this question of how Netanyahu will respond is where it looks like many of us maybe used to watch cartoons, where the cartoon character goes off the edge of a cliff and then they stay in motion until they look down and then they’ve got nowhere to go, they can’t go back. And it feels like Israel may be going on that journey, that it has simply gone too far. The question for many is, well, why isn’t there an establishment inside Israel that’s stopping this? And that’s why I’ve tried to suggest that it’s not just Netanyahu, the country has gone off on this sugar high of death and destruction, that all that, all that was built up for decades has now come into play.’ Afshin Rattansi: ‘So would it unilaterally attack even after Trump saying no?’ Levy: ‘This is where you bump into the reality that America has tremendous leverage over Israel. And so I think if America wants this to stop, just as it has in Lebanon said enough. Although Israel is still physically inside Lebanese territory, it’s still ceasefire Israeli-style, which means you still kill the other side. But I think if America says stop, then Israel stops. But the question is, has Israel given itself an alternative path to pursue, or are we seeing that actual existing Zionism as practised by the State of Israel has nowhere to go now? And either you radically rethink what is the future for the Israeli Jewish community, not in a regime of an ethnostate, but as some kind of normal way of interacting with those in its midst. That is a very different future. And, it’s not clear to me that the project, the Zionist project, can reinvent itself.’ Watch the full interview in the quoted post below👇

Going Underground

70,023 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨If the US🇺🇸 thinks Venezuela🇻🇪 will be an easy target, it’s in for a BIG SURPRISE- Venezuela’s Former Deputy Foreign Minister for North America ‘As long as we have oil wealth and other mineral wealth, Venezuela is always going to be a target of the United States, of large multinational corporations, etc. I understand the United States has military superiority…but to think that Venezuela is an easy target, that Venezuela is someplace that you can come in and just take over, you’re up for a surprise. I think there’s a long history here of resistance, of morale to resist attacks. I think we have seen also the tragic sort of interventions that the United States has done even in recent years. I mean, you could go back to Vietnam and remember how tragic that was. But even Afghanistan, Iraq, all these more recent interventions have shown that if you don’t have the support of local populations, if there isn’t some sort of other arrangement, you’re not going to be successful. I mean, after 20 years of the disaster they caused in Afghanistan, they had to leave without accomplishing anything. That’s horrible for our people in the sense that, of course, if something like that comes to happen, and I really wish that it doesn’t come to happen — it’s going to be hurtful for the Venezuelan people. But I think they have to think twice about what really is at stake and how this is going to affect the stability of the United States. We’re not hundreds or thousands of miles away. We’re really close to the United States. And it could have a terrible effect for its economy, even for its own base. I mean, if you look at the base that supports President Trump right now, a lot of the criticism that is coming is precisely from its own base, who were promised that there would be no more forever wars.’ -Carlos Ron on the latest episode of Going Underground FULL INTERVIEW BELOW IN THE REPLIES👇

Going Underground

58,089 次观看 • 6 个月前

Why are so many young people single these days? Pooja Arora (Pooja Arora): So my last question: I wanted to talk about why people are single nowadays. I would have asked about human nature, but that’s for another day. I sent you an article—how do you think common knowledge fits into that area? Why do you think so many youngsters are single? Me: Yes, it’s a good question. I’m not sure that common knowledge is an important part of the answer, but some of it is that women no longer depend on the economic contributions of men for their livelihood, as was true, say, in my mother’s era, when women were not professionally trained. To pay the rent, they had to be married. Now, not only are women better educated, but the economy has shifted to favor the kinds of skills that women, as opposed to men, have. And just as women have been rising, men have been sinking because of the decline in blue-collar work. There have also been cultural trends that favor women’s temperaments. Men have been distracted by internet gaming, gambling, and pornography and are less desirable as marriage partners. Women with more economic power are more likely to raise their standards for what they want in a man. In my parents’ generation, it was not uncommon for a woman to marry a man with much less education and, sometimes, less intelligence. This was not unusual among my parents’ friends. The men often had a high school degree and then went immediately into a small business—sometimes a family business, sometimes one he started himself. The criterion was: does he make a living? No one cared about education. That has changed, with the result that there are fewer men who satisfy the criteria women now have. This was mentioned in the article you shared with me. Also, with more sexual freedom, people don’t have to get married simply to have sex, which was again true in my parents’ generation. There’s a process that has been in place since the baby boomers and has accelerated among millennials and Generation Z. For other reasons, I think a generation of men may also be incapable of socially skilled interaction, partly because they’ve grown up with screens instead of face-to-face contact. There is some fear that a sexual encounter could result in an accusation of rape or sexual harassment. There is so much pornography that, for an increasing number of men, it serves as an outlet for what in the past would have required actual human contact. There are many factors. The article from The Economist lists them, I think, quite skillfully. It’s not clear how to reverse the trend. Increasing the economic prospects of men and creating an educational system that is less feminized and more encouraging of male achievement might help. Another could be changing norms—and here common knowledge comes in. Among women, is it a sign of low status to be with a man who has less education than you? Men, from time immemorial, have been happy to marry women with less education than themselves. Women don't. That immediately reduces the marriage pool. Maybe that’s a norm that could change. Go back to the norm in my parents’ generation? Pooja Arora: No, let’s not do that. Me: Okay, let's not do that. Pooja Arora: We’re happy to marry men who are not as educated as us. It’s fine. They just have to be nice and kind at this point in time. Me: Well, yes—exactly. Nice and kind.

Steven Pinker

89,071 次观看 • 4 个月前

Former Fox News host Geraldo Rivera: “By focusing on the censorship aspect and the First Amendment aspect, it’s losing sight of what should be the lead and that’s that Jimmy Kimmel owes the family of Charlie Kirk and his wife Erika, two small children, an apology. You know, you know, what’s he saying? That if you’re if you’re a member of MAGA and Charlie is a friend of MAG, of MAGA, then he had it coming. It’s just — it’s — it’s in some ways — it’s very — it’s — extremely — extremely insensitive. The country is in a country is in a very tough spot right now. Everyone is walking on eggshells. The First Amendment is not a license to incite hatred and, you know, I think that we can think that we can start the discussion once Jimmy Kimmel apologizes, then they can talk about the business aspects and whether or not he gets whether or not he gets back on the schedule and so forth, but there’s got to there’s got to be a recognition that a terrible thing has happened here, and that millions of Americans are grievously hurt by what happened. You know, there is a — Charlie Kirk was beloved by many. And to just trample over it. He’s not even buried yet for goodness sake. And to make fun of the flags at half staff and so forth. I just half staff and so forth. I just think that we’ve got to look at it with a — with a notion that the country has to be healed, that we have to work to bring people together, that we need to respect each other. You know, we don’t have to agree, but we have to respect. And I think that, you know, the audience has deserted him for a good reason.”

Curtis Houck

825,225 次观看 • 9 个月前