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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Economic "D-Day" could backfire on Washington The Iran sanctions campaign faces a basic problem: China can circumvent it, but forcing Beijing to fully comply would mean inflicting enormous damage on the U.S. economy too. Sanctions take months to implement, enforce and evade. Washington is therefore left with an... show more

Mario Nawfal

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just declared economic war on anyone keeping Iran alive. There's just one HUGE problem: China. Trump's “Economic D-Day” is an attempt to financially isolate Iran on a scale Washington says has never been attempted before. And Treasury Sec. Bessent made the objective brutally clear: They want to collapse the Iranian regime. That means targeting not just Iran, but the countries, banks and businesses that continue trading with it. Which brings Washington directly into collision with Beijing. China buys the overwhelming majority of Iran's shipped oil. So if Trump genuinely intends to economically strangle Tehran, eventually he has to answer the question everyone is asking: What happens when China refuses to stop? He faces two choices: Don't enforce the sanctions aggressively against China, and Tehran retains the economic lifeline Washington is trying to sever. Enforce them, and what began as an economic war against Iran starts becoming an economic confrontation with the world's second-largest economy. And China isn't Iran. Beijing has economic weapons of its own: Rare earths, manufacturing, critical supply chains, and, crucially, an alternative financial architecture it's spent years developing precisely because it never wanted Washington to possess a permanent veto over Chinese commerce. That's the part of this story that could become far more consequential than whatever happens in Hormuz. America's greatest economic weapon isn't an aircraft carrier, it's the dollar. Access to the dollar system gives Washington an extraordinary ability to punish governments, banks and companies almost anywhere on Earth. But that power only remains overwhelming for as long as the rest of the world has no viable alternative. Every time Washington weaponises it, it creates another incentive to build one. And Trump is now threatening to demonstrate that vulnerability on an enormous scale. China doesn't need to overthrow the dollar tomorrow; it just needs enough infrastructure to continue trading when Washington says: Stop, or else. And once that infrastructure exists, other countries gain access to the same insurance policy. Trump's war on Iran exposed the limits of American military power. His economic war may be about to expose the limits of America's financial power too. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just declared economic war on anyone keeping Iran alive. There's just one HUGE problem: China. Trump's “Economic D-Day” is an attempt to financially isolate Iran on a scale Washington says has never been attempted before. And Treasury Sec. Bessent made the objective brutally clear: They want to collapse the Iranian regime. That means targeting not just Iran, but the countries, banks and businesses that continue trading with it. Which brings Washington directly into collision with Beijing. China buys the overwhelming majority of Iran's shipped oil. So if Trump genuinely intends to economically strangle Tehran, eventually he has to answer the question everyone is asking: What happens when China refuses to stop? He faces two choices: Don't enforce the sanctions aggressively against China, and Tehran retains the economic lifeline Washington is trying to sever. Enforce them, and what began as an economic war against Iran starts becoming an economic confrontation with the world's second-largest economy. And China isn't Iran. Beijing has economic weapons of its own: Rare earths, manufacturing, critical supply chains, and, crucially, an alternative financial architecture it's spent years developing precisely because it never wanted Washington to possess a permanent veto over Chinese commerce. That's the part of this story that could become far more consequential than whatever happens in Hormuz. America's greatest economic weapon isn't an aircraft carrier, it's the dollar. Access to the dollar system gives Washington an extraordinary ability to punish governments, banks and companies almost anywhere on Earth. But that power only remains overwhelming for as long as the rest of the world has no viable alternative. Every time Washington weaponises it, it creates another incentive to build one. And Trump is now threatening to demonstrate that vulnerability on an enormous scale. China doesn't need to overthrow the dollar tomorrow; it just needs enough infrastructure to continue trading when Washington says: Stop, or else. And once that infrastructure exists, other countries gain access to the same insurance policy. Trump's war on Iran exposed the limits of American military power. His economic war may be about to expose the limits of America's financial power too. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

534,769 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sanctions won't fix the problem. Washington is prolonging the Iran crisis without solving the problem that actually matters: getting oil flowing normally again. Economic warfare may give Trump political cover, but it does little to restore energy flows, risks further damage to the dollar, and pushes Iran closer to China. The strange part is that Washington may be escalating precisely when the quickest way to stabilize the region is to stop adding pressure. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sanctions won't fix the problem. Washington is prolonging the Iran crisis without solving the problem that actually matters: getting oil flowing normally again. Economic warfare may give Trump political cover, but it does little to restore energy flows, risks further damage to the dollar, and pushes Iran closer to China. The strange part is that Washington may be escalating precisely when the quickest way to stabilize the region is to stop adding pressure. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

58,500 Aufrufe • vor 18 Stunden

🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 Beijing's alternative payment networks aren't necessarily designed to kill the dollar. They're insurance. If Washington can threaten China with sanctions, tariffs and financial restrictions, China has an obvious incentive to build a system that makes those threats less effective. And that matters for Iran. Washington may be trying to use economic pressure to isolate Tehran, while its biggest economic partner is building ways to make that pressure harder to enforce. The irony is brutal: The more aggressively the U.S. weaponizes the financial system, the more incentive its rivals have to build a system that can operate without it. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 Beijing's alternative payment networks aren't necessarily designed to kill the dollar. They're insurance. If Washington can threaten China with sanctions, tariffs and financial restrictions, China has an obvious incentive to build a system that makes those threats less effective. And that matters for Iran. Washington may be trying to use economic pressure to isolate Tehran, while its biggest economic partner is building ways to make that pressure harder to enforce. The irony is brutal: The more aggressively the U.S. weaponizes the financial system, the more incentive its rivals have to build a system that can operate without it. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

60,078 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

🇨🇳🇮🇷🇺🇸 China just blamed the U.S. and Israel for the Strait of Hormuz crisis Calling it an “illegitimate war” against Iran, Beijing is framing the disruption as a direct hit on the global economy

🇨🇳🇮🇷🇺🇸 China just blamed the U.S. and Israel for the Strait of Hormuz crisis Calling it an “illegitimate war” against Iran, Beijing is framing the disruption as a direct hit on the global economy

Mario Nawfal

172,990 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Washington has blindly stumbled into a devastating proxy trap in Iran, and Beijing is reaping all the rewards. Every single weapon system the U.S. expends in the Middle East is one less deterrent available to stop a Chinese move on Taiwan. Brandon Weichert argued that Trump's recent concessions to China reveal how completely overextended the U.S. is, warning that America will feel extreme economic consequences for the forseeable future. Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Washington has blindly stumbled into a devastating proxy trap in Iran, and Beijing is reaping all the rewards. Every single weapon system the U.S. expends in the Middle East is one less deterrent available to stop a Chinese move on Taiwan. Brandon Weichert argued that Trump's recent concessions to China reveal how completely overextended the U.S. is, warning that America will feel extreme economic consequences for the forseeable future. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

100,196 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran just told the world that any country backing U.S. sanctions will be treated as an enemy at war. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says China is already signaling it won't comply, and Pakistan won't either since Iran is its primary oil and gas supplier. The sanctions coalition Washington is counting on may not exist. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran just told the world that any country backing U.S. sanctions will be treated as an enemy at war. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says China is already signaling it won't comply, and Pakistan won't either since Iran is its primary oil and gas supplier. The sanctions coalition Washington is counting on may not exist. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

65,356 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 99% of Iranian crude exports flow through one island, but seizing it could bleed the U.S. military for months while China quietly builds the infrastructure to make sanctions irrelevant. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim explained how Iran is positioned to flip the script. "China is partnering with Iran long term to get their oil on the cheap and building infrastructure to get oil on the cheap that will circumvent sanctions and will circumvent blockades." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 99% of Iranian crude exports flow through one island, but seizing it could bleed the U.S. military for months while China quietly builds the infrastructure to make sanctions irrelevant. Ex-IDF Shaiel Ben-Ephraim explained how Iran is positioned to flip the script. "China is partnering with Iran long term to get their oil on the cheap and building infrastructure to get oil on the cheap that will circumvent sanctions and will circumvent blockades." Shaiel Ben-Ephraim

Mario Nawfal

63,655 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's economic war against Iran has officially begun. He's launched what Treasury Sec. Bessent describes as an unprecedented campaign to sever every financial lifeline keeping Tehran alive. Washington says it will go after the banks, oil traders, shipping companies, crypto networks and foreign entities helping Iran circumvent American pressure. But one question exposes just how enormous this could become: What about China? Iran can only be economically isolated if the countries still doing business with it cooperate. If they don't, America's secondary sanctions eventually have to reach them too. Enforce Operation Economic Outcast too selectively, and Iran keeps finding routes around it. Enforce it ruthlessly enough to genuinely isolate Tehran and Washington risks a much larger confrontation with the countries, banks and businesses refusing to comply. For all the extraordinary rhetoric, though, this also represents a significant movement down the escalation ladder. Weeks ago, Trump was threatening Iran with annihilation, and people were discussing ground troops and even nuclear escalation. Now Washington's principal weapon is the Treasury; the war has moved from bombs to banks. That's unquestionably preferable to Americans and Iranians killing each other, but it also suggests Washington is searching for another way to extract concessions it couldn't force militarily. Iran's negotiating position remains extremely ambitious: control over Hormuz, substantial shipping fees, reparations and the removal of American bases from the region. The precise details remain uncertain, but Washington clearly isn't prepared to accept the position as it currently understands it. So Trump needs leverage, and Operation Economic Outcast is designed to create it. The problem is that sanctions take time. Banks and companies adapt, trade gets rerouted, and new payment mechanisms emerge. Meanwhile, Washington wants Hormuz normalised, and energy markets stabilised quickly. And Iran is already signalling that it won't simply absorb unlimited pressure without responding. That creates the risk of a new escalation cycle: America squeezes Iran, they refuse to concede, Washington targets the countries keeping Tehran afloat, and Iran increases the cost for countries helping Washington. The bombs may have stopped falling, but Trump has replaced the military war with an economic gamble that could reach far beyond Iran. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's economic war against Iran has officially begun. He's launched what Treasury Sec. Bessent describes as an unprecedented campaign to sever every financial lifeline keeping Tehran alive. Washington says it will go after the banks, oil traders, shipping companies, crypto networks and foreign entities helping Iran circumvent American pressure. But one question exposes just how enormous this could become: What about China? Iran can only be economically isolated if the countries still doing business with it cooperate. If they don't, America's secondary sanctions eventually have to reach them too. Enforce Operation Economic Outcast too selectively, and Iran keeps finding routes around it. Enforce it ruthlessly enough to genuinely isolate Tehran and Washington risks a much larger confrontation with the countries, banks and businesses refusing to comply. For all the extraordinary rhetoric, though, this also represents a significant movement down the escalation ladder. Weeks ago, Trump was threatening Iran with annihilation, and people were discussing ground troops and even nuclear escalation. Now Washington's principal weapon is the Treasury; the war has moved from bombs to banks. That's unquestionably preferable to Americans and Iranians killing each other, but it also suggests Washington is searching for another way to extract concessions it couldn't force militarily. Iran's negotiating position remains extremely ambitious: control over Hormuz, substantial shipping fees, reparations and the removal of American bases from the region. The precise details remain uncertain, but Washington clearly isn't prepared to accept the position as it currently understands it. So Trump needs leverage, and Operation Economic Outcast is designed to create it. The problem is that sanctions take time. Banks and companies adapt, trade gets rerouted, and new payment mechanisms emerge. Meanwhile, Washington wants Hormuz normalised, and energy markets stabilised quickly. And Iran is already signalling that it won't simply absorb unlimited pressure without responding. That creates the risk of a new escalation cycle: America squeezes Iran, they refuse to concede, Washington targets the countries keeping Tehran afloat, and Iran increases the cost for countries helping Washington. The bombs may have stopped falling, but Trump has replaced the military war with an economic gamble that could reach far beyond Iran. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

260,949 Aufrufe • vor 18 Stunden

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran sanctions could become Trump's political trap Washington’s threat to sanction China over Iran is less a serious strategy than political theater, especially with the U.S. economy already under pressure. The bigger danger is timing. If the Iran war drags on while inflation and household finances remain weak, the administration could face the same question that helped define Reagan’s 1980 campaign: Are Americans actually better off than they were before? If the answer is no, escalating an economic war with China is a remarkably expensive way to discover the electorate has noticed. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran sanctions could become Trump's political trap Washington’s threat to sanction China over Iran is less a serious strategy than political theater, especially with the U.S. economy already under pressure. The bigger danger is timing. If the Iran war drags on while inflation and household finances remain weak, the administration could face the same question that helped define Reagan’s 1980 campaign: Are Americans actually better off than they were before? If the answer is no, escalating an economic war with China is a remarkably expensive way to discover the electorate has noticed. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

38,962 Aufrufe • vor 17 Stunden

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Washington may call it economic pressure. Tehran may call it war. Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson says Iran could respond to a U.S. economic campaign the same way it would respond to a military attack, particularly if countries help enforce it. The logic is pretty straightforward: if allowing your airbases to be used against Iran makes you a target, why should allowing your banks and financial system to be used against Iran be any different? Johnson's answer is that it shouldn't. And that puts the UAE in an uncomfortable position. But Gulf states have already realised Washington is not the security guarantee it once appeared to be and are quietly repairing relations with Tehran. The fact that the UAE has avoided another round of strikes is hardly irrelevant. Then there is the bigger problem with the sanctions strategy. China is refusing to play along. Pakistan is hardly going to abandon Iranian energy to keep Washington happy. Iranian oil is increasingly being settled in yuan, outside the U.S. financial system. The irony is becoming difficult to miss. The harder Washington squeezes Iran, the more Tehran's biggest partners have an incentive to build ways around Washington. 10 years ago, Russia and China helped enforce the sanctions regime. Today, they are helping Iran survive it. Meanwhile the rial has collapsed, Iran is restricting shipping through the Strait, and Tehran has reportedly been discussed for a regional defence pact involving Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. Washington is promising the most devastating sanctions yet. Johnson's response? "I'll hold my breath." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Washington may call it economic pressure. Tehran may call it war. Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson says Iran could respond to a U.S. economic campaign the same way it would respond to a military attack, particularly if countries help enforce it. The logic is pretty straightforward: if allowing your airbases to be used against Iran makes you a target, why should allowing your banks and financial system to be used against Iran be any different? Johnson's answer is that it shouldn't. And that puts the UAE in an uncomfortable position. But Gulf states have already realised Washington is not the security guarantee it once appeared to be and are quietly repairing relations with Tehran. The fact that the UAE has avoided another round of strikes is hardly irrelevant. Then there is the bigger problem with the sanctions strategy. China is refusing to play along. Pakistan is hardly going to abandon Iranian energy to keep Washington happy. Iranian oil is increasingly being settled in yuan, outside the U.S. financial system. The irony is becoming difficult to miss. The harder Washington squeezes Iran, the more Tehran's biggest partners have an incentive to build ways around Washington. 10 years ago, Russia and China helped enforce the sanctions regime. Today, they are helping Iran survive it. Meanwhile the rial has collapsed, Iran is restricting shipping through the Strait, and Tehran has reportedly been discussed for a regional defence pact involving Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. Washington is promising the most devastating sanctions yet. Johnson's response? "I'll hold my breath." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

300,226 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is signaling that any U.S. economic blockade would trigger a military response rather than force Tehran to back down. Middle East analyst Joshua Landis says recent Iranian strikes were designed to warn Washington that pressure on the Strait of Hormuz would not remain an economic contest. Instead, he argues, Tehran would expand the battlefield by targeting U.S. assets and regional infrastructure, turning sanctions into a wider kinetic conflict. His assessment is that Tehran is trying to convince Washington that economic warfare cannot remain separate from military escalation. Joshua Landis

Mario Nawfal

86,521 Aufrufe • vor 25 Tagen

🇮🇷 🎧 Before the latest protests, I spoke with Reza Pahlavi about the enormous economic potential of a free Iran — and a real U.S.–Iran economic partnership once the regime is gone. President Donald J. Trump can MIGA. FDD is committed to help lift all sanctions on a free Iran to unlock that future. 📺: 🎧: 🎧:

🇮🇷 🎧 Before the latest protests, I spoke with Reza Pahlavi about the enormous economic potential of a free Iran — and a real U.S.–Iran economic partnership once the regime is gone. President Donald J. Trump can MIGA. FDD is committed to help lift all sanctions on a free Iran to unlock that future. 📺: 🎧: 🎧:

Mark Dubowitz

35,149 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳 Washington's pressure campaign is moving toward Iran's trade corridors with China and Pakistan. Ports. Railways. Energy routes. The infrastructure tying Iran into the wider Eurasian economy. “The Americans will try to interfere with all that. There’s no question.” If those links become targets, this stops being just a war over Iran. It becomes a fight over whether Washington can sever Iran from the China-led economic system. Pepe Escobar

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳 Washington's pressure campaign is moving toward Iran's trade corridors with China and Pakistan. Ports. Railways. Energy routes. The infrastructure tying Iran into the wider Eurasian economy. “The Americans will try to interfere with all that. There’s no question.” If those links become targets, this stops being just a war over Iran. It becomes a fight over whether Washington can sever Iran from the China-led economic system. Pepe Escobar

Mario Nawfal

50,527 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪 "THE U.S. ALSO WANTS TO ELIMINATE THE INFLUENCE OF RUSSIA, CHINA, AND IRAN IN VENEZUELA" Former CIA Intel Analyst Larry Johnson says it’s not just about oil deals or Maduro cutting a bargain with Washington. He argues the bigger U.S. goal is to push Russia, China, and Iran out of Venezuela’s orbit, and to stop Caracas from drifting into BRICS and away from a U.S.-dollar-led system. In his view, if Venezuela moves into a different economic lane, the U.S. loses one of its main power tools: sanctions and financial pressure. "The U.S. also wants to eliminate the presence, the influence of Russia, China, and Iran. They have had good relations, cordial relations with Maduro. Maduro has been making sounds of wanting to join BRICS, and I think the U.S. definitely wants to curtail that. Because that’ll just be another important country in this hemisphere that is moving away from the U.S. dollar-controlled economy into something that the U.S. can no longer use economic sanctions and coercion to try to enforce certain behaviors on countries." Larry Johnson

🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪 "THE U.S. ALSO WANTS TO ELIMINATE THE INFLUENCE OF RUSSIA, CHINA, AND IRAN IN VENEZUELA" Former CIA Intel Analyst Larry Johnson says it’s not just about oil deals or Maduro cutting a bargain with Washington. He argues the bigger U.S. goal is to push Russia, China, and Iran out of Venezuela’s orbit, and to stop Caracas from drifting into BRICS and away from a U.S.-dollar-led system. In his view, if Venezuela moves into a different economic lane, the U.S. loses one of its main power tools: sanctions and financial pressure. "The U.S. also wants to eliminate the presence, the influence of Russia, China, and Iran. They have had good relations, cordial relations with Maduro. Maduro has been making sounds of wanting to join BRICS, and I think the U.S. definitely wants to curtail that. Because that’ll just be another important country in this hemisphere that is moving away from the U.S. dollar-controlled economy into something that the U.S. can no longer use economic sanctions and coercion to try to enforce certain behaviors on countries." Larry Johnson

Mario Nawfal

27,045 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🇺🇸🇨🇳US-China tensions are boiling over Taiwan - and the next spark could ignite fast: A US P-8A Poseidon just flew the Taiwan Strait in what Washington and Taipei call international airspace. China tracked it, condemned it as provocative, and insists the strait is its territory. Expect sharp escalation in the months ahead - likely starting with tightening economic sanctions that spill into military pressure. Beijing sees America stretched thin by Middle East fights with Iran and doubts the US has the resources or resolve to defend Taiwan.

🇺🇸🇨🇳US-China tensions are boiling over Taiwan - and the next spark could ignite fast: A US P-8A Poseidon just flew the Taiwan Strait in what Washington and Taipei call international airspace. China tracked it, condemned it as provocative, and insists the strait is its territory. Expect sharp escalation in the months ahead - likely starting with tightening economic sanctions that spill into military pressure. Beijing sees America stretched thin by Middle East fights with Iran and doubts the US has the resources or resolve to defend Taiwan.

Global Strategy

25,681 Aufrufe • vor 2 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Pepe Escobar: Washington is trying to use the Venezuela playbook on Iran, and he thinks it badly misunderstands who it is dealing with. Escobar says the Trump administration recently revived a back channel to the IRGC through Iraqi Kurdistan’s leader Nechirvan Barzani. The channel was originally set up for diplomacy. According to Escobar, it was later used to offer billions of dollars to senior IRGC figures in exchange for helping weaken Iran’s leadership from within. The offer was rejected. Escobar says Ahmad Vahidi passed it up and the information moved up Iran’s chain of command. His point is that Washington was essentially trying to buy a military coup. The problem: senior IRGC figures spent decades fighting the Iran-Iraq War and see themselves as defenders of Iran against foreign intervention. Taking American money to undermine the state would mean treason, not a payday. Escobar sees the same misunderstanding in Washington’s wider strategy. Iran’s message that the U.S. should leave the region and accept a “new regional order” is, in his view, a statement that the old balance of power is changing. Iran sits at the center of a growing network linking Russia, China, Central Asia and Pakistan. The North-South Transport Corridor, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and expanding Iran-China trade routes are creating alternatives to U.S.-controlled trade and finance. That is why Escobar expects the sanctions campaign to hit more than Iran. Secondary sanctions put China, Russia and other countries trading with Tehran in the same fight. China, he argues, has little reason to comply. Its 2021 anti-foreign-sanctions law explicitly targets the extraterritorial use of foreign sanctions. So Escobar’s bigger point is simple: Washington is trying to isolate Iran, but the pressure may be pushing Iran, China, Russia and the wider Global South into closer cooperation. The fight over Iran is increasingly a fight over who gets to shape the system around it. Pepe Escobar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Pepe Escobar: Washington is trying to use the Venezuela playbook on Iran, and he thinks it badly misunderstands who it is dealing with. Escobar says the Trump administration recently revived a back channel to the IRGC through Iraqi Kurdistan’s leader Nechirvan Barzani. The channel was originally set up for diplomacy. According to Escobar, it was later used to offer billions of dollars to senior IRGC figures in exchange for helping weaken Iran’s leadership from within. The offer was rejected. Escobar says Ahmad Vahidi passed it up and the information moved up Iran’s chain of command. His point is that Washington was essentially trying to buy a military coup. The problem: senior IRGC figures spent decades fighting the Iran-Iraq War and see themselves as defenders of Iran against foreign intervention. Taking American money to undermine the state would mean treason, not a payday. Escobar sees the same misunderstanding in Washington’s wider strategy. Iran’s message that the U.S. should leave the region and accept a “new regional order” is, in his view, a statement that the old balance of power is changing. Iran sits at the center of a growing network linking Russia, China, Central Asia and Pakistan. The North-South Transport Corridor, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and expanding Iran-China trade routes are creating alternatives to U.S.-controlled trade and finance. That is why Escobar expects the sanctions campaign to hit more than Iran. Secondary sanctions put China, Russia and other countries trading with Tehran in the same fight. China, he argues, has little reason to comply. Its 2021 anti-foreign-sanctions law explicitly targets the extraterritorial use of foreign sanctions. So Escobar’s bigger point is simple: Washington is trying to isolate Iran, but the pressure may be pushing Iran, China, Russia and the wider Global South into closer cooperation. The fight over Iran is increasingly a fight over who gets to shape the system around it. Pepe Escobar

Mario Nawfal

292,410 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

Is America really paying $300 billion to rebuild Iran, or is Iran simply regaining access to assets that were frozen under decades of sanctions? If the stated goal has always been to “liberate” the Iranian people, shouldn’t lifting sanctions be the first step? After a costly war, widespread destruction, and months of economic uncertainty, is this peace framework the best outcome Washington could have reached to avoid a global economic crisis? Trita Parsi joins me to break down the deal, the sanctions debate, and what it means for the future of Iran, the United States, and the region.

Is America really paying $300 billion to rebuild Iran, or is Iran simply regaining access to assets that were frozen under decades of sanctions? If the stated goal has always been to “liberate” the Iranian people, shouldn’t lifting sanctions be the first step? After a costly war, widespread destruction, and months of economic uncertainty, is this peace framework the best outcome Washington could have reached to avoid a global economic crisis? Trita Parsi joins me to break down the deal, the sanctions debate, and what it means for the future of Iran, the United States, and the region.

Ben Swann

13,134 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

"Many issues are better discussed in a private conversation..." For example, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin responded to a question from a CNBC reporter: "Does the economic campaign against Iran include China, which is Iran's main economic partner?" Following this, Mnuchin rather confidently and vaguely announced the "harsh" sanctions against Iran that had been promised by Trump: We are going to impose the toughest sanctions in history, and I can tell you, it will work. It has already worked in Venezuela, when we imposed a blockade. It is working now in Cuba, and it will work in Iran, and we will overthrow this regime.

"Many issues are better discussed in a private conversation..." For example, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin responded to a question from a CNBC reporter: "Does the economic campaign against Iran include China, which is Iran's main economic partner?" Following this, Mnuchin rather confidently and vaguely announced the "harsh" sanctions against Iran that had been promised by Trump: We are going to impose the toughest sanctions in history, and I can tell you, it will work. It has already worked in Venezuela, when we imposed a blockade. It is working now in Cuba, and it will work in Iran, and we will overthrow this regime.

𝕊𝕡𝕣𝕚𝕟𝕥𝕖𝕣 𝕻𝕣𝕖𝕤𝕤

17,488 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest concern isn't whether Iran will eventually concede, but what Washington is risking to force that concession. The U.S. is once again weaponizing the dollar while Treasury markets are already under pressure and foreign central banks are increasingly turning toward gold. That is the paradox. Even if economic warfare forces Tehran to give Washington something in the short term, the long-term cost could be a financial system that gives America's rivals even more reason to build alternatives to it. A tactical win in Iran could become a strategic loss for U.S. financial power. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest concern isn't whether Iran will eventually concede, but what Washington is risking to force that concession. The U.S. is once again weaponizing the dollar while Treasury markets are already under pressure and foreign central banks are increasingly turning toward gold. That is the paradox. Even if economic warfare forces Tehran to give Washington something in the short term, the long-term cost could be a financial system that gives America's rivals even more reason to build alternatives to it. A tactical win in Iran could become a strategic loss for U.S. financial power. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

38,076 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

2026.5.4 The CCP’s blocking order against U.S. sanctions on Chinese petrochemical firms is open defiance. Beijing is signaling it can help Iran evade sanctions through oil networks, shadow banking, renminbi payments, and refineries. To America’s enemies, the message is clear: align with Beijing, and U.S. pressure can be broken. But Iran is only leverage. Xi Jinping can trade it for bigger prizes: Taiwan, U.S. technology, and AI access. The CCP knows America cannot be defeated from outside; it must be weakened from within—with the CCP inside the gate.

2026.5.4 The CCP’s blocking order against U.S. sanctions on Chinese petrochemical firms is open defiance. Beijing is signaling it can help Iran evade sanctions through oil networks, shadow banking, renminbi payments, and refineries. To America’s enemies, the message is clear: align with Beijing, and U.S. pressure can be broken. But Iran is only leverage. Xi Jinping can trade it for bigger prizes: Taiwan, U.S. technology, and AI access. The CCP knows America cannot be defeated from outside; it must be weakened from within—with the CCP inside the gate.

NFSC Speaks

1,415,448 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten