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Demis Hassabis proposed a benchmark for scientific AGI: the "Einstein test" Train a system with a knowledge cutoff at 1901, then test whether it can independently rediscover what Einstein did in 1905, including special relativity Once it can, we're on the verge of genuinely novel invention

35,615 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Demis Hassabis just made every AI benchmark on Earth irrelevant. Hassabis: “True creativity, continual learning, long-term planning. They’re not good at those things.” Three capabilities every human develops naturally. No AI system has achieved one. Hassabis: “They can get gold medals in international math olympiad questions, but they can still fall over on relatively simple math problems if you pose it in a certain way.” Gold medals and grade school failures from the same machine. That’s not intelligence with blind spots. That’s mimicry with peaks. Performance without comprehension. Hassabis: “My definition of AGI has never changed. A system that can exhibit all the cognitive capabilities that humans can.” Not most. All. He proposed the only test that can’t be gamed. Hassabis: “Training an AI system with a knowledge cutoff of 1911 and seeing if it could come up with general relativity like Einstein did in 1915. That’s the true test of whether we have a full AGI system.” Give a machine everything humanity knew before Einstein’s breakthrough. Seal it off. See if it reaches what one mind reached alone. No benchmarks. No leaderboards. No curated evals. Just a mind against the unknown. Nothing passes that today. Hassabis: “The brain is the only existence proof we have, maybe in the universe, of a general intelligence.” One structure in the entire known universe has proven general intelligence is physically possible. One. And every lab on Earth is racing to build the second. Hassabis: “I think we’re still a few years away from that.” Not decades. A machine that passes that test doesn’t stop at physics. It runs that same process against every unsolved problem in every discipline. No fatigue. No lifespan. No ceiling. Einstein was one mind. One field. One lifetime. This would be a thousand Einsteins across every domain simultaneously. And it never dies. The greatest intellectual achievement in human history becomes the floor. The thing that made one man singular becomes the entry exam for a machine. That’s not artificial intelligence. That’s a different kind of mind. It’s years away. Not generations.

Dustin

20,703 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

The smartest man in AI just exposed the whole AGI narrative as a LIE. And he used a physics problem from 1905 to prove it. His name is Demis Hassabis. He runs Google DeepMind, and won the Nobel Prize for using AI to crack a problem in biology that had stumped scientists for 50 years. Almost nobody in this industry has a track record like his. He went on the NothingButTech podcast and called out the biggest lie in AI right now: Right now the loudest voices in AI are telling you that AGI is basically here. OpenAI has literally defined AGI as a system that can outperform humans at most "economically valuable work." In other words, if it replaces enough jobs, we have arrived. Hassabis thinks that bar is a joke. He said real general intelligence has to do what the human brain can do, because the brain is the only proof we have that this kind of intelligence is even possible. He called that "a higher bar than just being able to do some useful economic work," which is about as close as a polite British Nobel laureate gets to calling his rivals out. Then he gave the actual test: Today's AI has read everything humans have ever written, including the theory of relativity. So when it explains relativity back to you, it's repeating an answer that already exists. That's not intelligence. So Hassabis proposed a test that makes memorization impossible. Train an AI on only what humanity knew in 1901, four years BEFORE Einstein published relativity. Then ask it to come up with relativity on its own. It can't look up the answer, because in 1901 the answer doesn't exist yet. The only way to pass is to do what Einstein actually did: Take the same physics everyone else had and reason its way to an idea no human had ever had. Hassabis says not a single AI today can, no matter how much it has memorized. Which means what we keep calling "almost AGI" is really just the best librarian in history. It can find any answer that already exists but it cannot create one that doesn't. His second version is even sharper: AlphaGo, the system his own team built, famously invented a brand new move that no human had played in 2,000 years of the game. Everyone called it genius but Hassabis says that still is not the bar. The real test is not whether an AI can invent a new move inside Go, it is whether an AI could INVENT a game as deep and as beautiful as Go in the first place. No model that exists today can do it. The people telling you AGI has already arrived are the same people raising hundreds of billions of dollars on that exact promise. The valuations only work if the finish line is right in front of us. So the finish line keeps getting dragged closer, and AGI keeps getting quietly redefined down to "does useful work," until the products they already sell happen to qualify. Hassabis has nothing to prove and nothing to sell you. He already won the Nobel, and he is telling you the machines still cannot do the one thing that would make them genuinely intelligent, which is have a truly original idea. To be fair to him, he is not a pessimist about it. He believes real AGI IS coming, and he is spending his life building it. He just refuses to pretend it is already sitting in your phone. So the next time a founder tells you AGI is months away, remember that the one man in the room with a Nobel Prize built his test around Einstein, and admitted that nothing we have made can pass it. What do you think?

Ricardo

1,286,342 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce