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ED STEER: "Throw Technical Analysis Out the Window" - Why This Silver Rally is Different. 📈 Silver's price acceleration is entering parabolic territory. Here’s how fast each $10 move has happened: ➡️ $20 to $30: 145 days ➡️ $30 to $40: 145 days ➡️ $40 to $50: 39 days...

90,730 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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UPDATE: "WE ARE LIVING THROUGH HISTORY RIGHT NOW" - ED STEER ON THE SILVER CRISIS. 🚨 Precious metals expert Ed Steer just gave one of the most urgent interviews of the year. His message is clear: the 50-year price management scheme is ending. ✅ "The parabolic run was just the tip of the iceberg. The party is just getting started." The Driver: A Historic Short Squeeze. ➡️U.S. bullion banks have covered 29,000 COMEX short contracts since April. ➡️For the first time in history, they are now NET LONG silver. ➡️But they still hold a massive gross short position of 18,000 contracts. They are in a "lose-lose situation." 💥 "This is the beginning of Ted Butler's 'Bonfire of the Silver Shorts'... The shorts are in dire straits." The Unstoppable Physical Reality. ➡️We are entering the 6th consecutive year of a structural supply deficit. ➡️China's new export controls (effective Jan 1) require a license to ship silver out. They control ~60% of global refined supply. ➡️The Shanghai physical premium is 13.8% above COMEX. "They just can't refine it fast enough." Why This Isn't 1980 or 2011. ➡️ "This time it is totally different. This is a structural supply-demand deficit... It will be with us for 5, 10, 15 years." ➡️ "The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered." On Price & Strategy: ➡️"A three-digit silver price... is going to put a lot of trading houses in insolvency immediately." ➡️$500/oz is "not unreasonable" and could become the new floor. ➡️"I have physical silver in a vault. I ain't going to be selling an ounce of it... It is pure wealth." ‼️"The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered."‼️ Silver Miners: The "Bargain of the Century." ➡️They have horribly underperformed the metal (up only 1.14x vs. silver's 158% gain). ➡️"I have the impression... that there's somebody out there definitely suppressing the price..." The Bottom Line: The desperate short covering and the unbreakable physical deficit are colliding. The paper market's control is over. True price discovery is ahead. HT: YouTube - Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #ShortSqueeze #COMEX #Markets #Investing #Bullion #Commodities #Finance

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148,732 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

P. Baker: "At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: Physical is king.” Phil Baker, former CEO of Hecla Mining (USA's largest silver producer for 20 years), reveals a seismic shift. The driver of the silver price is no longer Western speculators. ✅ India's demand in October was 60M ounces, up from 15M ounces the prior year—a four-fold increase. ✅ “That is the driver... the underlying price of silver above $45-50 is really coming out of India.” INDUSTRIAL USERS ARE PANICKING Companies are abandoning "just-in-time" supply models and hoarding physical metal. ➡️ US industrial buyers are now securing 6-9 months of inventory ahead of potential tariffs. ➡️ “My advice to them for the past 18 months: don't be short silver. They're finally putting the silver in place.” THE SYSTEM IS SHOWING ITS LIMITS ➡️Recent events prove the physical market now dictates the price. ➡️During the 10-hour CME outage, premiums in Shanghai and India “widened almost instantly.” ➡️“The physical market is driving the financial market in a way it hasn't in my career.” ➡️At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: “Physical is king.” THE SUPPLY CLIFF IS A MATHEMATICAL CERTAINTY ➡️The deficit isn't cyclical; it's structural for the next decade. ➡️Mine supply peaked in 2016 at ~900M ounces and “we will not reach that level again this decade. Realistically, not until 2035.” ➡️Annual deficits are 100-200M ounces. This shortfall can only be filled by metal from investors, as central banks hold negligible silver. ➡️“It requires a much higher price and a lot of [investors] to be mobilised.... We've had low prices for a long time. As a result, you've not had the exploration.” HT: Kitco NEWS Jeremy Szafron #Silver #SilverSqueeze #India #Commodities #Markets #Investing #PMs #SupplyChain

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104,322 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

ED STEER "BONFIRE OF THE SHORTS" IGNITES, BUT MINING SHARS ARE HELD HOSTAGE 🎙️ Veteran analyst Ed Steer breaks down the shocking divergence between soaring silver and stagnant mining stocks. THE GLARING DISCONNECT ✅ Silver is at $93, up ~30% YTD and posting 5-7% daily gains. ❌ The SIL silver miners ETF is up only ~14% YTD. 📉 Hecla, Pan American, & First Majestic are flat or down on huge silver up days. ➡️ "The shares right now... we'd be looking at at least a double in every silver stock." THE ACTIVE SUPPRESSION THESIS ✅ Steer's verdict: Shares are being "actively managed" and suppressed. 🤔 Purpose? To prevent mainstream attention and capital flows. 🔍 Evidence: Physical ETFs (SLV/PSLV) track the metal's price perfectly; miners do not. 💎 "They're trying to keep people... in Amazon and all these other stocks." THE "BONFIRE OF THE SHORTS" IS HERE ➡️ This parabolic move is the "bonfire of the silver shorts" predicted by analyst Ted Butler. 🔥 With silver up $8 in two days, relentless margin calls are forcing short covering. 📈 "We're in a short squeeze they'll be talking about... hundreds of years from now." THE GEOPOLITICAL & MARKET SHIFT ✅ Price discovery is now driven by Shanghai (premium >$100), not just COMEX. 🛡️ Silver is remonetizing as the 50-year fiat experiment unwinds. ⚖️ "We are living through history... the precious metals are going to be money again." THE BOTTOM LINE FOR INVESTORS The extreme undervaluation of silver equities represents a monumental opportunity. The fundamentals demand prices at least 90-100% higher. When the suppression breaks, the catch-up rally could be explosive. HT: CapitalCosm YouTube CapitalCosm #Silver #Gold #MiningStocks #Investing #PreciousMetals #Markets #Finance #EdSteer #ShortSqueeze #Commodities

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25,417 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Gold and Silver Trader Andrew Maguire 💥THE END OF WESTERN GOLD AND SILVER A MARKET IN FRACTURE ✅ The LBMA and COMEX are losing control as liquidity flees to BRICS-centric exchanges. ✅ This creates a historic divergence between "synthetic" paper prices and the real cost of physical metal. “We’ve reached the absolute inflection point where Western CME/LBMA liquidity has permanently fractured… All the institutional guys I know have gone to BRICS-facing exchanges. That leaves only a few speculators and momentum traders — and that’s all the cartel has left to play with.” THE PHYSICAL REALITY CHECK The data reveals a stunning physical shortage, hidden in plain sight. ➡️ Unprecedented "backwardations" show futures contracts trading at a massive discount to physical spot price. ➡️ This signals a critical mismatch: the paper market is deeply mispriced. ➡️ "There is insufficient physical to meet this enormous demand." THE PRICE TARGETS Given the supply/demand shock, the required price adjustments are staggering. 💰 For Gold: "It will require $8,000 gold" to bring sufficient supply to market. 💰 For Silver: The consensus is "$80 silver" in the short term, with $140-$200 longer-term. THE CATALYST IS HERE The system is primed for a major move, with two key triggers: ➡️ 1. The massive, naked short position in ETFs like GLD and SLV must be bought back, forcing prices higher. ➡️ 2. Western institutional investors are moving from 0% to a 4% allocation in gold, competing with inelastic central bank demand. THE BOTTOM LINE A pivotal wealth protection window is rapidly closing. The analysis concludes there is not enough above-ground bullion to meet soaring demand at current prices. The time to swap debasing fiat for physical, zero-counterparty risk gold and silver is now. HT: Kinesis Money Andrew Maguire Eric Yeung 👍🚀🌕 #Gold #Silver #WealthProtection #BRICS #Dollar #Inflation #COMEX #Investing

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78,584 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

THE BANKS' LAST STAND IN SILVER IS FAILING For years, institutional short positions have been the primary weapon to suppress the silver price. That mechanism is now breaking. 🏦They Are Deeply Short & Underwater Major banks are reportedly "knee-deep" in silver shorts. Every sustained move above ~$50/oz causes massive losses on these positions. The recent explosive move to ~$59/oz has likely triggered significant pain. 🔄 The Power Shift is Real Manipulation requires control of the physical inventory. That control has been lost: ➡️ China is seeing the largest weekly inflows to the Shanghai Exchange in 1.5 years. ➡️ India is importing record amounts (~1,600T in November). The East is draining available physical supply, leaving Western paper markets exposed. 📊The Official Outlook Admits the Problem Even major banks like UBS are now vocal about the 300 million ounce physical deficit. They are turning bullish, recommending long positions. This is a seismic shift from their historical role. ⛏️ The Mining Stock Disconnect Silver miners have not kept pace with the metal's rise. This divergence represents a major opportunity. When institutional capital realizes the record profits these companies will generate, the re-rating will be explosive. 📈 The Bottom Line: This is the squeeze we've been waiting for. The physical shortage is real, the paper market is failing, and the banking system is exposed. The run has just begun—and the miners are next. #Silver #SilverSqueeze #MarketManipulation #Banks #CME #Commodities #Trading $SLV

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84,710 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

UPDATE: M. OLIVER - The Asset Class Shift Has Officially Begun. 🚀 "We’ll probably see $200 silver by the second quarter. Now, I could be wrong. We might vastly overshoot and see something even higher than that." – "Be in #Silver and #Miners now !" Michael Oliver, Momentum Structural Analysis. 📈 This is the breakout from a HALF-CENTURY trading range. For 50 years, silver has been contained. That containment is now failing. Why This Time is Structurally Different: ✅ Gold has broken out vs. the S&P 500 on a spread basis—signaling a major asset class rotation. ✅ Silver has broken out vs. gold—meaning it's set to outperform dramatically. ✅ The miners ( $XAU, $GDX) are breaking multi-decade spreads vs. gold, poised to double relative value. The Historical Precedent is Stunning: ➡️When copper broke out of a 30-year range in 2005-2006, it quadrupled in two quarters. ➡️When lead did the same in 2007, it also quadrupled in a few quarters. ➡️Silver is now breaking out of a 50-year range. The potential velocity is immense. This is the START, not the end. 🔄The breakout signals the beginning of a multi-year trend, not a short-term spike. Capital is just starting to rotate from inflated equities (S&P, Nasdaq) into the monetary metals complex. ⏰ "Is it too late to invest?" The clear technical answer is NO. Entry points are always higher in a genuine breakout. This is the last major entry before the move accelerates. The Bottom Line: The charts are screaming that a historic, compressed repricing of silver and mining equities is imminent. This is a structural shift, not a speculative spike. Being early feels late, but being late will be costly. HT: Palisades Gold Radio Momentum Structural Analysis #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Investing #Stocks #Trading #Miners #Breakout #Commodities 🔄

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156,518 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🔥 SILVER'S PERFECT STORM: HISTORY & GEOLOGY POINT TO $1,000+ ✅ #SILVER at $80? just the first act. This rally is impressive, but historical and geological reality suggest we're still early. THE KEY IS THE GOLD/SILVER RATIO. ➡️It tells you how many ounces of silver buy one ounce of gold. This ratio is now breaking down from extreme highs. ✅ historical blueprint: 2008-2011. The ratio crashed from 83.6 to below 32. Silver massively outperformed gold. ➡️We see the same pattern today, starting from an even higher peak of 126. THE NEAR-TERM TARGET: $180+ SILVER ➡️If the ratio repeats its historical collapse to 25 and gold just stays at $4,500 (highly unlikely, as gold has just broken out to new highs again): $4,500 / 25 = $180 SILVER. LEVERAGED SCENARIO: $400 SILVER ➡️If gold marches to $10,000 with the same ratio: $10,000 / 25 = $400 SILVER. THE ULTIMATE CATALYST: GEOLOGY MEETS SCARCITY ➡️But here's the reality check: Silver is only 8 times more abundant than gold in the Earth's crust. The current ~1:60 ratio isn't just extreme—it's physically unsustainable. WHY THE RATIO COULD COLLAPSE TO 1:8 🔻 Supply is Inelastic & Shrinking: ➡️ 70%+ of silver is a by-product of base metal mining. Supply can't quickly ramp up. ➡️ Mine supply is stagnant. Inventories are draining. 🔻 Demand is Exploding & Price-Insensitive: ➡️ Industrial users (solar, EVs, electronics) must secure physical metal, regardless of price. ➡️ Investment demand is surging as monetary debasement accelerates. ➡️ We face consecutive annual structural deficits. In a full monetary reset with gold at $10,000: $10,000 / 8 = $1,250 SILVER. This is the mathematical endpoint of physical scarcity colliding with geological truth. The Bottom Line: The historical pattern suggests $180+ silver. But the physical supply-demand disaster, governed by the Earth's own 1:8 ratio, points to a final target 3-7 times higher. The market is pricing paper abundance. Reality is delivering physical scarcity. #Silver #Gold #Ratio #Geology #Scarcity #SupplyDemand #PreciousMetals #Investing #Commodities #MonetaryReset

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111,578 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

SWISS EXPERT JOCHEN STAIGER: THE BIGGEST SILVER BETRAYAL EVER – AND WHY $184+ IS STILL COMING In a raw, no-holds-barred interview after the historic crash, Silver Expert Jochen Staiger calls out the January 30, 2026 silver plunge as outright fraud. From manipulation claims to the shift to Asia, here's the unfiltered truth shaking the precious metals world. THE CRASH OF JANUARY 30: BIGGEST SINCE 1980 ➡️ Silver plunged over 30% in one brutal day – from peaks above $120 down to the $70s. ➡️ Jochen calls it "the biggest $100 billion fraud of all time" – no limits down, regulators silent. ➡️ It started right after London fixing at 15:12 CET, then $26 drop in 180 minutes. "Total madness, I've never seen anything like it." THE MANIPULATION FINGER POINTS TO JP MORGAN & COMEX ➡️ JP Morgan closed massive shorts exactly at the bottom – after past $900M+ fines for silver spoofing. ➡️ COMEX ignored circuit breakers on a thin Friday trade. "High criminal" in Jochen's eyes. "Crimex" – that's what he now calls it. Paper traded 1.83 billion ounces that day – zero physical moved. THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE: ASIA TAKES CONTROL ✅ Shanghai premiums exploded to 40%+ while COMEX crashed. ➡️ China cracked down hard on naked shorts (banned traders, 180 cases ongoing). "They did what regulators are paid for." 📍 "Asia will set the price for sure" – LBMA and COMEX fading fast. THE PHYSICAL REALITY: EMPTY VAULTS AHEAD? ➡️ COMEX registered silver dropping fast – down to low levels, potential March delivery squeeze. ➡️ China warrant gold surged from 5 to 105 tons – prepping for massive deliveries. ➡️ "If it goes under 50M oz, force majeure – then the exchange is done." JOCHEN'S BOLD TARGETS FOR 2026 & BEYOND ➡️ Silver: $184 by Christmas, possibly $200–300 on default. ➡️ Longer term (12–15 months): $208+. ➡️ Gold: $6,000–6,200 this year, up to $10,150 eventually. ANLEGERTIP FROM THE PRO: STAY STRONG & BUY DIPS ✅ Physical silver never spoils – "The ounce stays an ounce." ➡️ Buy more on pullbacks, average down. "If convinced, add when cheaper – no pain." ➡️Volatility stays high (Year of the Fire Horse), but this is wealth protection, not speculation. THE BOTTOM LINE Jochen sees the crash as desperate suppression failing against exploding physical demand and Asia's rise – the real silver revolution is just starting, and patient holders win big. #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Manipulation #SilverSqueeze #Investing #WealthProtection

Mark

71,459 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🔥 UPDATE: M. OLIVER - SILVER MINERS: THE SLEEPING GIANT READY TO EXPLODE 🔥 While gold miners have already surpassed their 2011 highs, silver miners HAVE NOT. This divergence is your map to the next parabolic move. THE TECHNICAL SETUP ✅ Gold Miners (GDX): Already trading WELL above 2011 peaks. ✅ Silver Miners (SIL): Still languishing BELOW their 2011 high ($94). ➡️ Recent price action tested the ~$90 level—the same resistance that capped the 2011 bull market. ⚠️ Key Insight: One more solid break above $90 could trigger a massive technical breakout, unleashing pent-up momentum. WHY SILVER MINERS ARE PRIMED FOR BERSERK GAINS ➡️ Operating Leverage: A move in silver price translates into exponentially higher cash flow for miners. ➡️ Catch-Up Trade: They have vastly underperformed gold miners. Mean reversion is overdue. ➡️ Volatility & Beta: Silver's inherent volatility is amplified in the mining equity space—especially in junior miners. ✅ The Play: Emphasize silver miners and direct exposure to high-potential silver juniors. "Be on the right side of major market moves. It not only builds wealth—it brings peace of mind and freedom. In markets and in life, timing the trend is more important than timing the tick." Current personal portfolio for this commodity supercycle: (No investment advice - DYODD) Silver: $HL $EXK $AG $SCZ $AGMR $SSV $GSVR $ABRA $AAG $MGG $KTN $EQTY Gold: $TUD $GWM $PEX (Copper) Platinum/Gold/Lithium: $SBSW Nickel/Copper/Cobalt/PGE/Rhodium: $PGE.V Lithium: $BRW Uranium/REE: $UUUU Graphene: $HGRAF HT: Momentum Structural Analysis YouTube: Living Your Greatness #Silver #SilverMiners #MiningStocks #Trading #Investing #Commodities #Breakout #JuniorMiners #GDX #SIL

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108,960 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

UPDATE - M. OLIVER: WHY GOLD & SILVER MINERS ARE “FREE” RIGHT NOW One of the sharpest voices in precious metals just explained why he's quietly reducing leveraged positions and piling into gold and silver mining stocks. His reason? They are absurdly cheap compared to the metals they produce—and the charts are screaming breakout. THE HISTORIC VALUATION GAP ✅ Gold & silver miners (XAU index) are trading at only 4–8% of the price of an ounce of gold. ➡️ Compare that to historical averages: 25% of gold price during the 1980s, 1990s, and 2000–2008 bull runs. 🔥 Right now, miners are “dirt cheap” relative to the metal in the ground. THE TECHNICAL SETUP IS PRIMED ✅ The XAU/gold ratio has been trapped in an 11-year ultra-low base. 📈 We're now challenging and rallying above that long-term resistance near 8%. 🚀 A decisive breakout from this level has historically triggered massive investor flows into miners. SILVER MINERS LOOK EVEN MORE EXPLOSIVE ✅ When you zoom in on silver miners versus gold miners, the relative strength setup is even more compelling. ➡️ The leverage to silver prices is massive—if silver keeps running, silver-focused producers stand to outperform dramatically. THE PORTFOLIO SHIFT UNDERWAY ✅ “I've already been lightening my position and moving more into junior miners.” ➡️ Preference is shifting toward unleveraged miners for the rest of this year and likely into next. 💥 “That's where the real bang for the buck comes.” THE BOTTOM LINE Gold and silver miners aren't just undervalued—they're at some of the cheapest levels in decades versus the metals they mine, with technicals flashing a potential explosive breakout that could attract a flood of capital. Time to stop calling them “cheap” and start calling them opportunity. HT: YouTube Jimmy Connor Momentum Structural Analysis Current portfolio (DYODD)👇 #Gold #Silver #MiningStocks #PreciousMetals #XAU #JuniorMiners #BullMarket

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250,796 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

DAVID JENSEN: SILVER NEEDS A MASSIVE RESET – VAULTS ARE EMPTYING FAST! In a powerful new interview on Commodity Culture, precious metals analyst David Jensen breaks down the explosive silver market. From the brutal January 30 crash to accelerating global shortages, the message is clear: physical demand is overwhelming paper markets, and prices must rise dramatically to restore balance. THE JANUARY 30 CRASH: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED ✅ Silver plunged 26% in one day on COMEX after international markets closed. ➡️ An 18% drop in under an hour – should have triggered dynamic circuit breakers at ±10%. ❌ But breakers failed to pause trading visibly; only hidden "velocity logics" activated briefly. 🔍 High-frequency traders can reset guardrails easily – "circuit breakers in name only." THE GROWING SUPPLY DEFICIT: 7 YEARS AND COUNTING ➡️Silver Institute shows deficits for seven straight years when including ETF investment demand. ➡️ UBS forecasts a 300 million ounce deficit this year in a ~1.25 billion ounce market. ➡️ COMEX vaults down to ~102 million ounces, with 25% drawdown in the last 30 days. ➡️ Shanghai vaults at ~25-26 million ounces – 90% drop since 2020, with 8-9% single-day drains recently. SHANGHAI PREMIUM: THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE ✅ Post-crash, Shanghai traded at up to 29% premium; now ~7-13% spot, but wholesale (with VAT) hits ~$99/oz. ➡️ That's a $15-19 spread over Western ~$80-85/oz prices. ➡️ Massive incentive to ship metal East – draining Western vaults rapidly. 📍 "Asia will determine the price" – physical reality trumps paper suppression. THE END OF PRICE FIXING & THE RISE OF SOUND MONEY ✅ Decades of paper promises worked while no one demanded delivery. ➡️ Now true shortages from suppressed mining + surging safe-haven buying collide. ➡️ Parallel economy emerging: people using physical silver for transactions as trust in fiat collapses. ➡️ "Gold and silver are money... you don't sell money, you use money." THE PATH AHEAD: MULTIPLES HIGHER ✅ Current prices (~$80-85/oz) won't solve the crisis – need "multiples" higher for liquidity. ➡️ Currency crisis looms as debt bubbles burst and fiat weakens. ➡️ Gold as official money, silver as parallel private money – inevitable in unstable times. THE BOTTOM LINE David Jensen sees silver's run driven by undeniable physical shortages, failed suppression tactics, and a historic East-West shift – setting the stage for explosive upside as vaults empty and real demand takes over. No top in Silver – it's just getting started in a new monetary reality. Stack accordingly. HT: YouTube Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #PreciousMetals #SoundMoney #SilverShortage #GoldAndSilver

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24,678 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce