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David Friedberg says China is deliberately commoditizing the knowledge economy because it already holds 20X our manufacturing capacity and is heading to 8X our electricity. "I'll just zoom out for a second. Think about the strategy for China." "If you think about the global economy of the last 50...

16,996 views • 11 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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.Scott Nolan to Shawn Ryan: Energy Will Decide U.S.-China Race for AI and Economic Dominance "I think the next decade's going to be all about energy. Even Sam Altman from OpenAI had some recent hearing or talk where he talked about just the evolution of AI. You've got algorithms. Algorithms run on chips, but ultimately the chips need electricity. And what he said, if thinking back to this interview, the algorithms are going to get better and better and better and cheaper, and the chips will get cheaper and cheaper, but at the end of the day, you have to get the electrons, and the electrons have a fundamental price, and ultimately it's going to come down to that. I think even the AI, the AI competition between different companies in the U.S., between different countries, it's ultimately going to come back to the electricity production. Next decade, it's going to be all about power production. AI, military, if you think you need kinetics and military, that comes back to manufacturing. If you think economics, we have to have the biggest economy so that we can just have the most productive capacity, energy. Next decade is going to be all about energy, and we've stayed flat for a decade, for 15 years, we haven't done anything, more like 20 years, our grid's been pretty stagnant, and if we want U.S. leadership, it's going to have to grow. I think that's going to be the story we see, and it's going to be about solving different supply chain needs, whether it's fuel, maybe it's transformers, maybe it's transmission, all these things are going to come up. It's going to be chips. We'd have to go back to that chart and see exactly where is China today, where were they before in terms of per capita, but I think a lot of that production, the doubling of their grid relative to our grid, a lot of that's gone into manufacturing. We've shifted manufacturing from the U.S. to overseas. A lot of that's in China now, we've let them do it. A big part of that, people thought was, well, Chinese labor is much cheaper, but a lot of these processes can be automated. And so once you automate it, it just comes back to energy cost. And so China said, let's double our grid. Let's keep going. Let's work on tripling our grid, and we'll do it in the cheapest way possible because we want to win on manufacturing and get all this economic activity over here. Meanwhile, the U.S. has said, we have a bunch of regulations, which are good, and probably some that are unnecessary and have slowed us down, and so we haven't done the growth, and we've been very thoughtful about emissions, environmental impact, carbon. Meanwhile, China's doubling, tripling their grid and has done a lot of that with coal. And so we've shifted manufacturing here that would have been cleaner over there and just probably ended up net producing more carbon than we would have, more pollutants than we would have, and just kind of outsourced that. But as we know, carbon flows everywhere. If you're really worried about carbon emissions, letting China double their grid with coal and move energy-intensive manufacturing there is not actually the answer. The answer is the U.S. has to unblock building here, doing industrial activity, do it cleanly, do it with nuclear or other sources, even natural gas, half the carbon emissions of coal, and the world would be way better off. Their grid doubling hasn't just meant that everyone there has a better quality of life. I think it just means that we've taken a lot of manufacturing from here and done it over there."

Josh Caplan

28,340 views • 1 year ago

JD Vance: The Tech Industry Must Be More Than Just Software for America to Thrive Recorded September 9th, 2024 at the All-In Summit, two months before the 2024 election: "If you look at the real innovation in the American economy, it's been in the world of software." "If you look at where the economy has been most stagnant, it's been in basically the heavily regulated parts of the economy, which is where 90% of the people that I represent in the Senate and 80% of the people that I hope to represent as their vice president actually make their living, run their business, and go to work every single day." "When I think about tech, one of the things I'd like us to do is broaden the aperture a little bit and think about innovation not just in software, but innovation in transportation and logistics and innovation in energy and the whole suite of things." "Because unless our economy is actually technologically innovative, then a stagnant economy is fundamentally like the worst thing." "And I think a lot of America's pathologies right now stem from the fact that we feel like we live in a very zero-sum country, because in some ways we do." "When the economy's growing 4, 5, 6% a year, then Democrats can kind of get what they want, Republicans kind of can kind of get what they want, and it all makes sense." "If the economy's growing between 0 and 1% a year, then I think it makes the whole society and our political system much more insane." "And I think it's kind of a subtext of what's been going on in this country for the last 30 years."

The All-In Podcast

51,879 views • 1 year ago

🚨WATCH: A 40-year compilation of Donald Trump speaking out against NAFTA, the WTO, and other trade deals that have exploited American consumers and devastated U.S. manufacturing. "When you put a tax on Japan for the products that they're selling, you will bring in hundreds of billions of dollars to this country, which can go to rebuilding our inner cities instead of giving Japan free military defense, you charge them for what they're getting, and you bring in hundreds of billions of dollars. If the right person asked, they would gladly pay, because they'd have to pay." "The fact is that you don't have free trade. We think of it as free trade, but right now, you don't have free trade. We let Japan come in and dump everything right into our markets. If you ever go to Japan right now and try to sell something, forget about it. Just forget about it. It's almost impossible. They don't have laws against it. They just make it impossible. They come over here, they sell their cars, their VCRs. They knock the hell out of our companies. And hey, I have tremendous respect for the Japanese people. I mean, you can respect somebody that's beating the hell out of you, but they are beating the hell out of this country." "It's tough to build housing for people when you're losing $200 billion a year. What I'm saying is the United States is systematically being ripped off by many of the wealthiest countries of the world. You look at Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and various of the other oil-producing countries, you'll see their lifestyle is beyond belief because we give them their freedom and they give us nothing. I'm saying I want the money so that we can put it into Harlem. So that we can give the money back to education because that's the big picture." "Kuwait, they live like kings. We make it possible for them to sell their oil, and yet they're not paying us. Why aren't they paying us 25% of what they make? ... Look at how we opened up the Persian Gulf. Most of the oil goes to Japan. We open up the Persian Gulf for Japan to get oil, for Saudi Arabia, for Kuwait to make money. Why aren't they paying us for this?" "NAFTA has ripped the heart out of this country, signed by Bill Clinton. It has been probably the worst trade deal, the worst economic trade deal ever signed by any country anywhere in the world." "I want free trade, but it's got to be fair trade. It's got to be good deals for the United States. I was asked recently, well, what is your definition of trade? I say make good deals for the United States, and ideally, make great deals for the United States. These horrendous trade deals have destroyed New York State. They have destroyed Pennsylvania and Michigan. Look at what's going on in Michigan. The car companies are moving to Mexico in particular. It's unbelievable." "China just devalued its currency. They're basically saying, 'we're really ripping you big league.' And believe me, they are taking our jobs, and China is not the only one. You look at other countries and they're all doing the same thing... They're making all our products. We're not manufacturing anything. They are selling it to us. They take our money and they loan it back to us." Chart below👇

KanekoaTheGreat

185,588 views • 1 year ago