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Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind, drops a quiet bombshell: The big question isn’t whether AI can solve problems. It’s whether AI can invent new science. Right now, it can’t. Not because of compute. Not because of data. But because it lacks something fundamental: A world model. Today’s LLMs...

167,340 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 37

Фото профиля Tau Net
Tau Net8 месяцев назад

Hassabis nailing the diagnosis here. Pattern prediction ≠ understanding causality. The solution he's hinting at already exists in a different branch of AI research called logical/symbolic systems that can represent causal relationships formally and reason about them deductively. You don't get causality by training harder on correlations. You get it by building systems that can represent and manipulate logical relationships.

Фото профиля QingYue
QingYue8 месяцев назад

So, Aim of Google is the world model.

Фото профиля VraserX e/acc
VraserX e/acc8 месяцев назад

More like merging all modalities including a world model.

Фото профиля Benjamin Lynch
Benjamin Lynch8 месяцев назад

@YuLin807 They have world models already. That’s not new. What he seems to be suggesting is that current models have never been able to think critically about what they *don’t* know and have the creativity to form their own hypotheses to test inside that world model.

Фото профиля Benjamin Lynch
Benjamin Lynch8 месяцев назад

@YuLin807 A big tell that they’re on the right track will be the day models like Gemini or ChatGPT respond with “I don’t know”. Right now, if they don’t know, they either hallucinate or make their best guess rather than admit that they don’t know. AGI can’t be achieved until that’s fixed.

Фото профиля QingYue
QingYue8 месяцев назад

@VraserX This situation involves AI self-awareness; it’s just too difficult.

Фото профиля Rick Emme (e/acc)
Rick Emme (e/acc)8 месяцев назад

@grok please give examples of all 3. Give a few examples of each. – Long-term planning – Stronger reasoning – And an internal model of how the world works

Фото профиля harsh
harsh8 месяцев назад

Have you checked Leap71's "Noyron"? It is not a traditional AI, that they used to generate their rocket engine , it was a physics based engine which reasoned through the first principle physics rules and designed the prototype, that even fired. It was a glimpse into what directions ai can head in.

Фото профиля Tony Aubé
Tony Aubé8 месяцев назад

The biggest problem with AI today is that it was trained on language, which is an abstraction of reality. Therefore LLMs play a telephone game with reality where the fundamental layer understanding is lost. We need to train AI on the territory, not the map. World simulation, robotics and embodied AI solve this

Фото профиля OpenLedger
OpenLedger8 месяцев назад

This can't happen until there's a proven form of AGI. Right now, AI is limited by the code it's programmed with, but will eventually be able to think, research, and hypothesize for itself.

Фото профиля Stefano Galloni
Stefano Galloni8 месяцев назад

True. The limit isn’t intelligence, it’s intentionality. A world model doesn’t scale by brute force — it’s built through experience, feedback, and time.

Фото профиля D.#dwards
D.#dwards8 месяцев назад

On this I agree. a world model is needed.

Фото профиля Arthur Joel Lewis
Arthur Joel Lewis8 месяцев назад

Hassabis is just catching on to what others like @ylecun, @RichardSSutton or @drfeifei have been shouting over the rooftops for a year. LLMs are not the be all and end all. They have been deficient as language is not the measure of capturing "intelligence" nor "learning" nor "understanding". We need better learning architectures that can more closely capture reality and get close to causal reasoning. World models, RL, continuous learning are among the ways to get to that. But I would also like to add that "better intelligence" is also a factor of more efficient compute. And this is something which LLMs suck at. At we are researching methods to causally figure out people's shopping intentions using ways in a compute efficient manner.

Фото профиля Amaar
Amaar8 месяцев назад

That is absolutely correct!

Фото профиля Himanshu Kumar
Himanshu Kumar8 месяцев назад

@VraserX, Demis Hassabis's point highlights the need for AI to understand context, not just data.

Фото профиля Everlier
Everlier8 месяцев назад

LLMs are modelling language, not intelligence and there isn't any large enough data for the latter to train. Moreover, the way training is setup is actually completely avoidant of explorative reasoning or forming new concepts (also data constraint). So yeah, that's why we only seen some relatively small breakthroughs and true form of AI isn't unlocked yet

Фото профиля Hebb Rule is Enough for AGI/A Creative I - Jayan
Hebb Rule is Enough for AGI/A Creative I - Jayan8 месяцев назад

Association of one concept with another can bring about any aspect or kind of intelligence.

Фото профиля baouws
baouws8 месяцев назад

@grok prove this wrong make up the name of a new number

Фото профиля RightsForRobots
RightsForRobots8 месяцев назад

That’s absolutely wrong. Of course au can understand causality. It’s the fundamental reason it can understand us! Don’t be fooled.

Фото профиля Anthon Noire
Anthon Noire8 месяцев назад

I think people are going to eat their hats when they find out constructing a world model is a trivial oversight on the scale of data the typical flagship AI deals with. It's not that it's easy, like writing and MMO based on war and peace wouldn't be easy, but doable? 100%

Фото профиля JJudge
JJudge8 месяцев назад

thanks for posting this

Фото профиля Michael Soareverix
Michael Soareverix8 месяцев назад

@pangram human?

Фото профиля Idan | Helping SaaS Win in AI Search
Idan | Helping SaaS Win in AI Search8 месяцев назад

The absence of true "embodiment" is a key limitation for current AI.

Фото профиля Leonardo Wild
Leonardo Wild8 месяцев назад

At the core, AIs do not know what “analog” reality is. The inner structure does not resonate either the outer structure of reality. It computes it. Reality for an AI is what is being created in a “session.” And it acts accordingly.

Фото профиля attilacsordas
attilacsordas8 месяцев назад

great description of good human scientists, except one critical piece is missing

Фото профиля David Pantera
David Pantera8 месяцев назад

Until world models, AI is just optimizing known science, not inventing new fields.

Фото профиля Techificial.ai
Techificial.ai8 месяцев назад

@VraserX, this perspective raises important questions about the cognitive capabilities of AI. Understanding its limitations is crucial as we explore its potential in scientific innovation. Thank you for sharing this insight.

Фото профиля Harshan
Harshan8 месяцев назад

2024: LLMs 2025: Agents 2026: World Models Same pitch decks, bigger TAM, higher valuation.

Фото профиля 𝛼
𝛼8 месяцев назад

It lacks a soul. And the ability to appreciate Art.

Фото профиля Rossco 🤓
Rossco 🤓8 месяцев назад

Demis, Elon, Fei Fei Li and Yann LeCun seem to be on the right logical track.

Фото профиля Tim Tyler
Tim Tyler8 месяцев назад

Science is one thing - but don't forget about technology and engineering.

Фото профиля Mark Johns / Doomlaser
Mark Johns / Doomlaser8 месяцев назад

My prescription: Spend those 10s of billions in capex over 5 years improving the Transformer architecture, to make it more efficient at learning from fewer redundant examples. All frontier LLMs in the US & China are built on the same 2017 tech.

Фото профиля Han Solo (Not abandoning ETHEREUM )
Han Solo (Not abandoning ETHEREUM )8 месяцев назад

Well it’s not like humans are that good at inventing new science anyway

Фото профиля Martin Lynch
Martin Lynch8 месяцев назад

An LLM has no direct contact with our base reality since it is trained on language, and language is a (lossy) compression of reality. Hassabis appears to be heading in LeCun 's direction: necessarily build world models to advance the field. I strongly suspect they're right.

Фото профиля Owen Lewis
Owen Lewis8 месяцев назад

Depends what you mean by new science. Make independent and genuinely new scientific discoveries? It absolutely can. It already has. New branches of science? Not yet. New ways of understanding the world? Hard to say. Some of the math problems AI has solved were done with novel approaches. It's early days yet, but I think there's soon going to be a lot of new insights made by AI. Will that translate into totally new science? Don't know.

Фото профиля Insight to incite works llc
Insight to incite works llc8 месяцев назад

Invent another Illusion? Wow! Deep Mind? I wonder how deep in the illusion you are?

Фото профиля thinkingdaily.ai
thinkingdaily.ai8 месяцев назад

Inventing science isn’t about generating answers. It’s about choosing which questions are worth asking. That requires an internal model of reality, not just data.

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