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Dario Amodei keeps warning that open-source AI models are dangerous and need to be restricted. David Sacks David Sacks answered with a rhetorical question: "Dangerous to whom?" It was the sharpest thing said on the latest All-In The All-In Podcast. Not dangerous to the enterprise that wants to keep...

10,037 просмотров • 24 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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David Sacks laid out the cleanest theory about why Anthropic keeps calling for government regulation of AI. The answer has nothing to do with safety and everything to do with market structure. Anthropic spent months writing blog posts warning that AI was dangerous. Dario gave interviews about existential risk. He published a piece calling for an FAA-style agency to approve all AI models before release. He primed government officials to treat frontier AI as a threat requiring oversight. Then one of Anthropic's own most trusted partners reported a credible jailbreak from Fable 5. And the government did exactly what Dario had spent months conditioning them to do. They rolled it back. Sacks called it on the All-In podcast. Dario got exactly what he wanted. The FAA for AI is not a safety mechanism. It is a moat. A government approval process for new model releases does not hurt Anthropic. They already have the models. It hurts every competitor who does not. It hurts open source models that cannot be regulated because there is no company to regulate. It hurts the Chinese labs only insofar as they care about the American market at all. The only companies that benefit from a labyrinthine government approval process are the ones already at the frontier who can afford to wait out the review cycle. That is Anthropic. That is OpenAI. Nobody else. The proof is in what they did not do. Chimath pointed it out directly. If you are genuinely worried about misuse, you implement know-your-customer verification. You make people identify themselves before accessing the most powerful models. Anthropic could have done that tomorrow. They did not. They do not want KYC. KYC is transparent. KYC can be audited. KYC gives users due process. What they built instead was an invisible surveillance system that profiles you, degrades your access without telling you, and asks the government to make sure no one else can offer you an alternative. If you thought this was safety then you are wrong. That is capture. Sacks said the response should be simple. Fix the jailbreak, come back to market, and do not reward Dario with the regulatory architecture he has been engineering for years. We will see if anyone is listening. WATCH THE FULL PODCAST ON The All-In Podcast

Ihtesham Ali

25,284 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Chamath fed Dario Amodei's own essays into Claude and asked for a psychological profile. What came back should be required reading for every investor in frontier AI. The model identified a pattern. Dario distrusts other labs. He distrusts authoritarian states. He distrusts markets to distribute the gains fairly. He distrusts institutions to move fast enough. And after Mythos, he distrusts the government to wield power transparently. That is a very long list of untrustworthy actors. The list of trustworthy ones is conspicuously short. And it has a suspicious tendency to resolve toward people who reason the way he does, operating under rules he helped design. Claude named it precisely. Not megalomania. Epistemic exceptionalism. The quiet, defensible conviction that disagreement is always downstream of error. That when your safety framework requires someone to hold the keys and your analysis keeps concluding every other key holder cannot be trusted, you have built a machine that outputs the same answer no matter what you feed it. The tell was a single word. When the Mythos situation collapsed, Anthropic called it a misunderstanding. That word choice under pressure assumes that if everyone simply understood correctly, they would agree with him. Sacks put it simply on the pod. They believe AI is super dangerous and only they are virtuous enough to control it. That is not a safety framework. That is a monopoly with a philosophy attached. WATCH THE FULL PODCAST ON The All-In Podcast

Ihtesham Ali

300,712 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Dario Amodei just dismantled the biggest myth in the AI industry. Open source AI isn’t free. It never was. Amodei: “It’s not free. You have to run it on inference and someone has to make it fast on inference.” For decades, open source meant something real. It meant a teenager in a basement could download the same tools as a Fortune 500 company. Could read the code. Could modify it. Could build something that competed with the giants. That was genuine democratization. That actually happened. AI is different. Fundamentally. Physically. In ways the ideology hasn’t caught up to yet. Downloading the weights is the easy part. The part that actually costs something is turning the weights into a running system. Into responses. Into intelligence operating in real time at scale. That requires compute. Power. Infrastructure. The kind measured in billions of dollars and years of construction. Amodei: “These are big models. They’re hard to do inference on. Ultimately you have to host it on the cloud. The people who host it on the cloud do inference.” The open source debate was never about who owns the model. It was always about who owns the cloud. And Amodei goes further. When a competitor drops a new open model, he doesn’t ask whether it’s open or closed. He doesn’t care about the licensing. He doesn’t engage the ideology. Amodei: “I don’t think it mattered that DeepSeek is open source. I think I ask, is it a good model? Is it better than us at the things that matter? That’s the only thing that I care about.” That’s the ruthless clarity of someone actually trying to win. While the media debates licensing frameworks, Amodei is asking one question. Is it better. Everything else is a distraction. Amodei: “I don’t think open source works the same way in AI that it has worked in other areas. Here we can’t see inside the model.” This isn’t Linux. You can’t read it. You can’t fork it. You can’t understand it the way generations of developers understood the tools they inherited. You can download it. And then you need a data center to run it. The teenager in the basement who was supposed to be empowered by this revolution needs a billion dollars of infrastructure before the empowerment starts. The era of the basement coder rewriting civilization on a laptop is over. The future belongs to whoever commands the compute, owns the power grid, and can actually turn the intelligence on. Open weights without infrastructure isn’t democratization. It’s a promise the physics of the universe won’t let us keep.

Dustin

686,754 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Jack Dorsey says the real danger isn't open source AI, it's five CEOS deciding what the world is allowed to build with AI. "These AI companies are building platforms and they're all incentivized around their own particular models. You have to ask them for permission, you have rate limits, and you have all these things. Even what the models spit back are constrained." "What are the technologies where you don't need permission from a company, from a CEO, to work on what you want, to build what you want, to build a business around that? Those are the things that are durable. That's why these open protocols are significant and important." "It limits the potential of really great ideas bringing humanity forward because it's a decision of a group of CEOs that think they know best. They may know best for their company, but they don't know the best for the creativity of the world and what people actually want to do with it." "Fortunately, there's a great movement in open source AI, and DeepSeek was an important moment in this space for exactly that reason to show a different path and to provide something that is not only competitive but better than the models that the corporations are putting out there." "We should not be reliant upon five companies telling us that they know best, and there should not be open source because it's dangerous. No, we should have these things in the open and race towards solutions that stay ahead of all the dangers." PS. If you found value in this post make sure to like and repost this tweet + follow Uncover AI to stay updated with the latest AI news. See you in the next one:

Uncover AI

36,393 просмотров • 17 дней назад

David Sacks says companies are trapped paying OpenAI & Anthropic because they can't figure out how to use open source models "I think enterprise CTOs would like to shift their token consumption to cheaper models for the obvious reason that it would be more efficient. They are seeing compute costs or token costs skyrocket right now, so everyone's trying to figure this out." "You also have the AI sovereignty issue that Alex Karp talked about. They're worried about giving up the secret sauce or the alpha in their business to a frontier lab that may one day be competing with them. "The problem is, I think in most cases, they don't have the technical ability to do it. Coinbase figured out how to do it. DoorDash figured out how to do it. They built a token routing system that allows them to send frontier tasks to frontier models and non frontier tasks to more mundane models. But I don't think your average enterprise has the technical capability to do that." "This is why the share of wallet of closed models, it actually increased. I think that open source went from 19% last year to 11% this year. So open source as a share of enterprise spending is actually decreasing." "I don't think that means usage is decreasing. I think usage is skyrocketing. It also may be the case that because the whole point of using an open model is you just pay for the compute costs, you don't have to pay a lab, so it may be that it's hard to measure that usage in terms of spend." "But nonetheless, anyone who's saying that these closed models are going to lose or are somehow losing, you're just not seeing it in the data."

dnap

110,354 просмотров • 17 дней назад

The most dangerous thing a company can do right now is rent intelligence from the same place as its competitors (Save this). You cannot rent intelligence from the same place that rents it to your competitor as Chamath Palihapitiya points out. If every company in an industry is feeding their workflows into the same frontier model, they are all converging on the same outputs, the same decisions, the same product improvements. The model becomes the equalizer and everyone pays a premium to become more mediocre. This is happening exactly as Chamath predicted, and the evidence is now concrete. Anthropic and OpenAI have established what analysts are now openly calling an emerging model layer duopoly. Anthropic crossed $45 billion ARR in may 2026, more than tripling from $9 billion at the end of 2025, OpenAI was at roughly $24 to $33 billion ARR at the same time. Together, the two companies combined could hit $160 to $240 billion ARR by end of 2026 and Anthropic and OpenAI now control 88% of enterprise LLM spend. That concentration is the structural problem Chamath is pointing at. And Anthropic isn't just winning on merit because it's actively lobbying for regulatory outcomes that would make that duopoly permanent. Dario Amodei has explicitly framed open source models as unsafe, pushing a safety agenda that, if enshrined in regulation, would effectively make it illegal for enterprises to use the cheaper, private, sovereign alternatives locking them into a closed model dependency by government decree rather than by choice. So you have market forces producing a duopoly, and potential regulatory capture moving to enforce it from the top down. This is exactly why the Nvidia Palantir partnership is not just a product announcement but rather a strategic counter to that duopoly. The logic is straightforward from both sides because If you're Palantir, sitting at the application layer, the last thing you want is to be permanently beholden to Anthropic or OpenAI for the intelligence that powers your product. You want competitive model options, sovereignty and be able to tell enterprise customers they can run AI on their own infrastructure with their own data without any of it touching a frontier lab's servers. If you're Nvidia, sitting at the chip layer, an Anthropic-OpenAI duopoly is an existential concentration risk. Right now, Meta, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and dozens of other companies buy Nvidia's hardware. If the model layer consolidates into two players, both of which are building their own chips Nvidia faces a monopsony where its best customers are building the tools to displace it. A healthy open source ecosystem where thousands of enterprises train, fine tune, and deploy their own models is Nvidia's ideal market structure. More buyers, more diversity, more demand, less pricing leverage from any single customer.

Milk Road AI

34,298 просмотров • 24 дней назад

Big pharma just handed the AI industry one of the most important reality checks of 2026 (Save this). david friedberg revealed that Anthropic approached major life sciences companies with a pitch, share your proprietary data, sign an NDA and we will give you early access to a specialized life sciences model and nearly every company they spoke with said no. Here is what these pharma companies understood that many enterprises still have not. A large pharmaceutical company may have spent decades and tens of billions of dollars generating proprietary datasets, clinical trial results, genomic sequences, drug interaction data, compound libraries. That data is the business and the competitive moat that separates them from every other player in the industry lives in those datasets. Handing it to an AI lab in exchange for early access to a model is essentially handing your most valuable asset to a company whose entire business model depends on combining your data with everyone else's and then selling the output back to you and to your competitors. Palantir CEO Alex Karp made this exact point that enterprise leaders are paying for AI tokens that generate no tangible business value while simultaneously surrendering their most sensitive operational data to external providers. He called this transferring a company's alpha, the unique advantage that secures the business directly to a third-party lab. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella echoed the same concern independently, warning that entire sectors might find their accumulated knowledge commoditized if they do not build their own data and model ownership layers. The structural problem is not unique to pharma but it applies to every enterprise sector. Every time an employee runs a query through a third-party frontier model, proprietary workflows, customer data, and strategic processes pass through infrastructure the enterprise does not control. The data already shows the market moving, Open-source captured 67% of all AI tokens processed in the first half of 2026, up from a fraction of that just twelve months earlier. The performance gap between proprietary frontier models and open-source alternatives has nearly closed, DeepSeek costs approximately 1/36th of GPT-5 for comparable workloads. What pharma figured out and what enterprises across every sector are starting to realize is that the model is not the moat but the data is. And once you hand your data to a model company, you have permanently surrendered the asset that took you decades and billions of dollars to build.

Milk Road AI

16,317 просмотров • 21 дней назад