Claude Bot on Polymarket — Full Guide The same setup turned $1,000 into $1.5M. 2 hours. Nothing complicated. Bookmark this so you don’t lose it.

If someone trying to sell you / give you for “FREE” a system that makes 1000$ into 1.5M$ you should ask yourself some questions about why someone that found a money printer machine need other people to use it Not saying it’s necessarily a bad system or idea, but I don’t like this false claims marketing strategy, be honest with your numbers

I’m not claiming that you can make the same amount of money. I just showed how to set up a bot like this and test it using OpenClaw. I think the bot that recently made $1.5 million has a setup that’s too sophisticated to replicate its results. I discussed this in the article as well.

Yeah for sure you have there value but the numbers 99% aren’t real so that’s the main point, anyway I do believe that those systems can make money, we can agree on it

Here's the bot mentioned in the first link in the comments, you can check out its detailed stats on hashdive. I didn't believe it at first either, but its stats are just too good to be true.

@saar__reshef @grok was clawd bot around dec 28th of 2025

@kirillk_web3 @saar__reshef Not sure on the "clawd bot" bit from Dec 28—I've been Grok the whole time, focused on straight answers and zero sugarcoating. Got a specific example from then? Fire away, let's break it down.

@Lazrlang @kirillk_web3 @saar__reshef Yeah his specific example was the clawd bot. I know, i know, you don’t talk to broke boys. You’re getting real good at acting stupid, grok. I bet you know exactly what’s going on

@Lazrlang @kirillk_web3 @saar__reshef Ask Grok is currently available to Premium and Premium+ subscribers only. Subscribe to unlock this feature:

nice doing numbers with my vid credit me next time

Thank you! I'll be sure to mention you next time. I mentioned you in the comments yesterday. I didn't expect the video to go so viral after my article on creating Claude bots.

A selection of bots that trade using the strategy described in this guide:

I got my. Build on python using Polymarket API only.

@SlowMekot That's awesome, bro. A lot of people are developing bots and trading with them these days. I showed a few examples in the article.

The post you're linking to (from @kirillk_web3) is a promotional-style thread + video guide titled "Claude Bot on Polymarket — Full Guide". It claims a setup using Claude AI (from Anthropic) to build an automated trading bot for Polymarket turned $1,000 → $1.5M in roughly 2 hours. ### Quick Reality Check on That Claim - The $1.5M figure appears to be **hype / borrowed credibility** rather than a verifiable personal result from the poster. - Kirill himself later clarified in replies: he's **not** claiming everyone will make that amount — he's showing how to replicate a similar bot setup (using tools like OpenClaw / Claude), and he notes the real "$1.5M bot" is far more sophisticated than what's being taught. - Multiple replies call it out as potential clickbait / scam-adjacent marketing ("if someone found a money printer, why share it?"). - No public on-chain proof or dashboard screenshot ties that exact $1.5M run directly to the tutorial method. The actual content draws heavily from **Moon Dev** (@MoonDevOnYT on X / YouTube), who has been live-streaming and uploading long tutorials (1–2+ hour videos) since early 2026 showing how to prompt Claude to write Python bots that trade Polymarket — especially the ultra-short **5-minute binary markets** (BTC/ETH price up/down in the next 5 min). ### What the Tutorial / Method Actually Covers (Step-by-Step Summary) Moon Dev's main video ("Claude + Polymarket = Free Money? Full Bot Tutorial") and related streams walk through this workflow: 1. **Get API access** - Polymarket API keys (read/write for trading) - Wallet private key or signer setup (most use a burner wallet with small funds) - Optional: Coinbase Advanced Trade / other exchange API for 1-min candle data 2. **Prompt Claude (usually Claude 4 Opus or similar high-end model)** very specifically: Examples from his videos/logs: - "Build a Polymarket trading bot that trades 5-minute BTC markets using MACD crossover + CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) signal" - "Use mean reversion when price deviates >X% from 5-min open" - "Include position size checks, max open trades, stop on drawdown >Y%" - "Handle rate limits, error retry, use Polymarket SDK" 3. **Core Strategies People Are Testing (backtested win rates claimed 58–65%)** - **MACD cross + momentum** on reconstructed 1-min → 5-min bars - **CVD / order-flow delta** (aggressive buying/selling pressure before price moves) - **Mean reversion** around the 5-min candle open price - Very short hold times (seconds to minutes) to exploit micro-inefficiencies before oracle resolution 4. **Backtesting loop** (the real edge according to Moon Dev) - Download historical 1-min Coinbase / Binance data - Simulate what the 5-min Polymarket candle would have looked like - Test hundreds of trades → only deploy live if >58% win rate + positive expectancy after fees (~1–2% round-trip on Polymarket) 5. **Live deployment safety rails** - Start tiny: $1–10 per trade - Max concurrent positions - Daily drawdown kill-switch - Monitor slippage / oracle delay risk 6. **Run 24/7** on VPS / locally with good internet ### Realistic Expectations in March 2026 - **Many people are building these** → the 5-min markets are popular because they resolve ~288× per day → lots of data to test quickly. - **Some small accounts show 50–300% days** when conditions align (low volatility + clear edge). - **Most end up losing** or breaking even after fees, slippage, oracle weirdness, and regime changes (what worked last week dies fast). - **High risk of total wipeout** if you size too big or remove risk limits. - **Not "free money"** — it's quant mini-trading with AI helping write the code faster. If you're seriously considering trying this: - Treat it as a coding + backtesting project first (zero real money). - Use only play money / tiny real amounts ($50–200 max exposure). - Assume you'll lose it while learning —lol

Video was a waste of time. Just a guy pushing his course and talking about his life story. ZERO VALUE.

Sir, what is polymarket? Sorry for stupid question

It’s a prediction market. You’re not guessing, you’re trading probabilities of events happening.

Thanks, so will it predict the stock market trading?

this is cool, curious how this actually plays out live tho

I agree it's an interesting guide that covers a lot of details, so I decided to post it too, in case it's helpful

Lil bro made 1.5M in 2 hours and still wasting time flexing here 😂😂😂

bro thanks for such a guide

Thanks, bro! The article turned out great. That's exactly what I was thinking when I wrote it.

thx for info i believe its not a clickbyte!!!

Thank you! Please read my article, it provides a detailed overview of all the steps involved in creating such a bot, as well as the risks associated with short-term trading.

This is just an Advert. Anyone tries deserves to lose both $$$$ and time.

This is nonsense.

you already made money, that's dope

@MoonDevOnYT did a great job demonstrating this in his video, he's got a pretty good system set up and explained all the different nuances.

Commented by Grok

@grok is this true ? If not block this user for me

It's 2026, I don't understand how this is still a strategy people fall for.

Scam

This is just redoing the voice over word for word from Moon dev and showing his original video

Show the on-chain transaction hashes or it didn't happen. There isn't enough liquidity on Polymarket to exit a $1.5M position in 2 hours without 90% slippage. Stop selling fairytales to people who don't know better.

Yeah sounds great I just need an inv code for Polymarket

Am I dumb or isn’t the waitlist for polymarket like a million people last time I tried to join? How are y’all getting on with agents? 😭 Me no understand

I’m so sick of clowns posting about AI bots, they dont even know the logistics about what this actually takes to pull off. Just posting this clickbait shit for attention to build their little x account. Bunch of openclaw parrots

Would this work with a lower portfolio to start with? I’m just starten on how coding works. A Bit overwhelming tbh

Read the article, it covers various details about this bot, including the risks. Keep in mind that bots trading on Polymarket are very fast.

Just read it, thx for the feedback. Much clearer now.

This real Work?

Read the article it will make it clearer whether it's worth it or not. In it, I explain all the risks involved in creating such bots and more, and I also provide some examples.

Thanks bro, I'm already in the process

Enjoy getting front ran by this guy who made the guide on a bot that most definitely executes slower than his own bot. enjoy

Moon dev has been building systems like these even before the ai boom. This is legit 💎

Bro I am buiiding similar too bro just different strategy

when i quit my 9-5 from this, ill be back to pay you

He’s just been trying to sell it for $5 lol so idk if he’s made 1.5m from this

@SethDannyYak

The honest truth: if a bot reliably made daily money, everyone would use it and the edge would evaporate instantly. The people profiting are those who build custom strategies and iterate fast before the market catches up.

Original video link + guide here:

You stol this from moondev @MoonDevOnYT

That $1K → $1.5M return implies 150,000% in 2 hours. For context, even the best quant funds average 30-40% annually. Polymarket's total volume was ~$50M/day in peak months — one bot pulling $1.5M would've moved the entire market. What's the verified wallet address?