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UPDATE: "WE ARE LIVING THROUGH HISTORY RIGHT NOW" - ED STEER ON THE SILVER CRISIS. 🚨 Precious metals expert Ed Steer just gave one of the most urgent interviews of the year. His message is clear: the 50-year price management scheme is ending. ✅ "The parabolic run was just...

148,732 views • 8 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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ED STEER: "Throw Technical Analysis Out the Window" - Why This Silver Rally is Different. 📈 Silver's price acceleration is entering parabolic territory. Here’s how fast each $10 move has happened: ➡️ $20 to $30: 145 days ➡️ $30 to $40: 145 days ➡️ $40 to $50: 39 days ➡️ $50 to $60: 12 days The intervals are collapsing. This is a classic signature of a parabolic rise. 🛑 Why technical analysis doesn’t matter right now. As Ed Steer states: “We've been in a managed market for 50 years... you can throw that stuff all out the window.” This isn’t a normal market. It’s the end of a multi-decade price management scheme. Forget moving averages. Watch physical supply, COMEX movements, and what the big traders are doing. The smoking gun: U.S. bullion banks are out. ➡️The latest Bank Participation Report shows the 5 U.S. bullion banks hold their lowest short position in history in silver. ➡️They’ve been covering for months. They no longer have an incentive to cap the price. What this means: ➡️The "cracks in the wall" are now full breaches. The physical shortage (92 million oz left COMEX since Oct 1) is meeting a paper short cover. ➡️This could be the "silver equivalent of the failure of the London Gold Pool" in the 1960s. The investment takeaway (from a 25-year veteran): ➡️Physical first. Before any stock, own the metal. It may become "unobtainium." ➡️Then, consider broad equity exposure in miners The lagging silver miners (up 146% vs. silver's 109% YTD) have massive catch-up potential. The Bottom Line: The mechanisms that suppressed silver for 50+ years are breaking down in real-time. When managed markets fail, prices don't rise—they explode. Watch the physical flows, not the charts. HT: CapitalCosm #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Investing #Markets #COMEX #Parabolic #Bullion #ShortSqueeze #Miners $SILJ

Mark

90,730 views • 9 months ago

P. Baker: "At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: Physical is king.” Phil Baker, former CEO of Hecla Mining (USA's largest silver producer for 20 years), reveals a seismic shift. The driver of the silver price is no longer Western speculators. ✅ India's demand in October was 60M ounces, up from 15M ounces the prior year—a four-fold increase. ✅ “That is the driver... the underlying price of silver above $45-50 is really coming out of India.” INDUSTRIAL USERS ARE PANICKING Companies are abandoning "just-in-time" supply models and hoarding physical metal. ➡️ US industrial buyers are now securing 6-9 months of inventory ahead of potential tariffs. ➡️ “My advice to them for the past 18 months: don't be short silver. They're finally putting the silver in place.” THE SYSTEM IS SHOWING ITS LIMITS ➡️Recent events prove the physical market now dictates the price. ➡️During the 10-hour CME outage, premiums in Shanghai and India “widened almost instantly.” ➡️“The physical market is driving the financial market in a way it hasn't in my career.” ➡️At the recent LBMA meeting, the consensus was: “Physical is king.” THE SUPPLY CLIFF IS A MATHEMATICAL CERTAINTY ➡️The deficit isn't cyclical; it's structural for the next decade. ➡️Mine supply peaked in 2016 at ~900M ounces and “we will not reach that level again this decade. Realistically, not until 2035.” ➡️Annual deficits are 100-200M ounces. This shortfall can only be filled by metal from investors, as central banks hold negligible silver. ➡️“It requires a much higher price and a lot of [investors] to be mobilised.... We've had low prices for a long time. As a result, you've not had the exploration.” HT: Kitco NEWS Jeremy Szafron #Silver #SilverSqueeze #India #Commodities #Markets #Investing #PMs #SupplyChain

Mark

104,322 views • 9 months ago

THE 15-YEAR SILVER TRAP: NEW SUPPLY IS IMPOSSIBLE UNTIL 2040 Austrian Silver expert E. Gratz: Wall Street still believes higher silver prices will magically unlock more metal tomorrow. That belief is pure fantasy. From the first discovery of a silver vein to the first finished ounce takes on average fifteen years. The physical deficit we face right now was locked in long before solar and AI demand exploded. Anyone waiting for new mines is waiting until 2040. THE CORE THESIS: THE MARKET CANNOT REACT ➡️ Today’s silver supply was planned fifteen years ago. ➡️ Exploding demand from solar and AI hits a market that has zero short-term flexibility. ➡️ The physical deficit is already set in stone. THE FATAL ILLUSION ➡️ Wall Street thinks a rising price simply pulls more silver out of the ground. ➡️ In physical reality that is completely impossible. ➡️ Mines do not appear because the chart looks good. THE BRUTAL TIMELINE ➡️ Average time from discovery to first production sits at fifteen years. ➡️ Mines that started between 2020 and 2023 needed 17.9 years according to S&P Global. ➡️ Hope for meaningful new supply before 2040 is delusion. WHO ACTUALLY HUNTS FOR SILVER ➡️ Not the big corporations. ➡️ Tiny junior explorers take the extreme risk, raise speculative capital, and drill in the middle of nowhere. ➡️ Nine out of ten projects never become economic mines. ➡️ Only one in a thousand exploration projects ever turns into a real producing mine. THE PERMITTING AND FINANCING WALL ➡️ After discovery come years of feasibility studies, environmental reviews, water rights, and negotiations with local communities. ➡️ ESG rules and bureaucracy routinely stretch the timeline into year eight through fourteen. ➡️ Hundreds of millions are spent on lawyers and permits long before the first shovel hits dirt. ➡️ Many explorers simply go bankrupt on the way. THE BOTTOM LINE The silver market is trapped in a multi-decade structural lag. Demand is exploding while new supply remains locked away for another fifteen years or more. Only physical silver you already hold protects real wealth. HT: YouTube Ernst Gratz #SilverTrap #15YearDelay #PhysicalSilver #SilverDeficit #MiningReality #SolarSilver #AISilver

Mark

42,851 views • 1 month ago

SILVER'S RUBBER BAND IS ABOUT TO SNAP: 80:1 BACK TO HISTORIC 15:1 Austrian silver expert Ernst Gratz just laid out the most extreme valuation gap in monetary history. Gold and silver are the oldest currencies on earth, yet the paper market has stretched their relationship to a breaking point never seen before. What happens when that rubber band finally snaps back will rewrite portfolios overnight. THE GEOLOGICAL AND HISTORICAL TRUTH ➡️ In the Earth’s crust silver is only 15 to 19 times more abundant than gold. ➡️ Ancient Egypt under King Menes set the ratio as low as 2.5 to 1. ➡️ The Roman Empire fixed it by law at 12 to 1. Julius Caesar adjusted it to 11.5 to 1. ➡️ The United States Coin Act of 1792 locked the official ratio at exactly 15 to 1 for generations. THE MODERN MADNESS ➡️ Today the paper market trades the ratio at 80 to 1 or higher. ➡️ This is not a free market price. It is a historic anomaly created by derivatives, industrial classification, and institutional blindness. WHY THE BAND IS STRETCHED SO FAR ➡️ Gold is treated as pure money and is hoarded. Silver is treated as an industrial metal and is consumed. ➡️ Over 50 percent of annual silver demand now comes from industry: electric vehicles, electronics, and AI data centers. ➡️ Paper markets and futures contracts systematically suppress the physical silver price. ➡️ In every crisis the big institutions, central banks, and sovereign funds flee almost exclusively into gold and overlook silver completely. THE SUPPLY TIME BOMB ➡️ The world has run a structural silver deficit for six consecutive years. ➡️ The cumulative shortfall has already reached roughly 700 million ounces — an entire year of global mine production. ➡️ The green energy transition and the AI boom require enormous additional volumes. Silver is the best electrical conductor on the planet and has no substitute. THE HISTORICAL PATTERN ➡️ Every time the gold-silver ratio has crossed 80 or 100 to 1 — in 1980, 2008, and 2020 — silver launched an epic catch-up rally that dramatically outperformed gold. THE FINAL SHAKEOUT ➡️ Before the rubber band snaps, the system always tries to force the last true believers out of the market. ➡️ Capitulation by the remaining physical holders is the classic final signal that the upside is about to open. THE BOTTOM LINE The rubber band is stretched to its absolute limit. When financial stress meets physical tightness, silver will not gently re-rate. It will snap back toward its 15-to-1 reality with historic force. This is the highest-conviction asymmetric trade left in the precious metals complex. #Silver #GoldSilverRatio #SilverDeficit #PreciousMetals #SilverSqueeze #MonetaryMetals #SilverVsGold

Mark

47,942 views • 1 month ago

ED STEER "BONFIRE OF THE SHORTS" IGNITES, BUT MINING SHARS ARE HELD HOSTAGE 🎙️ Veteran analyst Ed Steer breaks down the shocking divergence between soaring silver and stagnant mining stocks. THE GLARING DISCONNECT ✅ Silver is at $93, up ~30% YTD and posting 5-7% daily gains. ❌ The SIL silver miners ETF is up only ~14% YTD. 📉 Hecla, Pan American, & First Majestic are flat or down on huge silver up days. ➡️ "The shares right now... we'd be looking at at least a double in every silver stock." THE ACTIVE SUPPRESSION THESIS ✅ Steer's verdict: Shares are being "actively managed" and suppressed. 🤔 Purpose? To prevent mainstream attention and capital flows. 🔍 Evidence: Physical ETFs (SLV/PSLV) track the metal's price perfectly; miners do not. 💎 "They're trying to keep people... in Amazon and all these other stocks." THE "BONFIRE OF THE SHORTS" IS HERE ➡️ This parabolic move is the "bonfire of the silver shorts" predicted by analyst Ted Butler. 🔥 With silver up $8 in two days, relentless margin calls are forcing short covering. 📈 "We're in a short squeeze they'll be talking about... hundreds of years from now." THE GEOPOLITICAL & MARKET SHIFT ✅ Price discovery is now driven by Shanghai (premium >$100), not just COMEX. 🛡️ Silver is remonetizing as the 50-year fiat experiment unwinds. ⚖️ "We are living through history... the precious metals are going to be money again." THE BOTTOM LINE FOR INVESTORS The extreme undervaluation of silver equities represents a monumental opportunity. The fundamentals demand prices at least 90-100% higher. When the suppression breaks, the catch-up rally could be explosive. HT: CapitalCosm YouTube CapitalCosm #Silver #Gold #MiningStocks #Investing #PreciousMetals #Markets #Finance #EdSteer #ShortSqueeze #Commodities

Mark

26,303 views • 8 months ago

EIGHT YEARS SILVER DEFICIT: WHY THIS CORRECTION IS THE LAST CHANCE TO LOAD UP Swiss-German gold and silver expert Jochen Staiger has spent 44 years in finance including 30 years focused on commodities. He watched gold drop 25 percent and silver plunge 45 percent from their peaks yet he refuses to back down. What he reveals about Asia's relentless buying and the structural supply crunch will make you rethink everything you thought you knew about this correction. THE EXPERT STANDS FIRM ➡️ Swiss-German gold and silver expert Jochen Staiger with 44 years of experience will not throw in the towel. ➡️ He calls gold's 25 percent correction understandable after the massive prior advance. ➡️ Silver's 45 percent decline he describes as totally overdone and exaggerated. ➡️ "I would never throw in the towel" Staiger declares without hesitation. THE GOLD TARGETS AHEAD ➡️ Gold is set to recover swiftly and target the 4800 to 5000 range in the near term. ➡️ It will then move toward 5600 as it retests previous highs. ➡️ The ultimate goal stands at 6300 as this decade unfolds. THE SILVER EXPLOSION COMING ➡️ Silver could reach 164 by the end of this year according to his chart. ➡️ The 184 level comes into view by the first half of 2027 at the latest. ➡️ By the end of the decade he sees 236 to 250 with 300 still on the table. THE ASIAN BUYING FRENZY ➡️ A huge shift is moving metal from weak Western hands straight into strong Asian hands. ➡️ China imported 25000 tons of silver in the first four months alone. ➡️ Physical markets are booming in Singapore Hong Kong Shanghai and now Dubai with instant delivery. ➡️ The COMEX paper system is fading as real physical demand takes center stage. THE SILVER SUPPLY CRUNCH ➡️ The market is now in its eighth consecutive year of structural deficits. ➡️ 1.3 billion ounces have already vanished from inventories. ➡️ COMEX holds just 325 million ounces and new supply from mines will not arrive fast enough. ➡️ Demand from solar power electric vehicles and high tech keeps climbing. THE SMART MONEY OPPORTUNITY ➡️ Retail investors still allocate only 2.7 percent to gold well below past cycles. ➡️ Family offices are slowly raising exposure from 2 to just 3 percent. ➡️ This is far from a crowded trade and the dip presents a rare chance to average down. THE BOTTOM LINE Gold and silver suffered a sharp but healthy correction after a powerful advance. The fundamentals remain rock solid with Asia leading demand and supply constraints tightening every quarter. Those who buy this dip with a clear plan will be rewarded handsomely in the years ahead. The correction ends here. The real rally in gold and silver is about to begin. MY TAKE I don’t think the correction is over yet – not just yet. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #SilverTo250 #GoldTo6300 #AsiaGoldDemand #BuyTheDip

Mark

77,801 views • 2 months ago

THE SILVER SELL-OFF IS BRUTAL – BUT DON’T MAKE THE MISTAKE OF SELLING TOO Silver just broke hard. Gold slipped under 4000. Silver crashed to 56. If you bought anywhere near the January high near 121, roughly half your position has vanished and it feels like the bottom may never arrive. But the number flashing on the screen is lying about what is actually happening. The sellers dumping metal right now are handing their ounces to buyers who see a sale, not a verdict. THE CORE THESIS Silver didn't get less valuable this week. The dollar got stronger. And that is a completely different thing. ➡️ The US dollar index just pushed above 101 for the first time in about a year. ➡️ When the dollar rips, every asset priced in dollars gets repriced lower almost automatically because it now takes fewer of those stronger dollars to buy the same ounce. ➡️ This is not the market rejecting silver. This is the measuring stick getting longer. ➡️ The Fed's new dot plot shows roughly half the committee projecting at least one rate hike this year, with traders pricing in as many as three quarter-point hikes before year end. THE DOUBLE HIT SILVER ALWAYS TAKES Silver wears two hats and both are getting slammed at the same time. ➡️ It is a monetary metal fighting the strong dollar. ➡️ It is also an industrial metal facing slower growth fears from higher rates. ➡️ That combination is exactly why silver falls roughly twice as hard as gold in moves like this. ➡️ The gold to silver ratio blows out because it is the nature of silver, not a flaw in silver. THE MECHANICAL SELLING DRIVING THE PAIN A lot of this selling is not anyone deciding silver is a bad investment. It is forced. ➡️ Margin requirements got jacked up. Leverage players had to dump their most liquid holdings to raise cash. ➡️ Stop losses tripped. ETFs rebalanced. The selling turned violent and mechanical. ➡️ This kind of forced selling eventually burns out when the sellers run out of metal they are willing to dump. ➡️ Conviction buyers do not run out of conviction. They are the ones quietly stepping in. THE PHYSICAL MARKET TELLS THE TRUTH The spot price is getting shoved around by macro forces and margin. The physical market is doing something very different underneath. ➡️ When metal gets crushed on the screen you would expect a flood of people dumping physical. That is not mostly what is walking in the door. ➡️ Yes, capitulation sellers who bought the top are handing over ounces. ➡️ But serious buyers are stepping in with both hands because to them a strong dollar selloff is a sale, not a verdict. "The weak hands are handing their ounces to the strong hands. That's what a bottoming process actually looks like." ➡️ Premiums on real coins and bars are holding firm and even rising. Demand is alive and well if you watch the all-in price instead of just spot. THE LONG-TERM MATH HAS NOT CHANGED The reasons you own silver in the first place are still sitting right there. ➡️ The debt has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Currency debasement over time has not gone anywhere. ➡️ Central banks are still net buyers. ➡️ The long-term destination remains 120 silver. This selloff does not erase the thesis. WHAT TO DO THIS WEEK ➡️ Do not sell into this panic unless you genuinely need the cash inside the next two years. ➡️ If you must raise cash, sell generic rounds and bars first. Protect your sovereign coins and anything inside your IRA. ➡️ For long-term buyers this is a sale, but watch the all-in price not just spot. Ladder your buys and keep dry powder. ➡️ Stress test how you hold your metal. If you have paper claims this is the week to move toward allocated segregated storage or take delivery. THE BOTTOM LINE The metal did not change this week. The dollar did. Don't let a strong dollar and a scary headline talk you out of the one asset they cannot print. Before you hit that button ask yourself one honest question. Do I actually need this money in the next 24 months? If the answer is no, you are not escaping a collapse. You are selling your insurance in the middle of the storm to the very people who will be happy to sell it back to you later at a much higher price. HT: YouTube Summit Metals #SilverSelloff #DontSellSilver #DollarStrength #PhysicalSilver #Stacking #PreciousMetals #SilverStacker

Mark

34,639 views • 2 months ago

INSTITUTIONS SHORTING TO DEATH: TOP EXPERT REVEALS THE HIDDEN COMEX DESPERATION German-Swiss silver expert Jochen Staiger just laid bare the true cause of silver's savage collapse. The metal fell from a January peak of $115 an ounce all the way to $57 today. That is a brutal 50 percent loss in a matter of months. Yet Staiger insists the fundamentals have never looked stronger and the real story lies in desperate futures market games. THE MANIPULATION MECHANISM ➡️ Huge institutions have piled into massive short positions on the COMEX silver futures market. ➡️ Open interest now sits above 104,000 contracts which equals more than 500 million ounces on paper. ➡️ The whole COMEX only holds around 326 million ounces with roughly 86 million available for actual trading. ➡️ These players are shorting themselves deeper into trouble just to stay afloat for a little longer. THE PHYSICAL MARKET THEY CANNOT CONTROL ➡️ The world has suffered through eight straight years of silver deficit that removed 1.3 billion ounces from available stocks. ➡️ Industrial demand continues to surge for solar power, electronics, defense and more. ➡️ New mine supply cannot possibly close the gap fast enough even if everything goes perfectly. ➡️ China has turned into an unstoppable buyer while controlling 70 percent of the world's silver refining capacity. THE DESPERATE BANK PLAY ➡️ American banks have already racked up 316 billion dollars in unrealized losses this quarter. ➡️ They are using the futures market to manage positions and avoid even bigger disasters. ➡️ Staiger warns this approach is like trying to put out a fire with gasoline and sets the stage for explosive moves. THE CORRECT RESPONSE RIGHT NOW ➡️ Most retail investors buy at the top in excitement and sell at the bottom in fear. ➡️ The winning move is to buy every dip in smaller tranches and hold physical metal tight. ➡️ Staiger himself keeps adding to his silver stack daily because he sees this drop as a gift. THE BOTTOM LINE Silver's plunge is nothing more than a paper market illusion created by institutions fighting for survival while the physical world tightens under relentless demand and Chinese accumulation. The fundamentals scream for much higher prices and the window to buy is wide open. This is the sound of a manipulated market beginning to crack under its own weight. #SilverCrash #COMEXManipulation #PaperVsPhysical #SilverDeficit #BuyTheDip #PhysicalSilver #JochenStaiger

Mark

111,884 views • 2 months ago

UPDATE: M. OLIVER - The Asset Class Shift Has Officially Begun. 🚀 "We’ll probably see $200 silver by the second quarter. Now, I could be wrong. We might vastly overshoot and see something even higher than that." – "Be in #Silver and #Miners now !" Michael Oliver, Momentum Structural Analysis. 📈 This is the breakout from a HALF-CENTURY trading range. For 50 years, silver has been contained. That containment is now failing. Why This Time is Structurally Different: ✅ Gold has broken out vs. the S&P 500 on a spread basis—signaling a major asset class rotation. ✅ Silver has broken out vs. gold—meaning it's set to outperform dramatically. ✅ The miners ( $XAU, $GDX) are breaking multi-decade spreads vs. gold, poised to double relative value. The Historical Precedent is Stunning: ➡️When copper broke out of a 30-year range in 2005-2006, it quadrupled in two quarters. ➡️When lead did the same in 2007, it also quadrupled in a few quarters. ➡️Silver is now breaking out of a 50-year range. The potential velocity is immense. This is the START, not the end. 🔄The breakout signals the beginning of a multi-year trend, not a short-term spike. Capital is just starting to rotate from inflated equities (S&P, Nasdaq) into the monetary metals complex. ⏰ "Is it too late to invest?" The clear technical answer is NO. Entry points are always higher in a genuine breakout. This is the last major entry before the move accelerates. The Bottom Line: The charts are screaming that a historic, compressed repricing of silver and mining equities is imminent. This is a structural shift, not a speculative spike. Being early feels late, but being late will be costly. HT: Palisades Gold Radio Momentum Structural Analysis #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Investing #Stocks #Trading #Miners #Breakout #Commodities 🔄

Mark

158,918 views • 9 months ago

SWISS EXPERT JOCHEN STAIGER: THE BIGGEST SILVER BETRAYAL EVER – AND WHY $184+ IS STILL COMING In a raw, no-holds-barred interview after the historic crash, Silver Expert Jochen Staiger calls out the January 30, 2026 silver plunge as outright fraud. From manipulation claims to the shift to Asia, here's the unfiltered truth shaking the precious metals world. THE CRASH OF JANUARY 30: BIGGEST SINCE 1980 ➡️ Silver plunged over 30% in one brutal day – from peaks above $120 down to the $70s. ➡️ Jochen calls it "the biggest $100 billion fraud of all time" – no limits down, regulators silent. ➡️ It started right after London fixing at 15:12 CET, then $26 drop in 180 minutes. "Total madness, I've never seen anything like it." THE MANIPULATION FINGER POINTS TO JP MORGAN & COMEX ➡️ JP Morgan closed massive shorts exactly at the bottom – after past $900M+ fines for silver spoofing. ➡️ COMEX ignored circuit breakers on a thin Friday trade. "High criminal" in Jochen's eyes. "Crimex" – that's what he now calls it. Paper traded 1.83 billion ounces that day – zero physical moved. THE EAST-WEST DIVIDE: ASIA TAKES CONTROL ✅ Shanghai premiums exploded to 40%+ while COMEX crashed. ➡️ China cracked down hard on naked shorts (banned traders, 180 cases ongoing). "They did what regulators are paid for." 📍 "Asia will set the price for sure" – LBMA and COMEX fading fast. THE PHYSICAL REALITY: EMPTY VAULTS AHEAD? ➡️ COMEX registered silver dropping fast – down to low levels, potential March delivery squeeze. ➡️ China warrant gold surged from 5 to 105 tons – prepping for massive deliveries. ➡️ "If it goes under 50M oz, force majeure – then the exchange is done." JOCHEN'S BOLD TARGETS FOR 2026 & BEYOND ➡️ Silver: $184 by Christmas, possibly $200–300 on default. ➡️ Longer term (12–15 months): $208+. ➡️ Gold: $6,000–6,200 this year, up to $10,150 eventually. ANLEGERTIP FROM THE PRO: STAY STRONG & BUY DIPS ✅ Physical silver never spoils – "The ounce stays an ounce." ➡️ Buy more on pullbacks, average down. "If convinced, add when cheaper – no pain." ➡️Volatility stays high (Year of the Fire Horse), but this is wealth protection, not speculation. THE BOTTOM LINE Jochen sees the crash as desperate suppression failing against exploding physical demand and Asia's rise – the real silver revolution is just starting, and patient holders win big. #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #Manipulation #SilverSqueeze #Investing #WealthProtection

Mark

71,623 views • 7 months ago