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.Dylan Patel lays out how we know the hard upper bound on how much compute can be produced annually by 2030: around 200 GW/year. That’s a crazy number (there’s about 20 GW of AI deployed in the world right now), but it’s nowhere near enough to satisfy Sam/Elon/Dario/Demis’s ambitions.... Lots of things in the supply chain can be scaled up over 4 years, including things that other people think are bottlenecks, like datacenter power or fab clean room space. But the thing that’s inflexible over that timeline is the number of EUV tools. Dylan forecasts that production of ASML’s EUV tools will scale from 60 per year now to about 100 per year by the end of the decade - which means something like 700 total machines running in 2030. For a fab to make a GW worth of the Rubin chips that NVIDIA is deploying later this year, it needs to make 55,000 3nm wafers, 6,000 5nm wafers, and 170,000 memory wafers. Each 3nm wafers needs about 20 EUV passes, so about 1.1 million passes per GW. Adding on 5nm and memory, you need two million passes. Each tool can do 75 passes per hour, so with 90% uptime that’s around 600k passes per year - so a single machine can make less than a third of a GW in a year. So in 2030, we have 700 total machines, each making 0.3ish GW a year, which means we can produce 200 GW of compute a year. That’s a lot. But Sam Altman wants a gigawatt a week by the end of the decade. Anthropic and Google will be wanting about the same. And Elon wants to be putting 100 GW in space every year. Any one of these players could maybe get what they need, but not all of them.show more

Dwarkesh Patel

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Elon Musk believes SpaceX can deploy 100 gigawatts per year by 2030 • 1 GW per year by end of 2027 • 10 GW per year in 2.5 years • 100 GW per year in 3.5 years “Depending on the progress in chip making, going beyond that to scale to a terawatt per year which is 1,000 gigawatts”

Elon Musk believes SpaceX can deploy 100 gigawatts per year by 2030 • 1 GW per year by end of 2027 • 10 GW per year in 2.5 years • 100 GW per year in 3.5 years “Depending on the progress in chip making, going beyond that to scale to a terawatt per year which is 1,000 gigawatts”

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Elon Musk said the scale needed to deploy 100 GW/year of compute in space would require north of a million wafers starts per month. Tesla’s Terafab will be massive. Tesla AI Chips: •A14: Will achieve self-driving safety levels very far above human. • AI5: Will make the cars almost perfect and greatly enhance Optimus. Will also work for space at a low GW/year scale. • AI6: Optimus, Datacenters, and space also at a low GW/year scale. • AI7: >10GW/year compute in space • AI8: >100GW/year compute in space

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Nic Cruz Patane

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Dylan Patel, founder of SemiAnalysis: "The upper bound on how much compute can be produced by 2030 is around 200 gigawatts a year." The entire world has about 20 gigawatts of AI deployed right now. The ceiling is 10x what exists today, and it still isn't enough to feed what Sam, Elon, Dario and Demis are racing to build. Everyone argues about which model wins. The real limit is a number measured in gigawatts, and it's already maxed out years in advance.

Dylan Patel, founder of SemiAnalysis: "The upper bound on how much compute can be produced by 2030 is around 200 gigawatts a year." The entire world has about 20 gigawatts of AI deployed right now. The ceiling is 10x what exists today, and it still isn't enough to feed what Sam, Elon, Dario and Demis are racing to build. Everyone argues about which model wins. The real limit is a number measured in gigawatts, and it's already maxed out years in advance.

zostaff

163,567 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Elon Musk announced a chip factory 10 times the size of Tesla's Gigafactory. The goal is to produce enough AI compute to equal twice the entire electricity consumption of the United States. He called it the Terafab. Here is the number that stopped me cold. The entire global AI chip industry right now is on track to hit around 100 gigawatts per year of compute. Every Nvidia GPU, every Google TPU, every chip from every company on earth combined. 100 gigawatts. Musk wants one factory to produce a terawatt per year. A terawatt is 1,000 gigawatts. Ten times the output of the entire global industry. From a single building. To put the scale in physical terms, the Terafab would need to be around 100 million square feet. You would need Starship point to point transport just to get from one end to the other. But the reason for the scale is not ambition for its own sake. To launch meaningful AI compute into space, you need a billion chips per year running at a kilowatt each. That is not a number the current industry can produce. The Terafab is the only way to get there. The timeline he put out: a gigawatt of space AI compute annualized by end of next year. Then 10x per year from there. 10 gigawatts by year two. 100 gigawatts by year three. A terawatt beyond that. Most people think orbital data centers are a decade away. Musk is building the factory to make them possible by next year.

Elon Musk announced a chip factory 10 times the size of Tesla's Gigafactory. The goal is to produce enough AI compute to equal twice the entire electricity consumption of the United States. He called it the Terafab. Here is the number that stopped me cold. The entire global AI chip industry right now is on track to hit around 100 gigawatts per year of compute. Every Nvidia GPU, every Google TPU, every chip from every company on earth combined. 100 gigawatts. Musk wants one factory to produce a terawatt per year. A terawatt is 1,000 gigawatts. Ten times the output of the entire global industry. From a single building. To put the scale in physical terms, the Terafab would need to be around 100 million square feet. You would need Starship point to point transport just to get from one end to the other. But the reason for the scale is not ambition for its own sake. To launch meaningful AI compute into space, you need a billion chips per year running at a kilowatt each. That is not a number the current industry can produce. The Terafab is the only way to get there. The timeline he put out: a gigawatt of space AI compute annualized by end of next year. Then 10x per year from there. 10 gigawatts by year two. 100 gigawatts by year three. A terawatt beyond that. Most people think orbital data centers are a decade away. Musk is building the factory to make them possible by next year.

Ihtesham Ali

317,824 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Greek Defense Minister Nikos Dendias: Right now, as we speak, we have reached a production capability of around 5,000 drones per year. In one and a half to two years, we will exceed 100,000 per year. By the end of 2030, according to our projections, we will be capable of producing more than one million drones per year.

Greek Defense Minister Nikos Dendias: Right now, as we speak, we have reached a production capability of around 5,000 drones per year. In one and a half to two years, we will exceed 100,000 per year. By the end of 2030, according to our projections, we will be capable of producing more than one million drones per year.

Clash Report

48,198 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Here’s Elon Musk explaining that SpaceX could launch up to one terawatt per year of AI compute capacity into Earth orbit — equivalent to the power output of roughly 1,000 nuclear power plants. “The next step beyond Earth data centers is our Earth orbital data centers. And we'll be launching with SpaceX orbital data centers at the 100-to-200-gigawatt-per-year level. Not cumulative, per year. And ultimately, we see a path to maybe launching as much as a terawatt per year of compute from Earth. But what if you want to go beyond a mere terawatt per year? In order to do that, you have to go to the Moon. So by having factories on the Moon, building AI satellites, and having a mass driver, which is the kind of thing you really only learn about in or read about in science fiction, but we're going to make it real. We're actually going to have a mass driver on the Moon. And if you do that, you can go several orders of magnitude greater. You can go to 1,000 gigawatts or more per year and ultimately get to maybe a millionth and then a thousandth and maybe even a few percent of the Sun's energy.” xAI All-Hands, February 10, 2026

Here’s Elon Musk explaining that SpaceX could launch up to one terawatt per year of AI compute capacity into Earth orbit — equivalent to the power output of roughly 1,000 nuclear power plants. “The next step beyond Earth data centers is our Earth orbital data centers. And we'll be launching with SpaceX orbital data centers at the 100-to-200-gigawatt-per-year level. Not cumulative, per year. And ultimately, we see a path to maybe launching as much as a terawatt per year of compute from Earth. But what if you want to go beyond a mere terawatt per year? In order to do that, you have to go to the Moon. So by having factories on the Moon, building AI satellites, and having a mass driver, which is the kind of thing you really only learn about in or read about in science fiction, but we're going to make it real. We're actually going to have a mass driver on the Moon. And if you do that, you can go several orders of magnitude greater. You can go to 1,000 gigawatts or more per year and ultimately get to maybe a millionth and then a thousandth and maybe even a few percent of the Sun's energy.” xAI All-Hands, February 10, 2026

ELON CLIPS

21,962 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

$The AI supply chain has the craziest value cascade of any industry in the world. thinks that over the next five years, the biggest bottleneck to deploying AI will be EUV machines. ASML sells EUV machines for $300-400 million. You need about three and a half machines, so $1.2 billion, to produce a gigawatt of compute each year. So $1.2 billion of ASL and ML machines are producing $35 billion worth of NVIDIA chips a year (and of course those machines can be used over many years). Then those Nvidia chips can generate $100s of billion of token revenue for AI labs. Or think about: over the last three years, TSMC spent $100 billion on CapEx. A small fraction of that went to building the fab capacity used for Nvidia's chips. Nvidia turned that fraction into $216 billion of revenue last fiscal year alone. Relative to the value of the thing they’re producing, TSMC’s CapEx looks crazy small. So why aren’t ASML/TSMC/etc juicing up margins to capture more of the value they’re generating? And why aren’t they scaling up CapEx so that they can take advantage of the crazy AI growth worlds? Dylan Patel says that it’s because these upstream players aren’t AGI-pilled enough. They’re still looking for stable, gentle long-term growth. The insane demand signal is taking a long time to percolate up the supply chain.$

The AI supply chain has the craziest value cascade of any industry in the world. thinks that over the next five years, the biggest bottleneck to deploying AI will be EUV machines. ASML sells EUV machines for $300-400 million. You need about three and a half machines, so $1.2 billion, to produce a gigawatt of compute each year. So $1.2 billion of ASL and ML machines are producing $35 billion worth of NVIDIA chips a year (and of course those machines can be used over many years). Then those Nvidia chips can generate $100s of billion of token revenue for AI labs. Or think about: over the last three years, TSMC spent $100 billion on CapEx. A small fraction of that went to building the fab capacity used for Nvidia's chips. Nvidia turned that fraction into $216 billion of revenue last fiscal year alone. Relative to the value of the thing they’re producing, TSMC’s CapEx looks crazy small. So why aren’t ASML/TSMC/etc juicing up margins to capture more of the value they’re generating? And why aren’t they scaling up CapEx so that they can take advantage of the crazy AI growth worlds? Dylan Patel says that it’s because these upstream players aren’t AGI-pilled enough. They’re still looking for stable, gentle long-term growth. The insane demand signal is taking a long time to percolate up the supply chain.

Dwarkesh Patel

78,103 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

ELON MUSK: SpaceX could have closer to 10 GW of compute next year. “We are building and deploying compute, I think, faster; our rate of growth certainly is faster than anyone else and our efficiency of compute deployment, I think, is also the highest. So we expect to end this year with over two gigawatts of compute. And probably our cumulative compute online by the end of next year will be several times higher. So it may, let’s say, be closer to 10 gigawatts of compute than five gigawatts of compute. That’s the way to think about it.”

ELON MUSK: SpaceX could have closer to 10 GW of compute next year. “We are building and deploying compute, I think, faster; our rate of growth certainly is faster than anyone else and our efficiency of compute deployment, I think, is also the highest. So we expect to end this year with over two gigawatts of compute. And probably our cumulative compute online by the end of next year will be several times higher. So it may, let’s say, be closer to 10 gigawatts of compute than five gigawatts of compute. That’s the way to think about it.”

DogeDesigner

31,749 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

EUV machines are the most complicated tools humans make. Their supply chain has over 10,000 individual suppliers, and any one of them not scaling fast enough can bottleneck the entire AI industry. An EUV tool fires lasers at a tiny tin droplet three times in precise sequence, blasting it hard enough to emit EUV light. That light bounces off 18 multilayer mirrors onto the wafer. Meanwhile, the two platforms inside the machine - one holding the stencil, one holding the chip - are flying back and forth at 9Gs in opposite directions. The successive passes have to land on top of each other to within 3 nanometers. If any part of this is off, yield goes to zero. Take just one component. The mirrors are mostly supplied by Carl Zeiss, who have probably fewer than a thousand people working on them. In turn, Carl Zeiss rely on machines from Switzerland to deposit each of the layers, and use a coating process co-developed with a different German company. None of these companies have woken up. They’re gradually increasing production, but nowhere near the levels necessary for what the labs want by the end of the decade. Dylan Patel predicts production can't scale beyond about 100 EUV machines per year by 2030, no matter how much money gets thrown at the problem. In the medium term this is the key bottleneck on scaling.

EUV machines are the most complicated tools humans make. Their supply chain has over 10,000 individual suppliers, and any one of them not scaling fast enough can bottleneck the entire AI industry. An EUV tool fires lasers at a tiny tin droplet three times in precise sequence, blasting it hard enough to emit EUV light. That light bounces off 18 multilayer mirrors onto the wafer. Meanwhile, the two platforms inside the machine - one holding the stencil, one holding the chip - are flying back and forth at 9Gs in opposite directions. The successive passes have to land on top of each other to within 3 nanometers. If any part of this is off, yield goes to zero. Take just one component. The mirrors are mostly supplied by Carl Zeiss, who have probably fewer than a thousand people working on them. In turn, Carl Zeiss rely on machines from Switzerland to deposit each of the layers, and use a coating process co-developed with a different German company. None of these companies have woken up. They’re gradually increasing production, but nowhere near the levels necessary for what the labs want by the end of the decade. Dylan Patel predicts production can't scale beyond about 100 EUV machines per year by 2030, no matter how much money gets thrown at the problem. In the medium term this is the key bottleneck on scaling.

Dwarkesh Patel

154,086 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Elon Musk on 𝕏 Spaces tonight: "The biggest opportunity on the moon is to make solar cells and radiators, and then, you're manufacturing on the moon anything that weighs a lot, chips maybe still come from Earth, they weigh very little. And then you can use a mass driver to put a billion tons of AI powered satellites into orbit per year. You could set a scale to 100 terawatts of AI compute per year from the moon. We already have 9000 satellites in orbit. So we know what it's like being in space."

Elon Musk on 𝕏 Spaces tonight: "The biggest opportunity on the moon is to make solar cells and radiators, and then, you're manufacturing on the moon anything that weighs a lot, chips maybe still come from Earth, they weigh very little. And then you can use a mass driver to put a billion tons of AI powered satellites into orbit per year. You could set a scale to 100 terawatts of AI compute per year from the moon. We already have 9000 satellites in orbit. So we know what it's like being in space."

DogeDesigner

241,096 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

$Bro… Elon just laid out the blueprint on how xAI and SpaceX are getting to 1,000+ gigawatts per year and beyond, in his closing statement at the xAI all-hands! IMO, this is why there will be no competition in space. 1/ Earth Supercomputers (Now) Build Memphis cluster to get us to >1 GW of power. “We’re only right now using roughly one percent of the potential energy of Earth.” Plan: • 330,000+ Grace Blackwell GPUs • ~1M H100-equivalent compute • 1 gigawatt draw at full scale • Built in <1 year • Tesla Megapacks stabilizing energy FYI, most AI companies are operating in hundreds of megawatts, yet xAI is already at a utility-scale gigawatt compute. 2/ Orbital Datacenters (Soon) Get to 100-200 GW per year launched into orbit with a path to ~1 terawatt (1,000 GW) total from Earth launches. “The next step beyond Earth data centers is our Earth orbital datacenters… launching at the 100-200 gigawatt per year level. Not cumulative, I mean per year.” Benefits: • Continuous solar exposure • No land constraints • No terrestrial grid bottlenecks • Virtually unlimited horizontal expansion FYI, 100–200 GW per year is equivalent to adding multiple large nation-scale grids annually. 3/ Moon Factories + Mass Driver (Mid Future) Get to 1,000+ GW per year, several orders of magnitude beyond Earth. “In order to do that you have to go to the Moon… We are actually going to have a mass driver on the Moon.” Plan: • Lunar factories build AI satellites • Electromagnetic mass driver launches them without fuel • Low lunar gravity reduces launch energy requirements • Scales far beyond Earth’s physical constraints FYI, this is when industrialized compute begins manufacturing off Earth. 4/ Solar System & Beyond (Long Term Future) Today the sun outputs ~3.8 × 10²⁶ watts “If we wanted to use even a millionth of the Sun’s energy, that would be roughly a million times more energy than civilization currently uses.” This means • 0.000001 of the Sun’s output = ~1,000,000 × today’s global Earth energy usage. 🤯 “Earth is really a tiny, tiny dust mote in a vast darkness… The Sun is 99.8% of all mass in the solar system.” To access that scale: • Moon manufacturing • Mars expansion • Solar-orbit compute clusters • Eventually tapping meaningful fractions of stellar output So… the blueprint to get here is 1/ Start at 1 GW. 2/ Scale to 1 TW. 3/ Scale to 1,000+ GW per year. 4/ Then expand toward fractions of the Sun itself. It’s clear that xAI + SpaceX is building the AI infrastructure and pathway to a stellar-scale energy civilization. I really hope I’m still alive to witness all this.$

Bro… Elon just laid out the blueprint on how xAI and SpaceX are getting to 1,000+ gigawatts per year and beyond, in his closing statement at the xAI all-hands! IMO, this is why there will be no competition in space. 1/ Earth Supercomputers (Now) Build Memphis cluster to get us to >1 GW of power. “We’re only right now using roughly one percent of the potential energy of Earth.” Plan: • 330,000+ Grace Blackwell GPUs • ~1M H100-equivalent compute • 1 gigawatt draw at full scale • Built in <1 year • Tesla Megapacks stabilizing energy FYI, most AI companies are operating in hundreds of megawatts, yet xAI is already at a utility-scale gigawatt compute. 2/ Orbital Datacenters (Soon) Get to 100-200 GW per year launched into orbit with a path to ~1 terawatt (1,000 GW) total from Earth launches. “The next step beyond Earth data centers is our Earth orbital datacenters… launching at the 100-200 gigawatt per year level. Not cumulative, I mean per year.” Benefits: • Continuous solar exposure • No land constraints • No terrestrial grid bottlenecks • Virtually unlimited horizontal expansion FYI, 100–200 GW per year is equivalent to adding multiple large nation-scale grids annually. 3/ Moon Factories + Mass Driver (Mid Future) Get to 1,000+ GW per year, several orders of magnitude beyond Earth. “In order to do that you have to go to the Moon… We are actually going to have a mass driver on the Moon.” Plan: • Lunar factories build AI satellites • Electromagnetic mass driver launches them without fuel • Low lunar gravity reduces launch energy requirements • Scales far beyond Earth’s physical constraints FYI, this is when industrialized compute begins manufacturing off Earth. 4/ Solar System & Beyond (Long Term Future) Today the sun outputs ~3.8 × 10²⁶ watts “If we wanted to use even a millionth of the Sun’s energy, that would be roughly a million times more energy than civilization currently uses.” This means • 0.000001 of the Sun’s output = ~1,000,000 × today’s global Earth energy usage. 🤯 “Earth is really a tiny, tiny dust mote in a vast darkness… The Sun is 99.8% of all mass in the solar system.” To access that scale: • Moon manufacturing • Mars expansion • Solar-orbit compute clusters • Eventually tapping meaningful fractions of stellar output So… the blueprint to get here is 1/ Start at 1 GW. 2/ Scale to 1 TW. 3/ Scale to 1,000+ GW per year. 4/ Then expand toward fractions of the Sun itself. It’s clear that xAI + SpaceX is building the AI infrastructure and pathway to a stellar-scale energy civilization. I really hope I’m still alive to witness all this.

Teslaconomics

526,729 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Atreides' Gavin Baker says that once Starship is reusable, the economics of orbital compute crush the economics of terrestrial compute. He lays out the math: "Once $SPCX can reuse Starship, the math for orbital compute becomes pretty compelling." "It's $60B to bring on a GW terrestrially. $25B is power and cooling — you don't need that in space. And so the right comp for that $35B in IT equipment — GPU, CPU, switches, memory, storage — is that $25B [in power and cooling] vs. the cost of launch." "And once Starship is reusable, I think the cost to launch is $5B. So that means you can put a GW into space for [$40B]. The GW on earth is $60B."

Atreides' Gavin Baker says that once Starship is reusable, the economics of orbital compute crush the economics of terrestrial compute. He lays out the math: "Once $SPCX can reuse Starship, the math for orbital compute becomes pretty compelling." "It's $60B to bring on a GW terrestrially. $25B is power and cooling — you don't need that in space. And so the right comp for that $35B in IT equipment — GPU, CPU, switches, memory, storage — is that $25B [in power and cooling] vs. the cost of launch." "And once Starship is reusable, I think the cost to launch is $5B. So that means you can put a GW into space for [$40B]. The GW on earth is $60B."

TBPN

102,778 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

ELON: SCALE CHANGES EVERYTHING WHEN YOU REACH ORBIT Elon says the numbers only sound extreme until you compare them to the right benchmark. By aircraft standards, the flight cadence is modest. By rocket industry standards, it’s transformational. Once payload reaches that scale, entirely new energy and compute possibilities open up. The math stops being abstract and starts becoming physical: “Ten thousand flights a year is a reasonable number. By aircraft standards, that’s a small number. It just depends what you compare it to. If you compare it to the rest of the rocket industry, it’s a very high number. We’re talking about a million tons of payload to orbit per year. If you do a million tons of payload to orbit per year with a hundred kilowatts per ton, that’s a hundred gigawatts of solar powered AI satellites per year. There’s a path to get probably to a terawatt per year.” Source: Moonshots Elon Musk

ELON: SCALE CHANGES EVERYTHING WHEN YOU REACH ORBIT Elon says the numbers only sound extreme until you compare them to the right benchmark. By aircraft standards, the flight cadence is modest. By rocket industry standards, it’s transformational. Once payload reaches that scale, entirely new energy and compute possibilities open up. The math stops being abstract and starts becoming physical: “Ten thousand flights a year is a reasonable number. By aircraft standards, that’s a small number. It just depends what you compare it to. If you compare it to the rest of the rocket industry, it’s a very high number. We’re talking about a million tons of payload to orbit per year. If you do a million tons of payload to orbit per year with a hundred kilowatts per ton, that’s a hundred gigawatts of solar powered AI satellites per year. There’s a path to get probably to a terawatt per year.” Source: Moonshots Elon Musk

Mario Nawfal

38,982 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

Look at the expression on Jensen’s face when a reporter asks if TSMC is going to make enough wafers for Nvidia this year. I'm not a CIA body language expert, but GOOD LUCK to da bears. $NVDA Reporter: "Jensen will TSMC be supplying enough for you guys this year?" Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang: "TSMC needs to work very hard this year because I need a lot of wafers and CoWoS this year. ... So TSMC is doing an incredible job and they're working very, very hard. We have a lot of demand this year."

Look at the expression on Jensen’s face when a reporter asks if TSMC is going to make enough wafers for Nvidia this year. I'm not a CIA body language expert, but GOOD LUCK to da bears. $NVDA Reporter: "Jensen will TSMC be supplying enough for you guys this year?" Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang: "TSMC needs to work very hard this year because I need a lot of wafers and CoWoS this year. ... So TSMC is doing an incredible job and they're working very, very hard. We have a lot of demand this year."

tae kim

403,365 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Elon Musk laid out the most ambitious compute expansion in human history and it ends with harnessing the Sun "We'll be launching with SpaceX orbital data centers at the 100 to 200 gigawatt per year level. Not cumulative; I mean per year" And this is just step one, the next step is Scale further from Earth to launch a full terawatt per year of AI compute into orbit It gets even crazier from here When even a terawatt isn't enough....Go to the Moon. Build factories. Build AI satellites Deploy a mass driver - the thing you only read about in sci-fi novels and push output to thousands of gigawatts per year and ultimately get to maybe a millionth and then a thousandth and maybe even a few percent of the sun's energy "It's difficult to imagine what an intelligence of that scale would think about but it's going to be incredibly exciting"

Elon Musk laid out the most ambitious compute expansion in human history and it ends with harnessing the Sun "We'll be launching with SpaceX orbital data centers at the 100 to 200 gigawatt per year level. Not cumulative; I mean per year" And this is just step one, the next step is Scale further from Earth to launch a full terawatt per year of AI compute into orbit It gets even crazier from here When even a terawatt isn't enough....Go to the Moon. Build factories. Build AI satellites Deploy a mass driver - the thing you only read about in sci-fi novels and push output to thousands of gigawatts per year and ultimately get to maybe a millionth and then a thousandth and maybe even a few percent of the sun's energy "It's difficult to imagine what an intelligence of that scale would think about but it's going to be incredibly exciting"

X Freeze

16,467 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

People should be much more upset about their work only offering them a 2% raise per year and acting like it’s a big deal Just to keep up with the increase in the cost of living, you would need at a minimum a 4.2% each year in a national average. But it’s actually worse than that If you look at the true cost of how much more expensive things are getting and don’t go off inflation, you would actually need over a 7%+ raise each year

People should be much more upset about their work only offering them a 2% raise per year and acting like it’s a big deal Just to keep up with the increase in the cost of living, you would need at a minimum a 4.2% each year in a national average. But it’s actually worse than that If you look at the true cost of how much more expensive things are getting and don’t go off inflation, you would actually need over a 7%+ raise each year

Wall Street Apes

82,638 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Qullamaggie on Hard Periods in Swing Trading “But yeah, these periods happen a couple of times per year, so it’s just part of the game. You just have to man up and stay patient — that’s the only way. Because I know that the good times are gonna be back. I know that there’s gonna be a period of a few weeks or a few months where I’m gonna make at least a million dollars. I don’t know if it’s gonna be this year, but it’s definitely going to be somewhere next year, and I just have to wait for that time.”

Qullamaggie on Hard Periods in Swing Trading “But yeah, these periods happen a couple of times per year, so it’s just part of the game. You just have to man up and stay patient — that’s the only way. Because I know that the good times are gonna be back. I know that there’s gonna be a period of a few weeks or a few months where I’m gonna make at least a million dollars. I don’t know if it’s gonna be this year, but it’s definitely going to be somewhere next year, and I just have to wait for that time.”

Lone

27,111 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Lots of talk about 100 kW+ satellites. We asked Apex's Ian Cinnamon how hard they are to build in practice. "To give you a sense of how hard it is to manufacture these at scale. The solar panels that you need on a 100 kW satellite platform are about the size of a football field." "So think about having a football field indoors for each satellite. You need to lay out, fold up, put it together, stow it, test it, deploy it." "Doing one of those? Very doable, not that hard." "Doing 10 of them? Hard." "Doing 100 per year, 10,000 per year? Exceedingly difficult."

Lots of talk about 100 kW+ satellites. We asked Apex's Ian Cinnamon how hard they are to build in practice. "To give you a sense of how hard it is to manufacture these at scale. The solar panels that you need on a 100 kW satellite platform are about the size of a football field." "So think about having a football field indoors for each satellite. You need to lay out, fold up, put it together, stow it, test it, deploy it." "Doing one of those? Very doable, not that hard." "Doing 10 of them? Hard." "Doing 100 per year, 10,000 per year? Exceedingly difficult."

Jack Kuhr

45,966 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Everyone gets so hung up on the bonuses. Can we do some very quick math? There are 43 events. They will now give out $400K in POTN and FOTN bonuses per event, which comes out to $17.2 million. Now there’s the $25K bonus for finishes. Let’s say there are about 550 fights a year and every one of them ends in a finish. That’s around $14 million. So that’s roughly $31 million that we’re all going crazy about. Reminder: they’re getting $1.1 billion from Paramount+ alone. That doesn’t include their deals with all the other broadcasters around the world. It also doesn’t include the litany of sponsors on the cage. It’s absurd that we get so hung up on this. It was nice to see, but it’s not that far off from what they were doing 12 or so years ago.

Everyone gets so hung up on the bonuses. Can we do some very quick math? There are 43 events. They will now give out $400K in POTN and FOTN bonuses per event, which comes out to $17.2 million. Now there’s the $25K bonus for finishes. Let’s say there are about 550 fights a year and every one of them ends in a finish. That’s around $14 million. So that’s roughly $31 million that we’re all going crazy about. Reminder: they’re getting $1.1 billion from Paramount+ alone. That doesn’t include their deals with all the other broadcasters around the world. It also doesn’t include the litany of sponsors on the cage. It’s absurd that we get so hung up on this. It was nice to see, but it’s not that far off from what they were doing 12 or so years ago.

Ariel Helwani

387,596 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

SemiAnalysis CEO Dylan Patel: There's a bet between the Heads of Compute at xAI and Anthropic over what percentage of worldwide datacenter capacity is in space by the end of 2028. “The bar is 1%. So, the xAI guy is really bullish." “I take the under on 1% by ’28, because that’s a gigawatt in space.” “But, it’s actually not that crazy. It’s roughly 150 Starship launches to get them to a gigawatt in space.”

SemiAnalysis CEO Dylan Patel: There's a bet between the Heads of Compute at xAI and Anthropic over what percentage of worldwide datacenter capacity is in space by the end of 2028. “The bar is 1%. So, the xAI guy is really bullish." “I take the under on 1% by ’28, because that’s a gigawatt in space.” “But, it’s actually not that crazy. It’s roughly 150 Starship launches to get them to a gigawatt in space.”

TBPN

32,516 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten