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Christopher Pine says that there is “no evidence” that changes to negative gearing and CGT will not have “any impact” on houses at all. “The only way to reduce house prices is to increase supply” “Economics hasn’t changed” “There’s too much demand and not enough supply”

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Ryan Dally

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29,997 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Bookmark this promise by PM Anthony Albanese as parliament resumes. 1) Admits changes to Capital Gains Tax and Negative Gearing will NOT have a positive impact on supply 2) States there are NO PLANS to make any changes And now he’s caught with a $100 billion budget blowout…?

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Albanese - 'Changes to negative gearing WON'T have a positive impact on supply.' AWKWARD. Albo must hate that people actually don't have the memory of a goldfish. WE HAVE THE RECIEPTS.

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🗣️ “If you have a supply crisis, the way to match that is to reduce your demand for it,” says Prof Lisa Ryan, UCD. #TonightVMTV
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🗣️ “If you have a supply crisis, the way to match that is to reduce your demand for it,” says Prof Lisa Ryan, UCD. #TonightVMTV

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MICRON $MU CEO IS LITERALLY TELLING EVERYONE EXACTLY WHAT TO BUY: He says that memory supply will not catch up to demand until atleast 2028. Memory companies are priced at commodity multiples like the demand will stop this year or next year. That is not the case, and the Micron CEO is shouting it.

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The IEA just put real numbers behind the fear. Its June report, the first one to look ahead to 2027, was not really about supply. It was about demand. The agency slashed its 2026 demand growth forecast by about 700,000 barrels a day, down to roughly 1.1 million. That is not a rounding error. That is the IEA saying demand is far weaker than anyone hoped, weak enough to change the entire balance of the oil market. Then it gets worse. The first look at 2027 warns of a major supply overhang. Supply normalizing and demand eroding at the same time. A real glut of barrels next year, even bigger than the one that pushed the curve into contango last December. So strip it down. Supply coming back is the good part. Demand being this damaged is the part people keep missing. Because there are two ways oil falls. It falls because supply returns, and that is the good story. Or it falls because supply returns into a world where demand is already broken. Those are not the same thing. And the second one is not inflation. That is the whole point. When oil and the inflation markets are both plunging this fast, they are not pricing higher prices ahead. They are pricing demand coming apart.

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The bitcoin halving will cut incoming supply by 50%. You don't have to overthink it. If demand is 10-20x more than supply, Economics 101 taught you that price has to go up to accommodate everyone. Here is my segment with Charles V Payne on Fox Business today.

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12,572 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад