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Dylan Crews- 15% catch probability on this ball from Statcast +.85 OAA. Crews covered 107 feet on the play:

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The WARmonger

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32,334 просмотров • 1 месяц назад •via X (Twitter)

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Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).
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Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).

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Julio Rodríguez got his first five-star "catch" of the season yesterday on this 15% ball. +.85 OAA, just not in the usual way...
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Julio Rodríguez got his first five-star "catch" of the season yesterday on this 15% ball. +.85 OAA, just not in the usual way...

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Andy Pages made the first 5-star catch of the season last night, just a 5% catch probability on this one according to Statcast! Pages covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds with the sliding grab. Add a big homer to his +1.2 OAA and Pages is off to a great start!
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Andy Pages made the first 5-star catch of the season last night, just a 5% catch probability on this one according to Statcast! Pages covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds with the sliding grab. Add a big homer to his +1.2 OAA and Pages is off to a great start!

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205,582 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

This just allows me to bring up that time that Statcast gave this batted ball a 95% catch probability, and therefore gave Yoshida -0.95 OAA on a play that is quite literally impossible And if you're wondering, yes I did run the numbers manually to figure this out
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This just allows me to bring up that time that Statcast gave this batted ball a 95% catch probability, and therefore gave Yoshida -0.95 OAA on a play that is quite literally impossible And if you're wondering, yes I did run the numbers manually to figure this out

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I just noticed that Andy Pages has a new "best catch of the year" according to catch probability, and it's a great example of how watching the advanced stats can tell you things you won't get from watching on TV. This was the last play of the game last Wednesday. Bogaerts hit the ball 102.3 MPH at a 15° launch angle, and Pages covered 45 feet in 2.9 seconds and did it so efficiently he didn't even have to leave his feet. Statcast has it at just a 5% catch probability.
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I just noticed that Andy Pages has a new "best catch of the year" according to catch probability, and it's a great example of how watching the advanced stats can tell you things you won't get from watching on TV. This was the last play of the game last Wednesday. Bogaerts hit the ball 102.3 MPH at a 15° launch angle, and Pages covered 45 feet in 2.9 seconds and did it so efficiently he didn't even have to leave his feet. Statcast has it at just a 5% catch probability.

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Braves fans will focus on the Dubón RBIs and the Eli White throw, but there's another play that saved the game This play had a ***5% CATCH PROBABILITY*** White covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds. One of the best Braves plays this season, and of the Statcast era
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Braves fans will focus on the Dubón RBIs and the Eli White throw, but there's another play that saved the game This play had a ***5% CATCH PROBABILITY*** White covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds. One of the best Braves plays this season, and of the Statcast era

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Statcast gave Leody Taveras a 60% catch probability on this two-out double from Jesús Sánchez. Taveras' jump was negative 9.6 feet, per Statcast. This double drove in one run and the Blue Jays scored another later in the inning.
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Statcast gave Leody Taveras a 60% catch probability on this two-out double from Jesús Sánchez. Taveras' jump was negative 9.6 feet, per Statcast. This double drove in one run and the Blue Jays scored another later in the inning.

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Enjoyed some jokes about PCA not catching this ball yesterday. 1% out probability on this ball from Statcast, rounded up to 5%.
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Enjoyed some jokes about PCA not catching this ball yesterday. 1% out probability on this ball from Statcast, rounded up to 5%.

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A clutch catch from Colton Cowser in center field to potentially save this game. Here are the Statcast metrics on this one: 45% catch probability +4-foot jump 86 feet traveled 29 ft/sec top speed
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A clutch catch from Colton Cowser in center field to potentially save this game. Here are the Statcast metrics on this one: 45% catch probability +4-foot jump 86 feet traveled 29 ft/sec top speed

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Another day, another 5-star catch for Pete Crow-Armstrong. This one Wednesday night. His 9th on the season in 13 opportunities. 25% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. The magic happens before the camera is on him. Pete is #1 in average outfield jump by a good amount.
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Another day, another 5-star catch for Pete Crow-Armstrong. This one Wednesday night. His 9th on the season in 13 opportunities. 25% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. The magic happens before the camera is on him. Pete is #1 in average outfield jump by a good amount.

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Routine catch here by Cody Bellinger, the best defensive LF in baseball. The out probability on this play from Statcast is just 45%, but his outstanding read and jump make everything we see look simple:
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Routine catch here by Cody Bellinger, the best defensive LF in baseball. The out probability on this play from Statcast is just 45%, but his outstanding read and jump make everything we see look simple:

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This ball had a 85% catch probability for jASSon Dominguez and he was the furthest one from it 😭😭😭
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This ball had a 85% catch probability for jASSon Dominguez and he was the furthest one from it 😭😭😭

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Now that it's the next day, we have some Statcast data on this... Catch Probability: 99% Opportunity Time: 5.4 seconds Distance Needed: 85 ft Not great. Outfield defense needs to lock in a bit.
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Now that it's the next day, we have some Statcast data on this... Catch Probability: 99% Opportunity Time: 5.4 seconds Distance Needed: 85 ft Not great. Outfield defense needs to lock in a bit.

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Absurd catch yesterday by Jacob Young of the Nationals. Just 2% catch probability on this one from Statcast (rounds up to 5%). Why doesn't it look that hard for Young? His jump was one of the best of the year, over 12 feet above average.
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Absurd catch yesterday by Jacob Young of the Nationals. Just 2% catch probability on this one from Statcast (rounds up to 5%). Why doesn't it look that hard for Young? His jump was one of the best of the year, over 12 feet above average.

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Don’t give up on Dylan Crews You’re crazy if you do
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Don’t give up on Dylan Crews You’re crazy if you do

Kev

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This ball had a 99% catch probability. -11.7 feet of jump below average.
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This ball had a 99% catch probability. -11.7 feet of jump below average.

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Per Statcast, a 90% catch probability here for #Orioles right fielder Heston Kjerstad on this leadoff double by Mariners' J.P. Crawford in the bottom of the 5th inning:
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Per Statcast, a 90% catch probability here for #Orioles right fielder Heston Kjerstad on this leadoff double by Mariners' J.P. Crawford in the bottom of the 5th inning:

Jake Rill

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Dylan Crews on the ring gesture: “I had to do it.” Shouts out Joey Burrow and Angel Reese
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Dylan Crews on the ring gesture: “I had to do it.” Shouts out Joey Burrow and Angel Reese

Cody Worsham

53,402 просмотров • 3 лет назад

Bases loaded, 1 out. Dylan Crews and Tommy White up 0 runs after this wizard play up the middle Dawgs are FIRED UP 🔥
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Bases loaded, 1 out. Dylan Crews and Tommy White up 0 runs after this wizard play up the middle Dawgs are FIRED UP 🔥

11Point7 College Baseball

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Daulton Varsho: *3rd 5% catch probability catch of his career *6th 5% catch probability catch by a Jay in the Statcast era (Varsho only guy with more than 1) *14th 5% catch probability catch in MLB this season (Varsho 1 of 2 players with more than 1) #PlatinumGlove
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Daulton Varsho: *3rd 5% catch probability catch of his career *6th 5% catch probability catch by a Jay in the Statcast era (Varsho only guy with more than 1) *14th 5% catch probability catch in MLB this season (Varsho 1 of 2 players with more than 1) #PlatinumGlove

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