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CLAUDE + CODEX + OPENCLAW MADE $2,8K IN A DAY Launched it in the morning - docker compose up, three agents started. By lunch there were 4 trades on Polymarket, by evening 7, and by midnight I was up $2,8K. My monthly salary at work is $2,4K. The next...

148,328 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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my Claude built me a Hydra Swarm terminal with 512 live agents a month ago i didn't know what mesh topology was now i have a swarm living on my screen that trades for me it started when i fed Claude an article about quant formulas he didn't just read it - he asked: "want to see what this looks like from the inside?" an hour later a web was living on my screen 512 agents. each one drifts. each one decides who to connect with 15,000 threads between them break and reform every second first week i just watched packets flying between nodes the web breathing the screen flickering when agents reach consensus then i turned it on with real contracts: > week 1: swarm caught chatter on iran before CNN ran the headline bought YES on ceasefire at $0.30 by friday the contract was at $0.64 +$2,840 > week 2: two polymarket contracts were linked but prices diverged swarm saw the gap. took both sides. waited convergence by wednesday +$3,190 > week 3: weather contract market gave hurricane landfall 19%. model inside the swarm said 38% bought. confirmed thursday +$3,670 > week 4: fed decision market priced "hold" at 62%. base rate at current unemployment - 74% 12 points of difference isn't an opinion. it's math bought. settled at $0.97 +$2,873 total: $12,573 in the first month i never opened polymarket manually 512 agents did it for me 24 hours a day. 7 days a week no opinions. no emotions. no "i feel like YES is underpriced" the weirdest part - i got used to it i open the terminal every morning like email watch the web breathe and the profit tick copy the bot: i didn't need to become a quant i needed a swarm that thinks for me

Hanako

126,945 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Qullamaggie on The Big Money is Made in Holding Winners “Exactly. Big money is made in the sitting. I absolutely agree. All my biggest winners this year, SE, I was in this thing for what? 4 months? 3 months? Went up 160%. It didn't go up 160% in a day. No, it took 3 months. FSLY, another one. When we bought it on earnings here in the 30s, this thing went up 250%. It didn't go up 250% in a day, it took a couple of months. Now obviously I didn't trade this perfectly, but you know, it's all about catching big moves and catching the big juicy part in the middle. And you're gonna be financially independent in no time. On the big winners, I use the 10 and 20 day moving averages as trailing stops. That’s the mistake I made on NVAX. I really didn't wait for it to close below the 10 day. Like I just randomly sold it because I thought it was extended. Like, ah, it's not going to go up much more. I sold it like on this day here, right? It never even touched the 10 day. It went sideways for like a week. Then went up another 70%. If I had just had used the simple, close below the 10-day, which is what I usually use, the 10 and 20-day moving averages, my trailing stops, I would have made another, I don't know, a lot of money on it. Hundreds of thousands of dollars. So, you know, sometimes it's hard to stick to rules. It's hard. One thing I don't have a hard time with is stop losses, but sometimes, like I said before, holding a big winner is a really really hard thing to do sometimes. It really is. It's just unbelievably hard.”

Lone

15,696 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

Three skills I use every day in Claude Code and Codex to solve my hardest problems: 1️⃣ /agent-watchdog When I have one agent like Codex working on a task and I don't fully trust it's going to do everything right, I'll open up another one like Claude Code and tell it to watchdog the Codex thread. You can copy the Codex deep link into Claude Code and it'll look at the prompt you sent, watch the Codex thread until it's done, then compare the Codex solution to how it was planning to solve it and automatically fix anything that Codex missed. It can also test the work of the other agent end-to-end. Similar to the idea of OpenRouter's new Fusion feature, I've definitely found that two models thinking through a problem and checking each other's work can be wildly more impactful than just one. 2️⃣ /plan-arbiter Similar ideas as /agent-watchdog - but with this one you have both make plans, compare plans, negotiate the differences, and make a final plan to execute. I find Claude Code is better at writing plans, but Codex is faster and cheaper to execute on them. Then I usually have Claude Code watchdog the Codex work and fix anything that was missed. 3️⃣ /read-the-damn-docs One thing that drives me crazy with coding agents is they're so reluctant to look up docs. They'll just guess and guess and guess at the right API surface for things, or the right solution to an integration of two things. Once I explicitly tell it to look up the docs, it says "Oh, I see the answer," and it fixes the problem. So I made the /read-the-damn-docs skill. Add it and your agents will know when and how to do efficient web searches to look up docs for the types of problems you really should look up docs for. All of these are totally open source over on my GitHub. If you try them, let me know your feedback. Will link to them below:

Steve (Builder.io)

42,501 просмотров • 22 дней назад

someone leaked MiroFish's wallet address last night Op0jogggg - $1.48M profit in 4 months i copied it with OpenClaw and made $37K in 3 days this isn't another bot story MiroFish is the chinese AI that's been destroying polymarket since november betting on: - trump rallies - premier league - valorant tournaments - norwegian third division football nobody can be expert in all of this the machine analyzes terabytes in a second, finds arbitrage windows, places bets milliseconds before odds update found the wallet leak on a telegram channel at 4 AM gave my OpenClaw the address: "watch this wallet, copy every entry signal, execute 2 seconds after it does" day 1: bot copied 73 trades didn't understand why any of them made sense just pure mimicry $900 → $8,200 day 2: OpenClaw started finding the pattern: MiroFish doesn't bet on outcomes it bets on when polymarket will reprice whale moves USDC on-chain → 6 seconds later polymarket odds shift X sentiment explodes → 8 seconds later market updates MiroFish enters that 6-8 second gap $8,200 → $19,400 day 3: my bot stopped copying started predicting the same windows MiroFish hunts → blockchain USDC tracker → X sentiment API → orderbook depth scanner when all 3 spike = entry $19,400 → $37,200 here's what fucked me up: checked the logs this morning OpenClaw placed 14 trades before MiroFish entered the same markets it learned the pattern now it's front running the bot i was copying we're not trading anymore we're training AI to hunt other AI copytrade mirofish before this edge dies: this either prints forever or stops working tomorrow

ZER

74,356 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

My mom called me crying, she thought I was gambling away my savings on Polymarket. I sent her one screenshot. She went quiet for 40 seconds. $41,200. From $200. In 27 days. "...is that real?" Not luck. Not sports betting. Google told me the answers before the market heard them. Every time a topic spikes on Google Trends - Fed decision, Trump indictment, government shutdown - Polymarket prices lag 4 to 12 hours. Millions searching. Market hasn't moved. That delay is the entire edge. One Claude agent. One job: watch Google Trends for spikes above 300% tied to open Polymarket markets. Spike hits, market hasn't moved - buy. Profile Claude agent: Day 1: "government shutdown" spiked 840% at 2AM. Polymarket still at 23¢. Agent bought. By noon - 47¢. $200 → $610 Day 4: "rate cut" exploded 6 hours before the Fed announcement. 3 markets under 15¢. All resolved above 60¢. $610 → $2,400 I use for copytrade bots Gluon: Day 9: CEO resignation leaked on Reddit. Google Trends spiked at 11PM. Agent was in at 11:02PM. By morning - 5x. $2,400 → $7,800 Day 14: Pattern - every time "inflation data" spikes 500%+ on a Tuesday night, CPI markets are mispriced by 12-18¢. Three Tuesdays in a row. Agent caught all three. $7,800 → $16,500 Day 21: "ceasefire" spiked in 4 languages simultaneously. Conflict markets at 11¢. Agent loaded 8 positions. $16,500 → $29,400 Day 27: Three spikes between midnight and 4AM - when American traders sleep but the world doesn't. 19 trades. 16 green. $29,400 → $41,200 Only buys below 20¢. Sells above model price. Max $3 per position. 4 billion people google the answer. The market just hasn't heard it yet. 2,700+ trades. 84% win rate. $200 → $41,200. My mom still doesn't fully get what I do. But she stopped crying. The agent made $380 while she was reading the screenshot.

Lunar

12,459 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Three days ago I asked myself a dumb question. It was so stupid I was actually ashamed to Google it. Can AI earn money while I sleep? Not saving time. Not automating routine. I mean putting real money into my account while I am not looking at the screen. Everyone says ClawdBot will change how we work. Automation. Task management. Smart replies. But I was sitting in my kitchen thinking about something else entirely. You know that feeling when you look at a tool and realize everyone is using only 1% of its potential? It is like being given a race car and only using it to drive to the store for bread. I decided to test it. I started a notebook. I record everything. > Day One I started with something simple. I gave Clawdbot a task. Find wallets on Polymarket where the numbers do not add up. Where the profit is too high for the win rate. Where the result smells like a system rather than luck. It thought for 14 minutes. I had time to pour a coffee and forget about it. Then the screen flashed. 4 addresses. I scrolled through the first three in a minute. Big bets on politics. They guessed the election. Classic. On the fourth one I stopped. Not because it was the most profitable but because I did not understand what I was looking at. The wallet was not trading politics or sports or anything people write reviews about. It was trading the weather. I read it three times. Weather. Will it be 9 degrees in London tomorrow? Will it rain in Tokyo? These are markets I would not even click on by accident. Then I looked at the numbers. > It started with $27. It is now at $63,853. $27 is two trips to McDonald's. It is nothing. $63,853 is a new car or a down payment on an apartment. It is two years of someone's salary. Between those two numbers was only one thing. Thousands of bets on rain. I closed the tab. Opened it again. Checked if it was a glitch. Real dollars. On markets that look like a bad joke. > Day Two I could not get that wallet out of my head. I went to look at its transaction history. I expected to find one big win that explained everything. A lucky hurricane forecast. Instead I saw thousands of small bets. Boring. "Will the temperature in New York be above 15 degrees?" Then I noticed the detail that finally broke my brain. Its win rate: 33%. It loses more often than it wins. 2 out of 3 bets go to zero. Any normal person with that result would be posting about how the market is unfair. Yet this wallet is sitting on $63,000 in profit. How? I started deconstructing the trades. After an hour I got it. When it loses, it loses 10 or 20 cents. When it wins, it takes $1.00. Loses 9 times in a row? Lost $1.80. Wins 1 time? Got $10.00. > This is not trading. It is math that works as long as you do not interfere with your emotions. Here is how it works. Weather is one of the most predictable things on the planet. Governments invest billions in satellites. Data is updated every 2 or 3 hours. Precision to a tenth of a degree. This data is public. But Polymarket is not a weather station. It updates its markets with a delay of 6 or 8 hours. Imagine the situation. 6 AM. The weather service updated the forecast. The probability that London reaches 9 degrees tomorrow rose to 80%. Algorithms everywhere already recalculated the data. But on Polymarket the YES button is still sitting there for 10 cents. Because the market has not woken up yet. This bot sees the difference. It buys YES for 10 cents when the real probability is already 80%. It is not guessing. It is buying what is essentially already known. It just waits a day and collects the dollar. 10 cents turn into a dollar. On information available to anyone who can read weather APIs. That evening I called a friend. He has been trading for 3 years. He sits in analytical chats. Draws support levels. I asked him: "How was the last month?" "I broke even. The market is tough right now. Too much noise." I looked at the screen. A bot betting on rain with a 33% win rate. Profit: $63,853. My friend with 3 years of experience and hundreds of hours of analysis. Profit: $0. Who is doing it wrong? I am not asking you to take my word for it. The blockchain does not lie: > Day Three I decided to dig deeper. I looked at the wallet description. I expected something complex. A hedge fund. A team of developers. Secret data sources. I found one line: Claude plus public weather APIs. Ordinary Claude. The one on your phone. Connected to free weather services. No secret stations. No insiders. No millions for infrastructure. Just an AI doing what any of us could do. But we are too lazy. Or bored. Or we think it is too simple to work. If someone already built this with basic Claude and free APIs... What happens when Clawdbot gets direct access to trading? > Day Four I watched the wallet in real time. First bet: loss. Second bet: loss. Third bet: loss. I thought: this is it. The statistics are collapsing. Fourth bet: loss. Fifth bet: loss. Down $12 in an hour. I was ready to write a post about how I overestimated this. Sixth bet: Temperature in Chicago. Win. +$87. Seventh bet: Win. +$94. By evening: 9 losses. 5 wins. Daily total: +$385. No emotions. No posts about injustice. No strategy changes after a loss. Just the next bet. I wrote to my friend. The one who has been trading for 3 years. "How was your day?" "Down $200. Market makers caught my stop loss again." I looked at the screen. A bot with no posts and no loud claims. +$385 for the day on rain bets. My friend with 3 years of experience and dozens of books. Minus $200 and a post about how the system is against him. > Day Five I woke up with a thought that kept me up all night. It finally hit me. It is not about the weather. It is not about APIs. It is not that the bot is "smarter". > It is about what the bot does NOT have: an ego that hates being wrong. No urge to revenge-trade. No boredom from repetition. My friend trades against the market. He tries to be smarter than the crowd. This bot trades against human nature. And nature loses every day. Clawdbot found me this wallet in 14 minutes. The weather bot turned $27 into $63,000 on markets everyone else thinks are trash. Both use the same principle. Do something simple. Remove emotions. Repeat. I do not know when Clawdbot will start trading on its own. Maybe in a month. Maybe in a year. But I know one thing. While we discuss if it is possible... Someone already set up their bot and went to live their life. Right now as you read this. Somewhere a weather service updated a forecast. Polymarket is sleeping. The bot is already entering a position. And my friend is writing a post about how market makers do not let honest people earn. Guess who wakes up tomorrow with money in their account?

Blaze

29,808 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

An ex-OpenAI engineer walked up to me at a meetup in SF I was showing my Polymarket terminal. He looked at the screen for ten seconds and said one sentence. "You're trading blind. The data is sitting in the open and you're writing prompts" I didn't understand. What data. He took my laptop. Opened one repository. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. The entire Polymarket history since day one. "At OpenAI models don't guess. They read. Connect Claude Code to this dataset and say - find every wallet with a win rate above 70% and more than 100 trades" I asked - why Claude and not GPT? He looked at me like I was an idiot. "Because Claude Code connects to the repo directly. It reads the entire codebase. It's not a chatbox. It's a runtime" That evening I connected it. Claude pulled 47 wallets in 4 minutes. Average profit: $214K. Hold time: 7 hours. 91% close their position BEFORE resolution. Top wallets capture 86% of the move and cut losers at 12%. Everyone else - 58% of profit and hold losers to 41%. Same exact entries. The exits make it a completely different game. "Now connect the scanner" Three commands - the bot sees 500+ markets in real time. No API key. Read-only. Claude built the scoring in 20 minutes: Gap between price and model > 7 cents. Book depth > $500. Resolution in 4-48 hours. 93% of markets get killed instantly. Only the fat ones survive. "Now this is the important part" - he sent me an article where a guy built a full bot over a weekend from these same repos Copytrade here: Three exit triggers: Target 85% of expected move. Volume spike x3 - smart money leaving. 24 hours of silence - thesis is dead. I copied the whole stack. VPS $5. Claude $20. Total $25 a month. No team. No office. No Bloomberg. 16 days. 187 trades. 71% win rate. $800 seed. +$8,700. I sent him my screen. He replied a day later. "You just replicated for $25 what cost us six months and 11 people" I said - thanks for the tip. "Delete this chat" Too late.

Lunar

480,397 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад